Scotland European Region

2014 Election
2014 Results
1. Ian Hudghton (SNP) 389503 29% (-0.1%)
2. David Martin (Labour) 348219 25.9% (+5.1%)
3. Ian Duncan (Conservative) 231330 17.2% (+0.4%)
4. Alyn Smith (SNP) (194752)
5. Catherine Stihler (Labour) (174110)
6. David Coburn (UKIP) 140534 10.5% (+5.2%)
. (Scottish Green) 108305 8.1% (+0.8%)
. (Liberal Democrats) 95319 7.1% (-4.4%)
. (Britain First) 13639 1% (n/a)
. (BNP) 10216 0.8% (-1.7%)
. (No2EU) 6418 0.5% (-0.4%)
Current sitting MEPs
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Ian Hudghton (SNP) Former leader of Angus council. MEP for North-East Scotland 1998-1999, for Scotland since 1999.
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David Martin (Labour) Born 1954, Edinburgh. Educated at Libertson High School. Lothian regional councillor 1982-1984. MEP for Lothian 1984. MEP for Scotland since 1999.
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Ian Duncan (Conservative) Born in Alyth. Educated at Alyth High School and St Andrews University. Public affairs professional and former Scottish Parliamentary clerk. Contested Aberdeen South 2003 Scottish election. MEP for Scotland since 2014.
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Alyn Smith (SNP) Born 1973, Glasgow. Educated at Leeds and Heidelberg Universities. Commercial lawyer. MEP for Scotland since 2004.
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Catherine Stihler (Labour) Born 1973, Bellshill. Educated at Coltness High School and St Andrews University. Former researcher for Anne Begg. MEP for Scotland since 1999. Contested Angus 1997, Dunfermline and West Fife by-election 2006.
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David Coburn (UKIP) Born in Glasgow. Businessman. Contested Old Bexley and Sidcup 2010. MEP for Scotland since 2014.

Full candidates for the 2014 European election are here.

2009 Election
2009 Results
1. Ian Hudghton (SNP) 321007 29.1% (+9.4%)
2. David Martin (Labour) 229853 20.8% (-5.6%)
3. Struan Stevenson (Conservative) 185794 16.8% (-0.9%)
4. Alyn Smith (SNP) (160504)
5. George Lyon (Liberal Democrat) 127038 11.5% (-1.6%)
6. Catherine Stihler (Labour) (114927)
. (Scottish Green) 80442 7.3% (+0.5%)
. (UKIP) 57788 5.2% (-1.5%)
. (BNP) 27174 2.5% (+0.8%)
. (Socialist Labour) 22135 2% (n/a)
. (Christian) 16738 1.5% (n/a)
. (Scottish Socialist) 10404 0.9% (-4.3%)
. Duncan Robertson (Independent) 10189 0.9% (n/a)
. (No2EU) 9693 0.9% (n/a)
. (Jury Team) 6257 0.6% (n/a)
Current sitting MEPs
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Ian Hudghton (SNP) Former leader of Angus council. MEP for North-East Scotland 1998-1999, for Scotland since 1999.
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David Martin (Labour) Born 1954, Edinburgh. Educated at Libertson High School. Lothian regional councillor 1982-1984. MEP for Lothian 1984. MEP for Scotland since 1999.
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Struan Stevenson (Conservative) Born 1948, Ballantrae. Educated at West of Scotland Agricultural College. Formerly director of a family farmying and tourism company. Girvan councillor 1970-1974, Kyle and Carrick councillor 1972-1992. Contested Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley 1987, Edinburgh South 1992, Dumfries 1997. North-East Scotland European by-election 1999. MEP for Scotland since 1999.
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Alyn Smith (SNP) Born 1973, Glasgow. Educated at Leeds and Heidelberg Universities. Commercial lawyer. MEP for Scotland since 2004.
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George Lyon (Liberal Democrat) Born 1956, Rothesay. Educated at Rothesay Academy. Farmer. MSP for Argyll and Bute 1999-2007. Deputy Minister for Finance and Parliamentary business in the Scottish executive 2005-2007.
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Catherine Stihler (Labour) Born 1973, Bellshill. Educated at Coltness High School and St Andrews University. Former researcher for Anne Begg. MEP for Scotland since 1999. Contested Angus 1997, Dunfermline and West Fife by-election 2006.
Comments - 627 Responses on “Europe Scotland”
  1. At present it looks as if the SNP will remain in minority government after 2021 but the pro independence SNP and Scottish Greens will no longer command a majority making it difficult for them to legislate Indyref II.

  2. Still 4 years to go! Whose saying it’ll even be the SNP in government by then?

  3. This is usually why they ask the question if there were an election tomorrow, until tomorrow is polling day who knows if the SNP will remain a minority

  4. Catalan independence referendum odds –

    1/16 to Leave Spain
    7 to Remain part of Spain

  5. I hesitate to say any bet is free money, but surely 1-16 about one side to win a referendum when the other side surely won’t participate must be close to being just that.

  6. I just cant see Catalonia ever being an independent country, not because I don’t think the pro Indy group might not win a referendum (they would appear to be firm favourites at present) but Spain simply CANNOT allow it.

    Catalonian independence from Spain is nothing like Scottish Independnance from the UK, the UK can survive without Scotland (albeit in a diminished state) Spain though cannot survive without Catalonia which remains by far the wealthiest province and the home of its largest city and financial centre Barcelona. Spain is already on very shaky economic ground, remove Catalonia and the country is pretty much headed the way of Greece. The Spanish gov know this and thus they just can’t allow Catalonia to leave.

  7. Here’s the thing – the Spanish government is currently doing every thing it can to make Catalans hate them. Their behaviour is only pouring fuel on the separatists’ fire.

  8. The polling suggests a proper referendum would be a close result. Too close for the anti-secession side to call the nats bluff and allow a legally binding vote.

  9. Polltroll
    “the Spanish government is currently doing every thing it can to make Catalans hate them. Their behaviour is only pouring fuel on the separatists’ fire”

    I agree but the Spanish Gov are in a tricky pace, what other choice do they have? If the UK has proven anything in recent years its that referendums don’t settle issues, they only make them more salient thus I can see why Spain is doing everything it can to stop a referendum.

    Its only option then is to do what other countries do and curtail separatist sentiment by essentially moving people around, they can do that via the tin pot dictator way (China flooding its eastern provinces with Han Chinese, Kazakhstan building a brand new capital city in the ethnically Russian North etc) or the more enlightened way that ourselves and Canada did. Parts of Scotland (the Borders and Edinburgh primarily) have a massive English minority and in Canada/Quebec South Western Montreal is dominated by anti independence Anglophones, in both instances this “loyal” minority swung the pendulum against separation thus if I was Spain I’d be subsidizing Spaniards to move in their droves into Catalonia and hope that dilutes the issue.

  10. Maybe before resorting to nationwide social engineering which could further unbalance the national economy, the government might first seek to persuade the natives by reasoned debate?

  11. Polltroll
    “the government might first seek to persuade the natives by reasoned debate?”

    How very naïve that you still believe that their is room for “reasoned debate” in our new “alt facts” world 😉

  12. The Spanish have never exactly been democratic or consistent about territorial claims over the British, just look at how they govern Ceuta and Melilla over the Britain’s governance of Gibraltar (we’ve come under a lot of international scrutiny over our governance of Gibraltar and have given them multiple votes on the constitution; the Spanish have not done the same even though Ceuta and Melilla are virtually the same reason why the Spanish claim Gibraltar as part of their country relative to Morocco).

    Basque and Catalonia are other examples, where in Britain the government is reasonable with those seeking self-determination.

  13. Regarding who would win a referendum supported by Spain and the opposition: it would certainly be a closely drawn thing, though Spain are doing everything they can to further the nationalist cause right now.

  14. I have been following recent opinion polls in Scotland with two showing SNP Gains in 5 Conservative seats (Angus, Ayr/ Carrick, Gordon, Ochil/ South Perthshire and Stirling).

    Of the two, one shows a tiny SNP to Lab swing (allowing Labour to take Glasgow East and Glasgow South West) and the other a tiny Lab to SNP swing (allowing the SNP to regain Kirkcaldy/ Cowdenbeath and Rutherglen/ Hamilton West).

    Were a general election to fall sometime soon these are the changes I would expect to see on the Scottish political landscape.

    I could see the Conservatives being more entrenched in Gordon as Alex Salmond’s personal vote disappears but there may also be an unwinding of the anti Salmond vote too back to the Lib Dems to compensate.

    Banff & Buchan also fell on a huge swing. What is notable about this constituency is that this is the only YES/ LEAVE constituency in the Scotland and the SNP’s current pro-EU stance has caused the SNP difficulties in a constituency you would expect to be beyond the Conservatives reach.

    Much will depend on whether Ruth Davidson’s bubble bursts.

  15. Con/SNP marginals are interesting ones to watch because I get the feeling that the SNP and the Conservatives are both weakening at the moment. The SNP may be at 40%+ in the polls but they didn’t turn out in June did they – so why should we expect any different now? I feel that their current level of support is overstated. Unionists voted more than nationalists, and a few nationalists even voted for Labour (possibly because the Scottish Greens didn’t stand candidates). And with Richard Leonard now in charge, that only makes Labour more attractive to these voters.

    My instinct is more that Con/SNP marginals are fairly static as both weaken slightly, with Lab gaining ground in the central belt.

  16. I don’t think theyre even at +40 at least at Westminister. The last three polls have had them below 40

  17. Polls generally place the SNP at 38 and 39% up on the 36/ 37% at the general election with Labour up by the same amount. By contrast the Scottish Conservatives are down by around 4% points.

    It’s the SNP/ Lab gap that remains static and the swing from Conservative is now so significant that of their 13 seats they are now projected to lose 5 and by a substantial margin in the most marginal of Stirling. Regarding polls overestimating a given party….polls in the run up to the 2011 Holyrood elections overestimated Labour support.

  18. Personally if the government collapses and there is another general election, the SNP would return a similar number of MP’s to 2017 with any Labour gains from the SNP being offset by SNP gains from Conservative.

    The net effect would be Labour pushing the Conservatives into third place in Scotland both in seats and vote share.

  19. That would make forming a gov for the tories almost impossible

  20. Does anybody know what has happened to http://www.Scotland.Votes.com?

    It had a great projection model for the Scottish Parliament but has it had serious security problems for past few months or is my anti virus software too sensitive?

  21. No my phone isnt having it

  22. Sad…..such a great site…

  23. Survation Westminster

    SNP 39%
    Lab 27%
    Con 24%
    LD 7%

    Seats –

    SNP 45 (+9)
    Con 8 (-5)
    LD 3 (NC)
    Lab 3 (-4)

    Labour reduced to Edinburgh South, East Lothian and Coatbridge.

  24. Labour, Conservatives and Lib Dem scores all broadly in line with YouGovs poll. SNP a few points ahead.

  25. The thing about Scotland is that there are so many knife-edge marginals that you can’t extrapolate particularly reliably from percentages to seat totals. I’m highly sceptical that a 2% rise in vote share would scoop up an additional nine seats for the SNP, even if that’s what would happen on a uniform swing.

  26. The SNP have been defeated in Holyrood over the Offensive Behaviour Act, which criminalised football fans for offensive chants.

    Every single SNP MSP voted to keep the bill, every other MSP, including the Greens, voted to repeal it. It’s reportedly the first time a private member’s bill has ever defeated the Scottish government.

  27. Good to see the Greens assert their status as an independent party, and on exactly the sort of issue (free speech) that liberal people like me need the left to be strong about.

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