Dudley South

2015 Result:
Conservative: 16723 (43.8%)
Labour: 12453 (32.6%)
Lib Dem: 828 (2.2%)
Green: 970 (2.5%)
UKIP: 7236 (18.9%)
MAJORITY: 4270 (11.2%)

Category: Semi-marginal Conservative seat

Geography: West Midlands. Part of the Dudley council area.

Main population centres: Dudley, Kingswinford, Brierley Hill.

Profile: A mixture of old former industrial areas on the edge of the Black Country such as Brierley Hill and more modern residential areas and housing developments on the western fringe of the West Midlands conurbanation like Kingswingford. Brierley Hill itself used to be a glassmaking and steelworking town. The steelworks finally closed in the early 80s, replaced by a new enterprise zone that eventually saw the opening of the huge Merry Hill Shopping Centre that now dominates the local retail economy.

Politics: This is the successor to the old Dudley West seat, held by the Conservatives throughout the 1980s. Dudley West fell to Labour on a huge by-election swing in 1994 and the seat remained Labour throughout the Blair and Brown governments, finally returing to Conservative hands in 2010..


Current MP
MIKE WOOD (Conservative) Dudley councillor since 2014. First elected as MP for Dudley South in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 16450 (43%)
Lab: 12594 (33%)
LDem: 5989 (16%)
UKIP: 3132 (8%)
MAJ: 3856 (10%)
2005*
Con: 13556 (35%)
Lab: 17800 (45%)
LDem: 4808 (12%)
BNP: 1841 (5%)
Oth: 1271 (3%)
MAJ: 4244 (11%)
2001
Con: 11292 (31%)
Lab: 18109 (50%)
LDem: 5421 (15%)
UKIP: 859 (2%)
Oth: 663 (2%)
MAJ: 6817 (19%)
1997
Con: 14097 (29%)
Lab: 27124 (57%)
LDem: 5214 (11%)
MAJ: 13027 (27%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
MIKE WOOD (Conservative) Dudley councillor since 2014.
NATASHA MILLWARD (Labour) Born Tipton. Trade union officer.
MARTIN TURNER (Liberal Democrat) Born 1966, Todmorden. Educated at King Edwards School, Birmingham and Oxford University. Contested Sutton Coldfield 2001, Halesowen and Rowley Regis 2005, Stratford on Avon 2010.
PAUL BROTHWOOD (UKIP) Project manager. Dudley councillor.
VICKY DUCKWORTH (Green) Educated at Newman University. Former teacher. Contested West Midlands Region 2014 European election.
Links
Comments - 179 Responses on “Dudley South”
  1. I’m surprised, with 2 hours having elapsed since the poll was published, that Mike Wood has not yet announced that he is standing down as candidate.

  2. I’ve just done a straw poll on what I had to eat for my dinner for all the days of the week!

  3. @DINBYCH DAI
    Sorry it will not be possible to revisit seats to carry out polls as I have a number of other seats to carry out straw polls on.
    The results I have given for any seat in the polls I have taken stay good for election day as certainty to vote in that particular way is taken into account what my straw polls are published.

  4. Lab, majority 900 (not a straw poll I might add).

  5. My latest straw poll is about different types of straw that people prefer, and FWIW, it’s made out of straw.

  6. At last an Ashcroft poll for this key seat – and , just as in Halesowen , it looks like Labour are struggling to gain traction

    Con 39
    Lab 35
    Lib Dem 3
    UKIP 18
    Green 4

    Who’s going to break the bad news to Lord Ashcroft that he’s out of step with Paul Way?

  7. West Midlands seems to be providing fairly good news for the Tories at the moment. Each region seems to be doing its own thing.

  8. Conservative Hold. 500 majority.

  9. Imagine if Paul Way’s polls are some way close to the truth come Friday… I’m not saying he has any clue, but the polls don’t look 100% barmy either.

  10. LOL

  11. Getting into recount territory here, if I am to hazard a guess I would say CON hold by 350-400

  12. Full Result:

    Con 16,723 43.8%
    Lab 12,453 32.6%
    UKIP 7,236 18.9%
    Green 970 2.5%
    LDem 828 2.2%

    Majority 4,270 : Swing 0.5%

  13. Chris Kelly must regret standing down.

  14. He isn’t the only one in that category surely

  15. Looking at the local election results it seems this is a rather divided constituency. The Tories win big in Kingswinford and Wordsley and Labour cleans up in the rest of the constituency.

  16. Yes as with all the Black Country marginals there’s a clear split between the gritty, ex-industrial inner wards and the peripheral wards that were historically semi-rural and which now amount to lower middle-class commuter land.

  17. Biggest Leave majorities seem to be:

    Dudley 61,666
    Doncaster 57,338
    Wakefield 57,288

  18. Highest % of Leave votes were: Boston, South Holland, Castle Point, Thurrock, Great Yarmouth, Fenland, Mansfield, Bolsover, East Lindsey and North East Lincs

    By my reckoning, only South Holland, Castle Point and Bolsover are represented by Brexit-supporting MPs

  19. Part of Thurrock was as Stephen Metcalfe was an outer.

  20. Part of North East Lincs is too. The Cleethorpes MP Martin Vickers supported Brexit.

  21. Mike Wood – who must have been the MP in critical condition that LO alluded to but would not name out of respect – is back, making his first vote for a few months after nearly dying of sepsis.

    https://twitter.com/mikejwood/status/841341974141632512/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

    I’m sure everyone will join me in wishing him a speedy and complete recovery.

  22. This was an excellent result for the Tories. This is now virtually a safe seat for them.

  23. You mean for Labour last time?

  24. Mike Wood has said that unless they are significant changes to the Backstop before Tuesday he will resign as Liam Fox’s PPS.

  25. And Priti Patel says we should threaten to starve the Republic of Ireland by cutting off transport links unless they remove the backstop. Like this won’t elicit a huge effort from the rest of the EU to help Eire and starve us instead. These hard Brexiteers really seem to be thick as pigshit at times, and I think Mr Wood has to be included in that category if he’s so self-important to think that a nobody such as himself resigning is going to make an iota of difference.

  26. Plus presumably Northern Ireland will have to be starved as well or the border towns will have everyone crossing the border to buy food or either have to introduce rationing or physician checks on cars and trains crossing the border.

  27. Quite. I’ve made it clear that I don’t think no-deal is remotely likely. But if it does happen Britain will be forced to sue for peace within weeks. All this Blitz spirit stuff is bollocks. The 21st century public will not tolerate food rationing. Look at how frightened Blair got in the tanker drivers dispute, which is an ultra mild version of what we would probably face.

  28. Priti Patel’s comments were horrid. I’ve said for years that she’s a nasty piece of work…I’m not very happy to be proven right in this instance.

  29. Mike Wood again reported to be on the verge of resigning over the Brexit deal.

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