Liberal Democrat Candidates

The following seats have selected Lib Dem candidates for the next general election:
Page last updated 29th Dec 2014

Aberavon - Helen Ceri Clarke (Labour majority 11039)
Aberconwy - Victor Babu (Conservative majority 3398, LD in 3rd)
Aldershot - Alan Hilliar (Conservative majority 5586)
Altrincham & Sale West - Jane Brophy (Conservative majority 11595)
Amber Valley - Kate Smith (Conservative majority 536, LD in 3rd)
Angus - Sanjay Samani (SNP majority 3282, LD in 4th)
Ashfield - Jason Zadrozny (Labour majority 192)
Basingstoke - Janice Spalding (Conservative majority 13176)
Bassetlaw - Leon Duveen (Labour majority 8215, LD in 3rd)
Bath - Steve Bradley (Lib Dem majority 11883)
Bedford - Mahmud Henry Rogers (Conservative majority 1353, LD in 3rd)
Berwick-upon-Tweed - Julie Porksen (Lib Dem majority 2690)
Bexhill & Battle - Rachel Sadler (Conservative majority 12880)
Birmingham, Edgbaston - Lee Dargue (Labour majority 1274, LD in 3rd)
Birmingham, Hall Green - Jerry Evans (Labour majority 3799, LD in 3rd)
Birmingham, Northfield - Steve Haynes (Labour majority 2782, LD in 3rd)
Birmingham, Selly Oak - Colin Green (Labour majority 3482, LD in 3rd)
Blyth Valley - Jonathan Wallace (Labour majority 6668)
Bognor Regis & Littlehampton - Francis Oppler (Conservative majority 13063)
Bosworth - Michael Mullaney (Conservative majority 5032)
Brent Central - Ibrahim Taguri (Lib Dem majority 1345)
Brentwood & Ongar - David Kendall (Conservative majority 16921)
Bridgwater & Somerset West - Justine Baker (Conservative majority 9249)
Brighton, Pavilion - Chris Bowers (Green majority 1252, LD in 4th)
Bristol East - Abdul Malik (Labour majority 3722, LD in 3rd)
Bristol North West - Clare Campion-Smith (Conservative majority 3274)
Bristol South - Mark Wright (Labour majority 4734)
Bury North - Richard Baum (Conservative majority 2243, LD in 3rd)
Bury South - Paul Ankers (Labour majority 3292, LD in 3rd)
Bury St Edmunds - Steve Chappell (Conservative majority 12380)
Calder Valley - Alisdair Calder McGregor (Conservative majority 6431, LD in 3rd)
Camborne & Redruth - Julia Goldsworthy (Conservative majority 66)
Canterbury - James Flanagan (Conservative majority 6048)
Cardiff West - Cadan ap Tomos (Labour majority 4751, LD in 3rd)
Chesterfield - Julia Cambridge (Labour majority 549)
Chichester - Andrew Smith (Conservative majority 15877)
Chorley - Stephen Fenn (Labour majority 2593, LD in 3rd)
City of Chester - Bob Thompson (Conservative majority 2583, LD in 3rd)
City of Durham - Craig Martin (Labour majority 3067)
Congleton - Peter Hirst (Conservative majority 7063)
Crewe & Nantwich - Roy Wood (Conservative majority 6046, LD in 3rd)
Croydon Central - James Fearnley (Conservative majority 2879, LD in 3rd)
Derby North - Lucy Care (Labour majority 613, LD in 3rd)
Derby South - Joe Naitta (Labour majority 6122, LD in 3rd)
Derbyshire Dales - Ben Fearn (Conservative majority 13866)
Dover - Sarah Smith (Conservative majority 5274, LD in 3rd)
Dulwich & West Norwood - James Barber (Labour majority 9365)
Ealing Central & Acton - Jon Ball (Conservative majority 3716, LD in 3rd)
East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow - Paul McGarry (Labour majority 14503, LD in 4th)
East Lothian - Ettie Spencer (Labour majority 12258, LD in 3rd)
East Surrey - David Lee (Conservative majority 16874)
Eddisbury - Ian Priestner (Conservative majority 13255)
Edinburgh South - Pramod Subbaraman (Labour majority 316)
Ellesmere Port & Neston - Trish Derraugh (Labour majority 4331, LD in 3rd)
Eltham - Alex Cunliffe (Labour majority 1663, LD in 3rd)
Epsom & Ewell - Steve Gee (Conservative majority 16134)
Erewash - Martin Garnett (Conservative majority 2501, LD in 3rd)
Erith & Thamesmead - Samson Iriajen (Labour majority 5703, LD in 3rd)
Folkestone & Hythe - Lynne Beaumont (Conservative majority 10122)
Garston & Halewood - Anna Martin (Labour majority 16877)
Gloucester - Jeremy Hilton (Conservative majority 2420, LD in 3rd)
Gordon - Christine Jardine (Lib Dem majority 6748)
Grantham & Stamford - Harrish Bisnauthsing (Conservative majority 14826)
Guildford - Kelly-Marie Blundell (Conservative majority 7782)
Hackney North & Stoke Newington - Simon de Deney (Labour majority 14461)
Hackney South & Shoreditch - Ben Mathis (Labour majority 14288)
Halifax - Mohammed Ilyas (Labour majority 1472, LD in 3rd)
Haltemprice & Howden - Carl Minns (Conservative majority 11602)
Hampstead & Kilburn - Maajid Nawaz (Labour majority 42, LD in 3rd)
Harborough - Zuffar Haq (Conservative majority 9797)
Harrogate & Knaresborough - Helen Flynn (Conservative majority 1039)
Harrow East - Ross Barlow (Conservative majority 3403, LD in 3rd)
Harwich & North Essex - Dominic Graham (Conservative majority 11447)
Hastings & Rye - Nick Perry (Conservative majority 1993, LD in 3rd)
Hazel Grove - Lisa Smart (Lib Dem majority 6371)
Hemsworth - Mary Macqueen (Labour majority 9844, LD in 3rd)
Hereford & South Herefordshire - Lucy Hurds (Conservative majority 2481)
Hexham - Jeff Reid (Conservative majority 5788)
Heywood & Middleton - Anthony Smith (Labour majority 5971, LD in 3rd)
Holborn & St Pancras - Jill Fraser (Labour majority 9942)
Hove - Lev Eakins (Conservative majority 1868, LD in 3rd)
Islington North - Julian Gregory (Labour majority 12401)
Islington South & Finsbury - Terry Stacy (Labour majority 3569)
Kenilworth & Southam - Richard Dickson (Conservative majority 12552)
Kingston-upon-Hull North - Mike Ross (Labour majority 641)
Kingston-upon-Hull West & Hessle - Claire Thomas (Labour majority 5742)
Knowsley - Carl Cashman (Labour majority 25686)
Lancashire West - Daniel Lewis (Labour majority 4343, LD in 3rd)
Leeds East - Edward Sanderson (Labour majority 10293, LD in 3rd)
Leeds North East - Aqila Choudhry (Labour majority 4545, LD in 3rd)
Lewisham East - Julia Fletcher (Labour majority 6216)
Lewisham West & Penge - Alex Feakes (Labour majority 5828)
Lewisham, Deptford - Michael Bukola (Labour majority 12499)
Liverpool, Riverside - Paul Childs (Labour majority 14173)
Liverpool, Walton - Pat Moloney (Labour majority 19818)
Liverpool, Wavertree - Leo Evans (Labour majority 7167)
Liverpool, West Derby - Paul Twigger (Labour majority 18467)
Ludlow - Charlotte Barnes (Conservative majority 9749)
Maidenhead - Anthony Hill (Conservative majority 16769)
Maidstone & The Weald - Jasper Gerard (Conservative majority 5889)
Mid Derbyshire - Hilary Jones (Conservative majority 11292, LD in 3rd)
Mid Dorset and North Poole - Vikki Slade (Lib Dem majority 269)
Mid Worcestershire - Margaret Rowley (Conservative majority 15864)
Middlesbrough - Richard Kilpatrick (Labour majority 8689)
Mitcham & Morden - Diana Coman (Labour majority 13666, LD in 3rd)
Mole Valley - Paul Kennedy (Conservative majority 15653)
Monmouth - Veronica German (Conservative majority 10425, LD in 3rd)
Montgomeryshire - Jane Dodds (Conservative majority 1184)
Morecambe & Lunesdale - Matthew Severn (Conservative majority 866, LD in 3rd)
Neath - Clare Bentley (Labour majority 9775, LD in 3rd)
Newbury - Judith Bunting (Conservative majority 12248)
Newcastle upon Tyne Central - Nick Cott (Labour majority 7466)
Newcastle upon Tyne East - Wendy Taylor (Labour majority 4453)
Newport East - Paul Halliday (Labour majority 1650)
Newport West - Ed Townsend (Labour majority 3544, LD in 3rd)
Newton Abbot - Richard Younger-Ross (Conservative majority 523)
North Dorset - Hugo Mieville (Conservative majority 7625)
North East Cambridgeshire - Lucy Netinsgha (Conservative majority 16425)
North East Fife - Tim Brett (Lib Dem majority 9048)
North East Somerset - Wera Hobhouse (Conservative majority 4914, LD in 3rd)
North Somerset - Marcus Kravis (Conservative majority 7862)
North Thanet - George Cunningham (Conservative majority 13528, LD in 3rd)
North Wiltshire - Brian Mathew (Conservative majority 7483)
Northampton North - Angela Paterson (Conservative majority 1936, LD in 3rd)
Northampton South - Sadik Chaudhury (Conservative majority 6004, LD in 3rd)
Norwich North - James Wright (Conservative majority 3901, LD in 3rd)
Nottingham East - Tad Jones (Labour majority 6969)
Nottingham North - Tony Sutton (Labour majority 8138, LD in 3rd)
Oldham East & Saddleworth - Richard Marbrow (Labour majority 103)
Oldham West & Royton - Garth Harkness (Labour majority 9352, LD in 3rd)
Oxford East - Mark Mann (Labour majority 4581)
Oxford West & Abingdon - Layla Moran (Conservative majority 176)
Penrith & The Border - Neil Hughes (Conservative majority 11241)
Pontypridd - Mike Powell (Labour majority 2785)
Poole - Philip Eades (Conservative majority 7541)
Portsmouth North - Darren Sanders (Conservative majority 7289, LD in 3rd)
Portsmouth South - Gerald Vernon-Jackson (Lib Dem majority 5200)
Preston - Jo Barton (Labour majority 7733)
Reading East - Jenny Woods (Conservative majority 7605)
Reading West - Meri O`Connell (Conservative majority 6004, LD in 3rd)
Redcar - Josh Mason (Lib Dem majority 5214)
Ribble Valley - Jackie Pearcey (Conservative majority 14769, LD in 3rd)
Richmond (Yorks) - Chris Foote-Wood (Conservative majority 23336)
Richmond Park - Robin Meltzer (Conservative majority 4091)
Rochdale - Andy Kelly (Labour majority 889)
Romsey & Southampton North - Ben Nicholls (Conservative majority 4156)
Rutland & Melton - Edward Reynolds (Conservative majority 14000)
Saffron Walden - Mike Hibbs (Conservative majority 15242)
Salisbury - Reetendranath Banerji (Conservative majority 5966)
Sevenoaks - Alan Bullion (Conservative majority 17515)
Sheffield Central - Joe Otten (Labour majority 165)
Sheffield South East - Gail Smith (Labour majority 10505)
Sheffield, Brightside & Hillsborough - Jonathan Hartson (Labour majority 13632)
Sheffield, Heeley - Simon Clement-Jones (Labour majority 5807)
Shipley - David Smith (Conservative majority 9944, LD in 3rd)
Shrewsbury & Atcham - Christine Tinker (Conservative majority 7944)
Sittingbourne & Sheppey - Keith Nevols (Conservative majority 12383, LD in 3rd)
Somerton & Frome - David Rendel (Lib Dem majority 1817)
South Cambridgeshire - Sebastian Kindersley (Conservative majority 7838)
South East Cambridgeshire - Jonathan Chatfield (Conservative majority 5946)
South East Cornwall - Phil Hutty (Conservative majority 3220)
South Norfolk - Jacky Howe (Conservative majority 10940)
South Northamptonshire - Scott Collins (Conservative majority 20478)
South Ribble - Sue McGuire (Conservative majority 5554, LD in 3rd)
South Suffolk - Grace Weaver (Conservative majority 8689)
South Thanet - Russ Timpson (Conservative majority 7617, LD in 3rd)
South West Devon - Tom Davies (Conservative majority 15874)
South West Surrey - Patrick Haveron (Conservative majority 16318)
South West Wiltshire - Trevor Carbin (Conservative majority 10367)
Spelthorne - Rosie Shimel (Conservative majority 10019)
St Albans - Sandy Walkington (Conservative majority 2305)
Stockport - Daniel Hawthorne (Labour majority 6784, LD in 3rd)
Stratford-on-Avon - Elizabeth Adams (Conservative majority 11346)
Streatham - Amna Ahmed (Labour majority 3259)
Stroud - Adrian Walker-Smith (Conservative majority 1299, LD in 3rd)
Suffolk Coastal - James Sandbach (Conservative majority 9128)
Surrey Heath - Ann-Marie Barker (Conservative majority 17289)
Swansea East - Amina Jamal (Labour majority 10838)
Swansea West - Chris Holley (Labour majority 504)
Taunton Deane - Rachel Gilmour (Lib Dem majority 3993)
Tewkesbury - Alistair Cameron (Conservative majority 6310)
The Cotswolds - Paul Hodgkinson (Conservative majority 12864)
Thirsk & Malton - Dinah Keal (Conservative majority 11281)
Tiverton & Honiton - Stephen Kearney (Conservative majority 9320)
Totnes - Julian Brazil (Conservative majority 4927)
Tottenham - Turhan Ozen (Labour majority 16931)
Truro & Falmouth - Simon Rix (Conservative majority 435)
Vauxhall - Adrian Trett (Labour majority 10651)
Wakefield - David Smith (Labour majority 1613, LD in 3rd)
Wallasey - Kris Brown (Labour majority 8507, LD in 3rd)
Warrington North - Stefan Krizanac (Labour majority 6771, LD in 3rd)
Warrington South - Bob Barr (Conservative majority 1553, LD in 3rd)
Watford - Dorothy Thornhill (Conservative majority 1425)
West Devon and Torridge - Paula Dolphin (Conservative majority 2957)
West Dorset - Ros Kayes (Conservative majority 3923)
Weston-Super-Mare - Mike Bell (Conservative majority 2691)
Wimbledon - Shas Sheehan (Conservative majority 11408)
Winchester - Jackie Porter (Conservative majority 3048)
Wirral West - Peter Reisdorf (Conservative majority 2436, LD in 3rd)
Woking - Chris Took (Conservative majority 6807)
Wokingham - Clive Jones (Conservative majority 13492)
Worthing East & Shoreham - Jemima Bland (Conservative majority 11105)
Worthing West - Hazel Thorpe (Conservative majority 11729)
Wrexham - Rob Walsh (Labour majority 3658)
Wyre & Preston North - John Potter (Conservative majority 15844)
Wythenshawe & Sale East - William Jones (Labour majority 7575, LD in 3rd)
York Central - Nick Love (Labour majority 6451, LD in 3rd)
York Outer - James Blanchard (Conservative majority 3688)

Comments - 480 Responses on “Lib Dem Candidates”
  1. Penny Baker is a Sheffield City Councillor for either Ecclesall or Fulwood ward. I’ve canvassed her house in Stannington. She will presumably be making a token effort in Doncaster but it’s interesting that there are now two Hallam councillors who are Lib Dem PPCs (the other one being Joe Otten in Sheffield Central).

  2. Jon Neal selected for Central Suffolk & Ipswich N.

    http://csnilibdems.blog.suffolk.libdems.org/2015/02/14/liberal-democrats-select-experienced-campaigner-in-central-suffolk-and-north-ipswich/

    This has been around on my patch since 14 Feb!! Sorry I missed it.

    I see that Jon Neal has stood against David Davis in 2001, 2005 & 2010. He went to uni in Hull hence his connection with Yorkshire.

    BR

  3. That’s an interesting selection. He came close to winning Haltemprice and Howden in 2001 but fell back in 2005 and 2010. That seat now looks gone forever for the Lib Dems and they could fall all the way down to fourth place in two months time. The Lib Dem candidate there is now Carl Minns.

  4. Oxford East has a new candidate: Alasdair Murray

    The previous candidate Mark Mann had stood down due to family reasons.

  5. How confident are people that the liberals will get to a full slate of candidates (bar Northern Ireland)? Using Andyjs spreadsheet (which is amazing so thanks for putting it together) the Tories and labour are pretty much there bar a couple of selections in the next week or 2 but the liberals are still 100 off with only a month to go to close of nominations.

    I know the remaining seats have no hope for them but I am surprised they are this far behind at this stage in the game

  6. I think they’ll get some takers in the final few weeks before the campaign begins in earnest- we might see quite a lot of them selected over the course of this month. It will be Madrush March for them in no-hope candidate selections I suspect.

  7. IMO Clegg will ensure they stand in every seat apart from Buckingham. It would be embarrassing for him and the party if they didn’t.

  8. IT WOULD. They’ve got to do it really. They are after all a party of government *sniggers*

  9. Updated list of LD candidates (thankfully without the photographs which was freezing my 10 year old laptop on a regular basis):

    http://www.libdems.org.uk/list_of_selected_candidates

  10. 40 new LD candidates:

    Denis Rixson (Aberdeen South)
    John Love (Airdrie & Shotts)
    Richard Brodie (Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock)
    John Duncan (Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East)
    Amanda Kubie (Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale)
    Gillian Cole-Hamilton (Dunfermline & Fife West)
    Andrew Metcalf (Dumfries & Galloway)
    Galen Milne (Falkirk)
    Jane Ann Liston (Glenrothes)
    Rod Ackland (Kilmarnock & Loudoun)
    Emma Farthing-Sykes (Linlithgow & Falkirk East)
    Charles Dundas (Livingston)
    Ross Laird (Motherwell & Wishaw)
    Iliyan Stefanov (Ochil & Perthshire South)
    Tony Hughes (Rutherglen & Hamilton West)
    Elisabeth Wilson (Stirling)
    Aileen Morton (Dunbartonshire West)
    Ruaraidh Ferguson (Na h-Eileanan an Iar)
    Ian Jenkins (Wolverhampton North East)
    Neale Upstone (Wolverhampton South West)
    Hilary Myres (Redditch)
    Ian Jackson (Cannock Chase)
    Mike Collins (Dudley North)
    Chris Bramall (Stourbridge)
    Peter Morris (Bedfordshire North East)
    Chika Akinwale (Ipswich)
    Susan Van De Ven (Stevenage)
    Richard Davis (Bexleyheath & Crayford)
    Simon Bailey (Chelsea & Fulham)
    James Murray (Houghton & Sunderland South)
    Imogen Shepherd-DuBey (New Forest West)
    Prue Bray (Rochester & Strood)
    Rebecca Taylor (Morley & Outwood)
    Ruth Coleman-Taylor (Barnsley East)
    Janice Middleton (Rotherham)
    Laura Edge (Leeds West)
    Liz Leffman (Brigg & Goole)
    Louise Harris (Scunthorpe)
    Emma Spriggs (Leeds Central)
    Joe Jordan (Hertfordshire North East)

  11. Also:

    David Grace (Clacton)
    Jonathan Mitchell (Hornchurch & Upminster)

  12. Ian Jenkins has stood in quite a few different West Midlands seats before (Dudley East, The Wrekin, Telford, Aldridge-Brownhills), and Ian Jackson stood twice in Lichfield in 2005 and 2010. Also Chris Bramall selected yet again as the Lib Dem candidate for Stourbridge.

    Prue Bray stood in Wokingham in 2005 and 2010, Galen Milne and Richard Brodie have both stood in various seats before and there are a few others on the list as well- Rod Ackland is a serial Lib Dem candidate who has fought more seats than most other perennial candidates.

  13. The LDs have 74 more candidates to select in England and 37 of them are in the Midlands: 24 in the WM and 13 in the EM. 11 are in the West Midlands county.

  14. Well that certainly makes things look better for them… I make it about 60 to go which they should easily be able to do in the 4ish weeks until close of nominations..

    I have a feeling lost deposits are going to be about 250 though at this rate as all late candidates suffer as they won’t have much time to put out more than one leaflet e.c.t

    Anyone else have a gut feeling on the number of lib dem lost deposits?

  15. It’s difficult to assess because the latest YouGov poll put them on a terrible 5% but Is still think they could go as high as 12% on election day due to personal votes (which are not just for sitting MPs. Some longstanding candidates have them as well, although not to the same extent).

  16. They’re up to 550/631? That’s not bad.

  17. I have always wondered why in a lot of seats over the years the Lib Dem candidate has been the same for several elections- and I mean in areas where they aren’t very strong. Could it be a case of there being no other local party members willing to stand because of a lack of support and there also being very few to no councillors locally?

  18. LD selections to come:

    Barnsley Central
    Basildon & Billericay
    Batley & Spen
    Bedfordshire South West
    Birmingham Hodge Hill
    Birmingham Perry Barr
    Bishop Auckland
    Bolsover
    Braintree
    Brent Central
    Broxbourne
    Burton
    Castle Point
    Chatham & Aylesford
    Coventry North West
    Daventry
    Dudley South
    Easington
    Edinburgh East
    Epping Forest
    Gedling
    Gravesham
    Great Yarmouth
    Halesowen & Rowley Regis
    Harlow
    Hartlepool
    Hertsmere
    Horsham
    Huddersfield
    Ilford North
    Ilford South
    Lanark & Hamilton East
    Leicester East
    Leicester West
    Loughborough
    Luton North
    Mansfield
    Middlesbrough South & Cleveland East
    Midlothian
    Moray
    Newark
    Normanton, Pontefract & Castleford
    Nottingham South
    Nuneaton
    Paisley & Renfrewshire North
    Rayleigh & Wickford
    Rochford & Southend East
    Rother Valley
    Rushcliffe
    Stafford
    Staffordshire South
    Stoke-on-Trent North
    Stone
    Sunderland Central
    Tamworth
    Telford
    Thurrock
    Walsall North
    Walsall South
    Wansbeck
    Warley
    Warwickshire North
    Waveney
    Wealden
    West Bromwich East
    West Bromwich West
    Worcester
    Wyre Forest

  19. As I posted elsewhere, that’s a lot of candidates the Lib Dems have yet to find only a couple of weeks before the starting gun for the election is fired. They seem to be particularly struggling in the midlands.

    Is it in any way conceivable that the Lib Dems will fail to contest all mainland UK seats (with the exception of the speaker)?

    I’d have thought that in constituencies where local Lib Dem parties are moribund their national organisation would intervene to ensure that the seat is contested in the name of the Lib Dems?

  20. Yes, the national party will be sure to put up at least a name in every seat.

    That the LDs struggle in the Midlands is hardly new news. The only places they’re strong are a few places in Leicestershire (and even then not at the Westminster level), Hereford, Ludlow (sort of), and parts of the Birmingham area. It’s not a ton to go on.

  21. Indeed, the midlands has never been the scene of much Lib Dem success.

    In addition, in many of the Labour held/Labour target seats above it’s likely that the Lib Dems are heading for lost deposits. I would suspect some unfortunate Lib Dem members will find themselves being press ganged over the next couple of weeks.

  22. Quite possibly. Lib Dems have always been good at fighting and losing with dignity, but no one likes to be an embarrassment.

  23. “Is it in any way conceivable that the Lib Dems will fail to contest all mainland UK seats (with the exception of the speaker)?”

    yes.

  24. Interesting. Can you expand on why you think that?

    Unless I’m wrong the convention since 1983 has been that all three main political parties (Liberal/SDP Alliance in 1983 and 1987) contest every mainland UK seat.

    I can think of very few exceptions.

    The Speaker seeking re-election (usually unopposed by main parties)
    Greenwich and Woolwich 1992 (Lib Dems did not oppose the last two SDP MPs)
    Tatton 1997 (pact against Neil Hamilton)
    Wyre Forest 2001 (pact against David Lock)

    What reasons would there be for the Lib Dems to break this convention?

    Pacts with other parties eg. Greens?
    Financial loss in losing so many deposits?
    Or, as P.T.Richards suggests, simply insufficient candidates willing to suffer humiliation at the polls?

  25. The actual logistical problems of getting candidates in place and financial issues.

    I don’t think it’ll happen though. They’ll field all 631.

  26. PTR

    I don’t agree…they could lose 150 deposits in the seats they already have candidates, which is a lot of money…there’s a point at which you don’t need to absorb that kind of financial pressure…

    I would actually be surprised if they fill all these in the next 5 weeks, or before the deadline to register candidates. I think it’s in early April.

  27. Another thing you guys aren’t mindful of is the fact that this election will be a historic low point for the liberal democrats.

    they got 13.9% in 1979 which is their lowest (under the old liberal party) vote share since 1970, when they didn’t contest every seat…

    so it is highly likely that 2015 will be the centre parties worst performance since 1970, in terms of vote share. That’s nearly 2 generations. I would be very surprised if they put up candidates in all these seats.

    they could heroically fill all these seats in the next month with essentially paper candidates, but I think this would be misguided.

  28. “they could heroically fill all these seats in the next month with essentially paper candidates”

    Wherever humanly possible this is exactly what they will do. It is necessary as a matter of pride and to maintain the illusion of being the third biggest party. That’s not to say that they will ever again field 600+ candidates, but they will do so in 2015 unless they absolutely can’t get people to stand. They will find the money.

  29. Hemmelig, I tend to think they’ll be in a position to absolutely field 631 in every election for the foreseeable future. Why wouldn’t they? They’ll have more seats easily than the 20 they won in ’92, and yet they had no difficulty fielding the full slate of candidates in ’92 or ’97 or ’87 for that matter.

    The Lib Dems will remain a nationally competitive party in the future, although it will likely take them decades to rebuild to the height of 2005 and 2010.

    (Fun fact about ’92: of their 20 MPs, only half were English. Nine had Scottish seats and one was Welsh (Montgomeryshire, obviously).)

  30. I still think they will get to a full slate but they are cutting it mighty fine as all has to be done by the start of April giving little over a couple of weeks. There is a real possibility that they won’t make it in one or two seats where things just didn’t come together for them at the last min.. My his won’t make the slightest difference to their vote share of performance but if it did happen it would be symbolic of how far their support and membership has fallen since 2010

  31. What are the powers of the Lib Dem high command to impose candidates to seats? They will be key to whether they manage 631 – in areas with moribund local organisations, getting a selection process organised and carried out might be beyond capacity.

  32. There does not seem to be a Liberal Democrat candidate in Tyneside North (or one has not been reported yet) as on March 14th.

  33. It may be a case that many of these candidates have already been selected, but not yet announced. It will often depend on how proactive the local party is in publicising the news

  34. The lack of a candidate in Birmingham Perry Barr shows that they’ve practically given up in that seat. Surely one of the councillors in Perry Barr ward could have volunteered to run? This will still probably be their strongest Birmingham seat outside of Yardley and I’d be very surprised if they were to lose their deposit.

    And in Walsall North, couldn’t they get Cllr Ian Shires to run, even though they’ll finish 4th?

  35. You’ve got to admire the dedication of some of these Lib Dem candidates who stand in no hope seats time and time again.

    I can understand people doing it in their local seat if they have roots there and devote a lot of time to campaigning on local issues, that’s what the Lib Dems are renowned for. But I question the motives of people who keep moving from one no hope seat to another. Unless of course these are people who move house on a fairly regular basis.

  36. I do find this interesting I must admit. It is of course no real surprise to me personally that the Lib Dems are still struggling to find candidates in several of these hopeless seats.

    RE Lib Dem candidates fighting in hopeless seats every election, it could simply be because the local party struggle to find anyone else willing to stand for them. If the local party has very little support in a particular constituency, it is usually in these instances whereby the Lib Dems are forced to bring in outsiders, but many of these typically come from neighbouring seats.

    If the candidate’s a local councillor they’re more likely to fight a no-hope seat more than once, than an outsider is. An outsider is more likely than not to be a perennial paper candidate to make the numbers up in various weak seats in the same sort of vague geographical area election after election- I think of David Cropp in the West Midlands in the late 80s and 90s as an example of this.

    Others in unbelievably weak areas for their party just keep fighting in the same seat election after election, witness also in the West Midlands the determination of Gerry Lewis in Dudley East, then West and finally North over the course of six general elections, and also Martyn Smith in the two West Bromwich seats over a similar time-frame.

  37. IIRC the LDs got over 10% in almost every English seat in 2010. They tend to do worse in Scotland and Wales because the nationalists parties pick up votes that would have otherwise gone to them.

  38. How many lost deposits did the LDs have in 2010? Anyone know?

  39. Zero

  40. None. Their lowest was 5.03% in Glasgow East (which incidentally was one of the two seats in which the Tories lost their deposit, the other being Western Isles).

    List of LD shares in 2010 ranked from lowest to highest:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1871yVugSIzsVi5vVuVALZRM04kZyTeIoj8zGATbWsxY/edit#gid=0

  41. The LDs polled over 10% in every English seat apart from four: Barking, Dagenham, Hayes, Castle Point.

    It’ll be interesting to see if there’s a strong correlation between the list of 101 LD selections still to be made that I posted earlier and LD lost deposits.

  42. Out of the remaining seats yet to select a Lib Dem candidate, I would say a good 90% look like lost deposits already.

  43. Correction: 101 was the UKIP figure, the LD number is 68.

  44. The Walsalls and the West Bromwiches are among the party’s worst areas in England historically so no surprises regarding no selections still in those seats.

  45. Interesting question is in how many seats will the LDs outpoll UKIP? Even in Scotland there may be a fair number of seats where UKIP come out on top, more due to LD weakness than UKIP strength.

  46. Leicester West – Ian Bradwell
    Rushcliffe – Robert Johnston

    eastmidslibdems.org.uk/en/contact

  47. Yes that’s a good point, because of the Lib Dems’ terrible collapse in Scotland at the hands of the SNP UKIP will somewhat deferentially outpoll the Lib Dems, almost by default as you say Andy.

  48. UKIP surprised almost everyone including themselves by how well they did in the Euro elections in Scotland. They were picking up about 10% in most council areas including ones that no-one had ever considered as harbouring more than a handful of UKIP supporters.

  49. A bit like what happened to the Greens everywhere in the 1989 European Elections, though having said that maybe it isn’t the best comparison on my part.

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