Feltham & Heston

2015 Result:
Conservative: 14382 (29.1%)
Labour: 25845 (52.3%)
Lib Dem: 1579 (3.2%)
Green: 1390 (2.8%)
UKIP: 6209 (12.6%)
MAJORITY: 11463 (23.2%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Hounslow council area.

Main population centres: Feltham, Heston.

Profile: Feltham and Heston are the south and east of Heathrow airport respectively, and the airport is both a major source of local employment and, due to its possible expansion, a major political issue locally. Feltham was traditionally an area of blue collar Labour strength, but with the right to buy it is increasingly owner-occupied and has become the more Conservative half of the seat. It is also home to Feltham Young Offenders Institute. Heston meanwhile, once the more Conservative part of the seat, is now home to a large Sikh community and strongly Labour.

Politics: The seat was Conservative between 1983 and 1992, but in 1997 and 2001 Labour managed to secure a huge majority with nearing 60% of the vote. The Conservatives enjoyed an 8.4% swing in 2005 and have enjoyed success at local elections, but the Labour majority is still substantial and was further bolstered by the 2010 boundary changes. The by-election following the death of Alan Keen in 2011 was easily held by Labour.

By-Election: There was a by-election in this seat in LAB HOLD. For full details see here.


Current MP
SEEMA MALHOTRA (Labour) Born 1972, London. Educated at Warwick University. Former management consultant and chair of the Fabian Society. Contested South West London 2004 London assembly election. First elected as MP for Feltham and Heston in 2011 by-election. Shadow Chief Secretary since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 16516 (34%)
Lab: 21174 (44%)
LDem: 6679 (14%)
BNP: 1714 (4%)
Oth: 2453 (5%)
MAJ: 4658 (10%)
2005*
Con: 10921 (29%)
Lab: 17741 (48%)
LDem: 6177 (17%)
GRN: 815 (2%)
Oth: 1628 (4%)
MAJ: 6820 (18%)
2001
Con: 8749 (24%)
Lab: 21406 (59%)
LDem: 4998 (14%)
Oth: 1024 (3%)
MAJ: 12657 (35%)
1997
Con: 12563 (27%)
Lab: 27836 (60%)
LDem: 4264 (9%)
Oth: 859 (2%)
MAJ: 15273 (33%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
SIMON NAYYAR (Conservative)
SEEMA MALHOTRA (Labour) See above.
ROGER CROUCH (Liberal Democrat) Contested Feltham and Heston 2011 by-election.
PETER DUL (UKIP) Works in marine insurance. Contested Richmond Park 2005, 2010.
TONY FIRKINS (Green) Educated at Cambridge University. Mobile phone network operator.
Links
Comments - 67 Responses on “Feltham & Heston”
  1. Cllr Gurpal Virdi has defected from Labour to Ind here.

    The Hounslow Cllr represents Cranford ward.

  2. Just catching up on this and missed Lancs’ post above. Virdi was the police officer cleared of sexual assault charges.

    Re: the election, clearly with a big majority and allowing for the “London effect” where Labour’s vote share appears to be more resilient, this one may be a bit of a non-event but given the only wards in the constituency that voted Remain last year were the Heston wards (even Hounslow West and Cranford voted Leave), Seema Malhotra’s majority could be reduced somewhat were the Conservatives and/or UKIP to campaign heavily on Brexit here.

  3. Another seat that with current polling looks like a very possible CON gain. Apart from the usual reasons, there is some evidence that their non – Muslim SE Asian vote is crumbling. This seat marginally voted leave 52/48 it has been estimated.

    Conservatives have chosen Samir Jassal who is 31, a property developer and is a cabinet member on Gravesham council. He was the PPC in the no hope seat of East Ham last time. I believe that he is of the Sikh faith.

  4. Alex F – this seat actually voted Leave by 56/44 (ward results were published in Hounslow so actual results were known). However, as I said above, I think this one will see a reduced majority but Malhotra will be pretty safe.

    I’ll go 6,000 majority.

  5. I think postal votes for Hounslow were only announced borough wide which Hanneity has added into his calculations.

  6. Seems on the face of it unlikely – I could easily be overestimating the LAB – CON switchers in the Indian community. Of crse Malhotra is favourite – I would say CON likliehood is only 25% – at this time

  7. Postal votes were spread across various wards (which potentially upset the ward results somewhat), but I suspect wouldn’t have upset the overall constituency results much.

    Those wards in F&H that didn’t have postal votes allocated to them produced bigger Leave leads:

    Feltham North: 34/66
    Feltham West: 36/64
    Cranford: 44/56
    Hounslow West: 49/51
    Heston Central: 51/49

    The only wards in F&H that produced Remain leads aside from Heston Central were Heston West (50/49) and Heston East (53/47), both of which had postal votes allocated to them.

  8. I live in the Hanworth Park ward. So far this general election, I’ve had three leaflets through the door from Labour; nothing from everyone else.
    If the Cons do think this is a possible win, I’m not seeing much evidence of them trying.

  9. This was always a longshot; the relatively high Brexit vote made it slightly vulnerable but given the wobble and the general strength of Labour in London, there’s no way the Tories will take this.

  10. Update: Since my previous message, I’ve subsequently received one more labour leaflet, one from UKIP and oen from the Lib Dems.
    I’ve also seen the Green party giving out leaflets at Feltham station.

    Still nothing from the Cons

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