Old Bexley & Sidcup

2015 Result:
Conservative: 24682 (52.8%)
Labour: 8879 (19%)
Lib Dem: 1644 (3.5%)
BNP: 218 (0.5%)
Green: 1336 (2.9%)
UKIP: 8528 (18.2%)
Christian: 245 (0.5%)
NHA: 1216 (2.6%)
MAJORITY: 15803 (33.8%)

Category: Very safe Conservative seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Bexley council area.

Main population centres: Sidcup, Bexley village, Blackfen, Falconwood.

Profile: Conservative voting suburbia in south-east London, largely made up of owner-occupied 1930s built private housing. The titular "Old Bexley" refers to the smaller village-like part of Bexley (normally known as Bexley village to residents - Old Bexley is one of those place names that only appears on maps), close to the border with Dartford, as opposed to the more built up and suburban Bexleyheath..

Politics: The constituency was once widely known for returning Sir Edward Heath to Parliament, he represented the seat and its predecessors for 50 years before his retirement in 2001. In 1997 Labour cut Heath`s majority to only 6.9% with the help of the Referendum party, but since then the Conservatives have again built up a towering majority. The MP until 2010 was Derek Conway who was removed from the Parliamentary Conservative party after it was revealed he had been paying his son a wage as a Parliamentary researcher while he was actually away at university.


Current MP
JAMES BROKENSHIRE (Conservative) Born 1968, Southend. Educated at Davenant Foundation School and Exeter University. Former corporate lawyer. MP for Hornchurch 2005-2010. First elected as MP for Old Bexley and Sidcup in 2010. Under-secretary of state at the Home Office 2010-2014. Minister of State for immigration since 2014. Brokenshire`s Hornchurch seat was abolished at the 2010 election and he lost out in the selection for the successor seat to his neighbour Angela Watkinson, he was eventually successful in finding an alternative seat in Bexley.
Past Results
2010
Con: 24625 (54%)
Lab: 8768 (19%)
LDem: 6996 (15%)
BNP: 2132 (5%)
Oth: 2971 (7%)
MAJ: 15857 (35%)
2005*
Con: 22191 (50%)
Lab: 12271 (28%)
LDem: 6564 (15%)
UKIP: 2015 (5%)
Oth: 1531 (3%)
MAJ: 9920 (22%)
2001
Con: 19130 (45%)
Lab: 15785 (37%)
LDem: 5792 (14%)
UKIP: 1426 (3%)
MAJ: 3345 (8%)
1997
Con: 21608 (42%)
Lab: 18039 (35%)
LDem: 8284 (16%)
Oth: 1003 (2%)
MAJ: 3569 (7%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
JAMES BROKENSHIRE (Conservative) See above.
IBBY MEHMET (Labour) Born Sidcup. Educated at Essex University. Political advisor.
JENNIFER KEEN (Liberal Democrat)
CATHERINE REILLY (UKIP)
DEREK MORAN (Green) Educated at Bristol University. Veterinarian.
BOB GILL (NHA) GP.
NICOLA FINCH (BNP)
LAURENCE WILLIAMS (Christian) Born 1963. Engineering contractor. Contested Erith and Thamesmead 2010 for English Democrats.
Links
Comments - 120 Responses on “Old Bexley & Sidcup”
  1. Send for Matthew Hopkins, he’ll sort them all out…

  2. It is surprising that nobody has commented on James Brokenshire;s complete failure to implement Conservative policy on reducing immigration. If the political system wer working anything like efficiently I would expect a politician with such a record of ineffectiveness to resign or to be sent to the back benches at the earliest decent opportuntiy. It doesn’t matter what the actual policy is or which Party has reneged on its policy.

    Admittedly, one wonders who, from any party, woud have done better on immigration.

  3. The best and indeed only way to control immigration in today’s highly mobile world is to have a less prosperous economy than nearby countries.

    In all seriousness I expect a reactionary, anti-growth party would get a lot of support, especially from the retired whose incomes are not dependent on the state of the economy. That party could end up being UKIP. 30-40 years ago the Greens were much more in that space than today.

  4. UKIP have already achieved, & are maintaining, a “lot of support”

  5. At one time this would have been very surprising:

    “Bexley has been named as the most affordable London borough in which to rent, with the average house now costing around £1,007 per calendar month.”

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/property/12058428/Where-in-London-can-you-afford-to-rent-Theres-only-a-few-places-left.html

  6. @Andy JS

    It seems to be largely determined by geography these days. Even central-ish boroughs with undesirable reputations like Tower Hamlets and Hackney are in the top 10.

  7. James Brokenshire in Number 10 at the moment.

  8. May’s trusty right hand man, no doubt getting a just reward . . .

  9. Brokenshire gets NI

  10. Interesting appointment.

  11. Interesting – no doubt will need to use his knowledge and understanding of ‘borders’ learnt in his long tenure at the Home Office . . .

  12. He is of course was a remain supporter and more moderate which might help what is quite possibly going to be much more busy department to previous years.

  13. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/19/claims-sir-edward-heath-paedophile-120-per-cent-genuine-police/

    Incidentally I have no idea if the claims are true. But I always thought it was a little silly to rely on claims from his aide that he couldn’t drive or had no car, when even I had heard from Tories that both were untrue and I wasn’t even born at the time.

    Plus any one protection officer is only there for 25% of the time so again it’s only lay oral evidence of what happened when he was there. I know what’s supposed to happen. But equally I know what happened with Alan Johnson’s protection officer. Presumably the one outside either colluded or was none the wiser while the one inside the house was with his wife.

    Equally, Portillo, Fox, Hague all gave their officer(s) the slip when they wanted to socialise.

    [Incidentally I’m not suggesting they are involved in anything of this nature. They were just the first ones that came to mind from the Guido pieces. I was surprised at the time that the fact they lost their security wasn’t more of a concern than the innuendos which were featured. After all, that was why Ron Davies had to go. He had no security but had his Red Box with him at the time of his ‘moment of madness.’]

    I was actually surprised to learn how many ex-politicians receive protection (though they can decline it if they sign something). I only know this as I got chatting to a Special Branch guy who was with Michael Howard when he came here (to visit his sister, go to a match and a Con Club event) when he was merely a backbench MP around 2000. As ex Home Sec he was afforded 2 protection officers, as well as 2 SB from the local force area he was in at the time – which is offered to all ex Home, NI, Defence and PMs. It must be quite a boring job most of the time. But I recall some guy (handglider?) got a shock when he accidentally landed in Tom King’s garden a decade or so ago to be met by armed protection officers!

  14. The Labour PPC here has withdrawn after it is alleged he said he wanted to eradicate Islam from Europe.

    His friend and supporter says he will now stand here as an Independent to highlight how, “Labour stitched up a working class man.”

  15. The tweets are really offensive, but appears that he claims that they are ‘fake’. From the report below, I think the case against him is strong.

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/labour-trevor-merralls-eradicate-islam-tweets-parliamentary-candidate-investigation-racist-muslims-a7713111.html

  16. Labour candidate for GE2017 is Danny Hackett.

  17. James Brokenshire remains Northern Irish Secretary.

  18. James Brokenshire is recovering from lung surgery and will take a month’s absence from Parliament on medical advice.

    There are currently 5 MPs absent on health grounds.

  19. James Brokenshire is returning to work following a successful recovery.

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