Holborn & St Pancras

2015 Result:
Conservative: 12014 (21.9%)
Labour: 29062 (52.9%)
Lib Dem: 3555 (6.5%)
Green: 7013 (12.8%)
UKIP: 2740 (5%)
Others: 533 (1%)
MAJORITY: 17048 (31%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of Camden council area.

Main population centres: Holborn, Camden Town, Primrose Hill, Kentish Town, Highgate.

Profile: A long slim inner-city seat, stretching from the fringes of the City of London at Holborn, past the museums and university collages of Bloomsbury to St Pancras and King Cross station, still regarded as a grim red light district despite the regeneration that greeted the new Eurostar terminal at St Pancras. Northwards the seat covers the vibrant trendy areas like Camden Town with its market and music venues, the fashionable victorian terraces of Primrose Hill, the large council estates of Kentish Town and Maitland Park, Gospel Oak and the leafy affluence of Parliament Hill and Highgate. There are extremely high house prices here, but only around a quarter of the population are owner-occupiers, with most of the housing social housing or private rental.

Politics: Traditionally this has been a safe Labour seat and was retained by Labour throughout the 1980s. Almost half the housing is social housing and there is a significant Bangladeshi Muslim population. The more inner-city and southern part of the constituency is solidly Labour. The Greens have some strength in the seat and in 2015 it was contested by their party leader, Natalie Bennett
.


Current MP
KEIR STARMER (Labour) Born 1962, Southwark. Educated at Reigate Grammar and Leeds University. Former Director of Public Prosecutions. First elected as MP for Holborn & St Pancras in 2015. Appointed KCB in 2014 for services to law and criminal justice.
Past Results
2010
Con: 11134 (20%)
Lab: 25198 (46%)
LDem: 15256 (28%)
GRN: 1480 (3%)
Oth: 1581 (3%)
MAJ: 9942 (18%)
2005*
Con: 6482 (19%)
Lab: 14857 (43%)
LDem: 10070 (29%)
GRN: 2798 (8%)
Oth: 152 (0%)
MAJ: 4787 (14%)
2001
Con: 5258 (17%)
Lab: 16770 (54%)
LDem: 5595 (18%)
GRN: 1875 (6%)
Oth: 1631 (5%)
MAJ: 11175 (36%)
1997
Con: 6804 (18%)
Lab: 24707 (65%)
LDem: 4750 (13%)
Oth: 946 (2%)
MAJ: 17903 (47%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
WILL BLAIR (Conservative) Educated at Sherborne School and Oxford University. Associate director of a PR and Communications company.
KEIR STARMER (Labour) Born 1962, Southwark. Educated at Reigate Grammar and Leeds University. Barrister and former Director of Public Prosecutions. Appointed KCB in 2014 for services to law and criminal justice.
JILL FRASER (Liberal Democrat) Born Essex. Works in a chip shop. Camden councillor 2003-2012. Contested Holborn and St Pancras 2005.
MAXINE SPENCER (UKIP) Born Hampstead. Full time carer. Contested Holborn and St Pancras 2010.
NATALIE BENNETT (Green) Born 1966, Australia. Educated at MLC School and Sydney University. Journalist. Contested Holborn and St Pancras 2010. Leader of the Green party since 2012.
DAVID O`SULLIVAN (Socialist Equality)
SHANE O`DONNELL (CISTA)
VANESSA HUDSON (Animal Welfare) Born Sheffield. Educated at Liverpool University. Media producer. Contested London 2014 European election.
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Comments - 530 Responses on “Holborn & St Pancras”
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  1. HH
    “The idea that there are “skill shortages” in a country of 67 million people is bollocks”

    There is some truth to that sure but its also completely inaccurate to presume there is nothing in the way of a skills shortage here. Hell if nothing else the Tories recent plans to become self sufficient on doctors by training an extra 1500 a year demonstrates it, what’s the point if we already supposedly have all these doctors here anyway? The answer is of course we don’t and a very high proportion of NHS doctors are immigrants filling in the gaps that can’t be filled with domestic doctors (gaps which will likely get bigger in the future the way junior doctors have been treated of late)

  2. The rate of immigration to the UK over the past 20-30 years has been way above anything experienced in the 1950s and 60s.

    Between 1951 and 1961 the number of people born overseas living in the UK according to the census increased by 1.3 per cent, and between 1971 and 1991 it increased by just 0.9 per cent. The two decades following 1991 saw an increase of 6.3 per cent.

    http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/census/2011-census-analysis/immigration-patterns-and-characteristics-of-non-uk-born-population-groups-in-england-and-wales/chd-figure-1.xls

  3. Above was in reply to Hawthorn.

  4. I would say though many people act like Britain’s immigration rate is somehow unique, that we alone have welcomed millions of foreigners into our country, across the West though our immigration rate is exceedingly average, in fact if you cross compare with other nations the % INCREASE in the migrant population in the last two decades rather than just the overall % then our supposed “openness” is actually quite stingy

  5. “…in fact if you cross compare with other nations the % INCREASE in the migrant population in the last two decades rather than just the overall % then our supposed “openness” is actually quite stingy”.

    I’ve posted the figures for percentage increase for the UK above. You’d have to find the equivalent figures for other countries of you wanted to prove that assertion.

    On absolute percentage of the population foreign born the UK is roughly the same as other comparable countries; not notably “open” or “stingy”. But that doesn’t change the fact that compared with the 50s and 60s the UK has since the early 90s experienced a huge increase in the rate of immigration.

    Just to clarify, the first figure I posted above (a 1.3 per cent increase in the foreign born population) relates to the period 1951-1971 not to 1961 as stated.

  6. Sir Keir Starmer’s speech today illustrates why much of the public hate the CPS.

    Aloof, unaware of public opinion and why civil servants are best not becoming MPs.

    Labour’s position is now so muddled. Even Mandy said on Newsnight he hasn’t a clue what it is on free movement etc.

  7. Greens standing Sian Berry here, I think this is probably a seat they’d like to build in and eventually challenge for. Hard to see them making much progress in 2017 as I imagine would-be Green voters here are also favourable to Corbyn.

  8. The far Left activists on the streets appear to have disappeared now that Camden, Salford etc have found unsafe/unlawful cladding.

    I particularly enjoyed the footage of the Camden granny telling the posh young Council Leader how it was sleeping in a chair overnight as they failed to get her a Travelodge room as she was promised.

    By law all councils have civil emergency evacuation plans (usually only used if eg a WWII bomb is found), but of course council staff simply are not speedy as they’re not used to working to deadlines and so even though I’m told the council had 120 staff ‘dealing with the situation’ nothing seemed to happen for hours.

  9. Individual London boroughs should not deal with these issues alone – such powers really ought to be transferred to a city-wide level.

  10. Evacuating the tower blocks is a ludicrous over-reaction and forces people into temporary accommodation which in the round may be more dangerous for them and their families due to its unsuitability. A tower block totally emptied of people but still full of possessions will certainly be a mecca for burglars, squatters and all manner of criminal activity.

    This situation reminds me very much of the aftermath of the Hatfield rail crash, when every train everywhere in the country was limited to a crawling speed just in case another rail happened to crack. It went on for months until the powers that be finally saw sense (not till after Railtrack had been bankrupted though).

    We dealt with these matters far more sensibly after the equally shocking Kings Cross fire in 1987. Quite sensibly, the government banned all wooden escalators from the underground after that. But it took London Underground and later TFL 20 years to remove them. I last one was replaced in 2006. If you had insisted on immediate replacement, as would surely have happened today, it would have caused travel pandemonium for years. In these knee jerk times we sometimes lose all sense of balance between risk and common sense.

  11. It has the same cladding as Grenfell! So yr saying the council admits this but tells tenants: “…you got to stay put while we remove it…it’ll only take 4 or 5 weeks.”

    It is not just accidents they are covering themselves against. It may be the targets for terrorism, potentially, who in the middle of the night spread a flammable substance on the panels and put a light to it.

  12. HH – the blocks are being guarded.

    The Council just decided – as they’re liable – that they had no choice.

    But I agree re hysteria in recent years re many events.

  13. Enjoy your round of golf, gentlemen.

  14. Lol?

  15. “It has the same cladding as Grenfell! So yr saying the council admits this but tells tenants: “…you got to stay put while we remove it…it’ll only take 4 or 5 weeks.””

    People should be given the choice to stay and put up with the remedial work, or move out if they prefer. IMO it’s wrong they should be forced to sleep on leisure centre floors against their will.

    “It may be the targets for terrorism, potentially”

    The presence of security guards would make that difficult, also the ethnic make-up of most of these blocks in London (containing many observant muslims) makes them a very unlikely target for Islamic terrorists. Far right terrorists maybe.

  16. The tower Blocks evacuated are in Hampstead and Kilburn not this seat. I don’t think any blocks in this seat have failed the safety tests yet.

  17. “Enjoy your round of golf, gentlemen.”

    Not sure where that came from but it was an inaccurate prediction of how I like to spend my time….I’ve always hated golf.

  18. It did seem a bit oddly random.

  19. Apologies to HH, I see it was Alex F who raised the very unlikely chance of these tower blocks being the target of terror attacks.

    I can’t stand golf either. I much prefer horse racing. No doubt HH would hate the WWC views of 80% of the punters there even more so than posh golfers!

    BM11 – that’d make sense as I think Camden have put a lot up in the Swiss Cottage Premier Inn which IIRC is halfway ‘up the hill’ from Camden market towards Hampstead.

    HH will be pleased to know that up here in Bootle the housing association are merely removing the cladding from 2 tower blocks and not evacuating a single resident.

  20. Apologies again – I meant of course no doubt Alex F would hate the views of WWC voters.

    If it’s any consolation my ‘phone suggested HH (before Heseltine) which is a claim to fame of sorts.

  21. I would not like to assume what you like to do in your spare time HH

  22. Lol.

  23. “I would not like to assume what you like to do in your spare time HH”

    Nothing exciting these days

    “I much prefer horse racing. No doubt HH would hate the WWC views of 80% of the punters there even more so than posh golfers!”

    That’s even more off beam than the suggestion that I like golf! I worked in a bookies for some years as a student. And like most DIY enthusiasts I always enjoy the company of WWC. We agree on quite a lot usually (I think from my posts here you can see I’m far from a social liberal), just not Europe.

  24. Yes, I know (I did correct at 12.52pm – meant Alex F not yourself).

  25. “Apologies again – I meant of course no doubt Alex F would hate the views of WWC voters.”

    I think Alex F/Deepthroat is a Leave supporter

  26. Yes I am.

    Re: earlier discussion:
    1. plse accept my apologies for the snide remark.
    2. It seems that we aren’t the only country evacuating dodgy tower blocks….

    Telegraph: “German authorities on Tuesday evacuated a high-rise apartment building in the western city of Wuppertal, over fire safety fears in the wake of London’s Grenfell Tower tragedy.”

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/27/german-towerblock-evacuated-cladding-fears-wake-grenfell-tragedy/

  27. Gospel oak by election today

    This from Britain Elects Andy Teale:
    “…This is the third Gospel Oak by-election in five years, the last one having been only in May: Labour won that by-election with 50%, the Lib Dems interestingly moving into second on 20% ahead of the Tories’ 18%.

    Defending for Labour is Jenny Mulholland, who works in IT and is the only candidate to live in the ward. Returning from May’s by-election is Marx de Morais who, to paraphrase Hilary Benn, is a Marx but not a Marxist: born in Communist East Germany, de Morais is a professional food designer (?) from the liberal/Remain wing of the Conservative Party, and his rather unique style of campaigning has included planting flowerbeds in the ward’s council estates.

    Marx de Morais (C)
    Jill Fraser (LD)
    Jenny Mulholland (Lab)
    Max Spencer (EDP)

    May 2017 by-election Lab 1468 LD 587 C 523 Grn 273 UKIP 75
    May 2014 result Lab 1687/1590/1534 C 634/551/456 Grn 549/527/429…”

  28. Gospel Oak (Camden) result:

    LAB: 57.5% (+10.5)
    LDEM: 25.7% (+18.7)
    CON: 15.2% (-2.4)
    EDEM: 1.6% (+1.6)

    Lab HOLD.

  29. Marx de Morais- possibly the best name ever. Solid if unsurprising performance by Lab.

  30. This ward was won by the Conservatives as recently as 2006, though that was very unusual.

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