Rayleigh & Wickford

2015 Result:
Conservative: 29088 (54.7%)
Labour: 6705 (12.6%)
Lib Dem: 1622 (3%)
Green: 1529 (2.9%)
UKIP: 11858 (22.3%)
Independent: 2418 (4.5%)
MAJORITY: 17230 (32.4%)

Category: Very safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Essex.

Main population centres:

Profile:

Politics:


Current MP
MARK FRANCOIS (Conservative) Born 1965, Islington. Educated at Nicholas Comprehensive School and Bristol University. Former lobbyist. Basildon councillor 1991-1995. Contested Brent East 1997. First elected as MP for Rayleigh in 2001. Opposition whip 1993-1994, Shadow Minister for Europe 2007-2010. Government whip 2010-2012, Minister for Defence Personnel 2012-2015. Minister of State for Communities and Resilience since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 30257 (58%)
Lab: 7577 (14%)
LDem: 7919 (15%)
UKIP: 2211 (4%)
Oth: 4379 (8%)
MAJ: 22338 (43%)
2005*
Con: 25609 (55%)
Lab: 10883 (24%)
LDem: 7406 (16%)
UKIP: 2295 (5%)
MAJ: 14726 (32%)
2001
Con: 21434 (50%)
Lab: 13144 (31%)
LDem: 6614 (15%)
UKIP: 1581 (4%)
MAJ: 8290 (19%)
1997
Con: 25516 (50%)
Lab: 14832 (29%)
LDem: 10137 (20%)
Oth: 829 (2%)
MAJ: 10684 (21%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Rayleigh

Demographics
2015 Candidates
MARK FRANCOIS (Conservative) See above.
DAVID HOUGH (Labour)
MIKE PITT (Liberal Democrat) Born 1975. Educated at Cambridge University. Teacher. Cambridge councillor 2007-2011 and since 2012. Contested Bedfordshire North East 2010.
JOHN HAYTER (UKIP)
SARAH YAPP (Green)
LINDA KENDALL (Independent)
Links
Comments - 65 Responses on “Rayleigh & Wickford”
  1. That bit at the end where Francois takes a swig from his mug without breaking eye contact…

  2. Well Mark Francois was spotted last night having a drink with two of Nigel Farage’s aides. Is he going to defect to the Brexit Party?

  3. Gordon Bennett you do say some daft things at times.

    Four words – Douglas Carswell Mark Reckless

    In any case the future of the Conservative party now belongs to people like Mark Francois. Why on earth would he leave it?

  4. Because he is so angry? The original suggestion was not mine but the Journalist who spotted him with Farage’s aides.
    Steve Baker is more likely to defect because he has openly said he would retire if Brexit happened and how he doesn’t enjoy politics as much as his old job.

  5. But equally both of them, being ex minsters, have a good chance of returning to government under the next Tory PM.

  6. The Conservative party will very quickly morph into a nationalist “Brexit party”.

    All Francois et al have to do is sit tight. I doubt Farage will stand against them.

    It is the Hammonds and Rudds who have no future in the Tory party, which in any case is going to be out of government for a long time once this parliament ends.

  7. Rudd might – it is constantly said she might support Boris for leader – presumably with the offer of a big job.

  8. It might help him in the MP vote I guess but such an endorsement is unlikely to help Boris with the membership.

    Rudd will almost certainly lose her seat shortly anyway. The resurgent UKIP/Brexit Party will be the death knell for the Tories in that kind of marginal.

  9. Through if its Boris vs a member of the current Cabinet (most likely Hunt or Javid) it wouldn’t really cost Boris the victory.
    The Later point is why Rudd has decided not to run.

  10. https://m.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/boris-privatise-nhs-corbyn-peterborough-general-election

    Here’s some misleading news. Focus group reports that of nine women in Peterborough, seven were backing Labour, one the Tories, and one undecided.

    Sounds good for Labour, right? Only the small print at the bottom mentions they were all 2017 Labour voters. If the Tories peel off one in nine Labour voters they win the seat.

  11. Sorry, this was meant to be on the Peterborough thread.

    Obviously the Tories will get 70-odd here.

  12. Probably. UKIP stood in 2017 but not this time.

  13. MRP on 67 here.
    Tories 8 ahead in Peterborugh so i think that’s lost for Labour.

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)