Kingston upon Hull East
2015 Result:
Conservative: 5593 (15.9%)
Labour: 18180 (51.7%)
Lib Dem: 2294 (6.5%)
Green: 806 (2.3%)
UKIP: 7861 (22.4%)
Others: 410 (1.2%)
MAJORITY: 10319 (29.4%)
Category: Very safe Labour seat
Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, Humberside. Part of the Hull council area.
Main population centres: Hull.
Profile: More commonly known as just Hull East, the seat covers most of the East Yorkshire port of Hull east of the river Hull, excluding the Bransholme estate. The seat includes Hull`s vast working docks on the Humber esturary and the now redeveloped residential Victoria Docks, as well the Millenium Commission funded aquarium, The Deep. Away from the prestige dockside developments though the seat is largely working class with a large proportion of council housing. It includes Sutton Ings, Stoneferry, Summergangs, Southcoates, Marfleet and Longhill.
Politics: At a Parliamentary level Hull East is solidly Labour. It has returned a Labour MP since 1935, the best known of them being the former deputy prime minister John Prescott. At a local level Labour`s long dominance was briefly broken between 2000 and 2010 - the floatation of Hull council`s municipal telephone company briefly made Hull City Council the richest local authority in the UK. The sale reciepts though were rapidly spent, followed by the rapid ejection of the Labour party from control of the council. After several years in no overall control and Liberal Democrat control Labour won the council back in 2011.
| Con: | 5667 (17%) |
| Lab: | 16387 (48%) |
| LDem: | 7790 (23%) |
| UKIP: | 2745 (8%) |
| Oth: | 1595 (5%) |
| MAJ: | 8597 (25%) |
| Con: | 4038 (13%) |
| Lab: | 17609 (57%) |
| LDem: | 5862 (19%) |
| BNP: | 1022 (3%) |
| Oth: | 2491 (8%) |
| MAJ: | 11747 (38%) |
| Con: | 4276 (14%) |
| Lab: | 19938 (65%) |
| LDem: | 4613 (15%) |
| UKIP: | 1218 (4%) |
| Oth: | 830 (3%) |
| MAJ: | 15325 (50%) |
| Con: | 5552 (14%) |
| Lab: | 28870 (71%) |
| LDem: | 3965 (10%) |
| Oth: | 311 (1%) |
| MAJ: | 23318 (58%) |
*There were boundary changes after 2005
Forecast for 2015
Lab 53
UKIP 16
LD 15
Con 10
Others 6
LAB HOLD MAJ : 36%
LAB 52
LD 16
CON 14
UKIP 13
GRN 3
OTH 2
Lib Dem support in Hull has remained for stable than elsewhere. I think they maintained former Labour strongholds like Drypool when the collapsed in Liverpool.
Martin Clayton standing for Yorkshire First.
http://www.yorkshirefirst.org.uk/election-candidates/
No offence to the party but I would very surprised if they save any deposits in May.
The Conservative selection for Hull East is Christine Mackay who contested the seat in 2010. The previous candidate who pulled out was Emma Ideson.
https://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Mackay_Christine.aspx
Labour Hold. 15,000 majority. Tories may take 2nd.
484 postal ballots for East Hull had the Labour and Green Party candidate chopped off.
Honest mistake? Or Conspiracy?
Given that you would think people might notice there’s no Labour candidate on their ballot, it would be a pretty incompetent conspiracy.
Error. They’re being reprinted, but not in time for all (as some are now on holiday).
When I saw the ballot paper on the BBC, I hadn’t realised it was the 2015 one, as it had the SDP & NF on it!
This is what happens when the art of proof reading is scorned.
Quite a high 2010 UKIP vote here, which is interesting.
There will be no Green candidates in Hull’s local elections this year, after their local chair forgot to submit the nomination papers in time: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-36005109?SThisFB
There may be several candidates for the election of a new chair of Hull’s local Green Party, though 😉
Also a muesli and sandals themed murder mystery where everyone is a suspect.
Will this have any impact whatsoever, apart from on Martin Deane’s job
2015: In Avenue ward the Greens were the main opposition to Labour and now won’t be. The Lib Dems beat Labour in Drypool ward by a margin smaller than the Green vote. Newland and Pickering wards were close between Labour and LD with a big Green vote.
http://www.hullcc.gov.uk/portal/page?_pageid=221,1365772&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL
It won’t make a massive difference, but it might affect the result in a couple of places. The Labour vote in Avenue ward will presumably be massive now.
Karl Turner has resigned from the shadow cabinet
The 11th today. And there must be a few more still to come. I don’t think he was on Peston’s list either.
Eleven now gone with more to follow.
The Guadian reporting that meeting have happened in Hull involving trade unions to attempt to deselect possibly all of Hull’s Labour MP.s
The boundaries of this constituency were redrawn twice during John Prescott’s 40 years as the MP, in 1974 (when Hull city centre was removed to Kevin McNamara’s seat) and in 1983 since when they have remained unchanged
No changes at all since 1983? That’s surprising.
John Prescott has written that Tony Blair as PM breached the Wilson doctrine, as the Security Services tapped the phone of Ian Paisley (then MP MEP), without informing the House of Commons.
Ian Paisley Jnr MP is to raise the matter in the House tomorrow.
‘ A key aide to Jeremy Corbyn has been suspended amid the sexual harassment crisis swirling round Westminster.
David Prescott, son of former Deputy Prime Minister John Prescott, was suspended in the past few days, the Mirror understands. ‘
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/david-prescott-suspended-sexual-harassment-11484745
David Prescott reinstated
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-aide-returns-work-11557707