Grantham & Stamford

2015 Result:
Conservative: 28399 (52.8%)
Labour: 9070 (16.9%)
Lib Dem: 3263 (6.1%)
Green: 1872 (3.5%)
UKIP: 9410 (17.5%)
Independent: 1017 (1.9%)
Others: 724 (1.3%)
MAJORITY: 18989 (35.3%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Lincolnshire.. Includes most of the South Kesteven council area.

Main population centres: Grantham, Stamford, Bourne, Ropsley, Thurlby.

Profile: A large rural seat in southern Lincolnshire. Grantham and Stamford are at the extreme north and south of the seat, with a large swathe of agricultural countryside between them, dotted with small rural villages. The only other large settlement in the seat is the rapidly growing town of Bourne, situated at the west of the Lincolnshire Fens. Food processing and agriculture are the major industries.

Politics: Politically Grantham is probably most widely associated with its most famous daughter, Margaret Thatcher, who grew up in the town and whose father Alfred owned a grocer`s shop in the town and served as mayor in 1945/6. However, Grantham itself is probably the most Labour part of the seat. The rural part of the seat and the historical town of Stamford outweigh any Labour votes in Grantham and it is normally a safely Conservative seat. The history of Conservative representation was briefly interrupted between 2007 and 2010 when the sitting Conservative MP, Quentin Davies, defected to the Labour party.


Current MP
NICHOLAS BOLES (Conservative) Born 1965. Educated at Winchester and Oxford University. Former chairman of a decorating supplies company, former director of Policy Exchange. Westminster councillor 1998-2002. Contested Hove 2005. First elected as MP for Grantham and Stamford in 2010. Under-secretary of State for Communities and Local Government 2012-2014. Minister of State for skills and enterprise since 2014.
Past Results
2010
Con: 26552 (50%)
Lab: 9503 (18%)
LDem: 11726 (22%)
BNP: 2485 (5%)
Oth: 2533 (5%)
MAJ: 14826 (28%)
2005*
Con: 22109 (47%)
Lab: 14664 (31%)
LDem: 7838 (17%)
UKIP: 1498 (3%)
Oth: 1038 (2%)
MAJ: 7445 (16%)
2001
Con: 21329 (46%)
Lab: 16811 (36%)
LDem: 6665 (14%)
UKIP: 1484 (3%)
MAJ: 4518 (10%)
1997
Con: 22672 (43%)
Lab: 19980 (38%)
LDem: 6612 (12%)
Oth: 985 (2%)
MAJ: 2692 (5%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
NICHOLAS BOLES (Conservative) See above.
BARRIE FAIRBAIRN (Labour)
HARRISH BISNAUTHSING (Liberal Democrat) Born Mauritius. Former RAF engineer, computer hardware consultant. South Kesteven councillor since 2003. Contested Grantham and Stamford 2010.
MARIETTA KING (UKIP)
AIDAN CAMPBELL (Green)
JAN HANSEN (Lincolnshire Independents)
IAN SELBY (Independent)
Links
Comments - 157 Responses on “Grantham & Stamford”
  1. It was hardly fertile territory for the Tories though, was it?

    I agree with PT that most voters probably vote for party, unless it’s a well-known incumbent with name recognition. That isn’t bulletproof in any case.

  2. Picking someone like him for a seat like that is essentially the Tories sticking two fingers at the majority of the electorate – and I’m sure that was the intention

  3. It was quite brave of him really, considering the level of vitriol he must have known he would receive. Seats like that are training for future Tory MPs.

    The last prime minister to enter Parliament at their first election was Jim Callaghan. Before that it was Wilson. Attlee also got in the first time. The other post-war PMs all lost elections at their first attempt. However, some of these were quite marginal (like Cameron in Stafford), rather than safe for the incumbent. May and Johnson both stood in safe Labour seats before their eventual election to Parliament. Lots of opposition candidates in safe seats go nowhere, but some go on to be key players.

  4. I think it says more about his sense of entitlement than bravery – arrogantly assuming that an out and out snob of the worst possible kind like him could reac parts of the electorate he cares nothing for nor knows anything about

    I hope the local association got a brick through the window for that one

  5. I’m no admirer of JRM, but I don’t think he would have been under any illusions about reaching parts of the electorate in that Fife seat. If anything, it was a little jaunt for him, as he was quite young and didn’t enter Parliament until several elections later. He did draw some sympathy from the sitting Labour MP. The episode is obviously covered in Michael Ashcroft’s biography, Jacob’s Ladder.

  6. I think he contested the Wrekin in the following election – a solid Tory seat now – and didn’t succeed there either – referring to people who didn’t go to public school as ‘potted plants’

    I actually didn’t mind him that much until that incident where he was caught lounging on the front bench. Whenever I think of him that’s the image that comes into my head – and it just sums him up perfectly – arrogance and entitlement personified.

  7. Yes, he contested The Wrekin in 2001 – and got a reduced share of the vote.

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