Islington North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 8465 (17.2%)
Labour: 29659 (60.2%)
Lib Dem: 3984 (8.1%)
Green: 5043 (10.2%)
UKIP: 1971 (4%)
Others: 112 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 21194 (43%)

Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Islington council area.

Main population centres: Tufnell Park, Archway, Finsbury Park, Highbury.

Profile: A compact, densely-populated inner-city seat in North London, the smallest in the country by area. While there is some gentrification this this seat covers some of the most deprived, troubled and crime-ridden parts of Islington, inclusing the huge Andover Estate. It includes HMP Holloway and Arsenal`s Emirates Stadium. Islington is a particular young area, and has the highest proportion of unmarried people in the country.

Politics: The constituency has been safely Labour since the 1930s, though the then sitting MP Michael O`Halloran defected to the SDP in 1981 and fought the seat as an independent in 1983, having lost the selection for the SDP nomination.

Current MP
JEREMY CORBYN (Labour) Born 1949, Chippenham. Educated at Adam`s Grammar School and North London Polytechnic. Former trade union organiser. Haringey councillor 1974-1983. First elected as MP for Islington North in 1983. Leader of the Labour Party since 2015. Jeremy Corbyn spent over thirty years on Labour`s backbenches, a stalwart member of the left-wing Campaign Group and Labour`s most rebellious MP. In the 2015 he was the left`s sacrificial candidate for the Labour leadership, reportedly because it was his turn. In the event he was not just competitive in the contest, but won a landslide victory.
Past Results
Con: 6339 (14%)
Lab: 24276 (54%)
LDem: 11875 (27%)
GRN: 1348 (3%)
Oth: 716 (2%)
MAJ: 12401 (28%)
Con: 3740 (12%)
Lab: 16118 (51%)
LDem: 9402 (30%)
GRN: 2234 (7%)
MAJ: 6716 (21%)
Con: 3249 (11%)
Lab: 18699 (62%)
LDem: 5741 (19%)
GRN: 1876 (6%)
Oth: 651 (2%)
MAJ: 12958 (43%)
Con: 4631 (13%)
Lab: 24834 (69%)
LDem: 4879 (14%)
Oth: 1516 (4%)
MAJ: 19955 (56%)

2015 Candidates
ALEX BURGHART (Conservative)
JEREMY CORBYN (Labour) See above.
JULIAN GREGORY (Liberal Democrat)
CAROLINE RUSSELL (Green) Islington councillor.
BILL MARTIN (Socialist Party GB)
Comments - 3,991 Responses on “Islington North”
  1. But Labour has fallen squarely between two stools. It’s not like their cautious approach has enabled them to hold on to leave voters. They aren’t going to out-Farage Farage, honestly they should be leading the electorate rather than following them (like they do for everything else except Brexit).

  2. I can’t see JC lasting much longer.

    LAB surely has to be unequivocally REMAIN in a 2019 or early 2020 GE. They would lose too many votes to the LD if they were not clear enough on the EU. They would have to hope their message of ‘Brexit will be bad for the Midlands and North’ gets through and is successful in holding onto their voters.

    If they were to be REMAIN it’s unimaginable the Leader could be Corbyn.

  3. I think Labour has the right position. It may not be popular but as PollTroll says you should stand for what you believe rather than what you think wins votes.

    As for Corbyn I think Peterborough will be make or break. If Labour lose I think there’ll another attempt on the leadership

  4. I see he did his angry little man routine again outside his house. I’m amazed he hasn’t learn to just say “no!” or “A statement will be released later today” – at least something, rather than trying to outmanoeuvre reporters and photographers and looking shambolic in the process.

  5. Agreed that his handling of doorstepping is poor for a professional politician, nevertheless you can’t forget that this kind of constant intrusion on a cramped Inner London street of dense terraced houses is exceptionally irritating for the neighbours, who will consequently be bending Corbyn’s ear about it 24/7.

    A business associate of mine – a fairly elderly lady – has the misfortune to live a few doors from Nick Clegg in Putney. During the coalition years she said that the constant inconvenience from the media scrum, and sometimes the security apparatus, was horrendous, especially during the tuition fees debacle.

  6. There was an extraordinary (and highly dubious) question in the most recent Yougov poll. It was basically “what do you hate most about Jeremy Corbyn?” followed by a list of all his (undoubtedly genuine) flaws, spelt out in unnecessary detail, with plenty of leading language and weasel words.

    Far be it from me to defend the old Marxist, but this looks an awful lot like push polling to me.

  7. Mike Smithson been defending it on twitter

  8. Determined not to let Corbyn’s latest policy wheeze pass under the radar. Labour’s latest report, “Land for the Many”, is suggesting that government takes control of Green Belt land (hurrah!) and… preserves it for local communities to establish and maintain allotments.

    Allotments! Just what rent-ravaged millennials need! Proof if proof were needed that Jeremy Corbyn, far from running a country in the interests of the many, plans to run it in the interests of some imaginary miniature version of himself.

  9. Labour’s dilemma:

    TL;DR Labour are in a bind, they will struggle to hold on to seats regardless of what Brexit policy they settle on. However, the current strategy of “constructive ambiguity” means they are more likely to lose out to parties who would nonetheless back them up in parliament, so possibly the lesser of two evils.

  10. I think Watson has a very good point – Labour are Remain in the membership and in their hearts.

    Theyll come out soon as Remain…maybe as soon as later today (Weds).

  11. My heart says to leave

  12. Latest Ipsos Mori poll, are you satisfied with Jeremy Corbyn?

    Yes: 17%
    No: 75%
    Net approval: -58%

    This is a new record low, beating the -56% that was Michael Foot’s worst ever score.

  13. And Foot’s -56 was in the heat of the Falklands aftermath when Thatcher was at her peak popularity. Today the government is also plumbing the depths of unpopularity. I can’t think of a time when both government and opposition have been so unpopular.

  14. Reports that up to 70 Labour Mp’s will lose their trigger ballots – both Corbyn skeptics and Corbyn Loyalists.

  15. ‘I can’t think of a time when both government and opposition have been so unpopular.’

    There hasn’t been

    Usually these things work in tandem – as one of the main party’s plummets, the other usually surges – but in this case both government add opposition have come increasingly unpopular hand in hand

  16. We have reached a point where each is enabling the other to put off sorting out their own problems.

  17. Looks like Labour is FINALLY unambiguously backing a 2nd referendum & would campaign to remain.

    My gut feeling is that this could still help ward off whatever Brexit hellscape Boris Johnson has planned for us, but it probably comes too late to salvage Labour’s reputation among liberal-minded voters.

  18. Equally it could fail to win back Libreal Minded voters and lose all the brexit backing Lab 2017 voters elsewhere to a Boris led tory party or the brexit party.

  19. Actually, having read the small print: they only want a second referendum on the Tories’ Brexit plans. If they formed a government they’d push to leave on their own terms.

    So, if you’re a remainer who’s already not that enthusiastic about the current ragtag bunch of Marxists, you have an extra reason to vote against them…

  20. Not quite. Labour back a 2nd referendum in all circumstances but they will only campaign to remain against a Tory Brexit. If you want a 2nd referendum you can vote Labour and campaign against their deal

  21. It looks like one of labour’s big campaigns against Boris will be to close Eton (And all other private schools down) (The new big clp motion likely to be debated and passed at the Party’s conference in September

  22. It’s moves like this that make me wonder if the current iteration of the Labour Party isn’t privately more enthused about administering punishment beatings to its enemies rather than picking the country up off the floor.

  23. Tbh I’ve no idea what BM11 is talking about. My CLP discussed 3 motions; a peace process to end the humanitarian crisis in Yemen, an end to the disparity in abortion law concerning NI and to trade with countries currently facing US sanctions. All motions about picking people up and not about beating people down.

    My mum tells me that they are pushing a motion on a peoples vote at home

  24. Certainly the end private schools one is getting heavily promoted on twitter

  25. Jeremy has written to opposition leaders to propose a caretaker government that will extend A50 and call an election to seek a mandate for a 2nd referendum to remain.

    So far the Lib Dems and Greens have rejected this

  26. All the political opposition parties are being utterly craven about this. The political calculus is that the human cost of no-deal is huge, but that the *political* cost will be borne by the Tories, and hence there is no incentive for them to make politically unpopular compromises to stop it.

  27. Labour would suffer as well in a no deal in seats where the Lib Dems might do well.

  28. The SNP have said they’d support the proposal. The Greens have changed their mind and are now at least saying they’d sit down and talk to Corbyn about it.

  29. Corbyn would install himself in no 10 and refuse to leave, exactly as he has done with the Labour leadership despite a massive VONC in him from his own MPs. That is why I and many moderates do not support this idea.

    A government of national unity by definition needs to be led by a unifier. That is not Corbyn. Ideally the new PM should stand down as MP in the election they pledge to call after stopping No Deal. It isnt going to happen is it.

  30. Moderate Guto Bebb becomes the latest to endorse Corbyn for 2 weeks to stop no deal. The consequences of no deal outweigh 2 weeks of corbyn he says.

    Other moderates Dominic Grieve, Oliver Letwin, Nick Boles and Caroline Spellman have penned a letter inviting Corbyn for talks to stop no deal

  31. Whether or not Corbyn refuses to leave, he’d likely face, and lose, a VONC as soon as no-deal was put off again.

  32. Maybe he would refuse to leave after a VONC, just as he did with the Labour leadership. What could be done aside from the SAS dragging him out of number 10?

  33. Putting one of the most divisive figures in politics as head of a government of so-called national unity makes no sense whatsoever

    An increasing part of me wants a no deal – for at least a few months – just to see the reaction of all those f*&^wits now advocating it once they start losing their jobs and everyday items become increasingly unaffordable

    Such people deserve to suffer the dire consequences of a no deal, and if we avoid it, such people will continue to think its a great idea and everything will be fine if we go along with it

  34. Hemmy: there’s a difference between the informal VONC in Corbyn’s leadership in 2016, a mechanism absent from the Labour Party’s constitution, and a parliamentary VONC in the Prime Minister, which is codified in British Law under the FTPA.

    Tim Jones: The no-dealers will always find “saboteurs” to blame, even if they get their way and everything unravels completely. Somehow it will be the fault of Remainer MPs, the European Commission, the lying BBC, Tony Blair, George Soros and Greta Thunberg.

  35. Not damaging my childrens’ future ranks higher for me than the satisfaction of seeing Leavers unable to afford a pint of milk.

    IMO the dog that hasn’t barked here is immigration. In total, it has not reduced, with declines from Europe being matched by an increase in Asians and Africans. If Brexit doesn’t reduce immigration, indeed makes the country even browner, why would the average resident of Hartlepool consider it worth all the downsides as described by Tim?

  36. Immigration hasn’t reduced, but popular *concern* about immigration has fallen off a cliff. And the incoming people of colour are likely to be concentrated in geographical localities far removed from where the majority of white bigots live, I doubt the average Hartlepool resident would even notice demographic changes in London.

  37. “the incoming people of colour are likely to be concentrated in geographical localities far removed from where the majority of white bigots live”

    Increasingly untrue these days. There’s a fast growing non white population in the north even outside the big cities.

  38. The North has had diverse small towns for 50 years.

  39. ‘If Brexit doesn’t reduce immigration, indeed makes the country even browner, why would the average resident of Hartlepool consider it worth all the downsides as described by Tim?’

    They wouldn’t but one of things that characterises ignorant people is a total unwillingness to admit that they have called it wrong, so as PT says I’m sure in their mind it probably will be all the fault of the ruling elite, the BBC, the EU et al although I just don’t see how they could plausibly claim that although aided by the likes of the Murdoch press, Nigel Farage, Trump and the unmistakingly evil Aaron Banks, I’m sure they will give it a good go

  40. In time I think it will become obvious even to the simplest of simpletons that trying to stand completely alone as a relatively small country is a bad idea.

    Then back to what we discussed the other day, there may well be superficially friendly and flexible overtures from a Trumpist USA, contrasting with a hostile and inflexible EU. The argument may well move on to those arguing to rekindle our relationship with the EU versus those happy to become a US satellite.

  41. Jo Swinson has changed her mind. She will now sit down with Corbyn for talks

  42. Sarah Wallostone and Layla Moran have said Corbyn is lesser of two evils

  43. bm11 – Yes & v definitely no. Most towns in the North are not “diverse”* (by % ethnicity) and the ones which are, are very segregated indeed within them: Oldham, Bury, Bolton, etc.

    * I’m told Labour MPs were astonished to discover that “everyone was white” during the Copeland by-election. People in London (including some politicians & journalists) are genuinely amazed if I mention that my ward is 99% White British as are some in a dozen other neighbouring boroughs.

    I think that’s why they’ll never get how people feel in Barrow or Blyth.

    Matt W – Corbyn’s problem is more that Woodcock + 5 who sit on his side of the House have said they’ll never vote to put him in Number 10 and they’re just the ones who have declared so publically. If it ever came to such a vote I can well imagine a dozen or more wouldn’t vote for that.

  44. That seems untrue. I couldn’t get to Barrow myself but I would be very surprised if there were many BME people there.

  45. In fairness, I wouldn’t expect MPs to know everything. I’d expect MPs to keep abreast of current affairs; to know the issues affecting their constituents; and maybe to have one or two pet interests that are what got them into politics. I don’t expect them to pore obsessively over the the electoral geography of Britain, I’d rather they busied themselves running the country.

  46. Matt W – I was, of course, referring to John Woodcock who said that.

    The problem is the Shadow Cabinet largely represent disproportionately ethnic seats, as well as some of these seats being so far from London (where some of them hardly ever leave). Or when they do they display this very attitude, such as Thornberry.

    PT – you’d be very lucky to get that. After all, Buck even got the name of a place in her seat wrong!

  47. Surprised he said that given he grew up there

  48. He said that about other Labour MPs and activists who were bused up to help.

  49. Still find that difficult to believe

  50. ‘I don’t expect them to pore obsessively over the the electoral geography of Britain, I’d rather they busied themselves running the country.’

    Not many of them do though

    Most of us on here know considerably more than your average MP about the electoral geography of the UK

    It’s still quite surprising how many Tory and Labour candidates are parachuted into areas with which they have no history or even local knowledge

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