Glasgow South

2015 Result:
Conservative: 4752 (9.7%)
Labour: 14504 (29.7%)
Lib Dem: 1019 (2.1%)
SNP: 26773 (54.9%)
Green: 1431 (2.9%)
TUSC: 299 (0.6%)
MAJORITY: 12269 (25.2%)

Category: Safe SNP seat

Geography: Scotland, Glasgow. Part of the Glasgow council area.

Main population centres: Glasgow.

Profile: Part of Glasgow South covers the most affluent and well off parts of Glasgow, old Victorian and Edwardian conservation areas with desirable townhouses and historic buildings and large open green spaces like Pollok Country Park. However since the 1950s and 1960s the area has also seen the growth of massive council developments as the tenements and tower blocks of the Castlemilk estate were built to the south of the city, housing families displaced from Glasgow`s slum clearances. To the north of the seat there is also now a growing Pakistani community in the Pollokshields area. The constituency includes Hampden Park, Scotland`s national stadium.

Politics: Politically this was once the most Conservative part of Glasgow, but the growth of the Castlemilk estate and the decline of the Tories in Scotland has changed that. The old Glasgow Cathcart seat was a Conservative banker for fifty-six years until it was lost by the then shadow Scottish secretary Teddy Taylor in the 1979 election. Since then it has become the sort of seat that typifies Glasgow - ultra safe Labour until falling to the SNP in the 2015 landslide.


Current MP
STEWART MCDONALD (SNP) First elected as MP for Glasgow South in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 4592 (11%)
Lab: 20736 (52%)
LDem: 4739 (12%)
SNP: 8078 (20%)
Oth: 1949 (5%)
MAJ: 12658 (32%)
2005
Con: 4836 (13%)
Lab: 18153 (47%)
LDem: 7321 (19%)
SNP: 4860 (13%)
Oth: 3261 (8%)
MAJ: 10832 (28%)
2001*
Con: 3662 (13%)
Lab: 14902 (54%)
LDem: 3006 (11%)
SNP: 4086 (15%)
Oth: 1730 (6%)
MAJ: 10816 (39%)
1997
Con: 4248 (12%)
Lab: 19158 (56%)
LDem: 2302 (7%)
SNP: 6913 (20%)
Oth: 1489 (4%)
MAJ: 12245 (36%)

2015 Candidates
KYLE THORNTON (Conservative) Born Glasgow. Educated at Glasgow University. Student.
TOM HARRIS (Labour) Born 1964, Ayrshire. Educated at Garnock Academy and Napier College. Journalist and local authority PR manager. MP for Glasgow Cathcart 2001 to 2015. PPS to John Spellar 2003-2005,PPS to Patricia Hewitt 2005-2006, Under-secretary of State for Transport 2006-2008. Contested the 2011 Scottish Labour leadership election.
EWAN HOYLE (Liberal Democrat)
ALASTAIR WHITELAW (Green) Contested Glasgow Central 2010.
STEWART MCDONALD (SNP)
BRIAN SMITH (TUSC) Contested Glasgow South 2010.
Links
Comments - 110 Responses on “Glasgow South”
  1. Had Teddy Taylor held on in 1979 he may have lost in 1983.

    The notional Labour majority in 1979 of 1600 became a notional Conservative majority of 1700 by Labour “regained” the seat by some 4230 in 1983. This means that Labour would have won by 7500 on the 1979 boundaries.

    There was a swing to Labour in Glasgow that year evident in other Glasgow constituencies. In Glasgow Hillhead, there was a notional Labour majority of 2000 over the Tories and when Jenkins won the gap between Labour and the Tories increased to 4000.

    This contrasted with places like Renfrew West & Inverclyde, Cunningham North, Dunfermline West and Livingston that all swung to the Tories.

  2. No….Glasgow South is more Tory than the 1955 to 1974, 1974 to 1983 and 1997 to 2005 Cathcarts but not the 1983 to 1997 version. That excluded half of Castlemilk that was part of Glasgow Rutherglen from 1983 to 1997.

  3. “Ah ok. Would Glasgow North have been Conservative in 1983 I wonder?”

    No…..the historical constituency it is best to compare it to would be Glasgow Woodside (1955 to 1974).

    It covers the whole of that constituency and former Hillhead parts would cancel out the former Maryhill parts.

    Glasgow Woodside was gained from the Conservatives by Labour in a 1962 by election and held in 1964, 1966 and by a slim margin in 1970…so I assume Glasgow North would have followed a similar pattern.

    Glasgow South is the only Glasgow constituency that would not have been won by Labour by Oct 1974, and it would have been gained by Labour in 1979 because its boundaries are quite similar to Glasgow Cathcart.

  4. Glasgow NW and Glasgow SW would both have been Labour Gains from the Conservatives in 1959 and are both very similar to Glasgow Scotstoun and Glasgow Craigton that both fell that year. Glasgow North would have gone Labour in 1964 and Glasgow South in 1979. Glasgow East and Glasgow North East would have been Labour since at least 1935 (bar the by election) and Glasgow Central would have been Labour since 1945. It’s made up of a number of old Glasgow constituencies that include Bridgeton, Central, Kelvingrove, Tradeston and Gorbals of which the Conservatives only won in Kelvingrove following 1950.

  5. While I am aware that all 8 Holyrood Glasgow constituencies voted YES in the 2014 Independence Referendum, I would be interested to know if YES won in every ward. How did more affluent wards like Victoria Park, Pollokshields and Partick East/ Kelvindale vote?

  6. According to my figures the following 2012 electoral wards in Glasgow voted No to independence in 2014:
    • Partick West – 60% No
    • Pollokshields – 55% No
    • Hillhead – 54% No
    • Langside – 53% No
    • Baillieston – 52% No
    • Newlands/Auldburn – 50% No

    Glasgow’s most affluent areas still returned relatively high Yes vote compared to Edinburgh and Aberdeen’s more deprived areas.

    In the south of Glasgow, though there a marginal No vote in suburban areas this was countered by a substantial Yes vote in the Castlemilks estate.

  7. There seem to be a bunch of people in Glasgow South who have recently joined Labour, who share the same e-mail addresses and phone numbers:

    https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/919681463011987461

    Nothing remotely suspicious about that…

  8. Thats the kind of thing youd see in Leicester East tbh a load of people signed up on block by Keith Vaz using the council email

  9. Indeed it was but this isn’t the constituency previously represented by him – he was MP for Glasgow Central like his daddy before him

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)