Islington North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 8465 (17.2%)
Labour: 29659 (60.2%)
Lib Dem: 3984 (8.1%)
Green: 5043 (10.2%)
UKIP: 1971 (4%)
Others: 112 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 21194 (43%)

Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Islington council area.

Main population centres: Tufnell Park, Archway, Finsbury Park, Highbury.

Profile: A compact, densely-populated inner-city seat in North London, the smallest in the country by area. While there is some gentrification this this seat covers some of the most deprived, troubled and crime-ridden parts of Islington, inclusing the huge Andover Estate. It includes HMP Holloway and Arsenal`s Emirates Stadium. Islington is a particular young area, and has the highest proportion of unmarried people in the country.

Politics: The constituency has been safely Labour since the 1930s, though the then sitting MP Michael O`Halloran defected to the SDP in 1981 and fought the seat as an independent in 1983, having lost the selection for the SDP nomination.

Current MP
JEREMY CORBYN (Labour) Born 1949, Chippenham. Educated at Adam`s Grammar School and North London Polytechnic. Former trade union organiser. Haringey councillor 1974-1983. First elected as MP for Islington North in 1983. Leader of the Labour Party since 2015. Jeremy Corbyn spent over thirty years on Labour`s backbenches, a stalwart member of the left-wing Campaign Group and Labour`s most rebellious MP. In the 2015 he was the left`s sacrificial candidate for the Labour leadership, reportedly because it was his turn. In the event he was not just competitive in the contest, but won a landslide victory.
Past Results
Con: 6339 (14%)
Lab: 24276 (54%)
LDem: 11875 (27%)
GRN: 1348 (3%)
Oth: 716 (2%)
MAJ: 12401 (28%)
Con: 3740 (12%)
Lab: 16118 (51%)
LDem: 9402 (30%)
GRN: 2234 (7%)
MAJ: 6716 (21%)
Con: 3249 (11%)
Lab: 18699 (62%)
LDem: 5741 (19%)
GRN: 1876 (6%)
Oth: 651 (2%)
MAJ: 12958 (43%)
Con: 4631 (13%)
Lab: 24834 (69%)
LDem: 4879 (14%)
Oth: 1516 (4%)
MAJ: 19955 (56%)

2015 Candidates
ALEX BURGHART (Conservative)
JEREMY CORBYN (Labour) See above.
JULIAN GREGORY (Liberal Democrat)
CAROLINE RUSSELL (Green) Islington councillor.
BILL MARTIN (Socialist Party GB)
Comments - 4,025 Responses on “Islington North”
  1. Well done to HH for, even as a Tory, seeing the unfairness of the treatment of the former Leader. And I agree with Matt mostly.

    Where I depart from them is that iwhen they say it will be electorally bad for the new management. Imo the expulsion of Corbyn* will happen in Jan or Feb and although Lab may take a small hit initially in the polls, remember it is 4 yrs from a GE. All those hardcore Corbynites, who number probably less than 200,000 are spread over 600 constituencies of this country and not going to be a big deal.

    What Starmer loses there will be made up by Lib dems and soft Tories switching to Labour.

    *.(Also imo most Corbynites will be deselected..Webbe, Burgon, Sultana…et al)

  2. Conclusion: Starmer expelling Corbyn makes sense politically and electorally.

  3. I must say I don’t see it myself. The legal advice the party received was there was not enough to do anything more than lift the suspension.

    Claudia Webb and Zarah Sultana both are vulnerable to deselection looking at the NEC results by CLP they both hsd strong showings for LTW. If Webb is found guilty I understand depending on the sentence Labour members will seek to recall her. Burgon I think not. CLP fully behind him. Only other MP fairly vulnerable is Sam Tarry. However, he is still on the frontbench and has given the CLP no real reason to deselect him

  4. “Only other MP fairly vulnerable is Sam Tarry. However, he is still on the frontbench and has given the CLP no real reason to deselect him”

    Given how the selection process developped last time, the allies of the Ilford council leader will be out for a vengeance. There is really a bad taste around that selection because it wasn’t simply a political stitch-up (we have seen many of them, from every side) but an intervention that involved the personal reputation of the candidate (now acquitted). I am not saying Terry was involved in it personally but he was the main beneficiary of it. Terry had a chance of winning it anyway even without the intervention to exclude the man rival candidate but based on branch nomination it would have been very close between the 2. It could have gone both ways.

    On Campaign Group MPs at risk (other the 2 mentioned by Matt Wilson), I would add
    Apsana Begum depending on the housing court case goes
    Kate Osamor (who triggered last year too)

    Btw, have they released NEC results by CLP? Are they available online without registration to the party?

  5. It’s worth saying he wasn’t acquitted because he didn’t do it but because like most cases of sexual harassment it was he said she said, very hard to prove, mostly adjudicated on probability and more ofteb than not the verdict goes the way of the defendent not the victim. There were over 100 cases of sexual harassment in Westminster and so far only Charlie Elphicke has been prosecuted. None of the dozen or so Labour figures have even faced criminal prosecution and most displinary proceedings haven’t been concluded. I found that amongst many on the soft left to be quite disgusted by the response of MPs like Wes Streeting celebrating the acquittal as if this wasn’t a sexual harassment that’s just been concluded

    I can’t see Osamor facing deselection personally; she’s not one of the Corbyn intake, wasn’t parachuted in, etc. Begum like Webb depends on the outcome of the civil proceedings though unlike Webb still has the Labour whip. I must say though the irony that left MPs are deselected after 5 years of moderates attacking deselection. A lot might depend on if the left can finally achieve open selection. Particularly as the unions with half the conference vote favoured rule 66 over open selection last time. Now with Unite, Bakers, CWU, FBU, etc. flexing it could throw a spanner in the works

    Sorry i don’t mean results, i mean nominations. Though worth saying that doesn’t mean everything as looking at the CLPs that have passed motions re: withholding the whip; Akehurst topped Dulwich nominations, Alyn Deeside was one of Starmers nominations and Richmond was Starmers first.

  6. @ Mark Felt, I don’t agree with you or HH on this. My sympathy for Corbyn is limited. But I highly doubt he will be excluded from the party. Not sure about deselections either.

    What is LTW? Matt/Andrea, you assume a lot of prior knowledge in your posts which can be a bit confusing. I tend to follow Labour politics more than the average person but I had to think about some of those things. I remember a controversy around Claudia and found the story, she was charged with harassment.
    Why would Burgon be deselected? Sultana has a tiny majority but that won’t stop her being provocative.

    And regarding Sam Tarry, this is obviously a reference to the sexual harassment allegations against Jas Athwal, the Redbridge council leader who sought the nomination. Again, something not everyone will instantly recall!

  7. I am very sorry. I am aware my posts are already fairly long and was just concerned that more information would put people off. But you are right ofc. LTW stands for Labour to Win. It is the slate of candidates that stood in the most recent NEC elections. LTW are a new group formed out of the collaboration between two moderate pressure groups in the Labour Party; Progress and Labour First, who regularly propose candidates for NEC elections

  8. I apologize too for giving things for granted

    @Matt Wilson

    I mentioned Osamor because Edmonton CLP voted to open the selection last year in the trigger ballot. Then the election was called and the NEC reselected Osamor because there was no time to run the full selection.
    However, it must be said that with the new” 2/3 threshold of branches” system to be reselected, it is easier to “trigger” than with the old system. Diana Johnson’s and Hodge’s cases showed those triggered can then comfortably win the open selection.

    My understanding is that the reasons Osamor was triggered are not related to national politics but to internal local factions. Enfield Labour is a bit of infighting mess.

  9. The affliated union branches now have a say to which wasn’t the case previously and therefore again may be fairly influencial

  10. Thanks for the clarification. I guessed that about LTW. I think it’s better to have longer posts and be clearer than shorter and unclear.

    The general election left a big “what might have been” in terms of deselections.

  11. “The affliated union branches now have a say to which wasn’t the case previously and therefore again may be fairly influencial”

    I suppose one can argue both ways.

    In the old version of the trigger ballot, Labour MPs were reselected if 50.1% of the local party branches voted to automatically reselect them and not to trigger a contest. Ward branches and affiliates branches were summed together.

    In the new trigger ballot, sitting MPs are triggered if 1/3 of party branches OR 1/3 of affiliates branches asked for the open contest.

    So yes, union branches have more say as the affiliates can trigger a contest on their own.

    On the other side, in the past, unions voted for reselection of almost everyone (with some few exceptions in the recent past) anyway and in some cases the union brnaches outnumbered the party branches. For example Roger Godsiff used to have 15 union branches (9 of them being GMB) affiliated to Sparkbrook CLP vs 4 ward branches. So unions could have been used to prevent members from deselecting. Now it wouldn’t be possible.

  12. Perhaps very unfortunately timed is the report into Labour Party infighting which will be published in coming weeks. It’s understood that the wide ranging remit has the unintended consequence of finding significantly more than HQ had expected. Could add to what is already a messy affair

  13. Is it linked to the leaked report? I found that online and it made very interesting reading (just skimming – it’s very long).

  14. The investigation came about because of that report

  15. Lord Desai becomes Starmer’s first Parliamentary resignation unsurprisingly citing the recent decision to readmit Corbyn

  16. Rather typical I would say, for someone who’s been sitting in a fundamentally undemocratic place for 29 years, to take a stance that is fundamentally undemocratic.

  17. I’m fairly surprised that he resigned now given Corbyn was leader for 5 years and is now a backbencher. There were half a dozen peers who did resign under Corbyns leadership but as far as I’m aware he was not one. I suspect a few have held out under the delusion all will alright again under new management

  18. Lord Desai must be a very old man indeed by now….he was my tutor at LSE in the mid-90s and he seemed geriatric 25 years ago. Even by the standards of an elite university he seemed very much the embodiment of an eccentric academic, complete with untidy office etc, but was very well informed indeed about applied economics in the UK in the heavy industry sector (decline of the coal and steel industries etc), and comes across as a very moderate Labour man, I’ve always had a soft spot for him.

  19. My limited knowledge of Desai from friends also implies he’s a very genial person.

  20. I’m sure he’s a nice man…I’m saying someone so establishment as him it’s not a surprise. Also I believe theres some sort of alignment going on between pro Israeli govt ppl and pro Modi ppl. In otherwise…Lefties and Trots in Labour …shut up about Israel! Shut up about Kashmir!

    Matt…”..wide ranging remit has the unintended consequence of finding significantly more than HQ had expected.”. Have u got any more on this and can you indicate your source.

  21. I myself have contributed to the inquiry

  22. “Also I believe theres some sort of alignment going on between pro Israeli govt ppl and pro Modi ppl.”

    What I notice about Indians I know in London (mostly working in well-paid City jobs) is that they are fairly un-religious though nominally Hindu, and quite disparaging about Modi despite being almost certainly Conservative voters in UK elections. In other words there is a big similarity between them and their British/European counterparts in such professions in having fairly liberal social views together with conservative views on economics. It’s much less easy to be a nominal muslim, I imagine.

  23. One thing in Sajid Javid’s favour is that he isn’t religious – with his money and status, that’s easier for him to do than many other Muslims, I imagine.

  24. 60 Constituency Labour Parties have passed motions concerning Corbyn, no confidence in Starmer or the General Secretary or disagreeing with the guidance issued by the GS re what CLPs can discuss. As a result executive CLP members have been suspended in a number of CLPs. Angela Rayner has said 1,000s of members will be suspended if need be though the party has issued a clarification that 1,000s of members won’t be suspended for passing such motions

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