Sheffield, Hallam
2015 Result:
Conservative: 7544 (13.7%)
Labour: 19862 (36%)
Lib Dem: 22215 (40.2%)
Green: 1772 (3.2%)
UKIP: 3575 (6.5%)
Independent: 97 (0.2%)
Others: 167 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 2353 (4.3%)
Category: Marginal Liberal Democrat seat
Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, South Yorkshire. Part of the Sheffield council area.
Main population centres: Sheffield, High and Low Bradfield, Dungworth, Worrall.
Profile: A largely rural seat covering the south-west corner of Sheffield. This is an affluent and wealthy seat, one of the richest outside of the south-east and one of the best educated in the country. The western part of the seat is within the Peak District and is largely desolate moorland, stretching up into the pennines. Below that are small villages like like High and Low Bradfield, Dungworth, Worrall and Ringinglow. The seat then covers the westernmost fringes of Sheffield itself, some of the richest and most affluent suburbs of the city like Ecclesall and the more Conservative Totley and Dore.
Politics: A wealthy, middle-class and mostly owner-occupied seat this was a safe Conservative seat between the first world war and the 1990s. However it fell to the Liberal Democrats` Richard Allen in the anti-Conservative landslide of 1997 and he successfully passed it onto the future Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg in 2005. In 2015 some polls suggested that Clegg could lose his seat to Labour, but ultimately he held on.
| Con: | 12040 (24%) |
| Lab: | 8228 (16%) |
| LDem: | 27324 (53%) |
| UKIP: | 1195 (2%) |
| Oth: | 2348 (5%) |
| MAJ: | 15284 (30%) |
| Con: | 12028 (30%) |
| Lab: | 5110 (13%) |
| LDem: | 20710 (51%) |
| GRN: | 1331 (3%) |
| Oth: | 1248 (3%) |
| MAJ: | 8682 (21%) |
| Con: | 11856 (31%) |
| Lab: | 4758 (12%) |
| LDem: | 21203 (55%) |
| UKIP: | 429 (1%) |
| MAJ: | 9347 (24%) |
| Con: | 15074 (33%) |
| Lab: | 6147 (14%) |
| LDem: | 23345 (51%) |
| Oth: | 125 (0%) |
| MAJ: | 8271 (18%) |
*There were boundary changes after 2005
A cakewalk for the Liberal Democrats on current polling (and given past LD strength in this seat)’
I’m not so sure, Tristan. This used to be a relatively safe Conservative seat, Sheffield voted in favour of Brexit and with a Boris bounce, they might think in with a chance of taking it back. Greens will take some votes from the LDs too. Autumn,when polling will take place is a fair way off, so a lot could happen between now and then. It would be a major surprise if Labour hold, especially given their poor running of the council and O’Mara’s unsuitability as an MP.
Lex – Sheffield did but Hallam is largely the affluent, middle class part ie the part that wouldn’t have done at all.
I’d imagine a LD win, but I take your point that anything is possible if eg Greens take over 10%, but the Brexit Party may well do too depending on the timing.
Lexbox- fair points but as Lancs said this is a high income, liberal, Remain voting area, quite distinct from much of Sheffield. But you are right tht ‘cakewalk’ might be overstating the case.
I think the Greens could easily get 10%
If the LDs can win Brecon and follow up with a by-election win here then they will gain exponential momentum.
Bit like the early 80s and 90s
Greens did well in locals and euros. Lib Dems did not do nearly so well in euros and the Greens clearly didn’t pick up most their votes
https://twitter.com/OwenWntr/status/1155122782658867200
Seems like O’Mara has serious personal issues. And, to be honest, it will be ten times easier for him to address his demons outside the media spotlight.
Some people just aren’t cut out to be MPs.
O’Mara has been arrested on suspicion of fraud.
I suspect this is why he is standing down (as opposed to all of his other troubles).
At least it saves the cost of a Recall petition – although not his pay over the Summer recess.
Depends how serious the fraud is. He’d only have been suspended automatically from parliament if he’d been given a jail sentence of 12 months or longer.
No, that forfeits the seat.
These days any conviction results in a Recall petition.
Winning vote share here was 34.6%, the lowest in the election.
I was very surprised to see Labour hold on here.