Gloucester

2015 Result:
Conservative: 23827 (45.3%)
Labour: 16586 (31.6%)
Lib Dem: 2828 (5.4%)
Green: 1485 (2.8%)
UKIP: 7497 (14.3%)
TUSC: 115 (0.2%)
Loony: 227 (0.4%)
MAJORITY: 7241 (13.8%)

Category: Semi-marginal Conservative seat

Geography: South West, Gloucestershire.

Main population centres:

Profile:

Politics:


Current MP
RICHARD GRAHAM (Conservative) Born 1958. Educated at Eton and Oxford University. Former airline manager, diplomat and merchant banker. Cotswold councillor 2003-07. Contested South West region in European 2004 elections. First elected as MP for Gloucester in 2010. PPS to Lord Howell of Guildford 2010-12, PPS to Hugo Swire 2012-2014.
Past Results
2010
Con: 20267 (40%)
Lab: 17847 (35%)
LDem: 9767 (19%)
UKIP: 1808 (4%)
Oth: 1075 (2%)
MAJ: 2420 (5%)
2005*
Con: 18867 (36%)
Lab: 23138 (45%)
LDem: 7825 (15%)
UKIP: 1116 (2%)
Oth: 857 (2%)
MAJ: 4271 (8%)
2001
Con: 18187 (38%)
Lab: 22067 (46%)
LDem: 6875 (14%)
UKIP: 822 (2%)
Oth: 272 (1%)
MAJ: 3880 (8%)
1997
Con: 20684 (36%)
Lab: 28943 (50%)
LDem: 6069 (10%)
Oth: 736 (1%)
MAJ: 8259 (14%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
RICHARD GRAHAM (Conservative) See above.
SOPHY GARDNER (Labour) Educated at Putney High School and Cambridge University. Director of a communications business and former RAF officer.
JEREMY HILTON (Liberal Democrat) Born 1955, Gloucester. Educated at Longlevens Secondary. Local government consultant. Gloucester and Gloucestershire councillor. Contested Gloucester 1987, 2005, 2010.
RICHARD FORD (UKIP) Educated at Durham University. Businessman, formerly ran collapsed travel company Travelscope.
JONATHAN INGLEBY (Green)
SUE POWELL (TUSC)
GEORGE RIDGEON (Loony) Retired firefighter.
Links
Comments - 153 Responses on “Gloucester”
  1. I presume we’re talking about Trump and Cummings.

  2. TRADE MARK:
    “That was rather on the money, in hindsight, when so many (myself included) did not foresee a Tory majority in 2015.”

    Who were you known as then?

    This was my 2015 prediction ..

    “FINAL PREDICTION FROM DEEPTHROAT

    CON 294/LAB 258/LD 28/SNP 42.” It’s on Lab Target Seats thread.

    Result 330 / 232 / 8 / 56

  3. I didn’t make a final prediction at that time. I have previously posted on here as TM and Harry Perkins.

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