Gordon

2015 Result:
Conservative: 6807 (11.7%)
Labour: 3441 (5.9%)
Lib Dem: 19030 (32.7%)
SNP: 27717 (47.7%)
UKIP: 1166 (2%)
MAJORITY: 8687 (14.9%)

Category: Semi-marginal SNP seat

Geography:

Main population centres:

Profile:

Politics:


Current MP
ALEX SALMOND (SNP) Born 1954, Linlithgow. Educated at Linlithgow Academy and St Andrews University. Former economist. MP for Banff and Buchan 1987-2010. MSP for Banff and Buchan 1999-2001. MSP for Gordon 2007-2010. MSP for Aberdeenshire East since 2011.. First elected as MP for Gordon in 2015. Twice leader of the SNP, from 1990 to 2000 and 2004 to 2014. Scottish First Minister from 2007 to 2014, stepping down after losing the Independence Referendum.
Past Results
2010
Con: 9111 (19%)
Lab: 9811 (20%)
LDem: 17575 (36%)
SNP: 10827 (22%)
Oth: 1451 (3%)
MAJ: 6748 (14%)
2005
Con: 7842 (18%)
Lab: 8982 (20%)
LDem: 20008 (45%)
SNP: 7098 (16%)
Oth: 508 (1%)
MAJ: 11026 (25%)
2001*
Con: 8049 (23%)
Lab: 4730 (14%)
LDem: 15928 (46%)
SNP: 5760 (16%)
Oth: 534 (2%)
MAJ: 7879 (23%)
1997
Con: 11002 (26%)
Lab: 4350 (10%)
LDem: 17999 (43%)
SNP: 8435 (20%)
Oth: 459 (1%)
MAJ: 6997 (17%)

2015 Candidates
COLIN CLARK (Conservative) Educated at Turriff Academy and Heriot-Watt University. Farmer.
BRADEN DAVY (Labour) Born Bishop Auckland. Educated at Hirst High School and Durham University. Parliamentary assistant and former McDonalds manager.
CHRISTINE JARDINE (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Braidfield High School and Glasgow university. Journalist. Contested Aberdeen Donside 2013 by-election and Scotland region 2014 European election.
EMILY SANTOS (UKIP) Nurse.
ALEX SALMOND (SNP) Born 1954, Linlithgow. Educated at Linlithgow Academy and St Andrews University. Former Economist. MP for Banff and Buchan 1987-2010. MSP for Banff and Buchan 1999-2001. MSP for Gordon 2007-2010. MSP for Aberdeenshire East since 2011.. Twice leader of the SNP, from 1990 to 2000 and 2004 to 2014. Scottish First Minister from 2007 to 2014, stepping down after losing the Independence Referendum.
Links
Comments - 710 Responses on “Gordon”
  1. Did anybody see Alex Salmonds defiant speech following the declaration? He inferred that he would be making some kind of comeback but elections to the Scottish Parliament are still nearly 4 years away. He is in the political unless he wins a Westminster / Holyrood by election or there is another snap general election.

  2. Who would have thought the day would come to see Alex Salmond losing his seat!

  3. “Who would have thought the day would come to see Alex Salmond losing his seat!”

    @ WOOF – well if you look just a bit upthread you’ll notice that myself and plopwellian tory believed that this would be a Conservative gain.

  4. Hard to gauge how much trouble the SNP is in.
    I think the Tories need to capitalise on their Scotland results, given the narrative of disappointment overall.
    I hope another tranche of SNP seats now go down next time.
    Whatever happens, if Indy Ref 2 is killed off, that’s a good thing in my view.
    Does anyone know why the swing was so high here?

  5. Dalek: “Yes….SNP loses in Banff & Buchan, Angus and Aberdeen North…that is a crazy prediction.”

    Turns out they lost two out of the three!

    I wonder how big a factor the Scottish Tories’ stance on the CFP was in coastal areas of Aberdeenshire

  6. It was Aberdeen North that I regarded as crazy…the other two were only outlandish.

    It would be interesting to see what impact a Jo Swinson leadership would have on the recent Scottish Conservative success who seem to have hoovered up much of the Scottish Lib Dem vote. A recovering Lib Dem vote could reduce the Conservatives vote by far more than the SNP due to the Lib Dems ultra unionist stance.

  7. Perhaps Alex Salmond will return as party leader of the SNP if Nicola Sturgeon resigns following the next Scottish Parliamentary elections.

    Frankly speaking the party are heading on a collison course for disaster. At the very least it is virtually guaranteed that the pro-independence lobby will lose their majority at Holyrood to be surpassed by the unionists. If the next Holyrood election is anything like the general election in Scotland then Nicola Sturgeon will probably be forced out.

    Where can the party go from here?

    Stick to their guns and inevitably lose their mandate for a second referendum at the next Scottish Parliamentary elections (bad)? Make an embarassing climb-down on a second referendum on Scottish independence (also bad)? Or try to force one through illegially without the support of the UK Parliament (worse)?

    Can anyone see a way out for them?

  8. They’ll have to fudge the issue. Indyref2 wil be downgraded from a pledge to an “aspiration”. Their 2021 Holyrood campaign will major on their government record – its pitch will have to be “you may like Labour is promising, but we’re offering a similar platform, and evidence that we can deliver it.”

    I suspect the electorate will have tired of the SNP and they will incur significant losses, just as the rest of Britain is beginning to tire of the Conservatives. But that’s really the only thing they can do unless the independence movement gets second wind.

  9. I could see the political map of Central Scotland reverting back in line of where it was in 2011 in 2021 with Labour gains in Glasgow Provan/ Maryhill & Springburn/ Coatbridge/ Rutherglen/ Uddingston ect but I would see the SNP holding Glasgow Southside/ Glasgow Cathcart/ East Kilbride/ Cumbernauld ect.

  10. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-40567597

    That’s not how you do this, Alec. Proper retired politicians are supposed to receive six-figure paycheques for speeches to Goldman Sachs 😉

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)