North East Somerset

2015 Result:
Conservative: 25439 (49.8%)
Labour: 12690 (24.8%)
Lib Dem: 4029 (7.9%)
Green: 2802 (5.5%)
UKIP: 6150 (12%)
MAJORITY: 12749 (24.9%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: South West, Avon. Part of the Bath and North East Somerset council area.

Main population centres: Keynsham, Radstock, Midsomer Norton.

Profile: An unusually shaped seat that takes in all the western part of the Bath and North East Somerset council area, and the rural outskirts of Bath (known as Bathavon) in the east, meaning the Bath constituency is entirely surrounded by a thin belt of North East Somerset. The seat contains some contrasting areas. The northern parts of the seat, especially the town of Keynsham, are very much affluent commuter areas for Bath and Bristol. To the east the seat is more rural, covering the patchwork of farmland and rural villages that make up the Chew Valley. The southern part around Midsomer Norton and Radstock is part of the old Somerset coalfield. The last of the coal mines closed in the 1960s, to be replaced by light industry, but the close knit industrial heritage of the area remains.

Politics: Called Wansdyke (after the old local authority) until 2010, this was a Conservative seat through the 80s, fell to Labour in the 1997 landslide and was regained by the Tories in 2010. As might be expected, the rural and suburban parts of the seat tend to the Conservatives, with Labour`s support strongest in the former mining areas and parts of southern Keynsham.


Current MP
JACOB REES-MOGG (Conservative) Born 1969, Somerset, son of Times editor Lord Rees-Mogg. Educated at Eton and Oxford University. Former fund manager. Contested Central Fife 1997, The Wrekin 2001. First elected as MP for North East Somerset in 2010. Jacob Rees-Mogg cuts an other-worldly and young-fogeyish figure, often revelling in speeches litt ered withhistorical and classical references. In his first Parliamentary contest in 1997 he famously went canvassing accompanied by his former nanny.
Past Results
2010
Con: 21130 (41%)
Lab: 16216 (32%)
LDem: 11433 (22%)
UKIP: 1754 (3%)
Oth: 670 (1%)
MAJ: 4914 (10%)
2005*
Con: 18847 (37%)
Lab: 20686 (41%)
LDem: 10050 (20%)
UKIP: 1129 (2%)
Oth: 221 (0%)
MAJ: 1839 (4%)
2001
Con: 17593 (36%)
Lab: 22706 (46%)
LDem: 7135 (15%)
GRN: 958 (2%)
Oth: 655 (1%)
MAJ: 5113 (10%)
1997
Con: 19318 (35%)
Lab: 24117 (44%)
LDem: 9205 (17%)
Oth: 755 (1%)
MAJ: 4799 (9%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Wansdyke

Demographics
2015 Candidates
JACOB REES-MOGG (Conservative) See above.
TODD FOREMAN (Labour) Born Kansas. Educated at Grinnell College. Solicitor. Kensington and Chelsea councillor since 2010. Contested West Central 2012 London Assembly elections.
WERA HOBHOUSE (Liberal Democrat) Born Germany. Rochdale councillor 2004-2014, originally elected as a Conservative.. Contested Heywood and Middleton 2010. Defected to the Liberal Democrats in 2005.
ERNIE BLABER (UKIP) Former manager and royal marine.
KATY BOYCE (Green)
Links
Comments - 510 Responses on “Somerset North East”
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  1. The population of London fell for over 30 years and much of its economic base such as the East End docklands disappeared.

    Much of London’s size came from being the centre of empire rather than its natural size as capital of Britain.

    As the Empire disappeared so did the need for such a large London.

    It was only the change to the ‘world city’ concept which saw London’s population begin to increase again – and London’s British born population has continued to fall.

    London now has the attributes of multiple parts of the world – tax haven bolthole for the absentee super rich, third world shanty towns and multiple occupancy squalor reminiscent of the old second world Eastern Bloc:

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/sep/20/london-council-finds-35-men-living-in-one-three-bedroom-house

    The days of John Major eulogising about ‘invincible green suburbs’ seem long ago.

  2. Yes, when a dank one bedroom flat in a tower block, in a rough part of town costs the same as a five bed detached in a nice part of North Yorkshire overlooking a village green, only a short trip to York, Harrogate or Leeds…. something isn’t quite right.

    How to solve it is anyone’s guess. I remember Victoria Coren on QT basically saying that people in ‘normal’ jobs should just move out.

    I’ve heard ideas as radical as scrapping housing benefit inside the M25, sounds a bit like social cleansing but some of the figures quoted for those flats in Grenfell made my eyes water. Someone could sub let ‘their home’ to as many people as you could cram into it, probably draw £50-60k in cash, work cash in hand and have a cracking lifestyle in a cheaper area.

  3. ‘ But they’re not exactly research symposiums are they? ‘

    Yet its not by following ‘pub talk’ that Britain is in such difficulties.

    But rather the faux intellectualism of the Oxford PPE and its equivalents.

  4. ‘ How to solve it is anyone’s guess. I remember Victoria Coren on QT basically saying that people in ‘normal’ jobs should just move out. ‘

    Which is effectively what they are doing – London is the only region of Britain which has negative net internal migration.

  5. “Yet its not by following ‘pub talk’ that Britain is in such difficulties.
    But rather the faux intellectualism of the Oxford PPE and its equivalents”.

    I sometimes get the impression, Richard, that you are more concerned with apportioning blame for the problems in the UK’s current economic model than you are with coming up with solutions.

  6. That’s mental ur just cleansing london of anyone with a normal job

  7. ” I sometimes get the impression, Richard, that you are more concerned with apportioning blame for the problems in the UK’s current economic model than you are with coming up with solutions. ”

    The solution is obvious and has been for years ie the UK lives within its means.

    Of course that’s not to the liking of people who instead of living within their means prefer to live to the style they think they deserve and expect someone else to provide the means.

    Perhaps Kieran and his fellow academics would like to suggest some solutions in their next ‘research symposium’.

    As to apportioning blame it is right and proper that blame is attached to those people who are to blame. By doing that it reduces the risk that the mistakes of the past will be repeated in the future.

  8. Last week’s ONS data shows that the UK had a balance of payments deficit of £115bn in 2016 or 5.9% of GDP.

    The equivalents for the other G7 countries are:

    Germany 8.3
    Japan 3.8
    Italy 2.6
    France -0.9
    USA -2.6
    Canada -3.3

    with thanks to Robert Smithson for the data.

    Now if some of the UK’s consumption of imported consumer goods and foreign holidays was instead supplied from within the UK how many tens of billions would be saved ?

    We would certainly have more money available for house building, investing in infrastructure, reducing student debt and paying for health and social care.

  9. Canada has a balance of payments deficit? That’s very surprising for a country with such vast natural resource wealth comparable to its population.

  10. Yes but oil prices especially have tanked in recent years, taking exports (and the economy of Alberta) with it

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