Islington North
2015 Result:
Conservative: 8465 (17.2%)
Labour: 29659 (60.2%)
Lib Dem: 3984 (8.1%)
Green: 5043 (10.2%)
UKIP: 1971 (4%)
Others: 112 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 21194 (43%)
Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat
Geography: Greater London. Part of the Islington council area.
Main population centres: Tufnell Park, Archway, Finsbury Park, Highbury.
Profile: A compact, densely-populated inner-city seat in North London, the smallest in the country by area. While there is some gentrification this this seat covers some of the most deprived, troubled and crime-ridden parts of Islington, inclusing the huge Andover Estate. It includes HMP Holloway and Arsenal`s Emirates Stadium. Islington is a particular young area, and has the highest proportion of unmarried people in the country.
Politics: The constituency has been safely Labour since the 1930s, though the then sitting MP Michael O`Halloran defected to the SDP in 1981 and fought the seat as an independent in 1983, having lost the selection for the SDP nomination.
| Con: | 6339 (14%) |
| Lab: | 24276 (54%) |
| LDem: | 11875 (27%) |
| GRN: | 1348 (3%) |
| Oth: | 716 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 12401 (28%) |
| Con: | 3740 (12%) |
| Lab: | 16118 (51%) |
| LDem: | 9402 (30%) |
| GRN: | 2234 (7%) |
| MAJ: | 6716 (21%) |
| Con: | 3249 (11%) |
| Lab: | 18699 (62%) |
| LDem: | 5741 (19%) |
| GRN: | 1876 (6%) |
| Oth: | 651 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 12958 (43%) |
| Con: | 4631 (13%) |
| Lab: | 24834 (69%) |
| LDem: | 4879 (14%) |
| Oth: | 1516 (4%) |
| MAJ: | 19955 (56%) |
The most significant example of this in recent times being Karen Bradley’s admission that she didn’t understand the polarisation between unionists and republicans in Northern Ireland.
I can imagine her mental cogs whirring as she thought to herself, “wow, these two groups of people who spent large chunks of the last hundred years trying to kill each other really don’t vote for each other. Who could have guessed that?”
‘The most significant example of this in recent times being Karen Bradley’s admission that she didn’t understand the polarisation between unionists and republicans in Northern Ireland.’
Bradley was as well suited to that job as Patel and Raab are to head the Home and Foreign office respectively]
Whilst most politicians to be fair are considerably above average intelligence, it makes no sense to hand plum role to those that aren’t
Tim – but you are again letting your prejudice get in the way of the facts.
Raab is both objectively intelligent and suited to that role from his CV. A First in Law, prosecuting war crimes at the Hague and so on.
It reminds me of those on here who derided Fox [because they hate his views] as both unsuitable for Health and not bright compared with a certain Labour Education spokeswoman who left school after having failed all of her exams! Their CVs speak for themselves, especially in their 20s.
There are many examples of intelligent Labour people (although I’d argue far fewer than in the days of Peter Shore and Tony Benn) in the House and stupid Tory MPs, but not the ones referenced on here.
Next GE Odds
Cons 2/5
Lab 7/2
Labour to win a majority 12/1
Next Lab Leader Starmer 5/1 (now ahead of all of the women)
Kevin Maguire on the Sky News Paper Review was right in predicting that a couple of chicken suits have been spotted.
He opined that the Sun or Express were likely to doorstep [or follow them on College Green] Jezza or Thornberry et al in the same way the Mirror used to follow Major around in the dying days of his Govt.