Wales European Region

2014 Election
2014 Results
1. Derek Vaughan (Labour) 206332 28.1% (+7.9%)
2. Nathan Gill (UKIP) 201983 27.6% (+14.8%)
3. Kay Swinburne (Conservative) 127742 17.4% (-3.8%)
4. Jill Evans (Plaid Cymru) 111864 15.3% (-3.3%)
. (Green) 33275 4.5% (-1%)
. (Liberal Democrat) 28930 3.9% (-6.7%)
. (BNP) 7655 1% (-4.4%)
. (Britain First) 6633 0.9% (n/a)
. (Socialist Labour) 4459 0.6% (-1.2%)
. (No2EU) 2803 0.4% (-0.9%)
. (Socialist Party of GB) 1384 0.2% (n/a)
Current sitting MEPs
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Derek Vaughan (Labour) Born Aberfan. Educated at Swansea University. Neath Port Talbot councillor 1995-2009, council leader 2004-2009. MEP for Wales since 2009
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Nathan Gill (UKIP) Educated at Coleg Menai. Formerly personal assistant to John Bufton MEP. Contested Ynys Mon 2013 Assembly by-election. MEP for Wales since 2014
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Kay Swinburne (Conservative) Born 1968. Educated at Llandysul Grammar. Health economist and former investment banker. Former Hereford councillor. MEP for Wales since 2009.
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Jill Evans (Plaid Cymru) Born 1959, Rhondda. Educated at University of Wales. Former regional organiser for the infertility support network. Former Rhondda councillor. MEP for Wales since 1999. Contested Rhondda in 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.

Full candidates for the 2014 European election are here.

2009 Election
2009 Results
1. Kay Swinburne (Conservative) 145193 21.2% (+1.8%)
2. Derek Vaughan (Labour) 138852 20.3% (-12.2%)
3. Jill Evans (Plaid Cymru) 126702 18.5% (+1.1%)
4. John Bufton (UKIP) 87585 12.8% (+2.3%)
. (Liberal Democrat) 73082 10.7% (+0.2%)
. (Green) 38160 5.6% (+2%)
. (BNP) 37114 5.4% (+2.5%)
. (Christian) 13037 1.9% (n/a)
. (Socialist Labour) 12402 1.8% (n/a)
. (No2EU) 8600 1.3% (n/a)
. (Jury Team) 3793 0.6% (n/a)
Current sitting MEPs
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Kay Swinburne (Conservative) Born 1968. Educated at Llandysul Grammar. Health economist and former investment banker. Former Hereford councillor. MEP for Wales since 2009.
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Derek Vaughan (Labour) Born Aberfan. Educated at Swansea University. Neath Port Talbot councillor 1995-2009, council leader 2004-2009. MEP for Wales since 2009
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Jill Evans (Plaid Cymru) Born 1959, Rhondda. Educated at University of Wales. Former regional organiser for the infertility support network. Former Rhondda councillor. MEP for Wales since 1999. Contested Rhondda in 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.
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John Bufton (UKIP) Born 1962, Llanidloes. Former care home manager. Former Powys councillor. Contested Montgomeryshire 1997 for the Referendum party, Ceredigion 2000 by-election, Monmouth 2005, North Wales 2007 Welsh elections for UKIP. MEP for Wales since 2009.
Comments - 208 Responses on “Europe Wales”
  1. Welsh Westminster Voting Intention:

    Lab: 38% (+9)
    Con: 32% (+4)
    Plaid: 11% (-1)
    LD: 9% (-3)
    Brexit: 8% (-7)
    Green: 1% (-2)

    Via @YouGov
    , 22-25 Nov.
    Changes w/ 31 Oct-4 Nov.

    On this poll The tories would gain Brecon and Radnorshire, Cardiff North, Gower, Vale of Clwyd, Wrexham.
    Lib Dems would Ceredigion.

  2. Wales), YouGov poll:

    LAB: 40% (+2)
    CON- 37% (+5)
    PC-: 10% (-1)
    LDEM-: 6% (-3)
    BREXIT- 5% (-3)
    GREENS- 1%

    +/- vs. 22-25 November

    Labour looking like they will lose Wrexham, Vale of Clwyd, Gower, Cardiff North, Delyn, Bridgend, Clwyd South, and Alyn & Deeside.
    Lib Dems will lose Brecon & Radnorshire and gain Ceredigion.

    Big sign the tories will easily get 370+

  3. Very much doubt Labour will lose Cardiff North. The other seats you mention are very much on the table, though.

  4. I thought that but my Welsh friend who got 2017 right is insistant Labour are losing it. With Bridgend and Newport too close to call

  5. Tactical voting might save Labour in Cardiff North. To lose Bridgend would rock Llafur. Newport too though Tories have done well there

  6. If Tories getting above average swing in Wales they must be suffering elsewhere

  7. “If Tories getting above average swing in Wales they must be suffering elsewhere”

    True but it’s the best place in the country for Con to have an above average swing, as it accounts for so few votes in the UK overall yet 40 seats (smallest electorate per seat in any region by far), many of which would come in Con’s reach if only 3% behind.

    If 3% is the actual gap on polling day – I suspect it will be more like 7% – then Cons would probably sweep N Wales including Ynys Mon, win the Newport seats and Bridgend, Cardiff North, Gower and all the PC-held seats except Arfon would be more in play after all (they’d probably win half of these latter six seats though Torfaen would be a stretch too far I suspect).

    So IF it really is 3% then there’s an outside chance that Wales is the region that keeps Cons largest party or a tiny majority after all.

    Strange times.

  8. I suppose what I’m saying is that this would, IMO, equate in 10-11 Con gains rather than what UNS might say. Which would leave Welsh seats as something like:

    Lab 19 (-9)
    Cons 18-19 (+10-11)
    PC 2-3 (-1-2)
    LD 0 (NC)
    BxP 0 (NC)

    Changes from 2017 in brackets

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