Grantham & Stamford

2015 Result:
Conservative: 28399 (52.8%)
Labour: 9070 (16.9%)
Lib Dem: 3263 (6.1%)
Green: 1872 (3.5%)
UKIP: 9410 (17.5%)
Independent: 1017 (1.9%)
Others: 724 (1.3%)
MAJORITY: 18989 (35.3%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Lincolnshire.. Includes most of the South Kesteven council area.

Main population centres: Grantham, Stamford, Bourne, Ropsley, Thurlby.

Profile: A large rural seat in southern Lincolnshire. Grantham and Stamford are at the extreme north and south of the seat, with a large swathe of agricultural countryside between them, dotted with small rural villages. The only other large settlement in the seat is the rapidly growing town of Bourne, situated at the west of the Lincolnshire Fens. Food processing and agriculture are the major industries.

Politics: Politically Grantham is probably most widely associated with its most famous daughter, Margaret Thatcher, who grew up in the town and whose father Alfred owned a grocer`s shop in the town and served as mayor in 1945/6. However, Grantham itself is probably the most Labour part of the seat. The rural part of the seat and the historical town of Stamford outweigh any Labour votes in Grantham and it is normally a safely Conservative seat. The history of Conservative representation was briefly interrupted between 2007 and 2010 when the sitting Conservative MP, Quentin Davies, defected to the Labour party.


Current MP
NICHOLAS BOLES (Conservative) Born 1965. Educated at Winchester and Oxford University. Former chairman of a decorating supplies company, former director of Policy Exchange. Westminster councillor 1998-2002. Contested Hove 2005. First elected as MP for Grantham and Stamford in 2010. Under-secretary of State for Communities and Local Government 2012-2014. Minister of State for skills and enterprise since 2014.
Past Results
2010
Con: 26552 (50%)
Lab: 9503 (18%)
LDem: 11726 (22%)
BNP: 2485 (5%)
Oth: 2533 (5%)
MAJ: 14826 (28%)
2005*
Con: 22109 (47%)
Lab: 14664 (31%)
LDem: 7838 (17%)
UKIP: 1498 (3%)
Oth: 1038 (2%)
MAJ: 7445 (16%)
2001
Con: 21329 (46%)
Lab: 16811 (36%)
LDem: 6665 (14%)
UKIP: 1484 (3%)
MAJ: 4518 (10%)
1997
Con: 22672 (43%)
Lab: 19980 (38%)
LDem: 6612 (12%)
Oth: 985 (2%)
MAJ: 2692 (5%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
NICHOLAS BOLES (Conservative) See above.
BARRIE FAIRBAIRN (Labour)
HARRISH BISNAUTHSING (Liberal Democrat) Born Mauritius. Former RAF engineer, computer hardware consultant. South Kesteven councillor since 2003. Contested Grantham and Stamford 2010.
MARIETTA KING (UKIP)
AIDAN CAMPBELL (Green)
JAN HANSEN (Lincolnshire Independents)
IAN SELBY (Independent)
Links
Comments - 92 Responses on “Grantham & Stamford”
  1. Will Labour be able to reclaim second place here in May after the voters of this seat deserted them in the GE of 2010 after Davies’ defection to the party in June 2007.

  2. Conservative Hold. 12,000 majority. Labour 2nd.

  3. Boles has sent a text to Tory MPs asking them to lend their support to Gove “in the national interest” as he’s worried Leadsom could win a membership ballot.

    He ended the text with a kiss.

  4. Awful man. Weird choice for a constituency like this.

  5. Looks like desperation tactics to me, very much doubt they will work.

    Nick Boles has apologised for the text, saying that Gove neither authorised it nor agreed with the content (which also claimed Gove was willing to spend two months getting hammered by Theresa in the national interest).

  6. Ah yes, the man who wanted joint LibDem/Tory candidates in 2015.

    He apparently spent over £50k of his own money in his Hove campaign (including a truck driving around with a 40 ft billboard photo of Boles on). He still lost.

    Although I think a certain diminutive May campaigner is more annoying. It’s odd that they don’t realise their activities could so easily backfire.

  7. MP-R – just realised the MP I was thinking of was the precious one here: Quentin Davies.

  8. Bad run they’ve had in G&S, one sh*t after another

  9. I think you’re being harsh on Boles. The electorate in Hove has clearly become more Labour friendly. The 2010 and 2015 results suggest that the 2005 Tory result, to come within 500 votes, was quite good.

  10. Boles’ result in 2005 was in relative terms much better than the Tory results in Hove in both 2010 and 2015

  11. Probably fair to say that if the new 2010 MP in Hove hadn’t stood down he would probably have kept it for the Tories. As it was, 2015 was still closer in Hove than many expected – although turned out a bright spot for Labour in the South by a small margin.

  12. Blaming individual candidates for things like that is daft and baseless in most cases, especially in seats like Hove which have seen big demographic changes since the 1980s. I don’t really like Boles either (more for his views about concreting over the countryside than the EU or working with the Lib Dems) but his kind of metropolitan Toryism is the best shot of winning seats like Hove; whether it goes down well in Grantham is another matter.

  13. Got a bit confused there, then realised (assumed) that HH reply above was to MPR post above mine. If not, I’ve obviously missed something!

  14. Nick Boles has resigned as a minister. ‘I believe that this is the right time for me to return to the back benches.’

  15. Points to Gove leaving as well.

  16. Possible Gove will choose to go. I think May would let him carry on at justice (where he’s been doing quite well, though not yet been able to convert ideas to actual reform/legislation) if he wanted to.

  17. Nice to see the back of Boles, for certain. Hopefully Soubry will get the boot as well.

  18. Soubry seems closer to May so i think she might be given a position.

  19. Cleaning out the privies perhaps

  20. ‘Nice to see the back of Boles, for certain. Hopefully Soubry will get the boot as well.’

    I’d far rather see you get the boot from this site tbh

    Surely you’ve broken the rule of impartially with every miserable word you ever typed

  21. I must say, I feel some sympathy for Europhiles at the moment.

    It must be very hard, watching your entire world view crumbling before your eyes.

    I doubt Boles will stand here next time. His time has come and gone.

  22. Boles was the guest of the day on the BBC Daily Politics.

    He threatened to walk out when Jo Co questioned him about the Gove text etc.

    At the end he looked particularly po-faced, although they had just shown a piece about the decline of the Notting Hill Set.

    He did, however, criticise the Remainers such as Clegg & Soubry as he said leaving the single market was mentioned by both sides as a consequence of a Leave vote, so they can’t moan now.

    He & Soubry must be hated by all sides of the House and even each other haha. Both strike me as extreme egotists.

  23. Yes I see Boles is now rushing to try to reinvent himself, to avoid being flushed down the drain of history with the other Cameron groupies.

  24. Hear Hear, Runnymede.

    Boles is already on the scrap heap of history.

  25. When people tell you ‘parliament must have its say’ it’s worth noting just what a lot of weather vanes – shallow, opportunist chancers – it actually contains. In all parties.

    The Lib Dems have almost vanished as a party yet their baleful influence has spread over all the others.

  26. Boles has been cast onto the scrapheap before and hauled himself out of it. He’ll be confident he can do so again. Along with Woodward and Massow he was one of the main troublemakers over the Section 28 furore in 1999 at a time when such opinions were far from fashionable, making him none too popular with either Hague or IDS. He was in the right place at the right time when Howard began the modernisation process which Cameron then ran with.

  27. interesting re. boles…his Notting Hill buddies aren’t in charge any more. He will be 55 in 2020, and May doesn’t look like she’ll relinquish power that easily, even after that date. He may choose another career in the 15 years or so he has left. I can see him going to head a charity or doing something again in the think tank world.

    I understand his various texts in the leadership race, including one urging MPs to vote tactically against leadsom, went down like a lead balloon with both leadsom and may supporters. He, Gove and Osborne look like being in a lonely place right now. things change but the road back for them all appears long and steep.

  28. Plus Boles ruffled a lot of Tory feathers as a particularly aggressive planning minister

  29. Nick Boles has been diagnosed with a brain tumour. Despite the harsh words above I’m sure we all wish him well. The survival rates for brain tumours after 5 years remain very low in comparison with other cancers.

  30. Depends whether it’s malignant or benign for one thing. Very delicate either way of course – and very sad for him.

  31. Personally I’ve always quite liked Nick Boles – he was a candidate in Hove a decade ago – although I can understand why many people to his Right certainly don’t

    I’m sure even they will wish him all the best

  32. I wish him all the best, even if he did come out with the hackneyed line ‘I’ve beaten cancer before and I’ll do it again’. Implying of course that those who pass away from this disease should merely just have tried and battled a bit harder.

  33. HH- did Massow join the LDs recently? ie defect again? I read it elsewhere but haven’t heard any confirmation.

    Incidentally a piece in the Mail at the weekend mentioned that Gavin Williamson MP – during the Referendum campaign – told DC about a senior Leave MP who was married but gay and having an affair with a man.

    Not named in the Mail, but apparently it isn’t Fox (as a lot assumed), so that leaves Gove? He did flatshare with Boles and DC for a time which was said to be a very camp house.

  34. The Massow story was officially announced by the LDs around the time of their conference, including comments by Farron, so must be true.

    “so that leaves Gove? He did flatshare with Boles and DC for a time which was said to be a very camp house.”

    Also, famously, Portillo…

  35. Rather unfair Tristan as I wouldn’t say he’s implying that about people who lose their battle with cancer. I think it’s more about his determination to beat it and going in with a positive mindset, which can only help. I’m sure mental attitude CAN make a difference (married couples passing away within days of one another as one goes and the other literally loses the will to live without them, compared with someone like Jane Tomlinson who was given six months to live and carried on far longer than that with her fundraising efforts) but the mind can only do so much; we can only hope his body is strong enough to back up his attitude.

  36. HH – it was about a current MP.

    But yes, Portillo did acknowledge a brief gay relationship whilst at university. Although this appears at odds with what was said by the man and others before he died (that almost everyone knew and it went on for years).

  37. Boles discharged himself from hospital to go by private ambulance to the House to vote with the Government.

    He’s currently away on sick leave, as he’s receiving chemo for his brain tumour.

  38. Get well soon Nick.

  39. Contrast this with Diane Abbot and her headache excuse for missing the vote.

    I find it a bit disturbing these days that this situation should ever arise. Of course, I hugely admire his actions but dragging MPs who are unwell through parliamentary votes doesn’t seem right to me.

  40. From memory Boles has recovered from another cancer once before. I think it’s why he pulled out of a selection around 2007.

    David – True.

    Although he chose to attend.

    Whereas I recall an ex Labour Whip saying they contributed to the death of a female Labour MP in the dying days of the Major Govt as they routinely got hospitalised MPs back in ambulances to vote.

    2 were so ill that they had to be ‘nodded through’ once they had been seen by both sides, as they couldn’t walk.

    I understand the principle of course (to avoid fraudulent votes by impersonation if we just allowed the Whips to count their own or electronic voting from their offices).

  41. St Georges Ward by-election, 15.03.18:

    Cons 309 46% (+12%)
    Ind 174
    Lab 114 17% (+15%)
    LD 68
    Green* 13 2% (-11%)

    No UKIP (20% last time)

    Cons Hold.

    * name of the week: Gerhard Lohmann-Bond

  42. St Johns Ward by-election, 15.03.18:

    Cons 327
    Ind 267
    LD 156
    Lab 66
    Green 15

    Cons Hold.

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