Conservative Target Seats

These are the seventy-five seats with the lowest percentage majorities over the Conservative party. This does not necessarily mean they would be the most winnable seats for the Conservatives in practice, or that they are the seats the Conservative party will actually be targetting at the next general election. The Conservative party won 306 seats at the last general election, so would need to win another twenty seats to secure an overall majority in the House of Commons.

1. Hampstead & Kilburn Majority 42 (0.1%)
2. Bolton West Majority 92 (0.2%)
3. Solihull Majority 175 (0.3%)
4. Southampton, Itchen Majority 192 (0.4%)
5. Mid Dorset and North Poole Majority 269 (0.6%)
6. Wirral South Majority 531 (1.3%)
7. Derby North Majority 613 (1.4%)
8. Wells Majority 800 (1.4%)
9. Dudley North Majority 649 (1.7%)
10. Great Grimsby Majority 714 (2.2%)
11. Morley & Outwood Majority 1101 (2.3%)
12. Telford Majority 978 (2.4%)
13. Walsall North Majority 990 (2.7%)
14. St Austell & Newquay Majority 1312 (2.8%)
15. Somerton & Frome Majority 1817 (3%)
16. Birmingham, Edgbaston Majority 1274 (3.1%)
17. Sutton & Cheam Majority 1608 (3.3%)
18. Halifax Majority 1472 (3.4%)
19. Newcastle-under-Lyme Majority 1552 (3.6%)
20. Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland Majority 1677 (3.6%)
21. Wakefield Majority 1613 (3.6%)
22. St Ives Majority 1719 (3.7%)
23. Plymouth Moor View Majority 1588 (3.8%)
24. Gedling Majority 1859 (3.9%)
25. Eltham Majority 1663 (4%)
26. Walsall South Majority 1755 (4.3%)
27. Nottingham South Majority 1772 (4.3%)
28. Chippenham Majority 2470 (4.7%)
29. Tooting Majority 2524 (5%)
30. Chorley Majority 2593 (5.2%)
31. North East Derbyshire Majority 2445 (5.2%)
32. Exeter Majority 2721 (5.2%)
33. Blackpool South Majority 1852 (5.3%)
34. Westminster North Majority 2126 (5.4%)
35. Oldham East & Saddleworth Majority 103 (5.4%)
36. Southampton, Test Majority 2413 (5.5%)
37. Luton South Majority 2329 (5.5%)
38. Bridgend Majority 2263 (5.9%)
39. Dagenham & Rainham Majority 2630 (5.9%)
40. Delyn Majority 2272 (6.1%)
41. Cheadle Majority 3272 (6.2%)
42. North Cornwall Majority 2981 (6.4%)
43. Gower Majority 2683 (6.4%)
44. Norwich South Majority 310 (6.4%)
45. Penistone & Stocksbridge Majority 3049 (6.6%)
46. Eastbourne Majority 3435 (6.6%)
47. Birmingham, Northfield Majority 2782 (6.7%)
48. Stalybridge & Hyde Majority 2744 (6.7%)
49. Bury South Majority 3292 (6.8%)
50. Harrow West Majority 3143 (6.8%)
51. Bradford East Majority 365 (6.9%)
52. Taunton Deane Majority 3993 (6.9%)
53. Scunthorpe Majority 2549 (6.9%)
54. Berwick-upon-Tweed Majority 2690 (7%)
55. Vale of Clwyd Majority 2509 (7.1%)
56. Wolverhampton North East Majority 2484 (7.1%)
57. Eastleigh Majority 3864 (7.2%)
58. Hyndburn Majority 3090 (7.2%)
59. Alyn & Deeside Majority 2919 (7.3%)
60. Birmingham, Selly Oak Majority 3482 (7.5%)
61. Hammersmith Majority 3549 (7.5%)
62. Argyll & Bute Majority 3431 (7.6%)
63. Brighton, Pavilion Majority 1252 (7.6%)
64. Darlington Majority 3388 (7.9%)
65. Sefton Central Majority 3862 (8%)
66. Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine Majority 3684 (8.2%)
67. Clwyd South Majority 2834 (8.2%)
68. Bristol East Majority 3722 (8.3%)
69. Don Valley Majority 3595 (8.3%)
70. Torbay Majority 4078 (8.3%)
71. Coventry South Majority 3845 (8.4%)
72. Batley & Spen Majority 4406 (8.6%)
73. Angus Majority 3282 (8.6%)
74. Newport West Majority 3544 (8.9%)
75. Copeland Majority 3833 (9%)
Comments - 3 Responses on “Conservative Targets”
  1. Just wanted to say that you need to alter the white on yellow text to black on yellow, or grey on yellow. It’s impossible to read.

  2. Reads OK to me – you need to get your glasses changed

  3. Now that the Conservatives have got closer to listing their 40:40 target list, it might be an idea to update this. Some of the Conservative target seats are further away in terms of the swing needed, but assumed to be more winnable. In terms of the seats that will actually see the extra campaigning resources, the list compiled by the Conservative Party would be more helpful. Perhaps this will be the case for Labour and the Liberal Democrats as well.

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