Maidenhead

2015 Result:
Conservative: 35453 (65.8%)
Labour: 6394 (11.9%)
Lib Dem: 5337 (9.9%)
Green: 1915 (3.6%)
UKIP: 4539 (8.4%)
Independent: 162 (0.3%)
Others: 55 (0.1%)
MAJORITY: 29059 (54%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Berkshire. The western part of the Windsor and Maidenhead council area and part of the Wokingham council area to the east of Reading.

Main population centres: Maidenhead, TWyford, Bray, Wargrave, Cookham.

Profile: The constituency consists of the town of Maidenhead itself, an affluent town on the Thames with strong high-tech and pharmaceutical industries, but also stretches south-west to include a swathe of countryside right up to the suburbs of Reading. The seat includes the villages of Cookham, Wargrave, Twyford and Bray - now best known as the location of Heston Blumenthal`s restaurant The Fat Duck, named as the best restaurant in the world in 2005.

Politics: Affluent and middle class, politically Maidenhead has been Conservative since it was split off from the equally Conservative Windsor and Maidenhead seat in 1997. In 2001 the majority fell to just over 3,000 and the seat was supposedly one of those where the Liberal Democrats attempted to "decapitate" leading Conservative politicians. In the event the Conservative majority doubled and with beneficial boundaries charges for the Tories in 2005 it is increasingly safe.


Current MP
THERESA MAY (Conservative) Born 1956, Eastbourne. Educated at Holton Park Girls Grammar and Oxford University. Former financial consultant. Merton councillor 1986-1994. Contested North West Durham 1992, Barking 1994 by-election. First elected as MP for Maidenhead in 1997. Shadow education secretary 1999-2001, shadow transport secretary 2001-2002, Chairman of the Conservative party 2002-2004, shadow family secretary 2004-2005, shadow culture secretary 2005, shadow leader of the Commons 2005-2009, shadow work and pensions secretary 2009-2010. Home Secretary since 2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 31937 (59%)
Lab: 3795 (7%)
LDem: 15168 (28%)
UKIP: 1243 (2%)
Oth: 1577 (3%)
MAJ: 16769 (31%)
2005*
Con: 23312 (51%)
Lab: 4144 (9%)
LDem: 17081 (37%)
BNP: 704 (2%)
Oth: 609 (1%)
MAJ: 6231 (14%)
2001
Con: 19506 (45%)
Lab: 6577 (15%)
LDem: 16222 (37%)
UKIP: 741 (2%)
Oth: 272 (1%)
MAJ: 3284 (8%)
1997
Con: 25344 (50%)
Lab: 9205 (18%)
LDem: 13363 (26%)
Oth: 1339 (3%)
MAJ: 11981 (24%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
THERESA MAY (Conservative) See above.
CHARLES SMITH (Labour) Educated at Warwick University. Solicitor.
ANTHONY HILL (Liberal Democrat) Former headteacher. Contested Maidenhead 2010.
HERBIE CROSSMAN (UKIP) Security consultant. Harrow councillor 1994-1998 for the Liberal Democrats. Contested Harrow West 1997 for the Referendum party, Haltemprice and Howden 2008 by-election as Independent, Harrow West 2010 for UKIP.
EMILY BLYTH (Green) Musician.
JOE WILCOX (Class War)
IAN TAPLIN (Independent)
Links
Comments - 2,731 Responses on “Maidenhead”
  1. HH – not that many still want to Remain though.

    Odds are now:

    BJ not to succeed 4/11
    BJ not to make the final two 1/2

    To win: BJ 2/1, Gove 3/1, Raab 6/1

    Hunt is 16/1

  2. I think there is a difference between how many tories are publically still for remain and how many still wish something would end Brexit but not lose them their jobs.

  3. ‘I think there is a difference between how many tories are publicly still for remain and how many still wish something would end Brexit but not lose them their jobs’.

    Exactly right. See also: a few Labour.MPs representing heavily Leave seats in the North.

  4. opinum.
    Brexit 26% – 306 Mp’s
    Lab 22% – 205 MP’s
    Con 17% – 26 MP’s
    Lib Dem 16% – 33 Mp’s
    Green 11% – 1 Mp
    Change Uk – 1% – no seats
    UKIP – 1% – no seats.

  5. The Tories’ worst ever score, in over seventy years of polling.

  6. View of No Deal
    30% – Short Term Problems but few consequences
    15% – Nothing to Fear
    30% – They would be severe consequences.

  7. 1922 committee expected to change the rules so each candidate needs a seconder and 10 futher mp’s. Will remove a few of the candidates

  8. Thats gonna upset alot of them given half of them have less than 10 MPs

  9. In this scenario, with the clock ticking, it is in nobody’s interests, neither the Conservative Party nor the country, for this succession battle to rumble on for weeks as no-hoper candidates are eliminated one by one like it’s the early rounds of Strictly Come Dancing.

    Apart feok anything else, I personally can’t bear the prospect of weeks and weeks of no-deal grandstanding by those who will be insulated from the suffering. If ’twere done, ’twere well ’twere done quickly.

  10. The new leadership rules are.
    1. Candidates need proposer and a seconder alongside 6 other MPs to stand
    2. First ballot will require candidates to win 5% of votes (17 MPs) or be eliminated (Plus whoever comes last)
    3. Second ballot will require 10% of votes (33 MPs) or be eliminated (Plus whoever comes last.)

  11. This would eliminate 3:

    Sam Gyimah
    Andrea Leadsom!
    Rory Stewart

  12. First ballot next Thursday.
    Then Tuesday to Friday of the following week.

    New PM week begining Monday 22nd July – I suspect Wednesday 24th July.

  13. ConHome have compiled a list of the number of endorsements per candidate.

    Boris Johnson – 46
    Jeremy Hunt – 32
    Michael Gove – 29
    Dominic Raab – 24
    Sajid Javid – 17 Matt Hancock – 11
    Esther McVey – 6 Mark Harper – 5
    Rory Stewart – 5 Andrea Leadsom – 3

  14. Esther McVey said earlier she has the 8 needed to get on the ballot.

  15. Javid also claming he can get to 60-70 and beat gove due to Javid being stronger on no deal.

  16. Even if you take Brexit out of the equation, it’s remarkable how quickly Tory MPs from all sides of the party, are willing to overlook Boris performance in the only big office of state he’s ever held – foreign secretary – which by any measure was pitiful

  17. They are also overlooking the fact that, as the rest of the EU absolutely loathes Boris, he’s the very last person they are likely to agree to renegotiate with even if it means hassle and disruption for them as well as us. There is no way the EU can ever be seen to allow Boris Johnson to walk away with anything that looks like a victory or even a good compromise, given the hate figure he’s become on the continent.

    I’m still hoping, if not confident, that the old dictum of the early favourite never winning the Tory leadership will still come through in the end, though at this stage it’s hard to see who the dark horse might be. Mourdant should stand, she has been good on the TV D-Day stuff in contrast to Trump.

  18. Mourdant seems unlikely to declare this late despite the fact she would probably prove popular among tory mp’s – being a genuine libreal brexiter.

  19. Exactly. I wonder why she hasn’t put her hat in the ring. As you say, it’s close to being too late now.

  20. Prehaps she has been offered one of the top 3 jobs by someone.

    Also being reported that some candidates will do a Leadsom and withdraw if they make the final two and it’s against Boris. Through I am not sure if Boris’s many critics among Tory mp’s will stand for that except if the final two is Raab or Mcvey.

  21. Theresa May is no longer Tory leader.

  22. May has confirmed she’ll remain as an MP, after she ceases to be PM in August.

  23. I have read previously that May enjoys being a constituency MP so she may stick around for quite a while. Good for her, irrespective of my feelings on her Premiership.

  24. Probably- and Philip is younger than her so is a few years off reaching Retirement age from his city job.

  25. Guess the money will come in handy as well. I attended a mining conference in Africa which Tony Blair was paid a million USD to give the keynote address at. I somewhat doubt May will be commanding those kind of fees, she’ll be lucky to get 50 quid for the after dinner speech at Maidenhead WI.

  26. Well, quite. Leaving aside my personal feelings on the two politicians, May is no Blair when it comes to public speaking (to put it mildly)’

  27. Would be a “Good leader” according to Conservative Party members:

    Net scores

    Boris +58
    Raab +47
    Javid +31
    Hunt +19
    Gove +5
    Rory S -19

    YouGov June 11-14, 892 Cons members.

  28. 46% of Tory Members would be happy to Nigel Farage as Tory leader and the majority put Brexit ahead of the Union and serious damage to the Economy.

  29. CCHQ has confirmed that postal ballots will go out to members on 4th July.

  30. The latest ConHome poll of members has Raab beating Hunt, Gove and Javid in a postal ballot, with Stewart finishing last.

    Contrary to the twitterati’s love of Rory.

    Boris v Raab in a postal ballot would be a proper choice of Leavers.

  31. The tory membership shows we are heading for a culture war in the UK just like the USA is (But without moral issues like Abortion being prominent).

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