St Ives

2015 Result:
Conservative: 18491 (38.3%)
Labour: 4510 (9.3%)
Lib Dem: 16022 (33.2%)
Green: 3051 (6.3%)
UKIP: 5720 (11.8%)
Mebyon Kernow: 518 (1.1%)
MAJORITY: 2469 (5.1%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: South West, Cornwall. Part of the Cornwall council area.

Main population centres: Penzance, St Ives, St Just, Helston, Mullion, Porthleven.

Profile: The south-western tip of England, including Lands End and the Lizard. The economy used to be based on tin mining and fishing, but with the decline of both industries it is now more tourism orientated. The seat also contains the Isles of Scilly, a group of islands about 28 miles off the Cornish coast with a population of around 2000.

Politics:


Current MP
DEREK THOMAS (Conservative) Born 1972. Former small businessman and development worker. Former Penwith councillor. Contested St Ives 2010. First elected as MP for St Ives in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 17900 (39%)
Lab: 3751 (8%)
LDem: 19619 (43%)
UKIP: 2560 (6%)
Oth: 2091 (5%)
MAJ: 1719 (4%)
2005*
Con: 13968 (28%)
Lab: 6583 (13%)
LDem: 25577 (51%)
UKIP: 2551 (5%)
Oth: 1738 (3%)
MAJ: 11609 (23%)
2001
Con: 15360 (31%)
Lab: 6567 (13%)
LDem: 25413 (52%)
UKIP: 1926 (4%)
MAJ: 10053 (20%)
1997
Con: 16796 (31%)
Lab: 8184 (15%)
LDem: 23966 (44%)
Oth: 1241 (2%)
MAJ: 7170 (13%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
DEREK THOMAS (Conservative) Born 1972. Small businessman and former development worker. Former Penwith councillor. Contested St Ives 2010.
CORNELIUS OLIVIER (Labour) Cornwall councillor since 2013.
ANDREW GEORGE (Liberal Democrat) Born 1958, Cornwall. Educated at Helston Grammar and Sussex University. Deputy director of Cornwall rural council. Contested St Ives 1992. MP for St Ives 1997 to 2015. PPS to Charles Kennedy 2001-2002, Lib Dem Shadow Rural Affairs Secretary 2002-2005, Lib Dem Shadow secretary of state for International Development 2005-2007. A former member of Mebyon Kernow and reliable supporter of all things Cornish, he was the first MP to take the oath in Cornish.
GRAHAM CALDERWOOD (UKIP) Solicitor. Contested Devon and Cornwall Police elections 2012 as Independent.
TIM ANDREWES (Green) Born 1966, Southampton. Educated at Shrewsbury School and Oxford University. Rural transport advisor. South Shropshire councillor 1995-2001, Cornwall councillor since 2013. Contested Oxford and Buckinghamshire 1989 European election, Ludlow 1997, St Ives 2010.
ROB SIMMONS (Mebyon Kernow) Born West Cornwall. Educated at Aberystwyth University.
Links
Comments - 210 Responses on “St Ives”
  1. Didn’t St Ives ban second home ownership a few years ago?

  2. I think revoke is causing issues here for the Lib Dems as well as Swinson proving unpopular. But still in with a chance.

  3. Revoke is causing issues but Lib Dem candidate and ex MP Andrew George has adopted the Stephen LLoyd stance of publicly declaring he doesn’t share the party’s view on Brexit – and Lloyd was one of the few rethreads to win his seat back in 2017 – which the Lib Dems hope will defuse the issue

    This has looked liked a nailed-on Lib Dem since the last election and this part isn’t quite as staunchly Eurosceptic as many know-it-all’s claim

    It has to be said they are making quite hard work of it

  4. Really niche question, but since Andrew George was once a member of Mebyon Kernow, do they have a declared stance on Brexit?

  5. Supported remain in 2016 and tend to share the views of Plaid and the SNP.

  6. ‘Supported remain in 2016 and tend to share the views of Plaid and the SNP.’

    So in other words every bit as anti-Brexit as the Lib Dems, making Andrew George’s pro-Brexit position more of a political calculation as opposed to an ideological belief – a tactic adopted by many standing Labour and Tory candidates

  7. “This has looked liked a nailed-on Lib Dem since the last election and this part isn’t quite as staunchly Eurosceptic as many know-it-all’s claim”

    There’s a strong Lib Dem / Remain demographic in St Ives itself, and on the Scillies. But one would expect very strong Leave support in the fishing town of Newlyn, and in the somewhat miserable and downtrodden Penzance. As in the past two elections it suggests a close race though if the Lib Dems win anything in Cornwall, surely it will be here.

    “Lloyd was one of the few rethreads to win his seat back in 2017 – which the Lib Dems hope will defuse the issue”

    Lloyd relies on a personal vote even more than Andrew George does. Eastbourne will surely be an uphill struggle this time even for him. I’ve noticed Lloyd is in the media much less these days. The sad hotel fire on the seafront has been plastered all over the local news for a whole week…not a whisper of Lloyd, who would have been all over the TV screens on this a year or two back.

  8. Depending on how great ‘fear of Corbyn’ is here in this seat, this should go LD.

    How far does George’s stance of not sharing his party’s view go?

    P.S. I just looked it up and St. Ives voted 55% for Brexit. IIRC, Devon overall went significantly stronger for Brexit than Cornwall.

  9. Of course during an election if he appears then the Tory and Lab candidates have to appear. So it’s harder to do so.

  10. True

    Though his semi-detached status must be quite hard to square on the doorsteps with Swinson’s “Bollocks to Brexit” and “we will cancel Brexit” hectoring.

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