Sevenoaks

2015 Result:
Conservative: 28531 (56.9%)
Labour: 6448 (12.9%)
Lib Dem: 3937 (7.9%)
Green: 2238 (4.5%)
UKIP: 8970 (17.9%)
MAJORITY: 19561 (39%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Kent. Most of the Sevenoaks council area.

Main population centres: Sevenoaks, Swanley, Westerham.

Profile: A large rural seat covering the westernmost part of Kent alongside London, with the M25 motorway running through it. The main towns are Sevenoaks itself, Swanley at the far north of the constituency and Westerham, but this is mostly highly affluent and desirable villages in the Kent Downs and the Darent Valley, including Farningham, Eynsford, Otford. Notable landmarks within the seat include Chevening, the grace-and-favour country home of the foreign secretary, Chartwell, once the home of Sir Winston Churchill and Brands Hatch motorsport track.

Politics: This is a solidly Conservative seat, other than 1 year under the Liberals in the 1920s it has been Tory since its creation in 1885. Swanley, which has more in common with the towns of North-West Kent than mainly rural Sevenoaks, remains a strong Labour area, but elsewhere this is a battle between the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats.


Current MP
MICHAEL FALLON (Conservative) Born 1952, Perth. Educated at Epsom college and St Andrews University. Former political researcher. Contested Darlington 1983 by-election. MP for Darlington 1983-1992. First elected as MP for Sevenoaks in 1997. PPS to Cecil Parkinson 1987-1988, government whip 1988-1990, junior education minister 1990-1992. Deputy chairman of the Conservative party 2010-2012. Minister of State for Business and Enterprise 2012-2014, Minister of State for Energy 2013-2014. Secretary of State for Defence since 2014. A junior minister in the previous Tory government, in opposition Fallon instead carved out a role on the Treasury select committee. On the Tory party`s return to office he became a Mr Fixit for David Cameron as deputy Chairman of the party, eventually returning to a Ministerial role and entering the cabinet for the first fime 31 years after first being elected to Parliament.
Past Results
2010
Con: 28076 (57%)
Lab: 6541 (13%)
LDem: 10561 (21%)
UKIP: 1782 (4%)
Oth: 2448 (5%)
MAJ: 17515 (35%)
2005*
Con: 22437 (52%)
Lab: 9101 (21%)
LDem: 9467 (22%)
UKIP: 1309 (3%)
Oth: 984 (2%)
MAJ: 12970 (30%)
2001
Con: 21052 (49%)
Lab: 10898 (26%)
LDem: 9214 (22%)
UKIP: 1155 (3%)
Oth: 295 (1%)
MAJ: 10154 (24%)
1997
Con: 22776 (45%)
Lab: 12315 (25%)
LDem: 12086 (24%)
Oth: 834 (2%)
MAJ: 10461 (21%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
MICHAEL FALLON (Conservative) See above.
CHRIS CLARK (Labour)
ALAN BULLION (Liberal Democrat) Born Pembury. Educated at Open University. Agricultural policy analyst. Contested Hammersmith and Fulham 2005, Sevenoaks 2010, South East region 2014 European elections.
STEVE LINDSAY (UKIP)
AMELIE BOLEYN (Green)
Links
Comments - 112 Responses on “Sevenoaks”
  1. I agree with Matt that this is bad for the Tories even if good for May’s short term survival. I’m really disappointed in Fallon, one of the very few experienced heavyweights in the cabinet, he was an effective minister and, dare I say it, a safe pair of hands.

    However the idea that Raab would be suitable for the party leadership is bonkers.

  2. ‘I’m really disappointed in Fallon, one of the very few experienced heavyweights in the cabinet, he was an effective minister and, dare I say it, a safe pair of hands.
    However the idea that Raab would be suitable for the party leadership is bonkers.’

    Totally agree – Fallon the cabinet minister was very different from Fallon the MP, one of the survivors of the Thatcherite NTB group

    he definitely had an elder statesman/wise man sort of appeal which is sorely missing from this current government which tends to be dominated by self-promoting clowns like Grayling, Johnson and Fox

    Raab strikes me as the sort of leader likely to split the Tory Party and scare away the few moderates left – as was feared if Leadson won the leadership

  3. The only point which may intrigue some on here is that the list I saw from a journo mate the night before the 36 list appeared on the twittersphere were not identical.

    So I’d be interested to know who deleted I think 4 or 5 names and substituted them with 4 or 5 others, especially as 2 of these were Cabinet ministers (although I should add that the ones deleted were nothing juicier than being intoxicated and user of a phone chat line respectively).

  4. Let’s remember Leadsom’s got form here – remember her CV full of stuff she had never done and her support of Brexit despite once claiming that leaving the EU would be a disaster

    Thus, I’m inclined to believe Fallon here that the alleged incident never took place

  5. Ex Swanley Cllr Robert Woodbridge has been convicted of benefit fraud.

    He received a 4 month sentence which was suspended for a year.

  6. Michael to vote against government tonight. Result at 6.45

  7. I don’t think he did. Where did you read that?

  8. “Ex Swanley Cllr Robert Woodbridge has been convicted of benefit fraud.

    He received a 4 month sentence which was suspended for a year.”

    Belated question to Lancs here – was Woodbridge ex-BNP? I recall Swanley electing BNP councillors in the recent past. Before then it was quite reliable for Labour.

  9. My mistake he was voting against the government on an early summer recess. The vote was dropped

  10. HH – no, he was the former Labour Town Council Leader.

    He later stood for the LibDems and then the Greens though.

    He had claimed he could walk “for zero metres for zero minutes” ’til the DWP filmed him building a shed at his allotment.

  11. The sad thing about such people is that they undermine the welfare state for everyone else. There aren’t many benefit freeloaders – the benefits aren’t generous enough to make freeloading worth it – but there are enough of them that stories appear in the right-wing press. And then, through simple availability bias, these stories lead many to believe this is a widespread problem.

  12. Councillors know the system better than most, so are more likely to know how to get away with fraud.

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