Newton Abbot

2015 Result:
Conservative: 22794 (47.3%)
Labour: 4736 (9.8%)
Lib Dem: 11506 (23.9%)
Green: 2216 (4.6%)
UKIP: 6726 (14%)
TUSC: 221 (0.5%)
MAJORITY: 11288 (23.4%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: South West, Devon. Part of the Teignbridge council area.

Main population centres: Newton Abbot, Kingsteignton, Dawlish, Teignmouth.

Profile: Covers the town of Newton Abbot and the strip of coast between the estuaries of the Teign and the Exe. Newton Abbot is a historic market town that boomed as a Victorian railway town, it was the home of the south Devon Railway works and British Rail had workshops here until 1981. To the east of the town is the wide estuary of the River Teign and the collection of villages around it. On the coast Dawlish and Teignmouth are both former fishing villages that became popular seaside resorts with the coming of the railway and have remained popular with tourists and people retiring to the coast.

Politics: There has been a seat centred on this area since 1983, called Teignbridge until boundary changes in 2010. It was originally a solid Conservative seat but in some previous elections has been a close marginal between the Tories and Liberal Democrats.


Current MP
ANNE-MARIE MORRIS (Conservative) Born 1957, London. Educated at Bryanston School and Oxford University. Former lawyer and owner of a marketing company. West Sussex County councillor 2005. First elected as MP for Newton Abbot in 2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 20774 (43%)
Lab: 3387 (7%)
LDem: 20251 (42%)
UKIP: 3088 (6%)
Oth: 783 (2%)
MAJ: 523 (1%)
2005*
Con: 21593 (35%)
Lab: 6931 (11%)
LDem: 27808 (46%)
UKIP: 3881 (6%)
Oth: 685 (1%)
MAJ: 6215 (10%)
2001
Con: 23332 (39%)
Lab: 7366 (12%)
LDem: 26343 (44%)
UKIP: 2269 (4%)
MAJ: 3011 (5%)
1997
Con: 24679 (39%)
Lab: 11311 (18%)
LDem: 24398 (39%)
Oth: 2557 (4%)
MAJ: 281 (0%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Teignbridge

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ANNE-MARIE MORRIS (Conservative) See above.
ROY FREER (Labour) Publican.
RICHARD YOUNGER-ROSS (Liberal Democrat) Born 1953, Surrey. Educated at Walton County Secondary School for Boys and Oxford Polytechnic. Contested Teignbridge 1992, 1997. MP for Teignbridge 2001-2010.
ROD PEERS (UKIP)
STEVEN SMYTH-BONFIELD (Green) Counsellor.
SEAN BROGAN (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 219 Responses on “Newton Abbot”
  1. “Hostility to the EU on the left is borne out of the strong suspicion that the EU would prevent any British government from intoroducing radical left wing policies. That’s certainly why the two main railway workers unions supported brexit.”

    More specifically, because EU law prevents proper renationalisation of the railways, and the fact that foreign utilities from elsewhere in the EU (ironically mostly nationalised themselves) now control swathes of our rail system…Deutsche Bahn the prime example.

    None of these concerns would be addressed by a soft Brexit hence I’d expect there to be clamours for a harder Brexit from some on the left as well as the right.

  2. Souuuund!!!

  3. Well the margin of defeat was not as big as Streatham but I take your point HH. I was wrong to project my own enthusiasm for Goldsmith onto the campaign. I knew we were going to suffer a swing against us in Witney because I wasn’t overly enthusiastic about Robert Courts.

  4. 2 Tory activists have said CCHQ lied re the Battlebus in the 2015 GE and in Election Expense Returns and that they were briefed to help gain 4 seats in the South West including here:

    http://www.channel4.com/news/tory-whistleblowers-election-expenses-conservative-party-battlebus

    The MP and the other 3 were unavailable for comment.

  5. Sky has obtained emails from a Tory MP to the Party chairman:

    http://news.sky.com/story/expenses-scandal-tory-mps-say-party-officials-covering-own-backsides-10801909

    CCHQ accused of incompetence, complacency and shifting the blame.

    I’m sure this won’t come as a surprise to HH, JJB et al.

  6. The CPS has confirmed that they have received files from Devon & Cornwall Police and 10 other police forces.

  7. Full list:Avon & Somerset, Cumbria, Derbyshire, Devon & Cornwall, Gloucestershire, Greater Manchester, Lincolnshire, Metropolitan, Northamptonshire, Nottinghamshire, and West Yorkshire.

    Notable absence of Kent (so far).

  8. Now comes the game of trying to work out which seats within each police force might be the ones being questioned. These are realistically going to be Con/Lab and LD/Con marginals, as the Tories were not expecting to win seats from Labour or lose seats to the Lib Dems. Hence:

    A&S: Bristol NW, Somerton & Frome, Wells, Yeovil, Thornbury & Yate
    Cumbria: Carlisle
    Derbyshire: Amber Valley, Erewash, High Peak
    D&C: N Devon, Torbay, N Cornwall, St Austell & Newquay, St Ives
    Gloucestershire: Cheltenham, Gloucester, Stroud
    Greater Manchester: Bury N, Cheadle, Hazel Grove
    Lincolnshire: Lincoln (maybe the Tories were also worried about Boston & Skegness?)
    London: Croydon C, Ealing C & Acton, Ilford N, Kingston & Surbiton, Twickenham
    Northamptonshire: Corby, Northampton N, Northampton S
    Nottinghamshire: Broxtowe, Sherwood
    West Yorkshire: Pudsey (possibly Morley & Outwood, even though it looked very hard to win, there was a prize scalp on offer)

  9. I’d be wary of automatically assuming all of these files are exclusive to the Conservatives – this could well be the case, of course, but both Labour and Lib Dems have been implicated in election expense tomfoolery too, e.g. Fleetwood (I believe – Cat Smith anyway) and a few Lib Dem campaigns. I think the Fleetwood investigation ended up being closed with no charges brought.

  10. True but the list of seats for where Labour/Lib Dems might have overspent will be more-or-less the same. Oddly enough targeting marginals is equally sensible for all parties.

  11. Police have passed a file to the CPS to decide whether to charge Devon & Cornwall Police & Crime Commissioner Alison Hernandez.

    It relates to the 2015 General Election when she was Agent for 2 seats in Devon and false accounting has been alleged.

    Hernandez denies she knowingly provided false returns and merely submitted what was supplied to her.

  12. So everybody is blaming everybody else.

    Typical politics really

  13. test

  14. Richard Younger-Ross managed to lose his county council seat by 22 votes

    Lib Dems now tied with Labour on seven seats each on DCC. Four of them in Teignbridge

  15. Lib Dems have 10, Labour have 7, according to Wiki. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devon_County_Council_election,_2017

    10 ≠ 7.

  16. Mr Pitt is right. The local strength of the Liberal Democrats over labour should provide a robust springboard which can turn Newton Abbott yellow for good.

  17. Rubbish.

    I was in this seat last week, and elsewhere in the region including Cornwall North. The vibe isn’t good for the Lib Dems and I expect them to gain virtually nothing west of Bath this time.

  18. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-39816409
    (I’m guessing they meant to say 2009 rather than 1989 though) For some reason Wikipedia has lumped the three independents in with the Lib Dems. Look at the map of divisions and you can count the seven yellow ones.

    Agreed with H.Hemmelig on Lib Dem chances west of Bath. The only realistic prospect this time is St. Ives but I wouldn’t put any money on that after the election results in Cornwall.

    Newton Abbot might be a decent long-term prospect though they won’t even be close this time.

  19. Teddy, that’s not what I said. Just that MikesInDeovn had his numbers wrong. But that was my mistake — Wiki has updated. Mea culpa.

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