Selby & Ainsty

2015 Result:
Conservative: 27725 (52.5%)
Labour: 14168 (26.8%)
Lib Dem: 1920 (3.6%)
Green: 1465 (2.8%)
UKIP: 7389 (14%)
TUSC: 137 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 13557 (25.7%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, North Yorkshire. The whole of the Selby council area and part of Harrogate council area.

Main population centres: Selby, Tadcaster.

Profile: A largely rural North Yorkshire seat between York, Harrogate and Pontefract. Selby was traditionally a shipbuilding town on the tidal Ouse but with the decline of that industry its economy is now largely based on agriculture, tourism to the Abbey and as a commuter town for York and Leeds. The Selby coal mining complex in the mining villages to the north of the town was finally closed in 2004, but successful re-training and employment schemes for those made redundant means Selby has not suffered the sort of economic depression associated with the decline of the coal mining industry. To the south of the constituency coal mining continues at Kellingley Colliery, the largest remaining deep mine in Yorkshire, which serves the two coal-fired power stations in the constituency at Drax and Eggborough. The second largest town in the seat is Tadcaster, a town associated with the brewing industry which retains three breweries and produces John Smiths bitter. Outside of Selby, Tadcaster and the mining area the seat is largely made up of affluent rural villages. The eponymous Ainsty is not a town but the ancient name of the district to the West of York.

Politics: The Selby seat was created in 1983. It began as a solid Tory seat and was one of the more surprising Labour gains in their 1997 landslide. Labour retained the seat by slender majorities in 2001 and 2005, but after 2005 boundary changes favoured the Conservatives and it was comfortably gained by the Tories at the 2010 election.


Current MP
NIGEL ADAMS (Conservative) Born 1966, Goole. Educated at Selby High School. Former businessman. Contested Rossendale and Darwen 2005. First elected as MP for Selby and Ainsty in 2010. PPS to Lord Strathclyde 2010-2013.
Past Results
2010
Con: 25562 (49%)
Lab: 13297 (26%)
LDem: 9180 (18%)
UKIP: 1635 (3%)
Oth: 2054 (4%)
MAJ: 12265 (24%)
2005*
Con: 22156 (42%)
Lab: 22623 (43%)
LDem: 7770 (15%)
MAJ: 467 (1%)
2001
Con: 20514 (41%)
Lab: 22652 (45%)
LDem: 5569 (11%)
GRN: 902 (2%)
Oth: 635 (1%)
MAJ: 2138 (4%)
1997
Con: 22002 (39%)
Lab: 25838 (46%)
LDem: 6778 (12%)
Oth: 536 (1%)
MAJ: 3836 (7%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Selby

Demographics
2015 Candidates
NIGEL ADAMS (Conservative) See above.
MARK HAYES (Labour)
NICOLA TURNER (Liberal Democrat)
COLIN HEATH (UKIP)
IAN RICHARDS (Green)
IAN WILSON (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 22 Responses on “Selby & Ainsty”
  1. Selby district results:

    Conservative- 7985 (44.0%)
    Labour- 6070 (33.5%)
    UKIP 1380 (7.6%)
    Green 473 (2.6%)

    The rest went to independents.

    It is not all that easy to estimate totals for the constituency since one of the Harrogate wards (Pannal and Lower Wharfedale) appears to be split between this seat and Harrogate and Knaresborough. It was a comfortable Conservative hold. Ainsty was won by a Liberal with the Tories close behind and Labour a further 600 back.

  2. I don’t know what others think but I think that is a healthy Conservative result given the national circumstances and the fact that Labour has some good areas in the Selby district.

  3. Yes, looks pretty strong for the Tories – North Yorkshire has gone pretty well for them given the extremely difficult national position.
    Thanks for working out the figures, Tory.

  4. If you factor in the ‘Ainsty’ wards, the Conservatives will probably have led Labour 45-28 in the constituency.

  5. These 2013 results are certainly lacklustre for Labour – but there is a danger the Tories slightly got away with it this year and will be more exposed if Labour get their UKIP voters back but the Tories don’t.

  6. I think Chris Leslie was the last Labour MP for this seat for a very, very long time!! I really can’t see Davis losing this seat under the current boundaries especially considering the fact that UKIP like him so much they refuse to stand against him!!

    Labour are finished here for the foreseeable future.

  7. Sorry!! Wrong thread!! ^^

  8. Christian- those West Riding names can blur into one another- Selby, Shipley, Bingley, Ilkley etc so you’re excused! 🙂

    And yes, I agree with you about Shipley. Labour has won the seat only three times in the post-war era- it is a very different beast from classic West Riding marginals like Keighley, Calder Valley, Colne Valley etc. Philip Davies is clearly a popular MP, judging by the huge swing he achieved in 2010 and by the fact that he outperformed the local Tory party which was fighting the Bradford Council elections on the same day.

  9. Hello Tory, Yes, I am a southerner who has recently moved to Yorkshire and has always wondered why so many towns / villages in West Yorkshire end with ”ley”!! As you said, it does get very confusing!! Haha!!

  10. Richard Bilton was at the Selby count towards the end of the BBC’s main coverage in 2005, and mentioned the bundles of votes were being checked and that they were still waiting for the result. It was unclear from his report whether or not a recount was taking place, but the result came through I think not all that long after the BBC went off air, though others on here may well be able to clarify.

  11. Conservative Hold. 9,000 majority.

  12. ‘To the south of the constituency coal mining continues at Kellingley Colliery, the largest remaining deep mine in Yorkshire…’

    The seat profile now needs updating.
    The colliery recently closed (and in fact it wasn’t just the last deep coal mine in Yorkshire, but in the whole of Britain).

  13. CON gain from LAB in a local by-election here tonight:

    Byram and Brotherton ward

    CON 44.3% (+11.8)
    LAB 39.6% (-4.4)
    YF 16.1% (+16.1)

    No UKIP candidate.

  14. Yeah I saw that

  15. Con 251
    Lab 224
    YF. 91

    Does anyone know the Turnout?

  16. 24.74%

  17. Nigel Adams has resigned as a minster in protest at May’s move to a softer Brexit.
    In 2016 he was a strong supporter of Boris for leader so we might see other Boris allies resign through the day.

  18. Interesting.

    He – Jake Berry being the other – is the only other openly Freemasonic MP I am aware of (one stood down in 2010).

    Both contested Rossendale of course and ex-MP there Trippier is still involved with the Freemasons in Lancashire.

    I had wondered how Boris attracted a few Wets.

  19. Adams backed Brexite in 2016. Berry and Wallace were remainers edging their bets.
    Berry has been hard Brexit supporting – defently a No deal better than softer Brexit.

  20. Berry was the most loyal Cameroon of all Tory MPs (his voting record during the Coalition years).

    I’m told his friends and relatives were part of the Pro-Euro Conservatives 20 years ago and that’s the tradition that new LD MP Wera Hobhouse came from too (all were Tories in Liverpool then Lancs).

  21. Lancs: “I wondered how Boris had attracted any wets.”

    I think he’s just very good at charming people, especially one-on-one. It’s really the only talent he has.

  22. “I think he’s just very good at charming people, especially one-on-one. It’s really the only talent he has.”

    That statement suggests to me that you’ve never met Boris Johnson. In which case, how can you possibly say such a thing without having met him?

    I’ve met Boris and he certainly didn’t charm me.

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