Luton North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 12739 (29.9%)
Labour: 22243 (52.2%)
Lib Dem: 1299 (3.1%)
Green: 972 (2.3%)
UKIP: 5318 (12.5%)
MAJORITY: 9504 (22.3%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Eastern, Bedfordshire. Part of the Luton council area.

Main population centres: Luton.

Profile: A wholly urban seat, entirely consisting of the northern part of Luton. Luton was historically a manufacturing town, originally for hats (hence the nickname of Luton Town football club, based in the constituency) and more recently for Vauxhall cars and Electrolux. The Vauxhall car plant closed in 2002 and the fast growing London Luton Airport, the hub of EasyJet`s operations, is becoming a far more important part of the local economy - Luton reportedly has the highest proportion of taxi drivers per head of anywhere in the UK. The constituency has a high proportion of ethnic minorities, in the 2011 census almost half the population was non-white and one in five were Muslim.

Politics: A marginal seat between Labour and the Conservatives, but one where the Conservatives seem to be making little progress - the Conservatives did not just fail to take the seat in 2010, they went backwards, with the election producing a small swing to Labour. This wasn`t unusual in Scotland or in no hoper seats for the Conservatives, but happened in very few English marginals.


Current MP
KELVIN HOPKINS (Labour) Born 1941, Leicester. Educated at Queen Elizabet`s Grammar School for Boys and Nottingham University. Former trade union officer. Luton councillor 1972-1976. Contested Luton North 1983. First elected as MP for Luton North in 1997. A member of the Socialist Campaign Group.
Past Results
2010
Con: 13672 (32%)
Lab: 21192 (49%)
LDem: 4784 (11%)
UKIP: 1564 (4%)
Oth: 1806 (4%)
MAJ: 7520 (17%)
2005*
Con: 12575 (32%)
Lab: 19062 (49%)
LDem: 6081 (16%)
UKIP: 1255 (3%)
Oth: 149 (0%)
MAJ: 6487 (17%)
2001
Con: 12210 (31%)
Lab: 22187 (57%)
LDem: 3795 (10%)
UKIP: 934 (2%)
MAJ: 9977 (25%)
1997
Con: 16234 (34%)
Lab: 25860 (55%)
LDem: 4299 (9%)
Oth: 939 (2%)
MAJ: 9626 (20%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
DEAN RUSSELL (Conservative)
KELVIN HOPKINS (Labour) See above.
AROOSA ULZAMAN (Liberal Democrat)
ALLAN WHITE (UKIP)
SOFIYA AHMED (Green)
Links
Comments - 62 Responses on “Luton North”
  1. Just to clarify – I’m a green!

    But, in Danczuk’s case, he had already behaved in a way which should have deprived him of the whip when the sexual allegations arose, and (similar to Fallon) his responses to the allegations gave more questions than answers.

    Campbell has always been a loose cannon, but I don’t know the allegations you’re referring to.

    Lewis has been reprimanded for his misogynistic “joke”. What else has he done? Also – isn’t tbere a danger of equivocating serious wrongdoing with trivia? I said the same about the tory list, which contains a lot of vague claims and some which don’t even suggest particularly unacceptable behaviour.

  2. The “fake news” phenomenon is massively relevant here. There will be a swarm of claims to confuse the masses, hide some of the serious wrongdoing, and leave the public with the notion “they’re all the same”. It needs to be challenged.

  3. Apolgies – I’m mixing up my MPs for Wansbeck and Blyth. Same applies to Lavery….we need to know more.

  4. I agree with that. The Hopkins story suggests he’s nothing more than a silly old fool. The only serious allegation is the groin thing but it’s impossible to prove whether it was intended or indeed whether it happened at all.

  5. Chris Riley – the party leader doesn’t suspend or expel a member of the party though he may well choose to express an opinion on it. A whip would be withdrawn or suspended in consultation with the party leader however. In this case the NEC has suspended Hopkins, and suspension from the party automatically means suspension from taking the Labour whip.

  6. @Barnaby

    yes, I’m using a shorthand. The party has, in my view, behaved well here and as a sceptic (to put it mildly) of the leadership it has come as a pleasant surprise.

  7. Corbyn appears to have reverted to his (pre-General Election) angry man mood of evading journalists’ questions and being abrupt in a way that just looked downright silly on BBC News and the Daily Politics – when asked why he promoted Kelvin to the Shadow Cabinet after allegations were provided to Labour HQ..

  8. I’m not sure I agree with Chris. I’m a ‘corbynite’ yet you don’t hear me claiming its been a stitch up

  9. Matthew Parris’ view in his piece – that politicians will continue to engage in risky behaviour from Hampstead Heath, to rentboys and extra-marital affairs shagging their secretaries – is interesting.

    It’s difficult to know whether it’s a personality trait, or they just think they can get away with it.

    He is also reminded me of the Maggie belief (that there’s something inherently suspicious about men with facial hair, in particular beards). Although she also disliked Lawson and Hezza’s ‘louche’ hair. Crabb has a beard and found himself sacked and Kelvin H’s texts remind me of the texts sent by the weardy beardy of Portsmouth himself.

    No DH, I am not being homophobic re Jerry Hayes’ Rentaghost goatee or biphobic re Michael Fabricant’s hair (piece).

  10. @Matt

    That’s the point. I expected people to do that and Hopkins to be protected. I was wrong in that expectation.

    As someone on the left, but profoundly sceptical of Corbyn (or, more properly, him and some of the people he is surrounded by) it has been a pleasant surprise and made me reassess my view.

  11. LANCS OBSERVER –

    “No DH, I am not being homophobic re Jerry Hayes’ Rentaghost goatee or biphobic re Michael Fabricant’s hair (piece).”

    I think the qualification of finding Fabricant’s hair suspect would mean just about everyone would be biphobic!

  12. Here’s one for you to ponder, EcoW:

    Paul Waugh writes that it was the same month in which Simon Danczuk was suspended, that the Leader and HQ were made aware of the similar allegation against Kelvin Hopkins.

    Although the conspiracy of those on both ConHome and Labour blogs is that the List is all the doings of Mandy and GO, as some Tory SpAd now works for one of their outfits.

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