Northampton North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 16699 (42.4%)
Labour: 13454 (34.1%)
Lib Dem: 1401 (3.6%)
Green: 1503 (3.8%)
UKIP: 6354 (16.1%)
MAJORITY: 3245 (8.2%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Northamptonshire. Part of the Northampton council area.

Main population centres: Northampton.

Profile: This is a compact urban seat, mostly consisting of the suburban residential suburbs that were built after Northampton`s designation as a new town in the 1960s. Industry includes distribution and financial services. It includes the new Northampton University, established in 2005.

Politics: A bellwether seat since its creation in 1974, narrowly held by Labour in 2005 thanks to split opposition and won by the Conservatives in a tight three way fight in 2010. The seat has a past history of "colourful" MPs, the MP upon its creation was left-wing firebrand Maureen Colquhoun, the first openly lesbian MP who left her husband for another woman in 1976 and was consequently deselected by her local party (and reinstated by the NEC). She was succeeded by Tony Marlow, the stripy-blazered outspoken right-winger, Maastricht rebel and backer of John Redwood`s leadership bid.

Current MP
MICHAEL ELLIS (Conservative) Born 1967, Northampton. Educated at Wellingborough School and Buckingham University. Barrister. Northamptonshire councillor 1997-2001. First elected as MP for Northampton North in 2010. PPS to Theresa May since 2015.
Past Results
Con: 13735 (34%)
Lab: 11799 (29%)
LDem: 11250 (28%)
BNP: 1316 (3%)
Oth: 2171 (5%)
MAJ: 1936 (5%)
Con: 12945 (31%)
Lab: 16905 (40%)
LDem: 10317 (25%)
UKIP: 1050 (2%)
Oth: 831 (2%)
MAJ: 3960 (9%)
Con: 12614 (30%)
Lab: 20507 (49%)
LDem: 7363 (18%)
UKIP: 596 (1%)
Oth: 414 (1%)
MAJ: 7893 (19%)
Con: 17247 (33%)
Lab: 27247 (53%)
LDem: 6579 (13%)
Oth: 625 (1%)
MAJ: 10000 (19%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

2015 Candidates
MICHAEL ELLIS (Conservative) See above.
SALLY KEEBLE (Labour) Born 1951, Germany, daughter of Sir Curtis Keeble, British ambassador to the USSR. Educated at Cheltenham Ladies College and Oxford University. Former journalist and trade union officer. Southwark councillor 1990-1993. MP for Northampton North 1997-2010.
ANGELA PATERSON (Liberal Democrat) Former teacher.
TOM RUBYTHON (UKIP) Publisher and author.
TONY CLARKE (Green) Born 1963, Northampton. Former Northampton and Northamptonshire councillor. MP for Northampton South 1997-2005 for the Labour party. Contested Northampton South 2010 as Independent..
Comments - 116 Responses on “Northampton North”
  1. @ HH – so you think the Tories have the aspirational working class at heart? Really!!?? A couple with two children who both work, one full time and one part time on £8 an hour will be £2,400 a year worse off. They’re already doing the right thing – working! The increase in the minimum wage won’t help them, the £9 rate only comes in in 2020. They’ll lose £200 a month! I think this is disgusting given they have two kids. I on the other hand earn £53k a year and my spouse earns a similar amount. We will be £220 a year better off. I don’t have any kids.

    Politics is about proroties and choices, and the Budget shows the Tories’ priority is to give very high earning households like myself a tax cut and they’ve chosen to hit low income working households to pay for this. How anyone earning a low wage can think the Tories are on their side is beyond me! I’m ashamed to live in a country with a Govermnent that does such a thing. And Cameron had the brass neck to say on the Today programme today that the Budget was progressive!

  2. If you do the right choices in life you dont end up on 8 quid an hour.

  3. That’s refreshingly honest position from you Joe, although I obviously don’t agree with you. It’s a shame Cameron, Gideon and Co can’t be as honest with the British public instead of claiming:

    1) we’re actually making work pay by helping the low paid;
    2) it was a necessary tough choice to cut the deficit.

    My question is, will people on such low pay continue to vote Tory after this massive hit on their income? I’d be gobsmacked if they do!

  4. ANDY JS
    “Office nobodies on 22k who consider themselves ‘middle class’”
    The most snobbish comment I’ve ever read on this site.

    Actually the last comment by Joe easily surpasses it and crosses the boundary into nastiness, showing perhaps what many Conservatives really think. If an MP said that there’d be an outcry.

    The paradox of Neil’s argument is that working class voters are happy to give their support to an unashamedly upper-middle class party – but I guess it’s about shared values and culture. The right are also perhaps very good at playing on their fears.

  5. I’m an office nobody on 22k and I consider myself middle-class. Mind you, I am only 25, I don’t expect to be living on that sort of wage forever.

  6. Class=/=income. I am more middle-class than Wayne Rooney.

  7. Very snobbish comment that. My father went to Oxford and worked for the BBC for 21 years. He now works in an office on £20k a year. Is he a “nobody”?

    “Office nobodies” decide elections. Don’t insult the electorate.

  8. “Class=/=income. I am more middle-class than Wayne Rooney.”

    It’s a fascinating and under-discussed issue, and increasingly vital to understanding modern elections IMO.

    No doubt, the old class system based on breeding is breaking down, and being replaced with a new hierarchy based on wealth and possessions.

    In the materialistic and un-deferential world of today, I’d very strongly argue that the self-employed cockney builder earning £150k per year is at least as “middle class” as a struggling graduate on £20k per year. It is the total failure of Labour to understand how the old fashioned working class has changed and fragmented since the 70s/80s which is at the root of their current parlous situation. A decade or so of landslide success under Blair gave them a false sense of security but they never fundamentally addressed this issue.

  9. Labour’s basic problem is that the working classes don’t want to be working-class any more – not if “working-class” means “poor”. And they don’t want to vote for a party that constantly reinforces that notion of class, and which claims to speak on their behalf but never actually consults them about it.

  10. It’s much worse than that. Labour openly despises its traditional voters and would prefer they went away.

  11. It’s much worse than that. Labour openly despises its traditional voters and would prefer they went away.

  12. I would say it’s more complicated than that. Labour is in thrall to an idealised notion of the working class that doesn’t actually exist, and probably never has. There is still a widespread belief within Labour that working-class people are unenlightened socialists who just haven’t heard the message yet, and are ripe for conversion to the left-wing cause. Never is it considered that those same people have heard the message and rejected it.

  13. ‘There is still a widespread belief within Labour that working-class people are unenlightened socialists who just haven’t heard the message yet, and are ripe for conversion to the left-wing cause.’

    More troubling for Labour is Momentum activist’s continued, widespread completely unfounded belief, that they are quite happy to publicise, that Corbyn is winning over the WWC vote – despite the polls showing the complete opposite

    They seem to be incapable of getting their head round the notion that a good deal of WWC voters have indeed considered Corbyn’s message and rejected it.

    It’s like 15 years ago when some of the ‘think they know it all but actually know f*** all’ Tories were telling everyone IDS would be the party’s saviour – although to be fair Labour’s current predicament looks bleaker still

  14. ‘I’m an office nobody on 22k and I consider myself middle-class. ‘

    This is the sort of Tory comment that underlines that as much as they like to claim it’s a purely Labour problem nowadays, old fashioned Tory snobbery is still very much alive and kicking

  15. A few comments on the brexit vote. I was in a small minority who were nor clearly for leave or remain. There were some days when I changed from a leaver to a remainer and back again more than once. I thought that the standard of the campaigning was very low. We had a lot of, mainly right wing, politicians telling us untruths. In the end I voted Remain, as I am not anti foreinger. I have no idea how well the country will do after we leave but I am don’t expect everything to be as easy as suggested by some leavers or as bad as suggested by some remainders. The idea that all that was holding us back as a country was the E.U. is ridiculous. Also remainers often ignore what a mess the E.U. has helped to create in southern Europe.
    There was a local council by election last year in Westone. I actually voted for the winning candidate. I have never managed to vote for a winning candidate in a General Election. I have been voting for about forty years. The next General Election will almost certainly see a huge Conservative majority, so I may have to wait until 2025 or more likely 2030 before I have a chance to beak my duck.

  16. My prediction for 2017 General Election.
    I would be very surprised if the majority is less than 80. I would guess at 110 to 130. I don’t think that the Lib Dems will do as well as some people are suggesting. I would guess at less than 20 seats.
    I voted Labour in 2015. I am not a fan of Jeremy Corbyn. (Understatement). I will vote, but am not sure who to vote for.

  17. I think.that I could have underestimated how large the majority will be. It is looking possible that there could be over 400 Consevative MPs.
    My advice to the Lib Dems would be to say a lot less about Brexit and try to appeal to those who are to the right of Jeremy Corbyn and to the left of Theresa May. There are a lot of voters in that category.

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