Peterborough

2015 Result:
Conservative: 18684 (39.7%)
Labour: 16759 (35.6%)
Lib Dem: 1774 (3.8%)
Green: 1218 (2.6%)
UKIP: 7485 (15.9%)
Liberal: 639 (1.4%)
Independent: 516 (1.1%)
MAJORITY: 1925 (4.1%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: Eastern, Cambridgeshire. Part of the Peterborough council area.

Main population centres: Peterborough, Eye, Thorney.

Profile: Peterborough was a victorian industrial town that has grown massively since the 1970s after being designated as a newtown in 1967. It is an economically successful city with strong service and distribution industries on the back of good transport links (there are intercity trains to London and it sits just off the A1(M)). It is an ethnically diverse city - there is a significant Asian Muslim population, but also many Italian immigrants (due to recruitment for the brickmaking industry in the 1950s) and more recent Eastern European immigration. The seat also contains an area of Fenland to the east including the villages of Thorney and Eye.

Politics: A key marginal between the Conservatives and Labour, Peterborough fell to Labour in 1997 and was regained by the Conservatives in 2005.


Current MP
STEWART JACKSON (Conservative) Born 1965, Woolwich. Educated at Chatham House Grammar and Royal Holloway. Former bank manager and business development manager. Ealing councillor 1990-1998. Contested Brent South 1997, Peterborough 2001. First elected as MP for Peterborough in 2005. PPS to Owen Paterson 2010-2011. Resigned as a PPS after rebelling over the issue of an EU referendum.
Past Results
2010
Con: 18133 (40%)
Lab: 13272 (30%)
LDem: 8816 (20%)
UKIP: 3007 (7%)
Oth: 1699 (4%)
MAJ: 4861 (11%)
2005*
Con: 17364 (42%)
Lab: 14624 (35%)
LDem: 6876 (17%)
UKIP: 1242 (3%)
Oth: 1098 (3%)
MAJ: 2740 (7%)
2001
Con: 15121 (38%)
Lab: 17975 (45%)
LDem: 5761 (14%)
UKIP: 955 (2%)
MAJ: 2854 (7%)
1997
Con: 17042 (35%)
Lab: 24365 (50%)
LDem: 5170 (11%)
Oth: 926 (2%)
MAJ: 7323 (15%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
STEWART JACKSON (Conservative) See above.
LISA FORBES (Labour) Peterborough councillor.
DARREN FOWER (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Walton Comprehensive and De Montfort University. Media development officer. Peterborough councillor since 2004.
MARY HERDMAN (UKIP)
DARREN BISBY-BOYD (Green) Born Belfast.
JOHN FOX (Independent) Educated at Queens Boys Secondary Modern, Wisbech. Former police officer. Peterborough councillor since 2002.
CHRIS ASH (Liberal) Peterborough councillor 1986-1994 and since 2000.
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Comments - 819 Responses on “Peterborough”
  1. It also seems he was more criminally responsible – prehaps why he pled guilty as he accepted he had no chance of being found not guilty.

  2. Mood on the ground seems to be pretty decisively in favour of a resignation followed by a by-election

  3. Judging by her defense in Court I don’t think she will do that.

  4. You can easily see her hanging on in there.

    I think the c. 7100 needed to trigger a Recall will be comfortably reached.

    It’s problematic to compare with NI politics but in the only other Recall vote in Antrim N, the petition failed by just 444 votes in the vote about I Paisley Jr’s conduct. Recently, the seat has contained only 8000 – 90000 Sein Fein / SDLP voters, so it was good turnout for the Recall supporters.

    Paisley’s misdemeanour was a relatively minor or obscure one and most people would know that he would easily win a by election.

    Given there’ll be postal voting and the register to sign is in several places around the Peterborough constituency, I think the 7100 will be easily reached.

  5. It’s also notable that Labour are encouraging constituents to sign the petition as well as the Tories. That wasn’t the case in Antrim.

  6. Bush in the NS seems to believe that may not be achieved. ..”it represents a formidable obstacle to any recall effort”.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2019/01/who-ll-win-peterborough-election-well-there-might-not-even-be-one

  7. If she is recalled I wonder if she will stand as a independent – are they any financial benefits in doing so for her?

  8. Probably not – she hasn’t had enough time to build up a personal vote, she’d be ruthlessly squeezed by Labour, overall she’d probably struggle to retain her deposit. And if she did unexpectedly well, she’d run the risk of peeling off just enough Labour votes to let the Tories in. What’s in it for her?

  9. If she got a payout for being a defeated MP?

  10. Such payouts are linked to length of service, and were I think made less generous a few years ago. Sh’s been an MP less than 2 years so would get peanuts. Of course if she’s desperate for the money she might still want the peanuts. But if she hangs it out till the bitter end her name will be mud. I doubt she would poll 100 votes.

  11. Her sentence has been referred to the Unduly Lenient scheme.

    The Attorney General will decide whether the referrals should be acted upon.

  12. In of itself the sentence is fair IMO. What is wrong is that she will be back in parliament in March, voting on the most important national issue since the war. Who knows, in a tie her vote might even make a decisive difference. That is just wrong and I suspect the Attorney General will bear these considerations in mind. Had she quietly resigned I very much doubt her sentence would be reviewed.

  13. Not sure if that type of thinking is legal.
    Looking at the government website her crimes dont even fall into any of the clear categories for review.

  14. What was interesting was that the judge made it very in clear in his summing up that he was determined not to treat Onasanya any differently/ harshly due to her being an MP and a former solicitor…kind of the opposite to what many of us assumed might happen.

    Three months is fair I guess given that people who glass people in nightclubs seem to walk free every other week (as per the Mail at least).

  15. BM11 – fraud offences are covered.

  16. Perverting the Course of Justice would not normally be seen as a fraud offense.

  17. Lying to a court is by definition a dishonesty offence.

    Hence her being struck off next.

  18. It’s a crazy story. And came about with a mixture of naivety and arrogance. We should all realise that committing a crime on the streets of Britain – if the Police devote resources to it –
    you are very likely to be caught.

    There are so many cameras, (private and public); Mobile phone records; credit card uses; ATM records; public transport ticket records etc…it’s very difficult to not leave multiple traces of your whereabouts!

  19. This MP’s Appeal is to be heard on 5th March 2019.

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