Loughborough

2015 Result:
Conservative: 25762 (49.5%)
Labour: 16579 (31.9%)
Lib Dem: 2130 (4.1%)
Green: 1845 (3.5%)
UKIP: 5704 (11%)
MAJORITY: 9183 (17.7%)

Category: Semi-marginal Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Leicestershire. Part of the Charnwood council area.

Main population centres: Loughborough, Shepsted, Sileby, Quorn, Barrow upon Soar,.

Profile: The seat consists of the town of Loughborough, most widely associated with its famously sporty university, the dormitory town of Shepsted on the M1 to the west and smaller villages of the Soar valley to the east, including Sileby, Quorn and Barrow upon Soar. Quorn is associated with the famous Quorn hunt, although it actually left the village a century ago and is based elsewhere in Leicestershire. The meat substitute Quorn is also reportedly named after the village, but has no other connection to it.

Politics: Loughborough is a key marginal, having been won by the party that received the most seats at every general election since February 1974. Before that the seat contained part of the Leicestershire coalfield and was a safe Labour seat.


Current MP
NICKY MORGAN (Conservative) Born 1972, Kingston on Thames. Educated at Surbiton High School and Oxford University. Former solicitor. Contested Islington South 2001, Loughborough 2005. First elected as MP for Loughborough in 2010. Economic Secretary 2013-2014, Financial Secretary 2014. Education Secretary since 2014.
Past Results
2010
Con: 21971 (42%)
Lab: 18227 (34%)
LDem: 9675 (18%)
BNP: 2040 (4%)
Oth: 925 (2%)
MAJ: 3744 (7%)
2005*
Con: 17102 (37%)
Lab: 19098 (41%)
LDem: 8258 (18%)
UKIP: 1094 (2%)
Oth: 588 (1%)
MAJ: 1996 (4%)
2001
Con: 15638 (35%)
Lab: 22016 (50%)
LDem: 5667 (13%)
UKIP: 933 (2%)
MAJ: 6378 (14%)
1997
Con: 19736 (38%)
Lab: 25448 (49%)
LDem: 6190 (12%)
MAJ: 5712 (11%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
NICKY MORGAN (Conservative) See above.
MATTHEW O`CALLAGHAN (Labour) Educated at Ashby-de-la-Zouch Grammar School. Business consultant. Melton councillor and former Leicestershire councillor.
STEVE COLTMAN (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Selhurst Grammar School and Southampton University. Retired chemical projects manager.
BILL PIPER (UKIP) Educated at Royal Latin School.
MATT SISSON (Green)
Links
Comments - 397 Responses on “Loughborough”
  1. TIM JONES – “She’s standing up for what she believes in’

    Really? By criticising someone for wearing leather pants? And her own logic of “I’d have to think how I’d explain myself to constituents” doesn’t strike me as being born out of principle, either. It hardly shows great political principle, does it? Where was her criticism of Cameron when he lambasted Corbyn for wearing a cheap suit that hadn’t been personally tailored? Forget the sexism; that was so blatant, and yet she couldn’t use the same “principle” to defend Jeremy Corbyn and his modest lifestyle?

    I think she has been subconsciously sexist, but I am not too worried about that, as she did it primarily out of descrimination against her political rival, rather than for consciously sexist ideas. I also think it is fair game to report that May is wearing a 1k pair of trousers, providing they do the same to male politicians. But please, don’t try to paint this political eye-scratching as principled.

  2. She used to support leaving the EU as well.

    One word sums her up ‘airhead’

  3. LD GAIN

  4. “Sadly, the ragged band of nutcase Europhiles will find any excuse to take a pot shot at the Prime Minister. They do not believe the result of the referendum should be honoured. They are working to find any means possible to undermine the position of the PM and her Brexit ministers.” Nadine Dorries MP.

    Seriously though, cutting out the hyperbole and “subverting democracy” rhetoric, Nadine Dorries is correct that the price of a pair of leather trousers is merely being used as a proxy for something more important.

  5. “the price of a pair of leather trousers is merely being used as a proxy for something more important”

    Welcome to British political discourse 2016…

  6. RIVERS10 – Depressing, isn’t it.

    But look on the bright side. It’s nearly Christmas, and here’s something I think all the contributors here can get behind. Let’s keep the X-Factor off Christmas number one:

    https://youtu.be/RJmo2_a4RJ8

  7. The Quentin Letts article was a classic.

  8. [email protected]
    Disappointed to be sacked from the Stupendous momentum Green trousers team.
    A wonderful role.

  9. Labour has held the marginal ward of Loughborough Shelthorpe (the other seat is Tory) by just 595 votes to 591. Don’t know if that is partially a student ward, in which case the students wouldn’t have been around?

  10. Labour has selected Stuart Brady for this constituency.

  11. I can see Nicky Morgan back in the cabinet under the next Tory PM – she seems to have suddenly built bridges with the ERG and backs the Malthouse compromise.

  12. I mean, the ERG should be grateful for the likes of Morgan for allowing a meaningful vote to take place at all. Without the rebellion back in December 2017 they would probably have had to go along with whatever Theresa May came up with.

  13. Yes, Morgan will be back in the Cabinet at some point. The one stumbling block may be actually holding on to her seat, however.

  14. Her seat is safer than Amber Rudd’s of course.

  15. Morgan supporting the fantasy island Brady amendment is a big black mark against her in my book. Ditto the other Tory remainers who voted for it, including my own MP. They were three line whipped I suppose. But it does nothing other than make the UK look ridiculous whilst the clock runs down to no deal.

  16. Morgan seems to have changed her views in the last few weeks – she abstained on Spellman,Greive, Reeves and Cooper. Soames backed Greive and Cooper but voted against Spellman and Reeves (odd to vote against Spellman but back the more controversial Greive and Copper amendments)
    The Plan B for the Matlhouse deal Morgan is backing is the managed no deal nonsense she was rallying against the other month,.

  17. ~Nonsense is prehaps too strong but deeply flawed.

  18. Managed no deal makes about as much sense as a managed heart attack. Our politicians have become an internationallaughing stock.

  19. Also just noticed Jo Johnson was another who has turned – a public People’s Vote supporter who voted against Cooper. Not sure anyone else did that.

  20. ‘Managed no deal makes about as much sense as a managed heart attack.’

    That’s a very apt way if putting it

  21. Apart from anything else, there isn’t time to hold a referendum without extending Article 50. That means you can’t consistently support a people’s vote and oppose Cooper-Boles.

  22. Nicky Morgan has said that the Tories should consider replacing Thressa May by the end of the year but also that extending Article 50 would be bad idea. Morgan views seem to be changing a bit as a few months ago she was anti no deal and she must know the deal she backs may not pass (and the Malthouse plan she backs has collapsed.)

  23. Nicky Morgan back in the cabinet as culture Secretary.
    Vacancy as Treasury select committee chair – a few of the anti no dealers who have left government will be interested in that.

  24. In terms of political balance Johnson’s cabinet doesn’t duffer that greatly from May’s

    When it comes to competence I;m not so sure. Obviously poor performers like Grayling and Bradley gave gone but I think the likes of Hammond, Gauke and Mourdant – who all good grasps of their briefs – will be missed

    And I fathom to understand why he’s brought back Viliers – a woeful Parliamentarian who was found out after being overpromoted several years ago

  25. Nicky Morgan has let slip that she is “open-minded” about abolishing the BBC licence fee.

    Remember when she used to be one of the most moderate Tory MPs? Even as the party has shifted to the right, she has done so probably faster than anyone else.

  26. tbf if there was a more progressive way of generating revenue for our public broadcasters I’d be in favour of that instead of tge current licence

  27. I’m not sure this is a left/ right issue. I don’t mind paying the license fee personally, but I wonder how sustainable it is long term.

  28. ‘I’m not sure this is a left/ right issue’

    It’s not

    Although fellow abolitionists to tend to be on the far Right of the Tory Party – the most prominent being northern monkey Andrew Bridgen

  29. Nicky Morgan has announced that she is standing down at the next election. As per Kuennsberg, this is more of a personal decision rather than one based on the direction/ tone of the current Tory party.

  30. She’s a bad fit for the seat. She’d have fitted in better in a posh Remainy home counties seat. She and Raab should have swapped constituencies.

    Btw you’re right about the TV license. Though I support the BBC there’s no way the license model can survive the Netflix era.

  31. Not sure about “bad fit”. She’s been able to hold the constituency quite well three times.

  32. Because 99% of people vote for the party and not the candidate?

    I meant in terms of her demeanour rather than her electoral performance.

    She was born in Surbiton in the Margot Leadbetter era, when it was much posher and less liberal and diverse than today….Margot likely moved to Esher in the 1990s which happens to be Raab’s seat.

  33. @ HH

    One of my better anecdotes was from Surbiton where I took my wife to be on the train after we had been down in Dorset.

    I knew a good Sri Lankan/Thai restaurant there to take her and we’d had all the Goode Life stuff beforehand. Got off the train- someone being arrested, went to the pub and when we came out the pub- someone being arrested. Went and had the meal and came out- someone being arrested.

    I managed to keep it up for a while that this was just normal for London and isn’t it like that in Wigan?

  34. HH: Nicky Morgan used to be Association Chairman in my old branch in Battersea until shortly before I joined (in 2010). She would have been a good fit there. We got Jane Ellison, who beat Louise Mensch and Philippa Stroud, who eventually contested Sutton and Cheam. I don’t know whether she got on a long list there.

    By the way, I was wondering whether Jane Ellison would have been one of the rebels or stayed loyal (she was a Minister under Theresa May, but I don’t think would have stayed on under Johnson). She was a very strong Remainer and supporter of Philip Hammond; she was his Special Adviser for a few months after losing in 2017, before she got her current job at the World Health Organisation. She must regard having lost as a blessing in disguise. The Evening Standard reported tonight that her successor, Kim Caddy, makes no mention of Boris at all in her leaflets, preferring to focus on her achievements as a Wandsworth councillor and Lead Member for Housing, which to be fair, have been considerable.

  35. WV:
    I know wrong thread but would be interested to know who you think will win Battersea this time.

  36. SBJME19: I’ve genuinely no idea. I thought the Liberal Democrats would do far better in 2017, and said as much on the Battersea thread (I heard at an Association meeting that they were thought to be the main threat). Of course, I was completely wrong. The ground campaign was poor and Labour flooded the area with activists, and they got the message through that they were the Remain party.

    If I had to say who I thought would win, I would expect Marsha de Cordova to hold on narrowly. She has by all accounts been a very poor MP (her main focus is disability rights issues; I see nothing wrong in this, and she has done brilliantly as a partially-sighted person in becoming an MP, but if you’re going to do that job, you really have got to serve your constituents properly. Her big error was not to set up a proper constituency office – Jane Ellison told me people were still writing to her several weeks after she lost the seat.

    However, Labour did very well in Wandsworth in the council elections in 2018, and the seat is undoubtedly still very Remain-leaning (there is a very large European, principally French population, with many French people married to Britons), and there won’t be the incumbency factor with Jane Ellison this time. Kim Caddy is an excellent candidate, and I am trying to work out whether to vote for her as a personal vote, or to protest and vote Liberal Democrat as I did in the European Parliament. How the Liberal Democrats do (they won 36% in the European election, with the Brexit Party second on 17%; how many other moderate Conservative voters face the same dilemma as me?) may determine the result.

  37. Thanks for that insight

  38. Matt, perhaps I was being overly harsh towards Marsha, for which I apologise (I was typing in a hurry on a train, never a sensible thing to do, as one tends not to proof read; very poor was too strong). Her mistake, as I said, was not to get a proper office up and running, and this affected the service she could provide. It may be better now (I am rarely in the constituency these days, but have never got round to re-registering in Sussex). I think, as I said above, that she will probably hold the seat, judging by the local election results in 2018. Previously, the only ward in Battersea which Labour held with any comfort was Latchmere, which runs from the Wandsworth Roundabout almost up to Battersea Park, and largely consists of council housing. Now it and Queenstown are overwhelmingly safe, and Labour almost took several previously safe Conservative wards.

    By the way, can I join others in congratulating you on your upcoming wedding.

  39. I didn’t mean owt by thst i genuinely thought it was insightful. Thanks

  40. Anyone else find it a bit strange that Nicky Morgan has been relatively prominent in the campaign so far? One wonders what CCHQ have offered her in return for her efforts.

  41. Baroness Morgan?

  42. Baroness Morgan it is.

  43. So my question above (about Morgan’s prominence in the election campaign) has been answered. She stays on as Culture Secretary and becomes a life peer. I like her despite her rather shameless about turn so I’m pleased she’s sticking around.

  44. I don’t know why she would have stepped down from the Commons if she wanted to stay on as a Cabinet minister. Change of heart when it was too late, perhaps?

  45. Apparently the Culture department will be abolished in February in the major reshuffle, so she’s just agreed to stay on in the interim. Makes sense.

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