Portsmouth North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 21343 (47%)
Labour: 10806 (23.8%)
Lib Dem: 2828 (6.2%)
Green: 1450 (3.2%)
UKIP: 8660 (19.1%)
TUSC: 231 (0.5%)
Others: 72 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 10537 (23.2%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Hampshire. Part of Portsmouth council area.

Main population centres: Portsmouth.

Profile: Portsmouth is a densely populated city on the south coast, technically situated on a island though the numerous causeways mean it is effectively a peninsula. Portsmouth North contains the northern part of the island and the suburbs to the north, such as Cosham (home of IBM`s UK headquarters) and Drayton. Portsmouth has a strong naval history as the home of the largest Royal Navy base, with defence the main local employer. Portsmouth North contains the Navy Command Headquarters on Whale Island.

Politics: A key Conservative-Labour marginal and bellwether seat, having been won by the party that obtained the largest number of seats at every election since its creation in 1974.


Current MP
PENNY MORDAUNT (Conservative) Born 1973, Torquay. Educated at Oaklands RC Comprehensive and Reading University. Former communications director. Contested Portsmouth North 2005. First elected as MP for Portsmouth North in 2010. Undersecretary for Communities and Local Government 2014-2015. Minister of State for Defence since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 19533 (44%)
Lab: 12244 (28%)
LDem: 8874 (20%)
UKIP: 1812 (4%)
Oth: 1655 (4%)
MAJ: 7289 (17%)
2005*
Con: 14273 (38%)
Lab: 15412 (41%)
LDem: 6684 (18%)
UKIP: 1348 (4%)
MAJ: 1139 (3%)
2001
Con: 13542 (37%)
Lab: 18676 (51%)
LDem: 3795 (10%)
UKIP: 559 (2%)
Oth: 294 (1%)
MAJ: 5134 (14%)
1997
Con: 17016 (38%)
Lab: 21339 (47%)
LDem: 4788 (11%)
Oth: 370 (1%)
MAJ: 4323 (10%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
PENNY MORDAUNT (Conservative) See above.
JOHN FERRETT (Labour) Born 1965, Landport. Educated at City of Portsmouth Boys school and Open University. Trade union official. Portsmouth councillor since 2012.
DARREN SANDERS (Liberal Democrat) Born 1971, Portsmouth. Educated at Cambridge University. Former Lambeth councillor, Portsmouth councillor since 2012. Contested Portsmouth North 2001, Streatham 2005, Portsmouth North 2010.
MIKE FITZGERALD (UKIP) Born 1968. Educated at Oaklands RC Comprehensive and Hull University. International business manager. Contested Portsmouth North 2010.
GAVIN ELLIS (Green) Chartered certified accountant.
STEVEN GEORGE (Justice and Anti Corruption)
JON WOODS (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 263 Responses on “Portsmouth North”
  1. I have zero sympathy for the Labour moderates. What goes around comes around, and 20 years of parachuting smarmy SPADs and diversity officers from Islington into the party’s plum seats has created a talentless parliamentary party which appears to have no sincere beliefs and couldn’t fight its way out of a paper bag.

    As with the Lib Dems, the non-Corbyn segment of the Labour party has played Brexit terribly. One day I see Chuka Ummuna saying we need to stay in the single market at all costs, the next he’s saying that controls on free movement should be a red line. They are totally out of their depth.

  2. You were a mere glint in the milkman’s eye at the time young Max, but I vividly recall The Sun’s cartoon the day after the 1987 election. Kinnock, Owen and Steel were all hanging from the same noose and Maggie was walking past them saying “told you it would be a hung parliament”. Feels eerily similar at the moment. With the exception of the SNP all the main opposition has committed suicide.

  3. H.HEMMELIG

    Difficult to disagree with you regarding the Labour moderates.

    Good job the Tories under Cameron did not make the same mistake by filling their party with SPADs and Estate Agent types, or the country would really be up the creek without a paddle. Oh…

  4. If Labour are such an irrelevance, perhaps we should be focussing on examining the Government’s detailed and coherent [sic] position on Brexit rather than looking at what a lot of people consider to be left-wing fringe group.

    If the Tories mess this one up, who knows what might happen in the following election?

  5. The Tories’ parachutes, by and large, aren’t as useless or remote from their voters’ lives as Labour’s, nor has parachuting been as all-encompassing in the Tory party, which hasn’t yet suffered the indignity of AWS. Irritating as an estate agent is, I can relate to him more than I could relate to a minorities outreach officer or a lecturer in gender studies, that’s probably true of most swing voters.

  6. If my memory of Oxford Tories are correct from my time there as a student, the group that contained future SPADs such as Sheridan Westlake also contained future MPs and Ministers such as Sam Gyimah.

  7. “If Labour are such an irrelevance, perhaps we should be focussing on examining the Government’s detailed and coherent [sic] position on Brexit rather than looking at what a lot of people consider to be left-wing fringe group.”

    That’s precisely what Labour should be doing. And so far they’ve totally fucked it up. They are more divided in terms of what they want Brexit to look like than Tory MPs are.

  8. “If my memory of Oxford Tories are correct from my time there as a student, the group that contained future SPADs such as Sheridan Westlake also contained future MPs and Ministers such as Sam Gyimah”

    But you’re proving my point. Gymiah is much less unlike his voters in the prosperous home counties than eg. Tristram Hunt is in Stoke. Unfair sure, but this is a problem that bites harder on Labour because they have traditionally obtained most support from the poorer places in society.

  9. H.HEMMELIG

    I would suggest that both right-on and spivvy types are not really representative of swing voters.

    Does either party really represent centre-ground swing voters right now? Liam Fox certainly has an interesting interpretation of being pro-business for example.

    A lot of the wailing about politics seems to me to be from voters who until recently were well served by centrist parties, but now find themselves confronted by both parties being captured by their extreme wings.

  10. H.HEMMILIG

    I am not that familiar with North East Somerset, but I don’t think that most of the people there are like Jacob Rees-Mogg.

    Both parties are equally divided on the details of Brexit, as the recent intervention of George Osborne demonstrates.

    The truth is that the “centre-ground” position on Brexit is to curb immigration whilst remaining in the single market. Since that is almost impossible to achieve, the fun starts when Theresa May has to actually take a decision on what is more important.

    At that point, reality might start to re-enter the political debate, and at that point I will start to make firm predictions about 2020. My current expectation is that the Tories will smash themselves in two as they are not scared of losing to Labour.

  11. ”The Tories’ parachutes, by and large, aren’t as useless or remote from their voters’ lives as Labour’s, nor has parachuting been as all-encompassing in the Tory party, which hasn’t yet suffered the indignity of AWS.”

    I guess it is also because Tory parachutes into safe Tory seats will often have somewhat similar backgrounds to Tory voters in those seats i.e. well paid, white collar private sector managerial. The same obviously can’t be said for parachutes into safe Labour seats in the north. I mean you can’t parachute in people who think mass immigration is an amazing thing into places where the electorate thinks the complete opposite and expect nothing to go wrong.

    As for all women shortlists yes they are a terrible idea as they push people who a completely unfit to be MPs, the fact that useless people like Pat Glass and Helen Goodman were selected by them tells you all you really need to know. The Tories approach to increasing female representation is a slower but far, far better approach, which is to nurture the talent pool, remove barriers to women standing and let it grow naturally. The Tories obviously have some duds (like Helen Clark) though the Tories have got far more talent amongst their female MPs than Labour has. It just goes to show that forced social engineering is not a good idea.

  12. Following on From the discussion on the Edinburgh SW thread I wonder if Penny Mordaunt is a plausible choice to succeed May. She could pull the wool over Tory members eyes WRT soft Brexit in a way that e.g. Gove couldn’t.

  13. Gove seems to have reincarnated himself as Environment Sec as a liberal minded greenie with strong interventions on the environment and public health

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