East Hampshire

2015 Result:
Conservative: 31334 (60.7%)
Labour: 5220 (10.1%)
Lib Dem: 5732 (11.1%)
Green: 3176 (6.1%)
UKIP: 6187 (12%)
MAJORITY: 25147 (48.7%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Hampshire. Most of the East Hampshire council area.

Main population centres: Petersfield, Alton, Bordon, Liss, Liphook, Ropley.

Profile: A largely rural seat, covering the wooded hills and heathland of the western weald north of Portsmouth. A large proportion of the seat lies within the new South Downs National Park. Settlements are mostly affluent villages set in the Hampshire countryside and prosperous market towns that originally grew up along the route from London to Portsmouth.

Politics: A safe Conservative seat, the area has been represented by the party since the late nineteenth century. Until 2010 it was represented by Michael Mates, the veteran Conservative MP who had sat here since 1974. Mates retired in 2010, but later went on to unsuccessfully contest the election to become Hampshire`s first elected police commissioner.

Current MP
DAMIAN HINDS (Conservative) Born 1969, London. Educated at St Ambrose College and Oxford University. Contested Stretford and Urmston 2005. First elected as MP for East Hampshire in 2010. Government whip 2014-2015. Exchequer Secretary since 2015. Former chairman of the Bow Group.
Past Results
Con: 29137 (57%)
Lab: 4043 (8%)
LDem: 15640 (30%)
UKIP: 1477 (3%)
Oth: 1020 (2%)
MAJ: 13497 (26%)
Con: 24273 (46%)
Lab: 8519 (16%)
LDem: 18764 (35%)
UKIP: 1583 (3%)
MAJ: 5509 (10%)
Con: 23950 (48%)
Lab: 9866 (20%)
LDem: 15060 (30%)
UKIP: 1413 (3%)
MAJ: 8890 (18%)
Con: 27927 (48%)
Lab: 9945 (17%)
LDem: 16337 (28%)
Oth: 1162 (2%)
MAJ: 11590 (20%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

2015 Candidates
DAMIAN HINDS (Conservative) See above.
ALEX WILKS (Labour) Educated at Bournemouth School and Surrey University. Sales assistant.
RICHARD ROBINSON (Liberal Democrat)
Comments - 16 Responses on “Hampshire East”
  1. Due to the death of the long-standing CC for Petersfield Butser there is a vacancy here now.. The 2013 results were:

    West, John Conservative Party 38.71%
    Marston, Steven UKIP 22.49%
    Grainger-Jones, Byron LibDem 20.98%
    Organ, Bill Labour Party 9.23%
    Enstone, Bill Green Party 8.59%

    That was a rather surprisingly strong Green performance.

  2. I don’t know why the Tories did so badly here in 2001 and 2005 and the Lib Dems so well. Why did their vote share fall back both years?

  3. Probably due to Michael Mates.

  4. Mates was a bit lazy I think (allegedly).

  5. The results certainly look striking. Ian Taylor in Esher and Walton suffered at both elections as well.

  6. I think it’s fairly well established that Taylor had a rather arrogant & aloof manner which didn’t endear itself either to the electorate, or his own constituency party, though his Europhilia would have caused many of his problems with the latter.

  7. How many times did Taylor face deselection attempts by his local association?

  8. Michael Mates was almost certainly a drag on the Conservative vote in this constituency, for a variety of reasons.

  9. Interesting. There weren’t that many seats the Tories continued to hold in 2001 and 2005 yet with decreasing shares of the vote both times.

  10. Pre 2010 this seat also included the Horndean area (now in Meon Valley) which was an area of heavy Lib Dem strength up until the late 2000s. Mates wasn’t exactly popular as an MP either being your archetypal backwoodsman.

    It’s commonly thought that his selection as the candidate for the Conservatives at the 2011 Police and Crime Comissioner pretty much put the nail in the coffin for the Tories chance of winning that post too.

  11. Thanks for that Khunanup. Interesting.

  12. Conservative Hold. 18,000 maj

  13. A Liphook (in this constituency) secondary school is currently the subject of a new BBC documentary series, where a number of Y9 pupils are being taught by teachers from China to see what difference they might make.

    One comment from a Chinese teacher implied that lack of ambition is related to the welfare system.

  14. ‘Michael Mates was almost certainly a drag on the Conservative vote in this constituency, for a variety of reasons.’

    We should remember that in 1992 Michael Mates was returned for this seat with 65% of the vote and a majority of almost 30,000 making it I think the second safest Tory seat in the country at the time

    In 97 most of the best areas – although not petersfield itself which is staunchly tory – were moved into hampshire north east which was really the true successor to the former east hampshire seat

  15. Petersfield Bell Hill (East Hampshire) result:

    IND: 32.7% (+32.7)
    LDEM: 28.3% (+14.3)
    CON: 26.7% (-20.8)
    LAB: 10.3% (-4.9)
    UKIP: 2.0% (-10.1)

    Independent GAIN from Conservative.

  16. Damian Hinds has accidental posted on instagram his email account which includes a planing email for a 2019 with local Tory activists – surely just good planing as unlikely N.10 would tell ex cabinet minsters and chairperson’s about election plans without it leaking.

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