Leicester South

2015 Result:
Conservative: 9628 (21%)
Labour: 27473 (59.8%)
Lib Dem: 2127 (4.6%)
Green: 2533 (5.5%)
UKIP: 3832 (8.3%)
TUSC: 349 (0.8%)
MAJORITY: 17845 (38.8%)

Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat

Geography: East Midlands, Leicestershire. Part of the Leicester council area.

Main population centres: Leicester.

Profile: Leicester South is a varied constituency. It contains some of the most pleasant and affluent areas of Leicester in the form of Stoneygate, Knighton and Aylestone, more deprived council estates like Saffron and Eyres Monsell and more ethnically diverse areas towards the centre of Leicester (by 2011 just over half of the constituency was non-white, with Muslims making up the largest ethnic minority). The seat also contains HMP Leicester and both of Leicester`s universities.

Politics: This was once a Conservative vs Labour marginal and was held by the Conservatives between 1983 and 1987. It moved strongly towards Labour through the 1990s and was considered a safe Labour seat until the death of Jim Marshall in 2004. The subsequent by-election was fought under the shadow of the Iraq war and won by the Liberal Democrats from third place, making Parmjit Singh Gill the only Liberal Democrat MP from an ethnic minority. He held the seat for only a year before being defeated in a rematch against Labour`s by-election candidate Sir Peter Soulsby at the 2005 general election. Soulsby subsequently resigned to become elected mayor of Leicester in 2011, giving Leicester South a second by-election in space of 7 years - the second by-election was safely held by Labour.

By-Election: There was a by-election in this seat in LAB HOLD. For full details see here.


Current MP
JONATHAN ASHWORTH (Labour) Born 1978, Salford. Educated at Philips High School and Durham University. Former head of party relations for Ed Miliband, formerly Deputy Political Secretary to Gordon Brown. First elected as MP for Leicester South in 2011 by-election.
Past Results
2010
Con: 10066 (21%)
Lab: 21479 (46%)
LDem: 12671 (27%)
BNP: 1418 (3%)
Oth: 1490 (3%)
MAJ: 8808 (19%)
2005*
Con: 7549 (18%)
Lab: 16688 (39%)
LDem: 12971 (31%)
GRN: 1379 (3%)
Oth: 3824 (9%)
MAJ: 3717 (9%)
2001
Con: 9715 (23%)
Lab: 22958 (54%)
LDem: 7243 (17%)
GRN: 1217 (3%)
Oth: 1009 (2%)
MAJ: 13243 (31%)
1997
Con: 11421 (24%)
Lab: 27914 (58%)
LDem: 6654 (14%)
Oth: 941 (2%)
MAJ: 16493 (34%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
LEON HADJINIKOLAOU (Conservative) Born Greece. Heart surgeon.
JONATHAN ASHWORTH (Labour) See above.
ANITA PRABHAKAR (Liberal Democrat)
PETER STONE (UKIP)
GABBY GARCIA (Green)
ANDREW WALTON (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 26 Responses on “Leicester South”
  1. Interesting that the Hindu population in this constituency (7.3%) is vastly outnumbered by the Muslim (27.8%). I used to assume that because Leicester East has a large Hindu constituency that that was also true for this seat.

  2. Had the Hindu population outnumbered the Muslims, it’s very unlikely that Labour would have lost the 2004 by-election.

  3. Lab 53
    LD 17
    Con 15
    UKIP 8
    Others 7

    This is my prediction for 2015 here.
    There is limited UKIP potential here due to the ethnic minority vote here and I don’t think the Conservatives will do any worse than the 2011 by election result.

  4. I think that’s quite a good prediction Alexander. The Tories do still have some support in some wards & it’s not impossible that they might just grab second.

  5. LAB 50
    CON 19
    LD 19
    UKIP 6
    GRN 4
    OTH 2

  6. Not ministerial material by the sounds of his comments at the Nigel/Nick debate… a bit bumbling…

  7. Your party did well to keep second place in this by-election in 2011. Congratulations.
    After losing tonnes of councillors.

  8. What has that got to do with the MP being incoherent?

  9. Leon Hadjinikolaou, chosen as the Tory PPC

  10. Channel 4 programme on immigration in Leicester:

    http://www.channel4.com/programmes/make-leicester-british

  11. I saw that last week. It got quite heated at various times. What is quite revealing is that a couple of the 1st generation immigrants had the most critical views on recent immigration. I knew that some of the more settled migrant groups who’ve done well in Britain have shown a lot of concern on the matter, but perhaps this hasn’t been covered in the media much.

  12. If India is ruled by anti-Muslim fascists that’s where the Hindu vote in England is going.

  13. ER?….

  14. Labour Hold. 15,000 majority. Tories 2nd.

  15. It is being reported that Jon Ashworth is considering resigning from the shadow cabinet and by default the NEC( Him and Angela Eagle are the shadow cabinet representatives on the NEC).

  16. Jon Ashworth is reported to have been offered the shadow health secretary post on the condition he resigns from the NEC. No news on if he will agree to take up the post.

  17. Jon Ashworth has been promoted to shadow health secretary. No information yet if he remains on the NEC (latest reports are pointing towards that he is until next week shadow cabinet meeting)

  18. Interesting choice, must say Ashworth has always been something of an enigma to me, will have to wait and see how he performs.

  19. I personally think John Ashworth is one of Labour’s more impressive MPs so not a bad choice for the shadow cabinet.

  20. It seems that this particular appointment was a sop for dropping him from the NEC in favour of allies (Osamor, Trickett and Long Bailey are the three shadow cabinet members that have been nominated).

  21. Jon Ashworth has been caught saying It’s ‘dire’ for Labour outside London

  22. And how terrible Corbyn and McDonnell are, esp on security etc.

  23. I think we know his front-bench career is soon over. Laura Piddock (if she holds her seat) will probably be shadow health secretary by next week.

  24. I don’t think Jon Ashworth said anything that most people don’t already know. I think he comes out of this quite well, actually. I like the fact he feels able to be friends with political opponents, only that doesn’t seem to be mutual because the Tory guy has clearly exploited and betrayed that trust for his own ends.

  25. ‘I think he comes out of this quite well, actually.’

    He comes out of this looking as if he’s lying through his teeth when he says he was merely trying to wind his so-called Tory “friend”,which sounds like a plausible explanation until you actually here the recording itself

    ‘the Tory guy has clearly exploited and betrayed that trust for his own ends.’

    Just over the past 2 days alone the Tories have resorted to the lowest tactics in their campaign – inventing stories on their members being assaulted outside a hospitals and attempting to dig up dirt on the ITN journalist who approached Boris Johnson with the picture of the child on the hospital floor.

    Then this too. To me these types of things have all the hallmarks of the vile Dominic Cummings

  26. The brouhaha yesterday, the punch that never landed, is quite revealing about the relationship between politicians and journalists (particularly broadcast journalists with their obligation to neutrality). The lobby system, and the established channels of communication, worked tolerably well until recently because of a list of uncodified but nonetheless universally observed norms. One of the most important norms is that off-the record sources speak the truth, up to and including contradicting official messages, in return for a guarantee of anonymity.

    Well, Cummings has smashed those norms. He doesn’t care that it’s an open secret that it’s him pulling these stunts behind the scenes, the blurring of fiction and reality is more important to his project. “Senior Tory sources” are no longer reliable sources. But institutional change is slow – when Cummings changes the rules, it takes a long time for the lobby to catch up.

    And of course this is like crack to the Corbyn outriders seeking to reshape the media into their very own Pravda. It’s easy to spin Kunessberg being played as Kuenssberg being complicit, as a saboteur to be rooted out. Doesn’t make it right, though.

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)