It also seems he was more criminally responsible – prehaps why he pled guilty as he accepted he had no chance of being found not guilty.

Mood on the ground seems to be pretty decisively in favour of a resignation followed by a by-election

Judging by her defense in Court I don’t think she will do that.

You can easily see her hanging on in there.

I think the c. 7100 needed to trigger a Recall will be comfortably reached.

It’s problematic to compare with NI politics but in the only other Recall vote in Antrim N, the petition failed by just 444 votes in the vote about I Paisley Jr’s conduct. Recently, the seat has contained only 8000 – 90000 Sein Fein / SDLP voters, so it was good turnout for the Recall supporters.

Paisley’s misdemeanour was a relatively minor or obscure one and most people would know that he would easily win a by election.

Given there’ll be postal voting and the register to sign is in several places around the Peterborough constituency, I think the 7100 will be easily reached.

It’s also notable that Labour are encouraging constituents to sign the petition as well as the Tories. That wasn’t the case in Antrim.

Bush in the NS seems to believe that may not be achieved. ..”it represents a formidable obstacle to any recall effort”.

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2019/01/who-ll-win-peterborough-election-well-there-might-not-even-be-one

If she is recalled I wonder if she will stand as a independent – are they any financial benefits in doing so for her?

Probably not – she hasn’t had enough time to build up a personal vote, she’d be ruthlessly squeezed by Labour, overall she’d probably struggle to retain her deposit. And if she did unexpectedly well, she’d run the risk of peeling off just enough Labour votes to let the Tories in. What’s in it for her?

If she got a payout for being a defeated MP?

Such payouts are linked to length of service, and were I think made less generous a few years ago. Sh’s been an MP less than 2 years so would get peanuts. Of course if she’s desperate for the money she might still want the peanuts. But if she hangs it out till the bitter end her name will be mud. I doubt she would poll 100 votes.

Her sentence has been referred to the Unduly Lenient scheme.

The Attorney General will decide whether the referrals should be acted upon.

In of itself the sentence is fair IMO. What is wrong is that she will be back in parliament in March, voting on the most important national issue since the war. Who knows, in a tie her vote might even make a decisive difference. That is just wrong and I suspect the Attorney General will bear these considerations in mind. Had she quietly resigned I very much doubt her sentence would be reviewed.

Not sure if that type of thinking is legal.
Looking at the government website her crimes dont even fall into any of the clear categories for review.

What was interesting was that the judge made it very in clear in his summing up that he was determined not to treat Onasanya any differently/ harshly due to her being an MP and a former solicitor…kind of the opposite to what many of us assumed might happen.

Three months is fair I guess given that people who glass people in nightclubs seem to walk free every other week (as per the Mail at least).

BM11 – fraud offences are covered.

Perverting the Course of Justice would not normally be seen as a fraud offense.

Lying to a court is by definition a dishonesty offence.

Hence her being struck off next.

It’s a crazy story. And came about with a mixture of naivety and arrogance. We should all realise that committing a crime on the streets of Britain – if the Police devote resources to it –
you are very likely to be caught.

There are so many cameras, (private and public); Mobile phone records; credit card uses; ATM records; public transport ticket records etc…it’s very difficult to not leave multiple traces of your whereabouts!

This MP’s Appeal is to be heard on 5th March 2019.