Ealing, Southall
2015 Result:
Conservative: 9387 (21.7%)
Labour: 28147 (65%)
Lib Dem: 1550 (3.6%)
Green: 2007 (4.6%)
UKIP: 1769 (4.1%)
Others: 461 (1.1%)
MAJORITY: 18760 (43.3%)
Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat
Geography: Greater London. Part of the Ealing council area.
Main population centres: Southall, Norwood Green, Dormer`s Wells, Hanwell.
Profile: A West London seat in the Borough of Ealing. Southall is a residential area dominated by the asian community. Over two-thirds of the population is from an ethnic minority, overwhelmingly from an Asian background, mostly Punjabi. There are significant Hindu and Muslim populations, but the Sikh community is most dominant. Ealing Southall has by far the highest proportion of Sikhs in any constituency in the UK and contains the Sri Guru Singh Sabha Gurdwara, one of the largest Sikh temples outside of India. To the south of the constituency is the Grand Union Canal and Ealing Hospital..
Politics: At a Parliamentary level Ealing Southall has been solidly Labour. Traditionally the Conservatives were in a distant second place, but in 2005 the Liberal Democrats narrowly overtook them. In 2001 it was one of the few seats where a fringe party candidate outpolled one of the main parties when Dr Avtar Lit, the Chairman of the asian Sunrise Radio group, achieved third place. Dr Lit`s son, Tony Lit, was the Conservative candidate in the 2007 by-election that following the death of Piara Khabra, at the time the oldest MP in the Commons. Despite a strong campaign, David Cameron`s personal campaigning in the seat and much Conservative optimism, in the end Labour held the seat relatively easily with the Conservatives in third place.
| Con: | 12733 (30%) |
| Lab: | 22024 (52%) |
| LDem: | 6383 (15%) |
| GRN: | 705 (2%) |
| Oth: | 911 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 9291 (22%) |
| Con: | 10147 (22%) |
| Lab: | 22937 (49%) |
| LDem: | 11497 (24%) |
| GRN: | 2175 (5%) |
| Oth: | 289 (1%) |
| MAJ: | 11440 (24%) |
| Con: | 8556 (18%) |
| Lab: | 22239 (47%) |
| LDem: | 4680 (10%) |
| GRN: | 2119 (5%) |
| Oth: | 9234 (20%) |
| MAJ: | 13005 (28%) |
| Con: | 11368 (21%) |
| Lab: | 32791 (60%) |
| LDem: | 5687 (10%) |
| Oth: | 3942 (7%) |
| MAJ: | 21423 (39%) |
*There were boundary changes after 2005
At the last election the turnout was apparently up by 16% and the Tory vote by 11%. Conclusion: I think the notional result may have been a bit suspect, which was as follows:
Lab: 19,634
Con: 6,494
LD: 6,254
Green: 1,612
Others: 289
http://election.pressassociation.com/constituencies.html
Lab 58
Con 26
Lib Dem 10
Other 6
whatever happened to tony lit
Kavya Kaushik, former Co-Chair of Liberal Youth, has been selected as the Liberal Democrat candidate here.
Only 5 comments here! Anyways labour by 14000 over con
It was interesting to hear psephologist David Butler’s pronunciation of this seat on some of the vintage election programmes, where he pronounced it the same way as the posh pronunciation of the Notts town Southwell.
it’s not correct to pronounce the town that way whether you’re posh or not. Re the town in Notts, as l understand it locals simply pronounce it “South well” as it’s written – only racing folk from further away call it “Suhtholl” or however you render it phonetically.
Was the Tory any relation to Judith Symes, one of the Tory PPCs who defected to Labour at the 2008 Conf.
“Re the town in Notts, as l understand it locals simply pronounce it “South well” as it’s written – only racing folk from further away call it “Suhtholl” or however you render it phonetically.”
That is wrong. Locals do pronounce it “Suhtholl”. I grew up in Notts and never heard anyone say South Well.
With regard to Southall in Ealing, my understanding has always been that it’s pronounced South-All.
This was a very bad Con result, given that one of their better Ealing wards is in this seat.
The “h” tends to dropped in notts esp in the ex-mining area,s hence harrow inn becomes arrow inn.
Very early prediction for 2020-
Sharma (Labour)- 70%
Conservative- 19.5%
Green- 6%
Liberal Democrat- 2.5%
UKIP- 2%
l withdraw my comments re Southwell, l’ve only been there once & clearly l must have got the wrong end of the stick. l’m certainly right on Southall.
Conservatives have selected Fabio Conti as their candidate. He is a local Councillor for Northfield Ward and also chairman of Southall Conservatives. He is a junior doctor by profession.
Virenda Sharma facing a motion of no confidence tonight.
Motion of no confidence passes 41 to 18. Another likely candidate for resignation or deselection then.
Struggling to see what he has done wrong.
I don’t actually know who they are?
Mover of motion said he’d not been present at a CLP meeting for 21 months inter alia.
No doubt the large Hindu, Sikh and Muslim factions are all jostling for the candidacy here, which might well be a factor. Sharma is also pretty old now, though IIRC his predecessor died in office well into his 80s. For some reason Southall seems to like old MPs.
Through the councilors for the seat seem mostly to be under 50.