Henley

2015 Result:
Conservative: 32292 (58.5%)
Labour: 6917 (12.5%)
Lib Dem: 6205 (11.2%)
Green: 3815 (6.9%)
UKIP: 6007 (10.9%)
MAJORITY: 25375 (45.9%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Oxfordshire. Part of South Oxfordshire council area and part of Cherwell council area.

Main population centres: Henley, Thame, Goring, Sonning, Wheatley, Watlington.

Profile: A largely rural seat in south-east Oxfordshire, stretching from the hinterland of Reading in the south, to skirt around the eastern outskirts of Oxford in the north. Henley-on-Thames itself is best known for the Henley Royal Regatta, the prestigious annual rowing event. The constituency also covers Thame, Goring, Sonning, Wheatley, Watlington and many other small villages dotted through the Oxfordshire countryside.

Politics: Like the other rural seats in Oxfordshire, such as Wantage and Witney, it is a wealthy, affluent middle class area and strongly Conservative, although at a local level the Liberal Democrats have some support, particularly as you move away from the solidly Tory south of the seat and closer to Oxford itself. John Howell is a largely unremarkable MP after two who were anything but - the flamboyant Boris Johnson, who stood down upon becoming Mayor of London, and former Deputy Prime Minister Michael Heseltine, Mrs Thatcher`s nemesis.


Current MP
JOHN HOWELL (Conservative) Born 1957, London. Former partner at Ernst & Young and BBC World presenter. Oxfordshire councillor 2004-09. First elected as MP for Henley in 2008 by-election. Awarded the OBE in 2000 for services to export in central and eastern Europe.
Past Results
2010
Con: 30054 (56%)
Lab: 5835 (11%)
LDem: 13466 (25%)
UKIP: 1817 (3%)
Oth: 2348 (4%)
MAJ: 16588 (31%)
2005*
Con: 24894 (53%)
Lab: 6862 (15%)
LDem: 12101 (26%)
GRN: 1518 (3%)
Oth: 1162 (2%)
MAJ: 12793 (27%)
2001
Con: 20466 (46%)
Lab: 9367 (21%)
LDem: 12008 (27%)
UKIP: 1413 (3%)
Oth: 1147 (3%)
MAJ: 8458 (19%)
1997
Con: 23908 (46%)
Lab: 11700 (23%)
LDem: 12741 (25%)
Oth: 895 (2%)
MAJ: 11167 (22%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
JOHN HOWELL (Conservative) See above.
SAM JUTHANI (Labour) Educated at Queen Elizabeths Boys School and Oxford University. Economist.
SUSAN COOPER (Liberal Democrat)
CHRISTOPHER JONES (UKIP)
MARK STEVENSON (Green) Educated at Oxford University. Market gardener and former teacher. Contested Witney 2001, Henley 2005, 2008 by-election, 2010.
Links
Comments - 114 Responses on “Henley”
  1. UKip would need a 20% swing to win East Surrey and it isn’t going to happen. UKIP would need a 16.26% swing (and I doubt if that is going to happen either) to win 150 seats – the seats in question being Wellingborough and Devon West and Torridge, both of which require a 16.26% swing..

    East Surrey happens to have an ethnic minority MP; but he is a competent ethnic minority MP. It would be disgraceful if UKIP played the racism card, and they don’t need to: they can and should win seats on the merits of their policies.

  2. Benson & Crowmarsh ward by-election, 07.06.18:

    Liberal Democrat 1,048
    Conservative 658
    Labour 121

    LibDem Gain (no Green this time).

  3. Another absolute thumping for the Tories in South Oxfordshire.

    Looks like the perfect storm – obviously there’s opposition to Brexit, but if I had to guess, gains for the Greens and the Residents’ Association point to some NIMBYism going on too.

  4. (I make no apologies for boring on about how we need to build more houses all the time. We need to build more houses.)

  5. We’ve needed to build huge numbers of new housing since the late 1980s. All governments are terrified of depressing the housing market I think. It’s shameful and appalling but great for us house owners – and also ofc landlords.

    Something will have to give soon. Young people can’t even afford to rent modest property and have enough to live on and enjoy their lives.

    The time is ripe for a radical Movement challenging the housing status quo. Will it ever come?

  6. Deepthroat: I’ll be honest, my ranting this morning is partly fuelled by buyer’s remorse after holding my nose and voting for the Green Party yesterday, in full knowledge of their anti-development stance, sitting at that weird point on the horseshoe where radical neo-Malthusianism overlaps with Daily-Mail pearl-clutching over house prices. Seeing their success this morning is giving me very mixed feelings.

  7. Layal Moran was talking up the Lib Dems in Oxfordshire a lot recently and she was right. And she mentioned plenty of local issues as well as brexit.

  8. West Oxfordshire should be interesting. Might be a day for David Cameron to hide in his shed…

  9. Micheal Heseltine has said he will be voting Lib Dem in the Euro elections as a protest.
    Surely he get expelled as a tory member for this.

  10. Possibly whipless – although from memory he’s only ever attended the Lords twice in 20 years.

  11. Lancs- I think that refers to him speaking in the Lords. He has voted more than that – he was on the government payroll the other year.

    Confirmed he has lost the whip.

  12. If Heseltine has lost the whip over this then surely the same rule should apply to all Tory members who are saying they will be voting for Farage’s Brexit Party on Thursday

  13. bm11 – payroll? He wasn’t a member of the Govt. I think he was appointed as an advisor of some sort by DC.

    He only voted twice in a 10 year period (attendance record was published when they were thinking of ways to ask non-attendees to ‘retire.’)

    Tim – you can only withdraw the whip from elected politicians. Members were never in receipt of it.

  14. When he was sacked as advisor it was because he broke the whip.

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