West Midlands European Region

2014 Election
2014 Results
1. Jill Seymour (UKIP) 428010 31.5% (+10.2%)
2. Neena Gill (Labour) 363033 26.7% (+9.7%)
3. Philip Bradbourn (Conservative) 330470 24.3% (-3.8%)
4. James Carver (UKIP) (214005)
5. Sion Simon (Labour) (181517)
6. Anthea McIntyre (Conservative) (165235)
7. Bill Etheridge (UKIP) (142670)
. (Liberal Democrat) 75648 5.6% (-6.4%)
. (Green) 71464 5.3% (-0.9%)
. (Independence from Europe) 27171 2% (n/a)
. (We Demand a Referendum) 23426 1.7% (n/a)
. (BNP) 20643 1.5% (-7.1%)
. (English Democrats) 12832 0.9% (-1.4%)
. (No2EU) 4653 0.3% (-0.7%)
. (Harmony) 1857 0.1% (n/a)
Current sitting MEPs
portrait
Jill Seymour (UKIP) MEP for West Midlands since 2014
portrait
Neena Gill (Labour) Born 1956, Ludhiana. Educated at Liverpool Polytechnic. Prior to her election was chief executive of a social housing company. MEP for West Midlands 1999-2009 and since 2014
portrait
Philip Bradbourn (Conservative) Born 1951, Tipton. Educated at Tipton Grammar and Worcester College. Contested Wolverhampton South East 1992. Contested County Durham in 1994 European elections. MEP for the West Midlands since 1999. Awarded the OBE in 1994 for public and political service.
portrait
James Carver (UKIP) Runs a family umbrella business. Contested Orpington 1997, London 1999 european election, Cheltenham 2001, Preseli Pembrokeshire 2005. MEP for West Midlands since 2014
portrait
Sion Simon (Labour) Born 1968, Caernarfonshire. Educated at Handsworth Grammar and Oxford University. Former journalist. MP for Birmingham Erdington 2001-2010. Under secretary for further education 2008-2009, Under Secretary for creative industries 2009-2010. Stood down from Parliament to stand as the elected mayor of Birmingham, before the local referendum rejected the creation of the role. MEP for West Midlands since 2014
portrait
Anthea McIntyre (Conservative) Born 1954, Ross on Wye. MEP since 2011, when the Treaty of Lisbon entered into force and the United Kingdom received an extra MEP.
portrait
Bill Etheridge (UKIP) Educated at Parkfield High School and Wolverhampton Polytechnic. Carer and former sales manager. Contested West Midlands Police Commissioner election 2012. MEP for West Midlands since 2014

Full candidates for the 2014 European election are here.

2009 Election
2009 Results
1. Philip Charles Bradbourn (Conservative) 396847 28.1% (+0.7%)
2. Mike Nattrass (UKIP) 300471 21.3% (+3.8%)
3. Michael Cashman (Labour) 240201 17% (-6.4%)
4. Malcolm Harbour (Conservative) (198424)
5. Liz Lynne (Liberal Democrat) 170246 12% (-1.7%)
6. Nikki Sinclaire (UKIP) (150236)
. (BNP) 121967 8.6% (+1.1%)
. (Green) 88244 6.2% (+1.1%)
. (English Democrats) 32455 2.3% (n/a)
. (Christian) 18784 1.3% (n/a)
. (Socialist Labour) 14724 1% (+0.4%)
. (No2EU) 13415 0.9% (n/a)
. (Jury Team) 8721 0.6% (n/a)
. (Libertas) 6961 0.5% (n/a)
Current sitting MEPs
portrait
Philip Charles Bradbourn (Conservative) Born 1951, Tipton. Educated at Tipton Grammar and Worcester College. Contested Wolverhampton South East 1992. Contested County Durham in 1994 European elections. MEP for the West Midlands since 1999. Awarded the OBE in 1994 for public and political service.
portrait
Mike Nattrass (An Independence Party) Born 1945, Leeds. Chartered surveyer. UKIP MEP for the West Midlands Region since 2004. Contested Dudley West by-election 1994 for the New Britain Party. Contested Solihull 1997 for the Referendum party. Contested Sutton Coldfield 2001, Stone 2005, Crewe and Nantwich by-election 2008, South Staffordshire 2010. Deputy leader of UKIP 2002-2006. Resigned from UKIP in September 2013 after failing to be selected for the 2014 European election.
portrait
Michael Cashman (Labour) Born 1950, London. Former actor, best known for playing Colin Russell in Eastenders. MEP for West Midlands since 1999.
portrait
Malcolm Harbour (Conservative) Born 1947, Woking. Educated at Bedford School and Cambridge University. Formerly worked as a engineer, executive and consultant in the motor industry. Contested Birmingham East in 1989 European election. MEP for the West Midlands since 1999.
portrait
Phil Bennion (Liberal Democrat) Born 1954, Tamworth. Educated at Queen Elizabeth Grammar School. Lichfield councillor 1999-2011. Contested Tamworth 2005, Telford 2010. MEP for the West Midlands since 2012, succeeding Liz Lynne
portrait
Nikki Sinclaire (We Demand a Referendum) Born 1968, London. Educated at Kent University. Former UKIP party secretary. Contested Medway 2001, Halesowen and Rowley Regis 2005 for UKIP, Solihull 2010 for Solihull and Meriden Residents Association. MEP for the West Midlands since 2009. She resigned from the EFD group in 2010 and was subsequently expelled from UKIP for refusing to be part of the group.
portrait
Anthea McIntyre (Conservative) Born 1954, Ross on Wye. MEP since 2011, when the Treaty of Lisbon entered into force and the United Kingdom received an extra MEP.


.

Comments - 78 Responses on “Europe West Midlands”
  1. The best simple change to improve connecyivity would be to replace Bablake (whose population centres are isolated at the east of the seat) and replacing it with Earlsdon. Call the new seat Coventry South West and Meriden. Still a horrible seat but at least now you have got clear connectivity lines running East-West reaching all of the seat. Meriden town itself is slightly isolated in the north but you have a clear north-south road linking it to the main body of the seat.

  2. The A45 may not reach most of the seat but its better than nothing, those connecting roads you speak of in the South consist of the same type of B roads that connect most of the seat up anyway. But as I said Westwood I can semi understand what I really don’t get it Wainbody, it may be “closer” geographically but that can hardly be their main concern since they kept Holbrook in the seat, the geographically furthest ward.

    Basically my conclusion is the BC have made a god awful seat, why not embrace its awfulness and limit changes rather than making dubious partisan changes that don’t really improve things.

  3. I’m increasingly bemused by the BC’s decisions to mix wards around in Coventry proper when creating the Coventry West and Meriden seat. Whether you agree with Pepps arguments for doing so or not the BC seem to think it doesn’t even need justification.

    I’ve been skimming through the BC’s reports and usually they provide quite detailed explanations re why they have added or removed certain wards or chose a certain ward over others etc but in the Coventry area we just get this

    “We noted that the electorate of the City of Coventry is too small to continue to be allocated three whole constituencies. We propose that the existing Coventry North East constituency be left unchanged. We also propose to add the two Solihull borough wards of Knowle and Meriden to a Coventry West and Meriden constituency that also contains five Coventry city wards.
    This change results in the remaining seven Coventry city wards forming a Coventry South constituency”

    That’s it, no acknowledgement of their re-jig of Coventry proper or the most half baked of justifications, one wonders if they’re even aware of the changes they’ve made…

  4. The boss of John Lewis, Andy Street, has been selected as the Conservative candidate for Mayor of the West Midlands.

    Sion Simon MEP is the Labour candidate.

  5. Probably mentioned elsewhere but here are Thrasher and Talkings 2017 figures for England (presumably):

    Liberal Democrats +100
    Conservatives +50
    Labour -50
    Ukip -100

  6. Those figures exclude Scotland, and while I couldn’t put any figures on it Labour will almost certainly be facing their biggest loses there! Similarly, the Conservatives will be advancing strongest in Scotland.

  7. Almost all the seats UKIP are defending are those that were won from the Tories.

    Unless the sitting Cllrs are excellent and/or have some personal following, they’re going to be annihilated.

  8. Full Rallings & Thrasher forecast national equivalent vote compared with 2013 is Con 31% (+5), Lab 29% (nc), LD 22% (+9) UKIP 10% (-12).

  9. Poll by local Birmingham paper has Sion on 34.5% and Street on 33.5%

  10. Is that a properly weighted poll or just an online survey?

    My thought is Street is going to win this comfortably. The Tories have put huge resources in (over £1 million, apparently) + his background is about ideal for this type of election + the national situation. If he doesn’t win it will be a very disappointing result and in some ways a bit of an embarrassment, given how much backing he’s head.

    The real one to watch is Tees Valley IMO… (The Sun today quotes both Labour and Tory sources saying the Tories have a chance).

  11. Probably a balanced poll. The other polls have all showed similar close figures.

  12. ”The real one to watch is Tees Valley IMO… (The Sun today quotes both Labour and Tory sources saying the Tories have a chance).”

    Wow if the Tories do actually pull off a win there (I personally seriously doubt it) Labour could actually be doing far worse than anyone thought…

    A Tory victory would probably involve:
    -Winning Stockton South in a landslide.
    -Winning Darlington Borough and Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland comfortably
    -Winning Hartlepool narrowly
    -Only sustaining moderate losses in Stockton North and Redcar
    -Still losing Middlesbrough by loads but by less than usual
    -Favourable second preference transfers

    Not impossible but pretty unlikely I would have thought…

  13. I think that when looking at these result we should remember that mayoral elections often produce results out of line with GE/local election norms. Labour has only won the London mayoralty twice out of five, Hartlepool (within the Tees Valley area) elected H’Angus the Monkey three times, Bedford has a Lib Dem mayor etc. Add in the scale of the national swing at the moment and I don’t think the scenario Pepperminttea describes is so unlikely.

  14. Not that unlikely but the narrative would be important, especially with the General Election around the corner. The media would be filled (even more) with Labour’s impending doom in its remaining heartlands.

  15. I agree that it wouldn’t be AS surprising in a Mayoral – after all Prescott lost both the NE devolution Ref and the PCC position he contested more recently. You’d think Labour would stop foisting positions on areas – although these Mayoral ones were GO’s bright idea. I think Manc and Bristol were given a say, but Lpool wasn’t for either city or Metro positions.

  16. West Mids Metro Mayoral Result:

    Street (Cons) 216,280
    Simon (Lab) 210,259
    Nielsen (LD) 30,378
    UKIP 29,051
    Green 24,260
    CPGB 5,696

  17. I wouldn’t be surprised if these results gave the Tories a poll bounce, at least in the short term (people like being associated with the winners). The next few polls could see them in the low 50s again

  18. I called Tees Valley right but thought West Mids would be a bit more comfortable. The Labour vote held up better than it could have done in Wolverhampton, Coventry and West Bromwich. Still a very big change from 2015 though.

  19. True, plus the UKIP vote seems to have held up more so in some urban wards than in the shires where it went Tory.

  20. Ward level results have been released for Birmingham for the West Midlands Mayoral election:

    Birmingham Edgbaston:
    1st:
    Street (Tory): 9,916 (49.8%)
    Simon (Lab): 6,522 (32.8%)
    Neilson (LD): 1,444 (7.3%)
    Burn (Grn): 1,100 (5.5%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 674 (3.4%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 246 (1.2%)

    2nd:
    Street (Tory): 10,713 (58.1%)
    Simon (Lab): 7,729 (41.9%)

    Birmingham Erdington:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 6,313 (43.2%)
    Street (Tory): 5,775 (39.5%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 866 (5.9%)
    Burn (Grn): 7,32 (5.0%)
    Neilson (LD): 711 (4.9%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 206 (1.4%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 6,958 (52.2%)
    Street (Tory): 6,362 (47.8%)

    Birmingham Hall Green:
    1st
    Simon (Lab): 16,544 (60.2%)
    Street (Tory): 6,385 (23.2%)
    Neilson (LD): 2,202 (8.0%)
    Burn (Grn): 1,607 (5.8%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 477 (1.7%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 285 (1.0%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 18,125 (71.3%)
    Street (Tory): 7,293 (28.7%)

    Birmingham Hodge Hill:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 14,776 (74.5%)
    Street (Tory): 2,516 (12.7%)
    Neilson (LD): 976 (4.9%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 768 (3.9%)
    Burn (Grn): 665 (3.4%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 138 (0.7%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 15,407 (83.9%)
    Street (Tory): 2,964 (16.1%)

    Birmingham Ladywood:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 13,067 (70.7%)
    Street (Tory): 2,755 (14.9%)
    Neilson (LD): 1,109 (6.0%)
    Burn (Grn): 877 (4.7%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 397 (2.1%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 268 (1.5%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 13,954 (81.5%)
    Street (Tory): 3,176 (18.5%)

    Birmingham Northfield:
    1st:
    Street (Tory): 8,844 (49.7%)
    Simon (Lab): 5,714 (32.1%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 1,118 (6.3%)
    Neilson (LD): 982 (5.5%)
    Burn (Grn): 913 (5.1%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 211 (1.2%)

    2nd:
    Street (Tory): 9,654 (59.2%)
    Simon (Lab): 6,643 (40.8%)

    Birmingham Perry Barr:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 11,685 (59.3%)
    Street (Tory): 4,590 (23.3%)
    Neilson (LD): 1,740 (8.8%)
    Burn (Grn): 743 (3.8%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 652 (3.3%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 290 (1.5%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 12,591 (70.5%)
    Street (Tory): 5,271 (29.5%)

    Birmingham Selly Oak:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 8,825 (40.3%)
    Street (Tory): 8,762 (40.0%)
    Neilson (LD): 1,639 (7.5%)
    Burn (Grn): 1,592 (7.3%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 819 (3.7%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 279 (1.3%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 10,530 (52.2%)
    Street (Tory): 9,632 (47.8%)

    Birmingham Yardley:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 7,850 (44.9%)
    Street (Tory): 5,224 (29.9%)
    Neilson (LD): 2,519 (14.4%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 1,046 (6.0%)
    Burn (Grn): 663 (3.8%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 196 (1.1%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 8,907 (58.4%)
    Street (Tory): 6,352 (41.6%)

    Sutton Coldfield:
    1st:
    Street (Tory): 18,871 (72.8%)
    Simon (Lab): 3,775 (14.6%)
    Neilson (LD): 1,468 (5.7%)
    Burn (Grn): 895 (3.5%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 720 (2.8%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 175 (0.7%)

    2nd:
    Street (Tory): 19,911 (81.2%)
    Simon (Lab): 4,618 (18.8%)

    These results do show how polarised things have become with the deprived ethnic minority areas turning out en masse for Simon giving him over 80% of the second preference vote in Ladywood and Hodge Hill whilst the middle/upper middle class areas turned out en masse for Street giving him over 80% of the second preference vote in Sutton Coldfield. In the White Working Class areas of the city though turnout was cr*p.

    As for the parliamentary constituencies it doesn’t look good for Labour as Simon lost Edgbaston and Northfield and it wasn’t close in either. The one bright spot for them was Simon did carry Erdington though Selly Oak was uncomfortably close only a margin of 0.3% on first preferences and the same margin as Erdington on 2d preferences (Green transfers strongly favoured Simon in Selly Oak).

    Unless something dramatic changes by 8th June Northfield and Edgbaston look gone while the battle ground in Birmingham looks to be Edgbaston and shockingly Selly Oak too. Based on these figures I would give a slight upper hand to Labour in both but regarding Selly Oak it’s home to a lot of Birmingham’s student population many who will have gone home by June 8th which increases the Tories chances (Street would have certainly carried it on 1st preferences though maybe not on 2nd with less students).

  21. *”the battle ground in Birmingham looks to be Erdington and shockingly Selly Oak too.” (typo wrote Edgbaston instead of Erdington).

  22. You have just saved me a bit of work pal thanks. Selly Oak being so close surprised me rather a lot. The trend in Birmingham locals recently has been for tories to over perform in WWC areas (Kingstanding, Kings Norton. Weoley, Bartley Green) while underperforming on some of more wealthier areas. Interesting to see this trend not continuing this year.

    Wonder if we if we get Dudley and walsall figures?

  23. If turnout was below par in the Tory WWC areas, it could get even worse for Labour at the general…

  24. Wards by second preference:

    Sutton Four Oaks: 85.7% Street (Sutton Coldfield)
    Sutton New Hall: 84.7% Street (Sutton Coldfield)
    Sutton Trinity: 80.1% Street (Sutton Coldfield)
    Sutton Vessey: 74.0% Street (Sutton Coldfield)
    Sheldon: 62.5% Street (Yardley)
    Bartley Green: 61.5% Street (Edgbaston)
    Edgbaston: 61.0% Street (Edgbaston)
    Northfield: 60.8% Street (Northfield)
    Kings Norton: 59.4% Street (Northfield)
    Erdington: 58.5% Street (Erdington)
    Longbridge: 58.4% Street (Northfield)
    Weoley: 57.7% Street (Northfield)
    Harborne: 57.0% Street (Edgbaston)
    Oscott: 54.7% Street (Perry Barr)
    Quinton: 54.1% Street (Edgbaston)
    Bourneville: 51.6% Street (Selly Oak)
    Hall Green: 51.3% Simon (Hall Green)
    Billesley: 51.8% Simon (Selly Oak)
    Kingstanding: 52.2% Simon (Erdington)
    Brandwood: 53.7% Simon (Selly Oak)
    Tyburn: 53.8% Simon (Erdington)
    Shard End: 56.9% Simon (Hodge Hill)
    Selly Oak: 58.1% Simon (Selly Oak)
    Stechford and Yardley North: 58.8% Simon (Yardley)
    Ladywood: 60.0% Simon (Ladywood)
    Perry Barr: 62.3% Simon (Perry Barr)
    Acocks Green: 62.4% Simon (Yardley)
    Stockland Green: 63.8% Simon (Erdington)
    Moseley and Kings Heath: 65.3% Simon (Hall Green)
    South Yardley: 70.2% Simon (Yardley)
    Handsworth Wood: 74.3% Simon (Perry Barr)
    Hodge Hill: 76.8% Simon (Hodge Hill)
    Springfield: 78.8% Simon (Hall Green)
    Nechells: 85.5% Simon (Ladywood)
    Soho: 86.7% Simon (Ladywood)
    Lozells and East Handsworth: 90.3% Simon (Perry Barr)
    Bordesley Green: 91.1% Simon (Hodge Hill)
    Aston: 91.1% Simon (Ladywood)
    Sparkbrook: 92.8% Simon (Hall Green)
    Washwood Heath: 94.2% Simon (Hodge Hill)

    Labour crushed in the heavily Muslim wards while the Tories did extraordinarily well in Sutton Coldfield. Interestingly the Tories strongest ward in Birmingham outside of Sutton Coldfield was the fairly safely Lib Dem (at the council level) Sheldon in the Yardley constituency.

  25. Birmingham Selly Oak:
    1st:
    Simon (Lab): 8,825 (40.4%)
    Street (Tory): 8,702 (39.8%)
    Neilson (LD): 1,639 (7.5%)
    Burn (Grn): 1,592 (7.3%)
    Durnell (UKIP): 819 (3.7%)
    Stevenson (Comm): 279 (1.3%)

    2nd:
    Simon (Lab): 10,530 (52.4%)
    Street (Tory): 9,572 (47.6%)

    I realised I made a small mistake on the Selly Oak figures and I read a 0 as a 6 in the Tory figures. It doesn’t really alter the original figures that much though it gets a tad better for Labour.

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)