Northampton South

2015 Result:
Conservative: 16163 (41.6%)
Labour: 12370 (31.8%)
Lib Dem: 1673 (4.3%)
Green: 1403 (3.6%)
UKIP: 7114 (18.3%)
Independent: 161 (0.4%)
MAJORITY: 3793 (9.8%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Northamptonshire. Part of the Northampton council area.

Main population centres: Northampton.

Profile: A compact urban seat that since the boundary changes of 2010 has been drawn tightly around the southern half of the new town of Northampton. It includes the town centre itself, Duston to the west and the estates of Billing to the east.

Politics: Northampton was split into two seats, North and South, in 1974. The old Northampton South tended to the Conservatives. It was won by Labour in their landslide victories of 1997 and 2001, but returned to the Conservatives in 2005. The boundary changes in 2010 were helpful for Labour, cutting away the rural areas to create a seat tightly centred upon Northampton itself. On paper the seat notionally returned to Labour, but in practiced was easily "re-won" by Brian Binley.


Current MP
DAVID MACKINTOSH (Conservative) Born Northampton. Educated at Roade School and Durham University. Northampton councillor since 2011, leader of Northampton council since 2011. Northamptonshire councillor since 2009. First elected as MP for Northampton South in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 15917 (41%)
Lab: 9913 (25%)
LDem: 7579 (19%)
UKIP: 1897 (5%)
Oth: 3672 (9%)
MAJ: 6004 (15%)
2005*
Con: 23818 (44%)
Lab: 19399 (36%)
LDem: 8327 (15%)
UKIP: 1032 (2%)
Oth: 1905 (3%)
MAJ: 4419 (8%)
2001
Con: 20997 (41%)
Lab: 21882 (43%)
LDem: 6355 (12%)
UKIP: 1237 (2%)
Oth: 558 (1%)
MAJ: 885 (2%)
1997
Con: 23470 (41%)
Lab: 24214 (42%)
LDem: 6316 (11%)
Oth: 1700 (3%)
MAJ: 744 (1%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
DAVID MACKINTOSH (Conservative) Born Northampton. Educated at Roade School and Durham University. Northampton councillor since 2011, leader of Northampton council since 2011. Northamptonshire councillor since 2009.
KEVIN MCKEEVER (Labour) Born 1980, Glasgow. Educated at Royal Grammar School, Newcastle and Durham University. Contested Harborough 2010.
SADIK CHAUDHURY (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Northampton University. Restauranteur. Northampton councillor 2007-2011.
ROSE GIBBINS (UKIP) Born Glasgow. Retired civil servant.
JULIE HAWKINS (Green) Former nurse. Contested Northampton South 2010.
KEVIN WILLSHER (Independent)
Links
Comments - 72 Responses on “Northampton South”
  1. Ah, as expected (he was due to be deselected anyway).

  2. Just two years – must be one of the shortest-serving MPs where there is no by-election involved at either end of his tenure

  3. True – he even fell short of 2 years.

    You’re right apart from a few unfortunate early deaths such as Bootle, there can’t be many that short lived.

  4. Was anyone elected for the first time in early 74 and then lost later the same year?

  5. 29th Sep Nene Valley ward By-election result:

    Cons 52% (+ 10%)
    Lab 22% (+ 8%)
    LD 19% (+ 9%)
    Green 6%

    No UKIP or Ind this time.

  6. Belated reply to Paul D above

    Liberal MP Paul Tyler won Bodmin in Feb 74 and lost it back to the Tories in Oct 74.

  7. Oswald O’Brien is (I think) the shortest serving MP of the past 50-60 years, having been elected in the Darlington by-election on 23/3/1983, and then losing to Michael Fallon in the 1983 General Election 78 days later.

  8. Also happened to Michael Ancram who gained Berwick and East Lothian from Labour’s John Mackintosh in February 1974 only to lose it back to Mackintosh in October.

  9. And Barry Henderson (I think it was) in E. Dunbartonshire the year. Gained from Labour, lost to SNP.

  10. “Oswald O’Brien is (I think) the shortest serving MP of the past 50-60 years”

    Surely that record goes to Bobby Sands? Elected 09/04/81, died 05/05/81, MP for 26 days.

  11. “Was anyone elected for the first time in early 74 and then lost later the same year?”

    I think the only person which this happened to who never re-entered parliament was Harry West in Fermanagh & South Tyrone.

  12. PT – it depends whether you count people as MPs if they’ve never actually been sworn in as such.

  13. Does Bobby Sands count if he never entered parliament

  14. From BBC website

    “A Conservative MP’s general election fund took hidden payments from a developer as a multimillion-pound loan he personally oversaw paid out.
    More than £37,000 was channelled to David Mackintosh’s 2015 campaign from 1st Land Ltd, while he was leader of Northampton Borough Council.
    Most of a £10.25m loan he signed off to redevelop Northampton Town FC has vanished and police are investigating.”

  15. I should add that he stood down but it will cause problems for his local party.

  16. Not least because Labour came within a whisker of winning here

  17. Is it fair to say that this seat is trending towards Labour?

  18. Polltroll
    I’d say no, its just the type of seat were Lab performed well in 2017, middle class but not too affluent and hardly Brexit central.

    What little change their might be could possibly benefit Lab in that the most affluent voters here are probably moving further South into the suburbs contained within the Northamptonshire South seat, that probably provides Lab with a bit of a boost year on year but nothing massive.

  19. Labour underperformed in this seat when it was first created, unexpectedly failing to win in either 1974 election. It’s odd that so far the seat has only been won when the boundaries have been drawn far more in disfavour of Labour than they are now, and were before 1983.

  20. “It’s odd that so far the seat has only been won when the boundaries have been drawn far more in disfavour of Labour than they are now”

    Especially when Lab’s only ever MP here was an avid left winger in Tony Clarke, conventional wisdom would state that the people of Northampton South (especially the more rural and affluent bits contained in the seat’s 97-10 boundaries) would never countenance electing a far leftie, yet they did and then re-elected him in 2001…shows what conventional wisdom is worth.

  21. Who the actual candidate is generally accounts for very little in terms of vote shares – and when it is important, it’s generally because of the candidate’s profile rather than their politics.

  22. Polltroll
    I agree entirely my comment was more a tongue in cheek reference back to the countless arguments had on here when certain people claimed that certain left wing MP’s are apparently voter repellent and the good people of Ottery St Tadpole Central will never vote for them so long as they recognise Palestine and want the railways re-nationalised.

    While on the other hand certain “moderate” MP’s are apparently the second coming of Jesus capable of winning said Ottery St Tadpole Central on a 5 million percent swing.

    For every Peter Kyle there is an Ian Austin and for every Chris Williamson there is a David Drew.

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