2015 Result:
Conservative: 12051 (23.1%)
Labour: 13303 (25.5%)
Lib Dem: 1392 (2.7%)
SNP: 23783 (45.6%)
Green: 1606 (3.1%)
MAJORITY: 10480 (20.1%)

Category: Safe SNP seat

Geography: Scotland, Mid Scotland and Fife. The whole of the Stirling council area.

Main population centres: Stirling, Dunblane, Bridge of Allan, Bannockburn, Doune, Callander, Aberfoyle, Drymen, Killearn, Inverardran.

Profile: Consists of the small city of Stirling and the neighbouring towns and villages, the fertile agricultural land around it and a wide expanse of desolate mountains stretching to the north west. This is a affluent area and a popular commuter area, it also contains the University of Stirling. Tourism is important for the local economy given the important historical associations of the area, the National Wallace monument is in the seat and the Battle of Bannockburn occured in the large village of the same name just to the south of Stirling itself. The seat also contains Dunblane, the site of an infamous school massacre in 1996.

Politics: This was once a Conservative seat, held narrowly in 1987 and 1992 by Michael Forsyth, later to become Scottish Secretary. He was one of the Conservative cabinet ministers who lost their seats on election night 1997 and the Conservatives are even further behind now than their were then. In the similar Scottish Parliament constituency the SNP have comprehensively overtaken the Conservatives as the challenger to Labour and now hold the seat, in 2015 they took the Westminster seat too.

Current MP
STEVEN PATERSON (SNP) Born Stirling. Educated at Stirling High School and Stirling University. Stirling councillor since 2007. First elected as MP for Stirling in 2015.
Past Results
Con: 11254 (24%)
Lab: 19558 (42%)
LDem: 6797 (15%)
SNP: 8091 (17%)
Oth: 1141 (2%)
MAJ: 8304 (18%)
Con: 10962 (25%)
Lab: 15729 (36%)
LDem: 9052 (21%)
SNP: 5503 (13%)
Oth: 2445 (6%)
MAJ: 4767 (11%)
Con: 8901 (25%)
Lab: 15175 (42%)
LDem: 4208 (12%)
SNP: 5877 (16%)
Oth: 1769 (5%)
MAJ: 6274 (17%)
Con: 13971 (33%)
Lab: 20382 (48%)
LDem: 2675 (6%)
SNP: 5752 (13%)
MAJ: 6411 (15%)

2015 Candidates
STEPHEN KERR (Conservative)
JOHANNA BOYD (Labour) Born Falkirk. Barrister. Stirling councillor since 2012, Leader of Stirling council since 2013.
ELISABETH WILSON (Liberal Democrat)
MARK RUSKELL (Green) Born 1972. Stirling councillor since 2012. Contested Stirling 2001, 2010. MSP for Mid Scotland and Fife 2003-2007.
STEVEN PATERSON (SNP) Born Stirling. Educated at Stirling High School and Stirling University. Stirling councillor since 2007.
Comments - 108 Responses on “Stirling”
  1. Poll Troll- Thank you I had forgotten them.

  2. Sandy Jamieson,

    As a follow-up to that post, the Tories won the first preference vote here: 37.9% to the SNP’s 35.5%…

  3. Conservatives were third in the Bannockburn ward!

    This is shaping up to be an interesting marginal contest in my opinion. I think that the Conservatives will manage it.

  4. Con gain, maj 148

  5. As someone from this constituency, I LOVE that Inverardan is described as a “Main Population Centre.”

    There’s an Inverardan guest house on the West Highland Way, but the nearest village to that is Crianlarich. And Crianlarich is smaller than Killin, Gargunnock, Thornhill, Strathblane, Balfron, Plean, Fallin etc.

    In terms of importance to the constituency, I’d rank Balfron up there, because it has one of the main rural high schools. (I remember when I was a teenager that they invested a lot in rugby, but still lost the County Cup. This was the cause of much amusement.)

  6. If the SNP extend the vote to midges, Aberfoyle will be a population centre to be reckoned with. I’ve been to many parts of Scotland, but Aberfoyle seems like it’s ecologically designed for them: very rainy, dense woodland, marshes, and lochside. On the other hand, it has some of the most beautiful bluebell fields and delicious blaeberries in the country, so it’s worth slapping on some repellent and checking the village out in the summer.

  7. The SNP took 51% of the vote here, way above the 40% Yes vote recorded in 2014.

    Clear that the predominant tactical voting pattern in Scotland in this election was ABT, rather than between unionist parties as it was in 2017.

  8. Maybe not universally though, in NE Fife a redistribution of Tory votes enabled the LDs to take the seat.

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)