Newark

2015 Result:
Conservative: 29834 (57%)
Labour: 11360 (21.7%)
Lib Dem: 2385 (4.6%)
Green: 1792 (3.4%)
UKIP: 6294 (12%)
Others: 637 (1.2%)
MAJORITY: 18474 (35.3%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Nottinghamshire. Parts of Bassetlaw, Newark and Sherwood, and Rushcliffe council areas.

Main population centres: Newark, Southwell, Loudham, Bingham, Aslockton, Collingham, Tuxford.

Profile: A long, mostly rural seat that stretches down the eastern side of Nottinghamshire, with the River Trent and the Great North Road both running through its middle and crossing just north of Newark. The main towns are the affluent Cathedral town of Southwell and the market town of Newark. Much of the area is now a base for commuters into Nottingham, though important local employers include Dixons national distribution centre in Newark, Laurens Patisseries and the antiques trade - Newark hosts the largest antiques fair in Europe at Newark Showground.

Politics: While it now looks like a safe Conservative seat Newark was won by Labour in their 1997 landslide. This was partially thanks to support in Newark`s council estates, partially due to more favourable boundaries before 2010. The former Labour MP Fiona Jones had only a short, and ultimately tragic, tenure in the Commons. In 1999 she was convicted of fraudulently failing to declare all her election expenses and expelled from the Commons, but she won an appeal against the conviction and was reinstated. Her return to the Commons was not a happy one, she unsuccessfully attempted to sue the police for malicious prosecution and became reliant upon alcohol. She lost her seat in 2001 and died six years later of alcoholic liver disease. Her Conservative successor Patrick Mercer represented the seat between 2001 and 2014, but had an acrimonious relationship with party leader David Cameron and eventually resigned from the Commons after a newspaper sting operation caught him agreeing to ask questions in exchange for payment. The Conservatives held the subsequent by -election.


Current MP
ROBERT JENRICK (Conservative) Born 1982. Educated at Wolverhampton Grammar School and Oxford University. Former solicitor and former director of Christies. First elected as MP for Newark in 2014 by-election. PPS to Michael Gove since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 27590 (54%)
Lab: 11438 (22%)
LDem: 10246 (20%)
UKIP: 1954 (4%)
MAJ: 16152 (32%)
2005*
Con: 21946 (48%)
Lab: 15482 (34%)
LDem: 7276 (16%)
UKIP: 992 (2%)
MAJ: 6464 (14%)
2001
Con: 20983 (46%)
Lab: 16910 (37%)
LDem: 5970 (13%)
Oth: 1284 (3%)
MAJ: 4073 (9%)
1997
Con: 20480 (39%)
Lab: 23496 (45%)
LDem: 5960 (11%)
MAJ: 3016 (6%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ROBERT JENRICK (Conservative) See above.
MICHAEL PAYNE (Labour)
DAVID DOBBIE (Liberal Democrat) Teacher. Contested Bassetlaw 2005, 2010.
BRIAN MAPLETOFT (UKIP)
ELAYNE FORSTER (Green)
HELEN TYRER (Locally Informed Health and Social Care)
Links
Comments - 371 Responses on “Newark”
  1. Test.
    For some strange reason although I get all constit. info, I am not getting any blog comments on this thread. – although three people have posted according to Recent Comments panel on LHS.

    So, trying a test post!

    BR

  2. Booze as an electoral lubricant:

    http://order-order.com/2016/02/08/tory-overspend-in-ukip-by-elections/

    Anthony Trollope complained in the 1870s by-election in Beverly, where he stood as a Liberal, about the “unfair” Tories providing free beer from the local brewery owner who was a Tory grandee in those parts

  3. Not sure what’s worse: that the Tories apparently breached electoral law by overspending.

    Or that in doing so, they still lost 2 of the 3 By-elections!

  4. Michael Crick @MichaelLCrick · 11m11 minutes ago

    Newark Council chief exec confirms to #C4News that Notts police have asked to see Conservative by-election expense declaration and returns

  5. Notts Police have confirmed they have received complaints re alleged false declarations for the Newark By-election.

  6. Shouldn’t the police be asking to see the expense delcarations and returns for ALL the candidates in regard to the compliants being made about certain seats?

    There is widespread knowledge that for many years now the declarations being made for by-election expenses are radically different from the amounts that are actually being spent. Either there are huge loopholes in the rules or the rules are being broken, and not just by one party.

  7. Newark CLP nominates Corbyn 42-11.

  8. With the slogan “Vote Labour or we readmit Ken”?

    Or am I conflating two stories here?

  9. ”I believe Corbyn launched his local election campaign here recently (was it yesterday?)”

    Was it in a safe Tory ward instead of a marginal by any chance? Given that it’s Corbyn any c*ck up can’t be ruled out.

  10. Jenrick this morning became the first government minister to U-turn on HS2. Unclear whether this is an official change of government policy, but the rumours that the project in dire straits have been pretty loud for a couple of months Now, even in the roads sector where I work.

  11. This one is beyond belief. A minister has effectively been proven to be guilty of corruption and he is still refusing to resign

    Shows you how far the standard politics has sunk in our country. I’m days gone by Jenrick would have been sacked

  12. This is objectovely much more serious than the Cummings stuff from about a month ago, but will get a fraction of the cut-through.

  13. Absolutely- contrasts with Labour’s swift action in giving Long Bailey the boot – totally different cases but still it shows that ethics are very low on the list of priorities for Johnson and his government

    This is much more serious than the Cumming’s incident

  14. He should resign for being inept.

    Btw £12k for a £50m saving is also ineptitude, if Tim was right about corruption.

  15. I agree he should go because quite frankly he’s crap, and he’s screwed up badly twice in a few months. As Lancs states however, 12k is absolute chicken feed. I wonder what the whole story is here.

  16. I think the Conservative Party is partially being bailed out by the abysmally low expectations people have of it. The sleaze is already baked into people’s perceptions. A horrible smell only persists for so long before your nose acclimatises and you stop noticing it. What once would have been met with anger is now greeted with a weary sigh.

    This is a party led by a man who awarded 25k of public money to a company wholly unsuited to the contract, because he wanted to sleep with its CEO. Those revelations were over a year ago and already they have been completely forgotten.

  17. As we are seeing with Trump though, such revelations – as bad as they are – aren’t the sort of things that upset Johnson’s base

    If anything they seem impressed by people who cheat of their wives and fiddle with the public purse for personal gain – I’m not saying Johnson’s done any of these things – but his fans don’t care if he had because they know they would do exactly the same

  18. That’s why Trump polls so much better with men than women in the US. Trump behaves pretty much how a sizeable minority of men would like to behave in their ideal worlds…if only they had the income level and charisma. I guess it’s an escape from the monotony of day to day life.

  19. “I think the Conservative Party is partially being bailed out by the abysmally low expectations people have of it.”

    IMO it’s being bailed out because it’s the only mainstream party not going down on bended knees worshipping BLM wokeness.

    Rather than going full-on Trump they are doing it by dog-whistling; eg Raab knew exactly what he was doing by saying he personally didn’t want to kneel. It’s a subtle reaffirmation to Middle England that “we aren’t going to give in to this crap like all the others”.

    A week or two ago I listened to Ed Davey’s campaign launch and it filled me with dismay. According to him he has always hated the Conservatives and his biggest priorities are pushing the woke agenda even harder than Labour. Absolutely nothing for disillusioned Remain Tories who’d prefer a strong focus on the economy and a small-l liberal approach to things. Seems like we will be increasingly forced to vote based on our attitudes to social issues and that can only be good news for the Tories. On competence alone they should be 20% behind in the polls.

  20. Its little to do with Middle England and far more to do with the red wall. Just anecdotally the more middle class younger friends of mine including Tories who publish very few opinions publicly have thrown their weight behind BLM.

    In comparison my working class friends who are basically all tories now absolutely hate BLM. Boris threw middle England under his NHS will get 300 million a week bus and he survived. This strategy is to keep appealing to voters in the red wall no matter what middle England thinks

  21. No offence Matt, but I think you are overly-basing your opinions on the views of “Middle England” from your home town St Albans, which being a Lib Dem fortress now is hardly representative of the Tory shires. And you are naturally over-weighting the views of your younger age group, which are massively outweighed (especially in terms of voting turnout) by the older much more small-c conservative middle class.

    In my observation (I grew up in the Red Wall), the Red Wall is totally hostile to BLM, as you observe. In the leafy Tory shires, there is an acceptance from many (not all) that policing and racial injustice is a factor that needs attention, but there is minimal support for tearing down statues and banning Cocopops (guess that’s where my own opinions roughly lie as well). While BLM focus on the latter rather than the former, it will be easy for the mainstream right to use them for political advantage.

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