Croydon North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 12149 (22.7%)
Labour: 33513 (62.6%)
Lib Dem: 1919 (3.6%)
Green: 2515 (4.7%)
UKIP: 2899 (5.4%)
TUSC: 261 (0.5%)
Independent: 141 (0.3%)
Others: 125 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 21364 (39.9%)

Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Croydon council area.

Main population centres: Croydon, Norbury, Thornton Heath, Upper Norwood, South Norwood.

Profile: This is the most urban and inner-city in character of the three Croydon seats, with large areas of dense terrace housing and municipal tower blocks. It is by far the most diverse of the Croydon seats. In the 2011 census almost two-thirds of the population were non-white and at 31% it had the second highest proportion of black residents of any constituency in the country.

Politics: The north Croydon seats were once reliably Conservative, but demographic change and the growth in the ethnic minority population has moved them decisively into the Labour column and it can now be regarded as a very safe Labour seat.

By-Election: There was a by-election in this seat in LAB HOLD. For full details see here.


Current MP
STEVE REED (Labour) Born 1963. Educated at Sheffield University. Lambeth councillor. Leader of Lambeth council 2006-2012. First elected as MP for Croydon North in 2012 by-election.
Past Results
2010
Con: 12466 (24%)
Lab: 28947 (56%)
LDem: 7226 (14%)
GRN: 1017 (2%)
Oth: 2020 (4%)
MAJ: 16481 (32%)
2005*
Con: 9667 (22%)
Lab: 23555 (54%)
LDem: 7560 (17%)
GRN: 1248 (3%)
Oth: 1817 (4%)
MAJ: 13888 (32%)
2001
Con: 9752 (23%)
Lab: 26610 (64%)
LDem: 4375 (10%)
UKIP: 606 (1%)
Oth: 539 (1%)
MAJ: 16858 (40%)
1997
Con: 14274 (27%)
Lab: 32672 (62%)
LDem: 4066 (8%)
Oth: 396 (1%)
MAJ: 18398 (35%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
VIDHI MOHAN (Conservative) Born India. Transport consultant. Croydon councillor since 2005.
STEVE REED (Labour) See above.
JOANNA CORBIN (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Oxford Brookes University. Lawyer.
WINSTON MCKENZIE (UKIP) Born 1953, Jamacia. Former amateur boxer, hairdresser and publican. Contested Brent East 2003 by-election as independent, Croydon North 2005 for Veritas, London Mayoral election 2008 as Independent, Tottenham 2010 and Croydon North 2012 by-election for UKIP.
SHASHA KHAN (Green) Born Islington. Director in a family business and runs a dance music record label. Contested Croydon North 2005, 2010, 2012 by-election.
BEN STEVENSON (Communist Party GB)
LEE BERKS (Independent)
GLEN HART (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 118 Responses on “Croydon North”
  1. Quite apart from the unnecessary unpleasant comments about an obscure urban area of London – Willesden Junction station is NOT in Hammersmith, it’s in BRENT CENTRAL (the platforms and passenger lines and ticket office).

    I don’t know why anyone mentions this in the first place, as the station does not contain any residents and therefore contains no voters.

  2. Labour by 21000 over Con.

  3. Yes, most estimates had it narrowly Tory but so close it could have been either way in reality. The old Croydon North East seat (majority around 7000 in 1992) would be safe for Labour now, majority of 7-8000 I reckon. The old Croydon Central would still be Tory by a couple of thousand.

  4. Solid Lab Hold like Mitcham and Morden. Could see increased majority here too. Con to LD switches may make it safer for Lab.

  5. Easy Labour hold in South Norwood tonight.

    Patsy CUMMINGS (Labour Party) 1,671
    Rebecca NATRAJAN (The Conservative Party Candidate) 475
    Claire Elizabeth BONHAM (Liberal Democrats) 388
    Peter UNDERWOOD (Green Party) 218
    Michael SWADLING (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 78

  6. Bill Pitt, Liberal Alliance MP for Croydon NW from 1981 to 1983, and the first candidate to be elected an MP for the Alliance, has died aged 80. He had been a Labour Party member for about the last 25 years.

  7. The South Norwood by-election result above is a clear indicator of how radically Croydon has changed demographically in the past decade. In 2006 South Norwood elected Conservative councillors.

    Sad to hear about Bill Pitt.

  8. The Tory governments fixation on hard brexit will cost them dearly in London- a city that was swinging against them even before the referendum result

    Boris Johnson is close to becoming a marked man in a city which he was the two-term democratically elected mayor for

    What the government hasn’t fully appreciated is that once brexit goes tits up all their new wwc voters will desert them en masse

  9. My current prediction is that the Tories will hold on to Bexley, Bromley and Wandsworth (because of its unique political microclimate, which meant it stayed blue even in the Blair years). I expect Westminster, K&C and Richmond to be close, but for them to ultimately lose control.

  10. I’ll also be keeping an eye on whether the sole member of the opposition in Islington (from the Green Party) can hold on. I suspect she won’t. Incidentally, I looked it up and there aren’t any councils in Britain right now without an opposition.

  11. Have you seen populus london ward break down of the june election?

  12. I saw a graphic but didn’t look at it in any detail.

  13. Wandsworth could see up to 17 seats change hands

  14. Is that 17 seats changing hands if the borough votes as it did in the GE?

    I haven’t looked into the details, but there is plenty of split-ticketing in the area, and there was a much-hyped by-election recently where the Tories held on to a ward with only a 5% swing against, half of what was seen at the general election.

    But obviously I have no local knowledge or anything. If Barnaby tells me that Labour are going to take Wandsworth, I will believe him.

  15. IMO Labour are more likely to win Wandsworth than Westminster. Labour’s support in Westminster is massively concentrated in a few safe wards in the north; they could win the popular vote whilst the Tories comfortably retain control.

  16. Looking at that populus map there is a potential for 11 gains in Westminister which gives Tories a maj of 6

  17. Again, what do you mean by “potential for 11 gains”? Is that just what the GE result would reflect when replicated at ward level?

  18. Pretty much yeah

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