Ealing Central & Acton

2015 Result:
Conservative: 21728 (42.7%)
Labour: 22002 (43.2%)
Lib Dem: 3106 (6.1%)
Green: 1841 (3.6%)
UKIP: 1926 (3.8%)
Independent: 125 (0.2%)
Others: 166 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 274 (0.5%)

Category: Ultra-marginal Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Ealing council area.

Main population centres: Acton, Ealing.

Profile: Covers Acton and the town centre of Ealing. This mosly a relatively affluent family area with strong transport links into central London, although there are more deprived areas towards the industrial and trading estates in the north-east of the seat and in the South Acton estate. The A40 Western Avenue route into central London cuts through the northern part of the seat, including the famous (on London travel updates) and intimidating Hanger Lane gyratory system. The seat also contains Thames Valley University and the Ealing studios.

Politics: The seat was created in 2010 to replace the old Ealing, Acton and Shepherds Bush seat. The previous seat had been Labour held, but the removal of Labour voting Shepherds Bush left the new seat a tight three-way marginal that was won by the Conservatives in 2010 and Labour in 2015.


Current MP
RUPA HUQ (Labour) Born 1972, Hammersmith. Educated at Notting Hill and Ealing High School and Cambridge University. Former university lecturer. Contested North West region 2004 European elections, Chesham and Amersham 2005. First elected as MP for Ealing Central & Acton in 2015. Sister of former Blue Peter presenter Konnie Huq.
Past Results
2010
Con: 17944 (38%)
Lab: 14228 (30%)
LDem: 13041 (28%)
UKIP: 765 (2%)
Oth: 1222 (3%)
MAJ: 3716 (8%)
2005*
Con: 11059 (28%)
Lab: 16579 (42%)
LDem: 9986 (25%)
GRN: 1999 (5%)
MAJ: 5520 (14%)
2001
Con: 9355 (25%)
Lab: 20144 (54%)
LDem: 6171 (17%)
UKIP: 476 (1%)
Oth: 1055 (3%)
MAJ: 10789 (29%)
1997
Con: 12405 (26%)
Lab: 28052 (58%)
LDem: 5163 (11%)
Oth: 1807 (4%)
MAJ: 15647 (33%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Ealing, Acton & Shepherd's Bush

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ANGIE BRAY (Conservative) Born 1953, London. Educated at Abbey Preparatory School and St Andrews University. LBC radio reporter, head of Broadcasting at CCO and public affairs consultant. Contested East Ham 1997. Member of the London Assembly for West Central 2000-2008. MP for Ealing Central & Acton 2010 to 2015.
RUPA HUQ (Labour) Born 1972, Hammersmith. Educated at Notting Hill and Ealing High School and Cambridge University. University lecturer. Contested North West region 2004 European elections, Chesham and Amersham 2005. Sister of former Blue Peter presenter Konnie Huq.
JON BALL (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Merchant Taylors School, Crosby and Hatfield Polytechnic. Managing Director of a film & TV production and lighting business. Ealing councillor since 2002. Contested Hayes and Harlington 2005, Ealing Central and Acton 2010.
PETER FLORENCE (UKIP) Educated at St Dunstans College and Birmingham University. Entrepreneur and businessman.
TOM SHARMAN (Green) Educated at Sheffield University. Policy communications manager.
ANDRZEJ RYGIELSKI (Europeans)
SCOTT DORE (Workers Revolutionary)
TAMMY RENDLE (Above and Beyond)
JONATHAN NOTLEY (Independent)
Links
Comments - 512 Responses on “Ealing Central & Acton”
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  1. No chat on this seat yet. Are we all assuming a fairly comfortable pickup for the Conservatives or could it yet defy political gravity?

  2. Well,

    The Lib Dems took a lot from Labour in this seat in 2010, so I’d expect any Lib Dem rise to hurt Labour over the Conservatives by about 2-1.

    So I’d say CON GAIN in this seat.

  3. Of course not the most attractive seat for an ambitious Tory candidate. Even if they win, Labour’s dead cat bounce and the addition of Shepherd’s Bush in the boundary changes would almost certainly limit them to a single parliamentary term.

  4. Yes I agree, and this seat will likely be out of reach due to demographic change in the future anyway.

  5. According to the M*rr*r, the Greens are not standing here in order to support Labour

  6. Yep they’ve announced it on Twitter, apparently its something of a carrot to try and temp Labour into something more formal and national re electoral pacts.

  7. Bless them.

  8. So I wonder if LAB will stand in Brighton Pavilion…… :))

  9. I struggle to see what this pact could possibly involve beyond the Greens standing aside in marginal Con/Lab (and possibly Con/LD) constituencies. Which is what the Greens are doing already.

  10. Still moderately that this save HUQ. I would rate CON % probability at this time – 80%

  11. Cllr Joy Morrissey (Ealing Hanger Hill Ward) has been selected as Conservative candidate. She was also a 2016 Conservative Londonwide Assembly list candidate.

    She works as Events and Network Manager at the Centre for Social Justice.

    http://www.centreforsocialjustice.org.uk/about/staff/joy-morrissey

  12. I think this seat will probably go Con.
    Until recently I had thought it may be one of those London seats that once it’s lost, Labour would be very hard to shift.

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