Poplar & Limehouse

2015 Result:
Conservative: 12962 (25.4%)
Labour: 29886 (58.5%)
Lib Dem: 2149 (4.2%)
Green: 2463 (4.8%)
UKIP: 3128 (6.1%)
TUSC: 367 (0.7%)
Others: 89 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 16924 (33.2%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Tower Hamlets council area.

Main population centres: Poplar, Wapping, Isle of Dogs.

Profile: An east London seat covering the Isle-of-Dogs and the Canary Wharf development. To the north it covers Bromley-by-Bow and Mile End, once home to the Jewish community, now dominated by Bangladeshi Muslims. To the west it stretches up to the boundaries of the City of London, and includes the Tower of London. It contains incredible extremes, from extreme deprivation in the north of the seat to the gleaming skyscrapers and dockside developments of Canary Wharf in the south (although even in the areas surrounding Canary Wharf there are still working class areas). Wards like Bromley-by-Bow are over 70% social housing, mostly Bangladeshi Muslims with around half the population in social classes DE and one in five residents born in Bangladesh. In contrast in Millwall and Wapping there are large proportions of owner-occupiers or private renters, white young professionals looking to move near to Canary Wharf..

Politics: Until 2004 this was a rock solid Labour area, held by the party since 1922. Since then the politics have been more colourful - the rapid gentrification around the docklands and Canary Wharf means the south of the seat has been more Conservative, while in the largely Bangladeshi northern part of the seat Labour came under threat from first Respect and then the followers of the Independent mayor of Tower Hamlets Lutfur Rahman, later ejected for electoral fraud. For a while the political runctions and the splitting of the Labour vote put this seat on the Conservative target list, but with the collapse of Respect and the disgrace of Rahman, this seat once again looks like a Labour banker. The seat contains a number of slices of political history - it was the site of the Wapping Dispute in the 1980s, the Gang of Four made their declaration launching the SDP at David Owen`s Limehouse house in 1981 and in 1993 was the location of the BNP`s first local election victory, when Derek Beackon was briefly elected as a councillor in Millwall.


Current MP
JIM FITZPATRICK (Labour) Born 1952, Glasgow. Educated at Holyrood Secondary. Former firefighter. First elected as MP for Poplar and Canning Town in 1997. PPS to Alan Milburn 1999-2001. Government whip 2001-2005, Junior minister in the DPM`s department 2005-2006, under-secretary of state for transport 2007-2009, Minister of State for farming 2009-2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 12649 (27%)
Lab: 18679 (40%)
LDem: 5209 (11%)
Resp: 8160 (17%)
Oth: 2003 (4%)
MAJ: 6030 (13%)
2005*
Con: 8499 (22%)
Lab: 15628 (40%)
LDem: 5420 (14%)
GRN: 955 (2%)
Oth: 8508 (22%)
MAJ: 7120 (18%)
2001
Con: 6758 (20%)
Lab: 20862 (61%)
LDem: 3795 (11%)
BNP: 1743 (5%)
Oth: 950 (3%)
MAJ: 14104 (41%)
1997
Con: 5892 (15%)
Lab: 24807 (63%)
LDem: 4072 (10%)
Oth: 3406 (9%)
MAJ: 18915 (48%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Poplar & Canning Town

Demographics
2015 Candidates
CHRIS WILFORD (Conservative) Educated at Kings College London. Policy advisor. Contested Tower Hamlets mayoral election 2014.
JIM FITZPATRICK (Labour) See above.
ELAINE BAGSHAWE (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Nottingham High School for Girls and Birmingham University. Business Change Manager.
NICHOLAS MCQUEEN (UKIP) Businessman and florist.
MAUREEN CHILDS (Green)
RENE MAGENZI (Red Flag Anti Corruption)
HUGO PIERRE (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 67 Responses on “Poplar & Limehouse”
  1. Mayor Rahman electoral trial has began. As there at least 100 witness I believe any overturning of the result lt will be too late for a mayoral election on the same day as the general.and may not even decide before the general anyway. The trial has the potential to cause some serious violence depending on the result which may also impact on this seat’s May result. I would say TH first have around a 15% chance of winning this seat as Galloway was not close through circumstances are a bit better in this seat now and events at the high court could quite easily increase the chance.

  2. Presumably it will be all about differential turnout of real/phantom voters.

  3. London Lib Dems @LondonLibDems · 2m2 minutes ago

    Congratulations to Elaine Bagshaw who has been selected as PPC for Poplar & Limehouse http://fb.me/4pPLePDeO

  4. Court hears evidence of massive fraud in Tower Hamlets mayoral election

    http://www.courtnewsuk.co.uk/?news_id=40180

  5. Does anyone think this seat will become a marginal Tory / Labour seat in 30 years time because of the luxury apartments being constructed around Canary Wharf?

  6. ‘Tower Hamlets First’ have not nominated in this seat or in Bethnal Green & Bow.

  7. Based on today’s court decision, anyone’s guess how the votes might stack up here this time around…

  8. Boringly easy Labour hold

    The mayoral re-run will be much more unpredictable

  9. “‘Tower Hamlets First’ have not nominated in this seat or in Bethnal Green & Bow.”

    Good, from what I have heard about them they sound as nasty as the BNP.

  10. It seems incredible that people were discussing the possibility of a Conservative gain here because of gentrification.

  11. I’m surprised the vile TH First didn’t put up candidates here or in the other seat. Especially Bow & Bethnal Green given the seemingly spiteful response to Rushanara Ali by some of their supporters.

  12. Mayoral Re-run:

    Labour 32,754
    Ind Khan 26,384
    Con 5,940
    LibDem. 2,152
    Anti-corruption 1,768
    UKIP 1,669
    Others 913

    Turnout: 37.73%

  13. Labour Cllr Andrew Cregan has defected to the LibDems here.

    A curious move, although defections occur almost monthly in Tower Hamlets.

    There is no LD Group here.

  14. Jim Fitzpatrick who was said to be thinking of retirement has confirmed he will stand in June.

  15. Former Mayor of Tower Hamlets, Lutfur Rahman has been struck off the Roll of Solicitors and been ordered to pay Costs of £86,400.

    He failed in his last minute attempt to adjourn the proceedings again, pending his challenge to a judicial review of the outcome of an election court, which found him to be dishonest.

  16. I’m surprised he wasn’t struck for the whole bullying and intimidation

  17. Sadly, striking off medics & lawyers seems almost impossible.

    Indeed I recently covered two who: performed a vasectomy on the wrong man (yes really & it was irreversible) and was convicted of three offences respectively. Neither were struck off !

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