Maidenhead

2015 Result:
Conservative: 35453 (65.8%)
Labour: 6394 (11.9%)
Lib Dem: 5337 (9.9%)
Green: 1915 (3.6%)
UKIP: 4539 (8.4%)
Independent: 162 (0.3%)
Others: 55 (0.1%)
MAJORITY: 29059 (54%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Berkshire. The western part of the Windsor and Maidenhead council area and part of the Wokingham council area to the east of Reading.

Main population centres: Maidenhead, TWyford, Bray, Wargrave, Cookham.

Profile: The constituency consists of the town of Maidenhead itself, an affluent town on the Thames with strong high-tech and pharmaceutical industries, but also stretches south-west to include a swathe of countryside right up to the suburbs of Reading. The seat includes the villages of Cookham, Wargrave, Twyford and Bray - now best known as the location of Heston Blumenthal`s restaurant The Fat Duck, named as the best restaurant in the world in 2005.

Politics: Affluent and middle class, politically Maidenhead has been Conservative since it was split off from the equally Conservative Windsor and Maidenhead seat in 1997. In 2001 the majority fell to just over 3,000 and the seat was supposedly one of those where the Liberal Democrats attempted to "decapitate" leading Conservative politicians. In the event the Conservative majority doubled and with beneficial boundaries charges for the Tories in 2005 it is increasingly safe.


Current MP
THERESA MAY (Conservative) Born 1956, Eastbourne. Educated at Holton Park Girls Grammar and Oxford University. Former financial consultant. Merton councillor 1986-1994. Contested North West Durham 1992, Barking 1994 by-election. First elected as MP for Maidenhead in 1997. Shadow education secretary 1999-2001, shadow transport secretary 2001-2002, Chairman of the Conservative party 2002-2004, shadow family secretary 2004-2005, shadow culture secretary 2005, shadow leader of the Commons 2005-2009, shadow work and pensions secretary 2009-2010. Home Secretary since 2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 31937 (59%)
Lab: 3795 (7%)
LDem: 15168 (28%)
UKIP: 1243 (2%)
Oth: 1577 (3%)
MAJ: 16769 (31%)
2005*
Con: 23312 (51%)
Lab: 4144 (9%)
LDem: 17081 (37%)
BNP: 704 (2%)
Oth: 609 (1%)
MAJ: 6231 (14%)
2001
Con: 19506 (45%)
Lab: 6577 (15%)
LDem: 16222 (37%)
UKIP: 741 (2%)
Oth: 272 (1%)
MAJ: 3284 (8%)
1997
Con: 25344 (50%)
Lab: 9205 (18%)
LDem: 13363 (26%)
Oth: 1339 (3%)
MAJ: 11981 (24%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
THERESA MAY (Conservative) See above.
CHARLES SMITH (Labour) Educated at Warwick University. Solicitor.
ANTHONY HILL (Liberal Democrat) Former headteacher. Contested Maidenhead 2010.
HERBIE CROSSMAN (UKIP) Security consultant. Harrow councillor 1994-1998 for the Liberal Democrats. Contested Harrow West 1997 for the Referendum party, Haltemprice and Howden 2008 by-election as Independent, Harrow West 2010 for UKIP.
EMILY BLYTH (Green) Musician.
JOE WILCOX (Class War)
IAN TAPLIN (Independent)
Links
Comments - 2,731 Responses on “Maidenhead”
  1. Will she set out her departure plan? Sounds like she will.
    Feels a bit party political to do such a speech behind closed doors through and not like May national interest style.

  2. May resigning.
    Labour Mp’s who vote the deal face another issue now because May’s replacement is likely to be even more unpopular among labour memebrs than May is.

  3. Vote on the Withdrawal agreement on tommrow at 2.30.
    Will it pass? Or not? Who knows. Will be close.

  4. Don’t see how it can be.pass if DUP retain the same stance, along with hardcore ERG members. The pressure is off Lab frankly…doesn’t look like they are going to be blamed for the deal not passing. So why bother voting for May deal unless you particularly happen to love it. I think May will have to go anyway even if her deal.doesn’t pass.

  5. The DUP are in talks today with Gavin Willamson but not sure if its enough time for them to change their mind. If they it will still need 12 or more Labour mps to overrule the hardcore ERG and the remainers

  6. The DUP have confirmed they will vote against (and dont seem willing to consider even abstaining tommrow.)

  7. That’s early business. Is it cause its mot a sitting day?

  8. That’s usual Friday closing time.

  9. Prediction deal will pass on Labour votes. Tory rebels (Brexit and remain) under 20.
    This will then trigger anger among Labour People vote mp’s and a few more will take the jump to TIG by next Friday.

  10. The House wasn’t due to sit today, but MPs voted so they could.

    But yes, a few do attend on some Fridays – mainly Chope et al for Private Members Bills etc.

    It certainly should be within 50 votes either way and so the closest MV yet.

  11. “Prediction deal will pass on Labour votes. Tory rebels (Brexit and remain) under 20.
    This will then trigger anger among Labour People vote mp’s and a few more will take the jump to TIG by next Friday.”

    I can’t see a cat in hell’s chance of the deal passing today. I don’t see the Labour votes you talk about, and the Tory rebels in aggregate will surely be closer to 50 than 20. And the DUP are so dug in now they aren’t going to flip, at least today.

    The sight of IDS and Boris Johnson coming onboard to support the deal will repel soft Remainers on the Labour side from voting for it, especially now that some kind of customs union seems tantalisingly close.

    The question is whether defeat tonight really is the end of the road for Mother Theresa or whether MV4 will make an appearance in the next fortnight.

  12. Theresa May loses (again), this time by a majority of 58.

    It’s such a high-risk game she’s playing. Every time she brings this deal back to the Commons strengthens the case for People’s Vote

  13. I suppose it’s getting closer each time. A lot.of chat now about a long extension and taking part in the EU elections.

    I’m afraid that any sympathy I may have once felt towards Mrs May has long since dissipated.

  14. “the Tory rebels in aggregate will surely be closer to 50 than 20.”

    In the end there were 34. So BM11 was very slightly closer than my estimate.

    We’re now down to the hardcore though, and I do not see Brexit progressing unless the PM changes tack to a softer strategy. The paradox being that if she stands down she will be replaced by someone even less likely to be prepared to agree a softer deal. What a mess.

  15. I can see Villers for example on switching to vote for the deal if the DUP does. She became very close to them as NI Secretary.
    Lucky it wasn’t a draw or very close as SNP Mp John Mcnally has been off on compassionate leave this week due to his mother’s death.
    Only 5 labour rebels (and two abstentions). If it either becomes no deal vs May deal then it would pass on Labour votes but as Emma Lewel Buck has said today – today wasn’t that type of vote.

  16. A general election will have to happen. Can’t see anyway else unless May decides to go for an option that would lead to a half the government walking out.

  17. Reports this evening of a group of minsters urging May to declare No deal. If she does through she loses 15 or more minsters.

  18. “I can see Villers for example on switching to vote for the deal if the DUP does.”

    The DUP have stated today that they prefer to Remain in the EU rather than sign up to the backstop. They aren’t going to vote for the deal.

    “Reports this evening of a group of minsters urging May to declare No deal. If she does through she loses 15 or more minsters.”

    No Deal isn’t going to happen. Despite the posturing on both sides, neither side will allow it to happen. Even if it means revoking A50 at midnight on 11th April, that is more likely than No Deal.

    Not sure a GE solves anything either, though I agree it’s becoming likely. I can’t see either side getting a majority so there would still be the same lack of consensus on any Brexit proposal. IMO there will be a long extension whilst we decide how to move forward, likely that will involve either a second referendum or a GE.

  19. May has basically said no deal is no go.

  20. As HH said – No Deal.almost certain not to happen. There has naturally been some posturing on this, but notice that May has even stopped doing that. It’s off the table barring the most cataclysmic arse up in British politics since WW2 at least)

  21. If the DUP really want remain over Mays Deal then I think it could go that way

  22. I have always supported the PM although the negotiation was flawed. No deal was not kept properly on the table. she’s incredibly resilient and patient. We have to get this concluded.
    I also want to get on with highlighting the other good work this government is doing.

  23. The latest is a letter signed by many in the cabinet, such as Leadsom, Hunt and Javid, saying no long extension and by implication no custom union.

  24. I can’t see an alternative theyve missed the 22nd of May deadline May has basically said the euro elections are guarenteed

  25. 150 did vote for No Deal, so not the 60 a lot kept saying, but I tend to agree with HH that it’s still less likely than some last minute deal. After all it only takes say 20 to switch and others who voted against last time to abstain next time for it to pass by a couple of votes next week.

    Revocation has been the least popular choice even amongst MPs, but it is amusing to hear the BBC keep listing it and a 2nd ref before no deal.

  26. Here we go for another week of who knows what will happen. A few tory soft brexiters are starting to hint they could switch from support to opposition and it is possible that some of those who switched to supporting the deal might switch back due to thinking that prehaps a no deal can happen after all as they so wish.

  27. In the end the Tories may feel it a good idea to step back and let Labour run the country for a bit.

  28. Now THAT would surely be putting party before country. What is the point of the Conservative Party if it is sanguine about Jeremy Corbyn becoming Prime Minister?

  29. He can do less damage if he leads an unstable minority administration for a couple of months, making himself so unpopular that he goes down to a massive election defeat to Boris Johnson in the Autumn? As opposed to the Tories staggering on for another year and making themselves so unpopular that Corbyn wins a majority.

    (I’m not convinced myself but believe the idea is being considered on the Tory side, not least as a way of getting May out)

    Totally agree about politicians putting party before country but both Labour and the Tories have been doing nothing but that ever since Cameron made the fateful decision to hold the referendum.

    Clearly the best short term outcome for the Tory party (a hard Brexit, or even No Deal) is not necessarily the best outcome for the country at the moment.

  30. 3

  31. 3 Hour political cabinet tommrow, then after a one hour break, a further two hours of normal cabinet is being seen as precipitating a general election but while that will probably be discussed I suspect it could also be to discuss the Tory campaign in any EU election and how to counter UKIP and the Brexit Party etc.

  32. Campaigning in the Euros is toxic. Can you imagine knocking on a door and explaining we’re only having these elections because Brexit wasn’t sorted in time but please still vote for us

  33. A five hour Cabinet meeting, led by Theresa May? Sounds wonderful.

  34. Well all options defeated again.
    Reduces the chances of her pulling the election plug this week.

  35. Clarke amendment was close once again, but yup, the situation is still as clear as mud.

  36. Why on earth the DUP voted against the simplest and most viable solution to their border issue remains a total mystery to me. They could have taken it over the line…

  37. I don’t think they did did they?

    Like the Lib Dems they abstained. Much the same I suppose when as you say it would have taken them over the line.

    I struggle with the Lib Dems more though. This is something they have campaigned for for 3 years…

  38. The hardline no dealers are said to be cock a hoop and confident of victory.

  39. The Lib Dems have said they don’t want to vote for any version of Brexit. So they voted for confirmatory vote and revocation, and abstained on the other options.

  40. As for a GE I suppose it depends on if the deal is put to the commons again and fails again

  41. which I’d understand had they not campaigned for the single market and customs union for the last 3 years. I mean this is an issue they’ve genuinely moved the overton window on. If you think back to the Lancaster House speech and the red lines the idea we’d ever get this close to winning support for the single market let alone the customs union is mental and I say this as someone who isn’t keen on either.

    The Lib Dems are the guy in betting shop who keeps putting his winnings in the machine.

    They’d do better with the bird in the hand than wait for the two in the bush

  42. Changed my mind again.
    I think a no deal will happen – May will go all bravado and even try and progue parliament or do something to block it

  43. Steve Baker joins Christopher Chope in calling for a vote of no confidence in their own PM

  44. Matt: you are quite right that the Lib Dems are playing a high-risk, no-compromise game, it is quite irresponsible in a way and perhaps the next round of indicative votes should have a ranking preference system, or require MPs to select at least half the options, guaranteeing something would get a majority.

    That said, the Lib Dems compromised nine years ago and it nearly killed them. Understandable then they might lean towards purity.

  45. On Steve Baker – he actually came out of Laura Kunessberg’s documentary as a strangely sympathetic figure. He really, really believes in this stuff, he was in tears at one point when he felt the dream slipping away. The evidence would suggest he’d be prepared to suffer a Labour government in return for his precious Brexit – and if Corbyn calls a confidence vote before 11th, all Baker and his mates need to do is vote down the PM so there is no sitting government to make any decisions or seek an extension, and wait for the cliff-edge.

  46. If there are another round of indicative votes. The speaker blocked Mays Deal after 2 tries. Brexitiers may try to argue that the same applies for indicative votes

  47. ‘On Steve Baker – he actually came out of Laura Kunessberg’s documentary as a strangely sympathetic figure’

    He struck me as even weirder than I thought beforehand and I felt totally uncomfortable that somebody like him is representing me and the other 65-odd million people who live in the UK in Parliament

  48. The latest is that they wont be any indicative votes per se tommrow but Lewtin and Cooper will introduce a bill to force the goverment to ask for an extension.
    May deal v No deal for MV4 would be close – plenty of labour mp’s would vote for it but then the ERG switchers would switch away if it really looked like the no deal they want would happen.

  49. I agree with Tim…Baker came across as a bit unhinged frankly. Probably the nuttiest MP currently sitting and goodness knows there’s some competition.

  50. Crispin Blunt now saying he’d consider voting against the government in vote of confidence

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