Rotherham

2015 Result:
Conservative: 4656 (12.3%)
Labour: 19860 (52.5%)
Lib Dem: 1093 (2.9%)
BNP: 225 (0.6%)
UKIP: 11414 (30.2%)
TUSC: 409 (1.1%)
Others: 166 (0.4%)
MAJORITY: 8446 (22.3%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, South Yorkshire. Part of the Rotherham council area.

Main population centres: Rotherham.

Profile: A gritty working class, industrial town to the north-east of Sheffield. Historically Rotherham was a steel making town and it remains a major part of the economy, though the drop in demand for steel for cars in the economic downturn has put pressure on the local industry. Other local factory closures, such the Burburry clothing factory and Hovis`s flour milling factory have had further negative effects on employment. The town centre of Rotherham has suffered from its proximity to Sheffield and the Meadowhall shopping centre, though has undergone major redevelopment over the last decade.

Politics: An extremely safe Labour seat, held by the party since 1933. The seat has had no fewer than four by-elections since the second world war, the most of any seat in Great Britain (though beaten by Mid Ulster`s five). The most recent was caused by the resignation of Denis MacShane, the the victor of the 1994 by-election, who stepped down after being censured by the Standards and Privileges Committee for making expenses claims intended to deceive. The subsequent by-election was easily held by Labour, but saw a strong performance by UKIP, who came second, and the BNP who came third.

By-Election: There was a by-election in this seat in LAB HOLD. For full details see here.


Current MP
SARAH CHAMPION (Labour) Born 1969. Educated at Sheffield University. Former chief executive of a childrens hospice. First elected as MP for Rotherham in 2012 by-election.
Past Results
2010
Con: 6279 (17%)
Lab: 16741 (45%)
LDem: 5994 (16%)
BNP: 3906 (10%)
Oth: 4586 (12%)
MAJ: 10462 (28%)
2005*
Con: 4966 (17%)
Lab: 15840 (53%)
LDem: 5159 (17%)
BNP: 1986 (7%)
Oth: 2027 (7%)
MAJ: 10681 (36%)
2001
Con: 5682 (19%)
Lab: 18759 (64%)
LDem: 3117 (11%)
UKIP: 730 (2%)
Oth: 1066 (4%)
MAJ: 13077 (45%)
1997
Con: 5383 (14%)
Lab: 26852 (71%)
LDem: 3919 (10%)
Oth: 364 (1%)
MAJ: 21469 (57%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
SEB LOWE (Conservative) Educated at Cambridge University.
SARAH CHAMPION (Labour) See above.
JANICE MIDDLETON (Liberal Democrat) Headteacher.
JANE COLLINS (UKIP) Born 1962. Contested Scunthorpe 2010, Barnsley Central 2011 by-election, Rotherham 2012 by-election. MEP for Yorkshire since 2014.
DEAN WALKER (English Democrat)
ADAM WALKER (BNP) Former teacher, banned from teaching for life in 2013 after a conviction for dangerous driving. Contested Bishop Auckland 2010. Contested North East region 2009 European election, Yorkshire 2014 election.
PAT MCLAUGHLIN (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 320 Responses on “Rotherham”
1 2 3 7
  1. The boundaries of this constituency are not set out in the Representation of the People Act 1918, any idea why?

  2. No idea, but the seat was reduced in size quite a bit in 1918, losing Swinton, Aston, and much of what is now south and east Rotherham.

  3. Denis MacShane has been charged with 3 fraud offences including false accounting and will appear in Court on July 30.

  4. Denis MacShane’s trial begins on May 6.

  5. why do politicians think they can get away with fraud

  6. Forecast for 2015:

    Lab 48.9
    UKIP 20.7
    Con 13
    BNP 7
    LD 4.9
    Others 5.5

    I think UKIP will top the poll in Rotherham in the Euro elections next year but I expect Labour to ‘win’ Barnsley and Doncaster.

  7. Denis MacShane has changed his plea to guilty.

  8. Jimmy Boyce was a one term Labour MP here from 1992 to 1994, one of very few from that party to be first elected in 1992 and not reelected in 1997, I think in a lot of these cases it was because of the death of the MP.

  9. It’s a mystery why a woman as intelligent as Vicky Pryce seems incapable of going out with a man who isn’t just about to go to jail. Me thinks MacShane is quite likely to see the inside of a cell, given his guilty plea and the seriousness of the offence. Surely Pryce can do better than him.

  10. Why do we have to keep hearing from Huhne and Pryce? In previous times people convicted of crimes like them would have kept their heads down for a few years out of a sense of shame and disgrace. They seem to be all over our newspapers and TV screens at the moment.

  11. In respect of Huhne I completely agree.

    Pryce I had more sympathy for initially, but I’m rapidly losing it with all her patronising crap about how her incredible brain has worked out how to sort out the prison system, based on a few months in a pretty cushy jail. It reminds me a bit of those do-gooding liberals who decided to spend a month living in a Soweto slum a few months ago, thinking the natives would welcome them and their camera diary with open arms, only to find them incredibly angry at being so patronised and they very quickly got chased out of town.

  12. “Surely Pryce can do better than him.”

    That depends upon what Pryce is looking for in a man.

    I suspect its publicity, in which case Macshane will serve nicely.

  13. If you’re right, it’s sad. She’s a very talented economist, talented enough for her work to get her noticed without cheap celeb stunts.

  14. Some of the specific things she has said about prisons mske sense. She has talked particularly about womens prisons where short sentences are frequent and mental illness common.

  15. I hope they’ll be very happy together. I personally cannot imagine wanting to go out with a Lib Dem member, nor indeed her wanting to go out with me. Shudder.

  16. What would be your hypothetical order of preference from LD, Tory and UKIP then Barnaby?

  17. “Some of the specific things she has said about prisons mske sense. She has talked particularly about womens prisons where short sentences are frequent and mental illness common.”

    I don’t doubt that.

    What I seriously object to is her tone, which suggests she was sent to prison as some kind of missionary rather than as a convicted criminal.

    As Andy says, both she and Huhne should keep out of the public eye at least for a bit.

  18. “What would be your hypothetical order of preference from LD, Tory and UKIP then Barnaby?”

    It’s bad to stereotype, but I agree with Barnaby that Liberals very often have a kind of snideness about them which makes them very difficult friends or indeed girlfriends/boyfriends if you don’t happen to agree with their politics.

    I’d probably find UKIP or anyone from the hard right a pretty difficult partner too. I don’t think I’d appreciate getting union jack boxer shorts for a birthday presents or having a flagpole in my garden.

    Labour people and centrist Tories are those I’ve got on best with in the past.

    I do find personally that, at least in marriage, it helps avoid a lot of arguments if your outlook on politics, if not identical, is at least compatible.

  19. I think it unlikely that any UKIP supporter would want to go out with me. I have however had Conservative girlfriends in the dim & distant past. My most important ex-girlfriend comes from a Liberal family & was SDPish, and in 1987 even voted Conservative to keep Labour out in her constituency (which Labour did win in 1992 & still hold). I think however that she liked John Smith sufficiently to become better-disposed towards Labour for a time. No idea who she supports these days – we’re still very much in touch but we never talk about party politics.

  20. My partner is Labour, but more right wing then me. I can’t imagine having a relationship with someone I strongly disagreed with given that I am an activist

  21. Prediction for 2015-
    Champion (Labour)- 53%
    UKIP- 19%
    Conservative- 12%
    BNP- 7%
    Liberal Democrats- 3%
    English Democrats- 2%
    Independents- 3%
    Others- 1%

  22. Agree with that forecast for 2015. This is precisely why Labour should tread extremely carefully in safe northern seats. Relying on the Tory and Lib Dem votes collpasing in towns like Rotherham (which were never that high anyway) is not a strategy, with UKIP coming up. The Rawmarsh by election should have been an eye-opener for Labour IMO.

    Not sure how good an MP Sarah Champion is, but at least she’s not Denis MacShane. Even prior to the expenses row, he seemed like a self-serving careerist.

  23. I’m not sure that makes sense. A majority of 34% is extremely comfortable, whoever it is held over. Obviously Labour don’t want Rotheram Council to do something silly, but we’ve had that meltdown once and it still didn’t seriously endanger the seat.

    There is no need to rely upon the Tory and Lib Dem votes collapsing, because the seat was safe anyway. The rise of UKIP might mean that less of it flows back to Labour than might otherwise be the case, but it remains an extremely safe seat.

    The reputation of the council and the local Labour establishment could conceivably lead to more unnecessary losses like Rawmarsh, but in parliamentary elections you wouldn’t expect them to be the main issue in any case.

  24. Denis MacShane has been jailed for 6 months, after what the Judge called, “considerable dishonesty” and he was the worst offender according to the Commons Standards Commissioner. He was given credit for his guilty plea however.

  25. A former Independent opponent of his commented that the sentence seemed unduly lenient – his offences, he said, were much more serious than those of Eric Illsley who got 18 months.

  26. Definitely too lenient

  27. MacShane’s a lucky lad, no doubt about it. He would do well to show some humility on his release on account of that. I won’t be holding my breath though.

  28. The Tories are more likely to win Bootle than that happening,,,

  29. not STRICTLY true, but it’s not a bad comparison, sadly. He has always been full of himself & I never liked him one bit even before his nefarious & illegal actions came to light.

  30. Unlike Chris Huhne, Denis MacShane is not a skilled politician nor a skilled journalist. It’s very doubtful his opinion will be sought for anything much, except perhaps as the partner of Vicky Pryce, and he’ll fade into obscurity.

  31. I wouldn’t worry too much for his future. He is 65. So he can start claiming his pension once he is released from prison.

  32. Does Vicky Pryce ‘collect’ discredited politicians in the same way that some slappers ‘collect’ premiership footballers?

  33. Elliot Morley got 16 months.

    Though of course he only served a small part of that.

    I would guess if you drew a triangle from Rotherham to Barnsley Central to Scunthorpe it would neatly enclose Doncaster North.

  34. HH – Dunno, I think the media sometimes struggle to find British political voices ready to pop up and put a full throated pro-European point of view. I expect Denis MacShane will still fill that role sometimes once he’s free.

    Whether the pro-European movement actually wants a ex-con as a media spokesman is a different issue.

  35. “He has always been full of himself & I never liked him one bit even before his nefarious & illegal actions came to light.”

    Back in the 1994 byelection MacShane had a prediliction for wearing ‘Dennis the Menace’ character ties.

  36. MacShane is possibly the most compelling argument against parachuted candidates.

  37. Absolutely. MacShane was a special kind of parachute, in that he tried to be selected in Rotherham in 1992 and failed, being effectively imposed on the seat when the MP who beat him died in 1994.

    Any other examples of MPs who were parachuted into a seat where they failed to be fairly selected in the past?

  38. HH – that’s true, I’d forgotten that about him. Militants argued that Jane Kennedy was imposed on Lpool Broadgreen in 1992 against the sitting MP. Although Labour would argue Militant entryism meant that their members were not genuine.

  39. Terry Fields had already left or been expelled from the Labour Party by this time though, surely?

  40. ‘Whether the pro-European movement actually wants a ex-con as a media spokesman is a different issue.’

    Indeed. As a committed pro-Europe guy in Labour, MacShane’s support is something we could well do without.

  41. Oh, and in advance, a Merry Christmas to all of you and a Happy New Year! Looking forward to getting stuck into the elections next year.

  42. Merry Christmas to all UKPR contributors.

  43. Merry Christmas to everyone on here. Hope everyone has a nice festive season.

  44. Happy Christmas and New Year to all.

  45. A very odd seat to hijack for seasonal greetings but I echo all the sentiments above. Happy Christmas, Nadolig Llawen, and all the rest of it to all UKPR contributors 🙂

  46. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to everyone. We have a great set of elections coming up next year.

  47. Yes, Merry Christmas to UK Polling Report contributors. 😀

  48. Merry Christmas everyone, dont forget to spare a thought for those of us with real jobs working over the festive period!!

  49. We have the option of working over Xmas – we have a large measure of control over our working hours – but I baled out very early yesterday because of the severe weather conditions; my paperwork was getting drenched & road conditions were awful. Some of the interviewers on my panel may choose to work on Boxing Day but I reckon I’m off until Saturday.

  50. merry Christmas all

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