Sheffield, Heeley

2015 Result:
Conservative: 6792 (16.2%)
Labour: 20269 (48.2%)
Lib Dem: 4746 (11.3%)
Green: 2566 (6.1%)
UKIP: 7315 (17.4%)
TUSC: 238 (0.6%)
Others: 122 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 12954 (30.8%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, South Yorkshire. Part of the Sheffield council area.

Main population centres: Sheffield.

Profile: The south-west of Sheffield, running from middle class outskirts through large post-war council estates of the Gleadless valley and in towards central Sheffield.

Politics: This was once a marginal between Labour and the Conservatives, but on present boundaries is a solid Labour seat..


Current MP
LOUISE HAIGH (Labour) First elected as MP for Sheffield Heeley in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 7081 (17%)
Lab: 17409 (43%)
LDem: 11602 (28%)
BNP: 2260 (6%)
Oth: 2519 (6%)
MAJ: 5807 (14%)
2005*
Con: 4987 (15%)
Lab: 18405 (54%)
LDem: 7035 (21%)
BNP: 1314 (4%)
Oth: 2352 (7%)
MAJ: 11370 (33%)
2001
Con: 4864 (14%)
Lab: 19452 (57%)
LDem: 7748 (23%)
GRN: 774 (2%)
Oth: 1301 (4%)
MAJ: 11704 (34%)
1997
Con: 6767 (16%)
Lab: 26274 (61%)
LDem: 9196 (21%)
MAJ: 17078 (39%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
STEPHEN CASTENS (Conservative)
LOUISE HAIGH (Labour)
SIMON CLEMENT-JONES (Liberal Democrat) Managing director. Contested Sheffield Heeley 2010.
HOWARD DENBY (UKIP)
RITA WILCOX (Green)
DAVID HASLETT (English Democrat)
ALAN MUNRO (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 68 Responses on “Sheffield Heeley”
  1. LAB HOLD MAJ : 28%
    LAB 47
    LD 19
    CON 14
    UKIP 11
    GRN 6
    OTH 3

  2. There’s a by-election in the Arbourthorne ward in a few weeks.

    I am pretty familiar with this seat. The suburban areas in and around the Gleadless Valley are lovely. One of the best parks in Sheffield (in Meersbrook) can be found here which offers some great views. There is also Bishops House if you’re into history. Sheffield Heeley has a very nice vibe overall. It straddles the suburbs and inner city well. Would probably describe it as the south of Sheffield rather than south west Sheffield (much of that is Hallam).

    This will be a clear Labour hold with increased majority in 2015. Not a fan of Meg Munn to be honest (seems far too Blairite for my liking) but she’ll probably take back a good deal of that 2010 Lib Dem vote.

  3. I hear Meg Munn is standing down.

    A competent minister in government who has pushed for Cooperative policies recently. Will be a loss to Labour benches.

    No doubt this seat will be an AWS.

  4. My forecast for 2015 here:

    Lab 49
    LD 19
    UKIP 13
    Con 11
    Others 8

  5. Think Labour might be just above 50% and the LD slightly lower than 19.

  6. Also, Neil, I do not think UKIP will do as well as 13%…they have some good potential here by metropolitan standards. Even if UKIP do end up scoring 10-11% of the vote nationally, there will be very wide disparities between their vote in multiracial metropolitan constituencies and rural, largely white constituencies. Outside Sheffield Hallam there will be a wide move away from the Lib Dems, as with other metropolitan seats in the Northern parts of England. Here is my prediction for this seat for 2015:

    Lab 56
    Lib Dem 15
    Con 12
    UKIP 9
    Green 4
    Others 4

  7. @Lotus

    Your UKIP projection is lower than last time’s UKIP+BNP.. does that mean your Others includes a BNP candidate?

    I notice your Green surge…. not surprised…!

  8. It will likely include a BNP candidate, Antiochian, but their vote share will fall sharply…probably to around 2% from the 5.5% they got in 2010. 4% is not exactly a Green surge…we got 2.4% here in 2010 and I am sure that was lower than our 2005 share in Sheffield Heeley.

  9. “4% is not exactly a Green surge…we got 2.4% here in 2010”

    So a doubling of the vote can’t be described as a surge?

    I didn’t think it was possible for the Greens to elect a worse leader than Caroline Lucas, but it seem they have done. And they will be remorselessly squeezed in the marginals by a resurgent Labour vote. I will bet you £50 that the Green national vote share declines in 2015 relative to 2010. Given all your confident predictions of the Green vote share doubling and trebling, you’ll surely be happy to accept the bet?

  10. Notice my post from end of January was pretty much debunked a few days later by Meg Munn’s decision to step down. Like Hazel Blears, she too is a local to the area, but her voting record and somewhat hawkish views won’t make me shed any tears over her departure.

    She can’t have had much of a personal vote, if her majority was more than halved in five years.

    A clear opportunity for the Heeley CLP to select a better candidate.

  11. *To clarify, I compared her to Blears as Blears is a local to Salford yet was very much the loyalist.

  12. At least Caroline Lucas had some ability, even if she was extremely divisive as a far-lefty type.

  13. Exactly, and she is clearly also very smart. Bennett comes across like the women’s officer in a student union at a second rate former poly.

  14. I agree with HH’s assessment there. Even if you don’t agree with Caroline Lucas’ views, she’s a strong, fluent orator who did help the Greens’ profile nationally (albeit a lower vote share in 2010 c.f. 2005). With Natalie Bennett, the party has either remained static or even regressed. Her media performances are terrible, she’s a poor speaker and it doesn’t reflect too well on the party electing an Australian ex-journalist as their leader over a Liverpool-based candidate (who is their lead candidate in the North West for the Euros).

  15. Oh yes Peter Cranie. I first heard his name mentioned years ago.

  16. I agree with most of the above, and yet our Green supporters on this site routinely predict a doubling or even a trebling of their vote in one constituency after another. I do hope they are not too disappointed if the party does badly in the general election, which especially in marginal seats Labour are trying to gain I sincerely hope they do, without wishing the party’s members any ill will as such. It is most important not to have unrealistic expectations & I am trying very hard not to fall into this trap.

  17. The Greens ought to put their energies into the Euro elections. They have an opportunity to win more votes than one of the parties currently in government.

  18. As I mentioned in an earlier post on here, today’s the date of a local by-election in the Arbourthorne ward.

    Rock solid Labour territory so I don’t really expect a shock gain. Although Labour might see their vote fall a bit if UKIP takes from them.

  19. Labour comfortably hold Arbourthorne, but their vote fell by around 10%. It’s very safe territory for them, but to lose that many votes even on a low turnout should be of some concern with the local elections coming up in May. Sheffield Council is led by a pretty unimpressive set of Labour councillors, so there’s the potential risk.

    UKIP finished second but didn’t see a massive surge in their vote. Interestingly the TUSC finished only about 9 or 10 votes behind the Conservatives. Lib Dems in 5th.

  20. “Sheffield Council is led by a pretty unimpressive set of Labour councillors”

    I’m yet to see a Labour council led by an impressive set of Labour councillors. I am of the opinion that Labour councils are rubbish and do not try to be anything other than rubbish.

  21. not that you’re prejudiced, or anything………..

  22. Nothing to worry about with that vote in a by election

    And if Tory voters don’t like us fine by me.

  23. The drop in the Labour vote (about 15%) corresponds pretty well to the standing of a TUSC (8%) and Green (5%) candidate, with a couple percentage points switching over to UKIP. Still a very comfortable hold, and TUSC/Green will inevitably be squeezed come the GE.

  24. Mos labour councillors in Oxford I thought were good in the way in the way I think Caroline Lucas is good. I respect them as intelligent articulate hard-working people.

    The ones in Durham and to a lesser extent Newcastle (a few exceptions in the latter) seem to have only recently crawled out of the nearest swamp.

    In my experience, a very mixed bag.

  25. “not that you’re prejudiced, or anything………..”

    Nope, I’m being honest. I find Labour terrible at running town halls. I think the Tories and the Lib Dems do a much better job. Labour councils tend to like their areas down at heel and depressing and do as little as they can to improve their districts/boroughs yet they will apply for every government grant going.

    I also think the poorer the area the worse the Labour council tends to be. However in marginal areas they tend to be a little better.

  26. This isn’t a representative example, but my (UKIP-liking) flatmate is a fan of Ipswich council, which is Labour-run.

    “I also think the poorer the area the worse the Labour council tends to be.”

    Well councils in poorer areas have less money to do things, and poor people tend to vote Labour. The two things aren’t necessarily connected. If for some reason people on council estates starting voting Tory I doubt they’d do much better.

  27. Not sure if the London strike helped but Bob Crow’s party did much better than it normally does.

  28. The Socialist Party have a fair presence in Sheffield, for a party their size. They often have stalls in the city centre or outside the Students’ Union. One of their members is regularly quite unkind to me for being a Labour Party member.

  29. One of the biggest complaints about Labour in Sheffield has been their handling of library closures. The Lib Dems have campaigned hard, along with local support, to keep branches, earmarked for closing, open. Lib Dem literature has said that the council spent on refurbishing the town hall and consultancy fees when that money should have been prioritised for the libraries.

    Further problems are with the council’s inconsistent approach to business. To their credit The Moor, once an absolute armpit of the city centre, is being done up nicely and the new site of the indoor market opened before Christmas to a positive response. They’re also meant to be building a retail complex next to Debenhams with a multiplex, cafes, etc. But then there is the near paralysis about the Sevenstone project (it’s a bit like Bradford’s Westfield disaster, but not as bad) and more recently their cowardice towards Meadowhall and John Lewis’ opposition to the proposed IKEA.

  30. Does anyone have a list of candidates for the Sheffield City Council elections in May? Specifically I need to see which wards TUSC are standing in (nothing to do with activism, I’m writing a story for my journalism course).

  31. Cheers Anthony!

  32. Labour shortlist

    Louise Haigh ww.louisehaigh.org.uk/
    Jane East
    Sally Gimson (Camden Cllr)
    Liz Pemberton (works for Meg Munn)

  33. I really like the sounds of Louise Haigh from her biography. A very local candidate with plenty of real work experience. Interesting that she has worked at Ant Marketing…a lot of people I know growing up worked there when they were younger. Not a great place to find your first job! I’ve worked at another call centre before though and it’s not brilliant.

    Don’t think a Londoner like Sally Gimson would go down too well with residents in the various suburbs that make up Heeley.

  34. I noticed that Bill Michie, the previous Labour MP for Heeley, is endorsing Haigh. Politically, he couldn’t have been more different to his successor Meg Munn.

  35. http://www.sheffieldtelegraph.co.uk/news/four-women-in-fight-for-sheffield-election-selection-1-6595789

    A bit more information on the shortlisted candidates. The two most local women would surely be the favourites for selection.

  36. I reckon it’ll be Haigh.

  37. indeed, Haigh has won the Labour selection

  38. Woo-hoo now that is a fine choice for Labour candidate! Well played Heeley.

  39. Agreed she does look good. And given that basically any Labour candidate for Heeley is guaranteed election, it could easily have been an indulgent choice by members.

  40. LOCAL ELECTION RESULTS

    Labour 8,884 (36.47%)
    UKIP 6,209 (25.49%)
    Liberal Democrat 4,556 (18.70%)
    Green 2,385 ( 9.79%)
    Conservative 1,625 ( 6.67%)
    TUSC 703 ( 2.89%)

  41. The Conservative candidate is Stephen John Castens.

  42. He’s a businessman from Leicester, was number four on the Conservative East Midlands list.

  43. Like Birmingham Handsworth, this was a safe Tory seat in the 1950s and was a Conservative marginal in 1970.

    I understand that much of the old Heeley may have been transferred to Hallam in 1974 and / or 1983 but I am not sure.

    Like places like Liverpool West Derby, Liverpool Garston, Glasgow Cathcart, Glasgow Pollok and Hull North – were
    there large peripheral council estates built here from the 1950s to 1970s and large numbers of residents relocated from safe Labour Sheffield constituencies?

  44. Dalek,

    I’m not sure of the exact dates but council estates were built at Lowedges in the 1950s/60s and at Batemoor and Jordanthorpe from the mid 1960s.

    All are in the current Beauchief and Greenhill ward.

  45. Easy Labour hold here, second is hard to predict – the Lib Dems have some residual strength and could hold on, UKIP only have potential in a few areas of the seat but might scrape enough votes together, or it’s possible (but unlikely) the Tories could come through the middle.

  46. The Lib Dems will come second here. They still elect councillors in Beauchief and Greenhill and Graves Park, albeit only marginally in both cases. UKIP have some support in Arbourthorne but it’s not enough to take them into second.

  47. welcome back, warofdreams.

  48. As a resident in this seat. I expect a comfortable labour win with UKIP taking second ahead of the lib dems and conservatives.

  49. The Lib Dem vote won’t decline here as badly as Sheffield Central. As said above, Beauchief & Greenhill as well as Graves Park continue to election LD councillors though these are wards where Labour maintains a competitive second place. Beauchief and Norton in particular are very nice areas (comparable to Millhouses IMO). Greenhill is pleasant too. I believe Norton Lees has a number of council properties that were purchased Right to Buy.

    Lowedges, Batemoor and Jordanthorpe are the ‘rougher’ council estates.

    Elsewhere in the sear, Labour shouldn’t have a problem. The UKIP vote has potential in note just Arborthourne, but also Richmond. They finished quite strongly in last year’s local elections there. However in terms of the general election vote, I reckon Haigh will carry them comfortably.

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