Scotland European Region

2014 Election
2014 Results
1. Ian Hudghton (SNP) 389503 29% (-0.1%)
2. David Martin (Labour) 348219 25.9% (+5.1%)
3. Ian Duncan (Conservative) 231330 17.2% (+0.4%)
4. Alyn Smith (SNP) (194752)
5. Catherine Stihler (Labour) (174110)
6. David Coburn (UKIP) 140534 10.5% (+5.2%)
. (Scottish Green) 108305 8.1% (+0.8%)
. (Liberal Democrats) 95319 7.1% (-4.4%)
. (Britain First) 13639 1% (n/a)
. (BNP) 10216 0.8% (-1.7%)
. (No2EU) 6418 0.5% (-0.4%)
Current sitting MEPs
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Ian Hudghton (SNP) Former leader of Angus council. MEP for North-East Scotland 1998-1999, for Scotland since 1999.
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David Martin (Labour) Born 1954, Edinburgh. Educated at Libertson High School. Lothian regional councillor 1982-1984. MEP for Lothian 1984. MEP for Scotland since 1999.
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Ian Duncan (Conservative) Born in Alyth. Educated at Alyth High School and St Andrews University. Public affairs professional and former Scottish Parliamentary clerk. Contested Aberdeen South 2003 Scottish election. MEP for Scotland since 2014.
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Alyn Smith (SNP) Born 1973, Glasgow. Educated at Leeds and Heidelberg Universities. Commercial lawyer. MEP for Scotland since 2004.
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Catherine Stihler (Labour) Born 1973, Bellshill. Educated at Coltness High School and St Andrews University. Former researcher for Anne Begg. MEP for Scotland since 1999. Contested Angus 1997, Dunfermline and West Fife by-election 2006.
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David Coburn (UKIP) Born in Glasgow. Businessman. Contested Old Bexley and Sidcup 2010. MEP for Scotland since 2014.

Full candidates for the 2014 European election are here.

2009 Election
2009 Results
1. Ian Hudghton (SNP) 321007 29.1% (+9.4%)
2. David Martin (Labour) 229853 20.8% (-5.6%)
3. Struan Stevenson (Conservative) 185794 16.8% (-0.9%)
4. Alyn Smith (SNP) (160504)
5. George Lyon (Liberal Democrat) 127038 11.5% (-1.6%)
6. Catherine Stihler (Labour) (114927)
. (Scottish Green) 80442 7.3% (+0.5%)
. (UKIP) 57788 5.2% (-1.5%)
. (BNP) 27174 2.5% (+0.8%)
. (Socialist Labour) 22135 2% (n/a)
. (Christian) 16738 1.5% (n/a)
. (Scottish Socialist) 10404 0.9% (-4.3%)
. Duncan Robertson (Independent) 10189 0.9% (n/a)
. (No2EU) 9693 0.9% (n/a)
. (Jury Team) 6257 0.6% (n/a)
Current sitting MEPs
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Ian Hudghton (SNP) Former leader of Angus council. MEP for North-East Scotland 1998-1999, for Scotland since 1999.
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David Martin (Labour) Born 1954, Edinburgh. Educated at Libertson High School. Lothian regional councillor 1982-1984. MEP for Lothian 1984. MEP for Scotland since 1999.
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Struan Stevenson (Conservative) Born 1948, Ballantrae. Educated at West of Scotland Agricultural College. Formerly director of a family farmying and tourism company. Girvan councillor 1970-1974, Kyle and Carrick councillor 1972-1992. Contested Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley 1987, Edinburgh South 1992, Dumfries 1997. North-East Scotland European by-election 1999. MEP for Scotland since 1999.
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Alyn Smith (SNP) Born 1973, Glasgow. Educated at Leeds and Heidelberg Universities. Commercial lawyer. MEP for Scotland since 2004.
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George Lyon (Liberal Democrat) Born 1956, Rothesay. Educated at Rothesay Academy. Farmer. MSP for Argyll and Bute 1999-2007. Deputy Minister for Finance and Parliamentary business in the Scottish executive 2005-2007.
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Catherine Stihler (Labour) Born 1973, Bellshill. Educated at Coltness High School and St Andrews University. Former researcher for Anne Begg. MEP for Scotland since 1999. Contested Angus 1997, Dunfermline and West Fife by-election 2006.
Comments - 613 Responses on “Europe Scotland”
  1. Greens beating the tories is comically unlikely.

  2. Would I be right in thinking that the focus on the independence referendum, and the reliance of the Scottish media of UK-nationwide polling reports for the European Elections is benefiting UKIP in Scotland for the latter?

    When I try to search for reports on specific Scottish polling for the Euros, I see news reports talking about “polls last month” and the 10% figure, and other news reports talking about UKIP winning a seat and referring to the more recent polls for the whole of the UK where UKIP at times leads.

  3. Seems like a big part of that depends on how many votes UKIP take off the Tories in Scotland. I quite like the idea of having a big laugh when I see the result.

  4. Well if UKIP do take that many from the tories, then they will beat the greens.

  5. DamianH
    It seems that you can either have polls that ask about European Voting Intention, or specific Scottish polls that ask about everything else, not asking about European VI, but you can’t have both for reasons that elude me. So you then either resort to the Scotland subsample of UK polls of European VI (which admittedly aren’t exactly reliable, and get less reliable the further you get from 0%) or you guess. Joe R and a couple of others up thread prefer to guess.

  6. Was just watching the last episode of This Week on iPlayer, and Farage is on talking confidently about getting a seat here and, if the night goes well so he says, a second one.

    Fair enough to talk up getting a seat, though he’s overconfident about what is only a reasonable chance, but he really needs to learn control expectations better because quite obviously UKIP are not going to get two seats here.

  7. An educated guess based on real results is better than taking useless data from a subsample.

  8. Didn’t they used to say SNP would never go anywhere?

    Never say never.

  9. Peter Keller — UKIP probably going to win a seat in Scotland.

  10. SNP 2
    Lab 2
    UKIP 1
    Con 1

  11. If UKIP grab the last seat for Scotland according to projections by the BBC, I’d feel pretty bad for the amount of abuse that would-be MEP might receive by the more militant sections of the pro-independence movement. Last year when Farage was heckled by some soap dodgers on the streets, they reportedly weren’t SNP activists (who I’d imagine are generally quite sensible) at all, but apparently hard left types who love shouting ‘fascist’ without understanding the connotation of the word.

    Strangest part of that whole incident was that even George Galloway condemned it.

  12. Here’s a breakdown of the results by council area from The Herald:

    Aberdeen City: SNP 15,412 (29.5%) Lab 12,420 (23.8%) Con 9824 (18.8%) UKIP 5025 (9.6%) LD 4605 (8.8%) Green 3723 (7.1%)

    Aberdeenshire: SNP 19,802 (31.3%) Con 15,710 (24.8%) LD 8876 (14%) UKIP 7420 (11.7%) Lab 6402 (10.1%) Green 3612 (5.7%)

    Angus: SNP 11,044 (37.7%) Con 7534 (25.7%) Lab 3768 (12.9%) UKIP 3200 (10.9%) Green 1574 (5.4%) LD 1486 (5.1%)

    Argyll & Bute: SNP 7792 (28.4%) Con 5191 (18.9%) LD 5174 (18.8%) Lab 3695 (13.4%) UKIP 3030 (11%) Green 1912 (7%)

    Clackmannanshire: SNP 4074 (33.4%) Lab 3825 (31.4%) Con 1624 (13.3%) UKIP 1218 (10%) Green 736 (6%) LD 443 (3.6%)

    Dumfries and Galloway: Con 14,143 (33%) Lab 8909 (20.8%) SNP 8634 (20.2%) UKIP 5752 (13.4%) Green 2418 (5.7%) LD 1808 (4.2%)

    Dundee: SNP 13,573 (40.2%), Lab 9050 (26.8%) Con 4010 (11.9%) UKIP 2965 (8.8%) Green 2193 (6.5%) LD 1248 (3.7%)

    East Ayrshire: SNP 9320 (33.3%) Lab 9274 (33.1%) Con 3955 (14.1%) UKIP 2753 (9.8%) Green 1304 (4.7%) LD 629 (2.2%)

    East Dunbartonshire: SNP 8134 (25.7%) Lab 7475 (23.6%) Con 5401 (17.1%) LD 4500 (14.2%) UKIP 3148 (9.9%) Green 2405 (7.6%)

    East Lothian: Lab 8145 (29.3%) SNP 6781 (24.4%) Con 5807 (20.9%) UKIP 2756 (9.9%) Green 2250 (8.1%) LD 1586 (5.7%)

    East Renfrewshire: Con 8044 (27.8%) Lab 7623 (26.3%) SNP 6564 (22.7%) UKIP 2949 (10.2%) Green 2031 (7%) LD 1191 (4.1%)

    Edinburgh: Lab 32,758 (23.1%) SNP 32,721 (23%) Con 27,554 (19.4%) Green 22,836 (16.1%) LD 12,575 (8.9%) UKIP 10,992 (7.7%)

    Falkirk: SNP 11,542 (33.7%) Lab 10,343 (30.2%) UKIP 4360 (12.7%) Con 4038 (11.8%) Green 2046 (6%) LD 859 (2.4%)

    Fife: Lab 28,101 (30.6%) SNP 25,660 (28%) Con 12,460 (13.6%) UKIP 9515 (10.4%) LD 7956 (8.7%) Green 5975 (6.5%)

    Glasgow: Lab 45,676 (35.2%) SNP 37,820 (29.1%) Green 15,359 (11.8%) UKIP 12,638 (9.7%) Con 10,985 (8.5%) LD 6830 (3%)

    Highland: SNP 19,810 (30.3%) LD 12,189 (18.7%) Lab 9163 (14%) Con 9088 (13.9%) UKIP 7818 (12%) Green 5615 (8.6%)

    Inverclyde: Lab 7286 (35.8%) SNP 5842 (28.7%) Con 2878 (14.2%) UKIP 1887 (9.3%) LD 973 (4.8%) Green 929 (4.6%)

    Midlothian: Lab 6893 (31.2%) SNP 6386 (28.9%) Con 2908 (13.1%)UKIP 2361 (10.7%) Green 1903 (8.6%) LD 1142 (5.2%)

    Moray: SNP 7641 (33.8%) Con 5471 (24.2%) UKIP 3064 (13.6%) Lab 2955 (13.1%) Green 1609 (7.1%) LD 1205 (5.3%)

    North Ayrshire: SNP 10,736 (32.6%) Lab 9558 (28.8%) Con 5627 (17%) UKIP 3720 (11.2%) Green 1770 (5.3%) LD 855 (2.6%)

    North Lanarkshire: Lab 28,417 (40%) SNP 21,884 (30.8%) UKIP 7623 (10.7%) Con 6037 (8.5%) Green 3665 (5.2%) LD 1167 (1.6%)

    Orkney: LD 1825 (35.2%) SNP 872 (16.8%) Con 679 (13.1%) Green 619 (12%) UKIP 618 (11.9%) Lab 466 (9%)

    Perth & Kinross: SNP 14,271 (33%) Con 12,906 (29.8%) Lab 4890 (11.3%) UKIP 4386 (10.1%) LD 3377 (7.8%) Green 2723 (6.3%)

    Renfrewshire: Lab 16,021 (35.1%) SNP 13,449 (29.6%) Con 5777 (12.7%) UKIP 4748 (10.4%) Green 2810 (6.2%) LD 1508 (3.3%)

    Scottish Borders: Con 9972 (30.8%) SNP 6775 (20.6%) LD 5465 (16.7%) UKIP 4058 (12.4%) Lab 3363 (10.4%) Green 2459 (7.5%)

    Shetland: LD 1755 (33.9%) SNP 897 (17.3%) Green 638 (12.3%) UKIP 616 (11.9%) Lab 580 (11.4%) Con 543 (10.5%)

    South Ayrshire: Con 9848 (30.3%) SNP 8787 (27.1%) Lab 7226 (22.3%) UKIP 3339 (10.3%) Green 1550 (4.8%) LD 975 (3%)

    South Lanarkshire: Lab 24,871 (33.4%) SNP 21,915 (29.4%) Con 10,261 (13.8%) UKIP 8186 (11%) Green 4452 (6%) LD 2635 (3.5%)

    Stirling: SNP 7258 (28.9%) Lab 5651 (22.5%) Con 5568 (22.1%) Green 2640 (10.5%) UKIP 2201 (8.8%) LD 1435 (5.7%)

    West Dunbartonshire: Lab 7631 (38%) SNP 6468 (32.2%) UKIP 2113 (10.5%) Con 1624 (8.1%) Green 1339 (6.7%) LD 379 (1.9%)

    West Lothian: SNP 14,279 (32.4%) Lab 13,932 (31.7%) UKIP 5228 (11.9%) Con 5102 (11.6%) Green 2710 (6.2%) LD 1425 (3.2%)

    Western Isles: SNP 3310 (43.1%) Lab 1842 (24%) UKIP 847 (11%) Con 761 (9.9%) Green 500 (6.5%) LD 243 (3%)

  13. David Coburn is not covering himself in glory. I suspect he will lose his seat in 2019.

    http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/blabbermouth-scots-ukip-mep-launches-4324887

  14. Ultimately hearsay, but he’s outspoken enough to make it plausible.

    I’m not surprised that there is UKIP support in Scotland, purely on the basis that the only other viable Eurosceptic option was the Tories. But even if we only stick to things that we are 100% certain that he has said in the past, how on earth that man became the first elected UKIP politician in Scotland I’ll never know.

  15. Head of the Scottish Electoral commission reported to have said a 70-80% turnout for Scotland today.
    Individual twitters have said in some polling stations turnout is virtually the same or even higher than the Indy ref through others( often in working class areas) have said it quite a bit lower through higher than May.

  16. Seems highly unlikely

  17. From personal experience I think turnout will be lower than the GE. Possibly around 65% in Scotland.

  18. My mum reports very busy at her polling station in Aboyne, Aberdeenshire today. Posh, rural, Tory, though it being in Scotland throws its likely leanings up in the air. A large English population will skew it more to Leave.

  19. I think Aboyne could go Remain due to the affluence of the area.

  20. The Royal connection is yet another influencing factor though. I really couldn’t call it.

  21. It’s a village of 2,000 people, with all due respect. Not exactly going to sway things either way.

  22. Yes exactly, though it’s what counts as a major settlement out there!

  23. I doubt we’ll ever really know!

  24. Stonehaven, Fraserburgh, Peterburgh, Westhill etc. are “major settlements” in Aberdeenshire. Aboyne is more of a large village by Aberdeenshire standards.

  25. The breakup of the United Kingdom has begun – another Indy Ref on the way.

  26. I fear you’re right. We face years of endless referendums, draining focus from other important issues.

    After the coming realignment we may find ourselves both voting for the same party Mr Nameless. I would never have expected that even a few months ago.

  27. I truly don’t know what will happen in the next few years. The temptation is very strong to wait and see that Trump loses, then making use of my US passport.

  28. Same for me & my family.

  29. It’s far from clear Yes would win Indyref 2. Financially Scotland is exposed to a weak oil market and they have little chance of staying in the EU without having to re-apply. Doing so of course would mean a major border with England, perhaps including tariffs, that would devastate Scottish trade & tourism. I actually think London might moan even louder than Scotland following the EU ref.

  30. I don’t think it’s the way she would have wanted it. I think that she realises that it makes things immeasurably more complex, in that it opens up all sorts of issues to do with borders, freedom of movement and single markets, and it makes the currency question that much more multi-layered. Also, separation now would be more of a ‘hard’ separation than would previously have been the case, even if more people are now attracted on an emotional level. I suspect she will want to wait and see what is suggested between Ireland, the U.K. and the EU to come up with a plausible model, and we need to see what is proposed next for the UK first.

    I also think that the sort of government that’s formed in the UK is very important. If it’s a Boris-led, totally Brexit government influenced by UKIP/Farage type views, that would be very alienating for a lot of those who would be floating voters in another independence referendum.

  31. Do you think more Scottish Tory voters went Leave or Remain?

  32. A lot of Labour party members in England and Wales are now moving towards supporting Scottish independence. A referendum by 2023 is inevitable id say. Will probably win but might not.
    The calls proclaiming an united Ireland is coming are more worrying. Does anyone really think that will come without major major violence on both sides perhaps not far off a civil war.

  33. A lot of Labour party members in England and Wales are now moving towards supporting Scottish independence. A referendum by 2023 is inevitable id say. Will probably win but might not.
    The calls proclaiming an united Ireland is coming are more worrying. Does anyone really think that will come without major major violence on both sides perhaps not far off a civil war ( And I would be neutral on that as I cant stand the majority of northern Irish politicians as there all sectarian and many are too socially conservative for my liking)

  34. “The calls proclaiming an united Ireland is coming are more worrying. Does anyone really think that will come without major major violence on both sides perhaps not far off a civil war.”

    Of course, a united Ireland may well have happened decades ago if the Republic didn’t privately hate the idea. People forget that the key to the intractability of Ulster in the 70s-90s was that neither side really wanted it. I agree this has the potential to blow up big time (pun not intended).

  35. I don’t really see a united Ireland as remotely likely. They didn’t vote Remain that overwhelmingly and it is far from clear that there would be anything like a majority for a united Ireland in a border poll. In any case a border poll can only be called by the Secretary of State and there is no way that Theresa Villiers, or anyone likely to be appointed to the role in the near future, would call one without a drastic and inconceivable in the immediate future (considering the continuing strength of the unionist vote) in current circumstances.

  36. On the other hand the Scottish result is pretty much a nightmare for the Union. Achieving independence won’t be easy but it is more likely than ever.

  37. I agree. Through it might lead to direct rule again if Sinn Fein refuse to govern in protest at not getting a referendum which would mean violence probably following.

  38. @Max probably about a third of Labour and SNP voters, plus about half the Tories would make something like 38%.

  39. I think Scotland is on course to vote for independence. In the last opinion poll 52% said they would vote Yes in the event of Brexit, 48% No. If there is a similar difference between opinion polls/actual event as with the EU referendum then it looks to be heading Yes. Last night was a comprehensive rejection of the negative, fear based campaign of 2014’s BetterTogether. I am concerned and rather disappointed at a lack of consideration among English voters for the union.

  40. Virtually no-one. Very unfortunate in my mind.

  41. Well then we would have United Celtic Kingdoms I suppose?

  42. I agree with Simon. This is absolutely not what Sturgeon or the SNP would have wanted, particularly right now.

  43. The general mood is that Scotland will vote Yes at the next referendum (which is assumed to be guaranteed at this point), but that independence was an inevitability regardless.

  44. Obviously anecdotal, and from middle-class Edinburgh which is not typical necessarily, but I’m surprised by the number of people that I thought of as relatively strong unionists who seem OK with another referendum and may consider changing their vote. Then again, it is probably the most pro-EU demographic in the world, and people may change their minds when they calm down a little.

  45. The North East is probably the biggest swing area.

  46. Very fearful of the referendum result. Already considering where I should move to in England when the Yes result rolls in.

  47. Simon- I’m not really surprised. When you are faced with such a huge, fundamental change like this, it’s not surprising that people are reassessing their priorities. Additionally, there is definitely a feeling within some in Scotland that, whilst they didn’t want it in 2014, independence is a foregone conclusion at some point. Why not do it now given the huge shock that’s occurred?

  48. NTY UK- try moving to any reasonably nice English city with decent employment and a cultural life. London, Oxford, Cambridge, Bristol etc. Your pro- EU views will also go down a lot better in these places too 🙂

  49. I’m thinking somewhere along the south and south-east coast, possibly London as well.

  50. Greenland was effectively a colony of Denmark: an overseas territory. That is a very separate case which could apply to Gibraltar, but not to Scotland which is a devolved body. I do not believe it is possible.

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