Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner

2015 Result:
Conservative: 30521 (59.6%)
Labour: 10297 (20.1%)
Lib Dem: 2537 (5%)
Green: 1801 (3.5%)
UKIP: 5598 (10.9%)
TUSC: 302 (0.6%)
Others: 166 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 20224 (39.5%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of Hillingdon council area and the Pinner wards from Harrow council area.

Main population centres: Ickenham, Ruislip, Northwood, Eastcote, Pinner, Hatch End.

Profile: The most north-westerly seat in London, made up of wealthy, middle-class suburbia. It is residential in character, an affluent communter area for central London. The western part of the seat is semi-rural taking in Ruislip Common, the village of Harefield and the farms surrounding it..

Politics: This is a solid Conservative seat, comfortably held by the party since its creation in 1950 and made even safer by the addition of Pinner in the 2010 boundary changes.


Current MP
NICK HURD (Conservative) Born 1962, London. Educated at Eton and Oxford University. Former banker and chief of staff to Tim Yeo. First elected as MP for Ruislip-Northwood in 2005. Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Civil Society 2010-2014.
Past Results
2010
Con: 28866 (57%)
Lab: 9806 (20%)
LDem: 8345 (17%)
UKIP: 1351 (3%)
Oth: 1837 (4%)
MAJ: 19060 (38%)
2005*
Con: 18939 (48%)
Lab: 8323 (21%)
LDem: 10029 (25%)
GRN: 892 (2%)
Oth: 1487 (4%)
MAJ: 8910 (22%)
2001
Con: 18115 (49%)
Lab: 10578 (28%)
LDem: 7177 (19%)
GRN: 724 (2%)
Oth: 547 (1%)
MAJ: 7537 (20%)
1997
Con: 22526 (50%)
Lab: 14732 (33%)
LDem: 7279 (16%)
Oth: 296 (1%)
MAJ: 7794 (17%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Ruislip - Northwood

Demographics
2015 Candidates
NICK HURD (Conservative) See above.
MICHAEL BORIO (Labour) Harrow councillor since 2014.
JOSHUA DIXON (Liberal Democrat)
GERARD BARRY (UKIP)
KAREN PILLAI (Green)
SOCKALINGAM YOGALINGAM (National Liberal) Born 1967, Sri Lanka. Educated at Jaffna Central College. Negotiator. Contested London 2014 European election.
WALLY KENNEDY (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 24 Responses on “Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner”
  1. Right I’ll get the ball rolling for this seat with the news that Labour have selected their candidate here, Michael Borio-
    http://www.harrowtimes.co.uk/news/11386851.Councillor_selected_as_parliamentary_candidate/

  2. It seems somewhat hostile territory for Labour.

  3. The only ward Labour have ever won here is Harefield but they get pretty derisory support there now. This used to be a majority ‘council estate’ ward but of more electoral significance these days is that it is the ‘Whitest’ ward in the seat so Labour actually do better (though still not well) in the very middle class Harrow wards which have a large Asian (mostly Indian Hindu) minority

  4. Selecting a Harrow councillor for this seat isn’t a bad move, but Labour are clearly not going to devote much resources into this seat. This is a seat where there is little chance for an opposing party to bite into that Tory vote. Labour wasn’t even close in 1997 and UKIP don’t stand a chance with those demographics.

  5. The addition of Pinner makes this seat even more favourable to the Tories than it was in 1997, which is saying something.

    All three of the main political parties are guilty of naked self-interest when they talk about electoral and constitutional reform, albeit all three can point to genuine reasons behind their stances. This seat and Harrow West would be a good example from a Conservative POV.

  6. Nick isn’t Douglas Hurds son is he?

  7. Former Hillingdon Councillor and Deputy Mayor of London, Richard Barnes is expecting to stand for UKIP.

  8. Yes Nick Hurd is Douglas Hurd’s son. He is at least the 4th consecutive generation of Hurds to have sat as a Tory MP – apart from Douglas there were his grandfather Anthony (Newbury) & his great-grandfather Percy (Devizes) though at least this isn’t a contiguous seat with those of his ancestors. I think all 4 of them went to Eton. Nick Hurd tried to chat up the sister of an ex-girlfriend of mine at Oxford! As someone of the left, she would have been most unsuitable for him.

  9. only 2 of them- douglas and his son, nick, went to Eton…but you’re right they all were MPs.

  10. “Former Hillingdon Councillor and Deputy Mayor of London, Richard Barnes is expecting to stand for UKIP.”

    If they have any sense, UKIP will select someone a bit less “colourful”.

    Barnes was always known as a wet liberal when a Tory, so his defection to UKIP was clearly much more a case of sour grapes than Carswell or Reckless, who were at least being consistent with their ling-held views.

  11. Brunel University graduate Joshua Dixon selected by the Lib Dems

    https://twitter.com/JoshDixonTweets/status/558371529990635524

  12. Wally Kennedy is the TUSC candidate.

  13. Why they would want to stand here isn’t easy to understand.

  14. Con 15000 over Labour.

  15. Well I am pleased to say that I was selected by UKIP to contest this seat. I stood in the local elections and polled third in Harefield.
    We are doing remarkably well at the minute and I understand that we are polling 2nd across the constituency.
    Despite the best efforts of the establishment to make this an ultra safe Conservative seat we are going to give Mr Hurd a run for his money.

  16. Conservative Hold. 15,000 maj. Labour 2nd

  17. a mighty effort from UKIP, they kept this close

  18. A Lab to Con swing here interestingly- very much against the grain for outer London.

  19. But in line with neighbouring seats. On closer inspection the CON results in outer London were not so terrible in except in a handful of seats.

  20. This is the sort of outer London seat wiith a lot of thirties-style housing which is pleasant and still not totally unaffordable to middle class voters (particualarly if they have had a bit of inherited money).
    I note that there is a considerable, presumably middle class, ethnic minority vote here, much of which may have become Conservative as it democgraphically became middle class.

  21. Yes there are a lot of middle class Hindu electors in the Pinner wards and I suspect they are starting to vote Conservative in large numbers.

  22. It is very worrying from a left-wing perspective that Labour appears to have kowtowed to some unpleasant, undemocratic Muslim community groups, with the result that members of other ethnic minorities have left, or are leaving, for other parties.

    Labour appears to have put short-term party interests before both democracy and human rights. If they pay the price many of us will be far from sorry.

    The first thing that Labour could do is reinstate the change that Tony Benn made to the Labour constitution in 1960, i.e. state adherence to the Universal Declaration of Human Rights as a specific and separate sub-clause of Clause IV of the Labour Party Constitution. No, Clause IV was not all bad. Blair removed, and muddied, this sub-clause before the 1997 General Election. It is one of the worst of the many bad things he did.

  23. Labour candidate for GE2017 is Rebecca Lury.

  24. Nick Hurd has been appointed Minster of London alongside his current role.

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