New Forest West

2015 Result:
Conservative: 28420 (59.9%)
Labour: 5133 (10.8%)
Lib Dem: 3293 (6.9%)
Green: 2748 (5.8%)
UKIP: 7816 (16.5%)
MAJORITY: 20604 (43.5%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Hampshire. Part of the New Forest council area.

Main population centres: Lymington, Ringwood, New Milford, Fordingbridge, Barton-on-Sea, Milford-on-Sea.

Profile: A long thin seat along the western edge of the New Forest national park, it includes the western fringes of the park itself, the market towns of Ringwood, Fordingbridge and New Milton that border it and, in the south, the port of Lymington and the coastal villages of Milford-on-Sea and Barton-on-Sea.

Politics: An extremely safe Conservative seat, held by Desmond Swayne since its creation in 1997.


Current MP
DESMOND SWAYNE (Conservative) Born 1956. Educated at Bedford School and St Andrews University. Former bank manager. Contested Pontypridd 1987, West Bromwich West 1992. First elected as MP for New Forest West in 1997. PPS to Iain Duncan Smith 2001-2003, PPS to Michael Howard 2003-2005, PPS to David Cameron 2005-2012, Government whip 2012-2014. Minister of State for International Development since 2014. Swayne is a Major in the Territorial Army and saw active service in Iraq.
Past Results
2010
Con: 27980 (59%)
Lab: 4666 (10%)
LDem: 11084 (23%)
UKIP: 2783 (6%)
Oth: 1059 (2%)
MAJ: 16896 (36%)
2005*
Con: 26004 (56%)
Lab: 7590 (16%)
LDem: 8719 (19%)
UKIP: 1917 (4%)
Oth: 1837 (4%)
MAJ: 17285 (38%)
2001
Con: 24575 (56%)
Lab: 6481 (15%)
LDem: 11384 (26%)
UKIP: 1647 (4%)
MAJ: 13191 (30%)
1997
Con: 25149 (51%)
Lab: 7092 (14%)
LDem: 13817 (28%)
Oth: 1542 (3%)
MAJ: 11332 (23%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
DESMOND SWAYNE (Conservative) See above.
LENA SAMUELS (Labour)
IMOGEN SHEPHERD-DUBEY (Liberal Democrat)
PAUL BAILEY (UKIP)
JANET RICHARDS (Green) Contested New Forest West 2005, 2010.
Links
Comments - 13 Responses on “New Forest West”
  1. prediction for 2015-

    Con- 50%
    UKIP- 21%
    Lib- 14%
    Lab- 12%
    Green- 3%

  2. The Lib Dem candidate is Imogen Shepherd-DuBey.

  3. Conservative Hold. 19,000 maj

  4. Desmond Swayne has been knighted in the Queen’s birthday honours.

  5. He’s long been Cameron’s sidekick.

    Only been at the same place as him once, but he was dismissive of everyone (not the best practice when we all had to pen copy about DC’s visit). It was when DC was a newish Leader in 2007 and he came to Blackpool and Liverpool.

  6. Cameron’s former PPS, I think I’m right in saying. He is a leaver, however.

  7. Ah that makes sense. He must have been as soon as DC became Leader.

  8. He was Cameron’s PPS for 7 years (2005-12).

    Mr Swayne is known for his early morning swims in the Serpentine. I don’t think Mr Cameron’s ever done that, but they did run together.

  9. Amusingly, this MP supports the – now abandoned – NICs rose for the self-employed in his local paper today. As its deadline passed before he could withdraw it.

    He admits to “slavishly” supporting any Govt policy in a complaint to the Speaker.

  10. ‘He’s long been Cameron’s sidekick.’

    They might get on – I think the former (and let’s face it
    better) PM considers Swayne did a first class job as his PPS – but he’s not Cameroon

    As is often the case in Tory circles, they pair people from different wings of the party, as Swayne is definitely on the Brexit Right of the Tory Party, and not a natural Cameron ally

  11. The polls of course say the opposite to your viewpoint.

    But yes, I imagine any PM would like all their MPs to be as “slavish” as this one admits to being.

  12. Milford Ward By-election, 05.04.18:

    Conservative 1,057
    Liberal Democrat 200
    Labour 126

    Cons Hold.

  13. Pennington (New Forest) result:

    CON: 42.0% (-10.1)
    LDEM: 37.6% (+8.8)
    IND: 12.2% (+12.2)
    LAB: 8.2% (-10.9)

    Conservative HOLD.

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