Peterborough

2015 Result:
Conservative: 18684 (39.7%)
Labour: 16759 (35.6%)
Lib Dem: 1774 (3.8%)
Green: 1218 (2.6%)
UKIP: 7485 (15.9%)
Liberal: 639 (1.4%)
Independent: 516 (1.1%)
MAJORITY: 1925 (4.1%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: Eastern, Cambridgeshire. Part of the Peterborough council area.

Main population centres: Peterborough, Eye, Thorney.

Profile: Peterborough was a victorian industrial town that has grown massively since the 1970s after being designated as a newtown in 1967. It is an economically successful city with strong service and distribution industries on the back of good transport links (there are intercity trains to London and it sits just off the A1(M)). It is an ethnically diverse city - there is a significant Asian Muslim population, but also many Italian immigrants (due to recruitment for the brickmaking industry in the 1950s) and more recent Eastern European immigration. The seat also contains an area of Fenland to the east including the villages of Thorney and Eye.

Politics: A key marginal between the Conservatives and Labour, Peterborough fell to Labour in 1997 and was regained by the Conservatives in 2005.


Current MP
STEWART JACKSON (Conservative) Born 1965, Woolwich. Educated at Chatham House Grammar and Royal Holloway. Former bank manager and business development manager. Ealing councillor 1990-1998. Contested Brent South 1997, Peterborough 2001. First elected as MP for Peterborough in 2005. PPS to Owen Paterson 2010-2011. Resigned as a PPS after rebelling over the issue of an EU referendum.
Past Results
2010
Con: 18133 (40%)
Lab: 13272 (30%)
LDem: 8816 (20%)
UKIP: 3007 (7%)
Oth: 1699 (4%)
MAJ: 4861 (11%)
2005*
Con: 17364 (42%)
Lab: 14624 (35%)
LDem: 6876 (17%)
UKIP: 1242 (3%)
Oth: 1098 (3%)
MAJ: 2740 (7%)
2001
Con: 15121 (38%)
Lab: 17975 (45%)
LDem: 5761 (14%)
UKIP: 955 (2%)
MAJ: 2854 (7%)
1997
Con: 17042 (35%)
Lab: 24365 (50%)
LDem: 5170 (11%)
Oth: 926 (2%)
MAJ: 7323 (15%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
STEWART JACKSON (Conservative) See above.
LISA FORBES (Labour) Peterborough councillor.
DARREN FOWER (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Walton Comprehensive and De Montfort University. Media development officer. Peterborough councillor since 2004.
MARY HERDMAN (UKIP)
DARREN BISBY-BOYD (Green) Born Belfast.
JOHN FOX (Independent) Educated at Queens Boys Secondary Modern, Wisbech. Former police officer. Peterborough councillor since 2002.
CHRIS ASH (Liberal) Peterborough councillor 1986-1994 and since 2000.
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Comments - 1,111 Responses on “Peterborough”
  1. This forum seems to have died a death.

  2. TCTC but incumbent Lab slightly favoured

  3. Tories and Brexit Party vote split. Might well be a narrow win for Lisa Forbes.

  4. I think this will be a big Tory win – 5000 or so.

  5. Exit poll suggests a large Tory majority nationwide, probably in the 80s.
    Peterborough may well fall to the Conservatives now.

  6. Quite clearly. Fourth MP in three years here.

  7. In 4.5 years, yes. If it happens.

  8. Paul Bristow is Peterborough’s new Conservative MP.

  9. RESULT:

    Paul Bristow (Conservative) – 22,334

    Lisa Forbes (Labour) – 19,754

    Beki Sellick (Liberal Democrats – To Stop Brexit) – 2,334

    Mike Greene (Brexit Party) – 2,127

    Joseph Wells (Green Party) – 728

    Luke Ferguson (independent) – 260

    Tom Rogers (Christian Peoples Alliance) – 151

    The Very Raving Mr P (Monster Raving Loony Party) – 113

    Turnout: 66%

  10. Apologies Polltroll. The fourth Mp in 3 years. Perfectly correct.
    This forum is dead. Anyone know any better ones around?

  11. The 3.3% Lab>Con swing here was much in line with the national trend – as was the 2017 result.

    Peterborough continues to be competitive between the two lain parties, as it has been for decades. It seems to be unique amongst English seats in staying marginal for decades, whereas most marginals from the 60s and 70s have moved firmly towards either the Tories or Labour.

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