Eastleigh

2015 Result:
Conservative: 23464 (42.3%)
Labour: 7181 (12.9%)
Lib Dem: 14317 (25.8%)
Green: 1513 (2.7%)
UKIP: 8783 (15.8%)
TUSC: 114 (0.2%)
Others: 133 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 9147 (16.5%)

Category: Semi-marginal Conservative seat

Geography: South East, Hampshire. Most of the Eastleigh council area.

Main population centres: Eastleigh, Hedge End, West End, Netley, Hamble-le-Rice, Bursledon.

Profile: Eastleigh curves around the north and east of Southampton and is essentially the affluent, owner-occupied suburbs of the city. Eastleigh itself is a railway town, while West End and Hedge End are villages that have grown into Southampton suburbs. Netley is a quaint coastal village and Hamble a yachting centre. The constituency includes Southampton International Airport and Hampshire County Cricket team`s home at the Rose Bowl.

Politics: Eastleigh was once a safe Conservative seat, held by the the party from the seat`s creation until the death of MP Stephen Milligan in 1994. The bizarre circumstances of Milligan`s death - accidental death due to autoerotic asphyxiation - were widely publicised and came at the height of the Back to Basics series of sleaze scandals, the Liberal Democrats won the seat on a huge swing at the subsequent by-election. The by-election victor David Chigley stepped down in 2005 to be replaced by Chris Huhne, who had a a meteoric rise and fall in the party, contesting the leadership less than a year after his election, narrowing missing out on the leadership in the 2007 contest, being appointed to the Cabinet as Secretary of State for Energy, and then resigning from Parliament after he pleaded guilty to perverting the course of justice by falsely claiming his wife was driving his car to avoid a speeding fine. The 2013 by-election coincided with the rise of UKIP and saw the Liberal Democrats hold the seat with UKIP in second place, but at the subsequent general election the seat fell to the Tories.

By-Election: There was a by-election in this seat in CON GAIN FROM LD. For full details see here.


Current MP
MIMS DAVIES (Conservative) Former radio producer and director. Mid Sussex councillor. First elected as MP for Eastleigh in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 21102 (39%)
Lab: 5153 (10%)
LDem: 24966 (47%)
UKIP: 1933 (4%)
Oth: 496 (1%)
MAJ: 3864 (7%)
2005*
Con: 18648 (37%)
Lab: 10238 (21%)
LDem: 19216 (39%)
UKIP: 1669 (3%)
MAJ: 568 (1%)
2001
Con: 16302 (34%)
Lab: 10426 (22%)
LDem: 19360 (41%)
UKIP: 849 (2%)
Oth: 636 (1%)
MAJ: 3058 (6%)
1997
Con: 18699 (34%)
Lab: 14883 (27%)
LDem: 19453 (35%)
Oth: 446 (1%)
MAJ: 754 (1%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
MIMS DAVIES (Conservative) Former radio producer and director. Mid Sussex councillor.
MARK LATHAM (Labour) Born Eastleigh. Business publisher.
MIKE THORNTON (Liberal Democrat) Born 1953, Farnham. Educated at Manchester Polytechnic. Business and development manager. Contested Eastleigh councillor since 2007. MP for Eastleigh 2013 by-election to 2015.
PATRICIA CULLIGAN (UKIP) Born Manchester. Educated at Manchester University. Businesswoman. Contested South East region 2014 European election.
RON MELDRUM (Green) Cognitive Therapist.
RAY HALL (Beer, Baccy and Scratchings) Retired businessman. Contested Eastleigh 2013 by election.
DECLAN CLUNE (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 355 Responses on “Eastleigh”
  1. ‘At the time the Tories were so damaged by sex scandals the public would believe anything of them, and in the case of Milligan’s alleged murder the perpetrators must have known that.’

    You’re right

    I too well remember hearing the news an thought it typical behaviour of an MP supporting a government up to its neck in sex scandals and sleaze

    I never gave it another thought

  2. I’m hugely cynical, but I’m no conspiracy theorist either. That said, this is a deeply odd case. I also find the predilection for celebrities to hang themselves via doorknobs (in recent years at least) profoundly strange too. People talk about the 1%…forget them, and focus on the top 0.01% instead. Some very weird goings on indeed! I’m happy to be a mere pleb.

  3. I don’t think you need to be a conspiracy theorist to believe that this particular case smells very odd indeed.

    I recall Milligan was a very loyal backbencher often paraded on the TV to defend the government over Europe. So I find it very hard to believe he was just about to expose them over arms sales, as some have speculated.

    However the theory that he was bumped off by Russian criminals might hold more water (especially in the light of recent events). Apparently as a BBC correspondent he was deeply involved in exposing criminality in Russia just after the fall of the USSR.

  4. ‘I recall Milligan was a very loyal backbencher often paraded on the TV to defend the government over Europe’

    Extremely loyal -he used to speak of John Major as if he was some kind of diety ‘Our wonderful Prime Minister’ etc

    The other thing I remember about him is that he seemed to be a thoroughly decent bloke.

    Obviously the 1990s were very different to today’s in-your-face Brexit Britain – where its almost fashionable to be an as*hole – but I remember him being very likeable – something which was erased from my memory given the presumed circumstances of his death

  5. Mims Davies appointed as the new sport Minster.

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