Northampton North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 16699 (42.4%)
Labour: 13454 (34.1%)
Lib Dem: 1401 (3.6%)
Green: 1503 (3.8%)
UKIP: 6354 (16.1%)
MAJORITY: 3245 (8.2%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Northamptonshire. Part of the Northampton council area.

Main population centres: Northampton.

Profile: This is a compact urban seat, mostly consisting of the suburban residential suburbs that were built after Northampton`s designation as a new town in the 1960s. Industry includes distribution and financial services. It includes the new Northampton University, established in 2005.

Politics: A bellwether seat since its creation in 1974, narrowly held by Labour in 2005 thanks to split opposition and won by the Conservatives in a tight three way fight in 2010. The seat has a past history of "colourful" MPs, the MP upon its creation was left-wing firebrand Maureen Colquhoun, the first openly lesbian MP who left her husband for another woman in 1976 and was consequently deselected by her local party (and reinstated by the NEC). She was succeeded by Tony Marlow, the stripy-blazered outspoken right-winger, Maastricht rebel and backer of John Redwood`s leadership bid.


Current MP
MICHAEL ELLIS (Conservative) Born 1967, Northampton. Educated at Wellingborough School and Buckingham University. Barrister. Northamptonshire councillor 1997-2001. First elected as MP for Northampton North in 2010. PPS to Theresa May since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 13735 (34%)
Lab: 11799 (29%)
LDem: 11250 (28%)
BNP: 1316 (3%)
Oth: 2171 (5%)
MAJ: 1936 (5%)
2005*
Con: 12945 (31%)
Lab: 16905 (40%)
LDem: 10317 (25%)
UKIP: 1050 (2%)
Oth: 831 (2%)
MAJ: 3960 (9%)
2001
Con: 12614 (30%)
Lab: 20507 (49%)
LDem: 7363 (18%)
UKIP: 596 (1%)
Oth: 414 (1%)
MAJ: 7893 (19%)
1997
Con: 17247 (33%)
Lab: 27247 (53%)
LDem: 6579 (13%)
Oth: 625 (1%)
MAJ: 10000 (19%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
MICHAEL ELLIS (Conservative) See above.
SALLY KEEBLE (Labour) Born 1951, Germany, daughter of Sir Curtis Keeble, British ambassador to the USSR. Educated at Cheltenham Ladies College and Oxford University. Former journalist and trade union officer. Southwark councillor 1990-1993. MP for Northampton North 1997-2010.
ANGELA PATERSON (Liberal Democrat) Former teacher.
TOM RUBYTHON (UKIP) Publisher and author.
TONY CLARKE (Green) Born 1963, Northampton. Former Northampton and Northamptonshire councillor. MP for Northampton South 1997-2005 for the Labour party. Contested Northampton South 2010 as Independent..
Links
Comments - 160 Responses on “Northampton North”
  1. PT – true, although of course amusingly five of Varoufakis’ far Left parliamentary colleagues were university lecturers in other countries including Britain!

  2. HH
    “I wouldn’t say careers advice has ever been anything other than woeful”
    Probably true but the point is it doesn’t have to be and gov should look at improving things.

    “Easy answer. The government stops funding useless but fun degrees. And if that helps reduce or eliminate fees for bona fide courses then great”
    That might work under the current system but if we persist in the development of private uni’s it will be out of the gov’s hands. First step should be to totally shelve the concept of private universities as just a plain bad idea.

    “The Germans do not run their businesses to maximise short terms profits nor for the benefit of the financial sector leeching as much as they can out of them, they invest for the long term”
    Correct, I did a small essay in uni on the Mittelstand and German industry as a whole, I don’t necessarily attribute it to a cultural thing since the same thing (or at least similar) can be observed in many a country (Japan for example which in most every other respect is totally different from Germany) vastly more intelligent and qualified people than me attribute it to a degree of government oversight, private cooperation with the state and unions and a truly joined up industrial strategy. Labour have been banging on about this for a while now but the Tories brush it off as some kind of Marxist central planning.

  3. HH & Rivers10 – I agree re careers’ service being woeful at 90% of schools.

    Just think about it – teachers are almost by definition the worst people to advise on this, as half of teachers admit in surveys that they fell into teaching or merely began teaching their degree subject 30 years ago (I realise back then they didn’t need teaching qualifications unlike now).

    I did however attend a great one where the school had arranged (mainly parents) from law, medicine, etc to come in and give a brief talk & take questions. I realise this is probably only something grammars offer and I was also fortunate – as the first in my family to attend uni – to have a helpful teacher for the UCAS process, which I imagine a lot of schools are no good at.

    But even ours had no talk on being an entrepreneur or self-employed or manufacturing or the armed forces which are always in the top 10 when you ask 16-year-olds what they’d like to do.

  4. Rivers

    The opportunities are in your hands & those of others of your generation. You will not realise them by all talk and no action, nor by thinking that government action is the answer. Instead of just writing how you think industry could do better why don’t you make a career for yourself in industry and try to make a practical difference. Until the mentality of management improves then things can’t really change.

  5. Lancs
    I wouldn’t heap too much praise on grammar schools their probably no better on this issue. Indeed my history teacher at school (who also happened to be head of 6th form) lived on the Wirra (where as you know they still use the grammar system) and his son was actually the same age as we were and during a conversation about careers advice and such he told me straight up that as poor as it may seem, what our school was doing was actually well beyond what was required and at his sons school they just laid out a table with some literature provided by the uni’s and that was it, no 5 minute private meeting to discuss options and the only people they arranged to come in were some reps from UCAS who did an assembly about student loans (which I also had to endure at my school)

    Basically a farce all around.

  6. Oh come on Hemmy, that’s like when I watch England being terrible at football (a depressingly familiar sight), someone saying “oh well let’s see YOU play better football”.

    And also something of a double-standard since you probably wouldn’t mind too much if he sat there writing his essays, but his solutions involved more incentives for private investment and fewer trade unions.

  7. HH
    Well I suppose I’m an old statist at heart and believe the gov has the potential to improve everything when it operates as its supposed too.
    As for the here and now believe you me I’d love to make a practical difference but there’s very little scope for a 22 year old to change the internal systems of industry. At the moment all I really can do is talk ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

  8. “And also something of a double-standard since you probably wouldn’t mind too much if he sat there writing his essays, but his solutions involved more incentives for private investment and fewer trade unions.”

    Actually I take huge exception to the last few words of that comment. In my career I have had a lot of dealings with private sector unions, as most people in heavy industry have, and by and large I find them moderate and a force for good. Totally different to the public sector unions and those in the transport sector.

  9. “Could the results in both Northampton seats (but particularly North) be yet another example of the influence of the growing university?”

    To me the simple answer to that is “No”.

    The Con>Lab swing in Northampton North was 3.1%, compared to an overall average swing in England of 2.8%. In an election of divergent swings there were very few seats which were so close to the norm.

    Also, possibly as a product of differential voting patterns by age, more urban seats such as this generally produced above average swings even in non-university towns. So the 3.1% and 3.5 % swings in Northampton North and South were less than in many “non-university” towns of the same size or smaller. The two Swindon seats both swung by around 3.6%, and there were swings to Labour of around 4.5% in Ipswich, Hastings and even Aldershot.

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)