Enfield, Southgate

2015 Result:
Conservative: 22624 (49.4%)
Labour: 17871 (39%)
Lib Dem: 1518 (3.3%)
Green: 1690 (3.7%)
UKIP: 2109 (4.6%)
MAJORITY: 4753 (10.4%)

Category: Semi-marginal Conservative seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Enfield council area.

Main population centres: Southgate, Hadley Wood.

Profile: This the the prosperous, leafy western part of the Borough of Enfield and natural Conservative territory. It is more cosmopolitan than the Conservative suburbs of south-east London, there are sizeable Muslim, Jewish and Cypriot populations here, and the Bowes Park area to the south of the constituency is solidly Labour, but overall Southgate tends towards a middle-class Conservative area. To the north the seat becomes semi-rural as it takes in Trent Park and the Middlesex University campus and stretches into the hugely expensive Hadley Wood area.

Politics: Enfield Southgate is normally a reliable Conservative seat that was famously won by Labour in 1997. Many elections have particular contests that capture the public imagination and Stephen Twigg`s victory over Michael Portillo in Enfield Southgate symbolised the Labour victory in 1997 in the same way that David Amess`s defence of Basildon characterised the Conservative win in 1992. A book about election night 1997 by the journalist Brian Cathcart was later published with the title "Were you still up for Portillo?". Enfield Southgate was won back by the Conservatives in 2005 and its brief time as a Labour seat seems to have been an aberration in its otherwise constant representation by the Conservative party.


Current MP
DAVID BURROWES (Conservative) Born 1969, Cockfosters. Educated at Highgate School and Exeter University. Former solicitor. Former Enfield councillor. Contested Edmonton 2001. First elected as MP for Enfield Southgate in 2005. Founded the Conservative Christian Fellowship along with Tim Montgomerie.
Past Results
2010
Con: 21928 (49%)
Lab: 14302 (32%)
LDem: 6124 (14%)
GRN: 632 (1%)
Oth: 1366 (3%)
MAJ: 7626 (17%)
2005*
Con: 18830 (45%)
Lab: 17083 (40%)
LDem: 4724 (11%)
GRN: 1083 (3%)
Oth: 490 (1%)
MAJ: 1747 (4%)
2001
Con: 16181 (39%)
Lab: 21727 (52%)
LDem: 2935 (7%)
GRN: 662 (2%)
Oth: 403 (1%)
MAJ: 5546 (13%)
1997
Con: 19137 (41%)
Lab: 20570 (44%)
LDem: 4966 (11%)
Oth: 518 (1%)
MAJ: 1433 (3%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
DAVID BURROWES (Conservative) See above.
BAMBOS CHARALAMBOUS (Labour) Educated at Liverpool Polytechnic. Solicitor. Enfield councillor since 1994. Contested Epping Forest 2005, Enfield Southgate 2010.
PAUL SMITH (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Oxford University. Contested Enfield North 2010.
DAVID SCHOFIELD (UKIP) Enfield councillor 2002-2006 for the Conservatives.
JEAN ROBERTSON-MOLLY (Green)
Links
Comments - 378 Responses on “Enfield, Southgate”
  1. Labour candidate for GE2017 is Bambos Charambolus.

  2. Which direction?
    Probably almost no swing I would think.

  3. Looks like this could be on a knife-edge, Tories slightly favoured atm I think.

  4. YouGove has this seat down as a narrow win for Labour.

  5. If so, Jeremy Corbyn will be ordering the fair trade curtains for No 10, and the police will be trying to coax Plopwellian Tory from the edge of Beachy Head….still, unlike we higher rate taxpayers, at least Plop can look forward to a financial bonus from Corbyn ie no tuition fees.

  6. Atik M – that’s a great name! [the Labour candidate here]

    Is it a Greek thing? – I’ve seen several on the Roll with almost identical first and surnames eg Christos Christopholous.

  7. The YouGov estimate has Labour 1% ahead here – to close to call. Labour are 2% ahead in Enfield North..

  8. 2015 paved the way for this Labour gain on top of demographic change. A swing of nearly 10%. I think London-wide polling pre-election indicated this as a gain, so once the exit poll was released, thought this would go Labour quite easily.

    Could Burrowes’ support for Leave hurt his chances? 55% of Enfield went Remain, so a significant portion of Leavers too, though I don’t know if ward breakdown was ever published.

  9. “Could Burrowes’ support for Leave hurt his chances?”

    Tories in London got clobbered regardless of their Brexit stance. It is true that swings to Labour were higher in the pro-remain areas, but that does not imply causation. Rather, the same ideological preferences that were behind Londonders’ remain votes – muliticulturalism, social liberalism – also caused the swing towards Labour.

  10. So Burrowes has had done to him by Bambos Charalambous what Stephen Twigg did to Michael Portillo in 1997.

  11. This constituency was estimated to have been over 60% Remain, so it’s more Remain than the other two Enfield seats.

  12. But as mentioned, it’s not that simple – seats like Barking saw big swings to Labour despite being heavily Leave.

  13. Burrowes lasted longer as the MP here than Twigg did- he served from 2005 to 2017, as opposed to Twigg who was the MP from 1997 to 2005.

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