Cities of London & Westminster

2015 Result:
Conservative: 19570 (54.1%)
Labour: 9899 (27.4%)
Lib Dem: 2521 (7%)
Green: 1953 (5.4%)
UKIP: 1894 (5.2%)
Others: 348 (1%)
MAJORITY: 9671 (26.7%)

Category: Very safe Conservative seat

Geography: Greater London. The City of London and part of the Westminster council area.

Main population centres: Mayfair, Marylebone, Pimlico, Belgravia.

Profile: The core of London, covering the most of the major landmarks, parks, shopping areas, financial headquarters and housing the main organs of the state. One can be in no doubt that the United Kingdom is a largely centralised state looking at what falls under this single constituency, in the west is Buckingham Palace, the official residence of the Queen, surrounded by the royal parks. Nearby the government departments on Whitehall itself and now spreading down Victoria Street, also the location of New Scotland Yard. The seat covers Downing Street, official residence of the Prime Minister and the Houses of Parliament itself. Heading north there are the major shopping areas of Knightsbridge, Regent and Oxford Streets, the West End theatreland and Soho, then eastwards there are the Inns of Court, the Royal Courts of Justice, the Old Bailey and then finally the City of London itself, with St Paul`s Cathedral, its skyscrapers, the Bank of England and the Stock Exchange..

Politics: The City of London is the small medieval core of the city, originally bounded by the city walls (although it includes some wards outside the line of the old physical walls). It continues to be governed as a separate local authority, the smallest in the country and the only local authority still to have a business franchise. Despite a weekday population of hundreds of thousands, there are relatively few permanent residents here, mostly concentrated in the Barbican and Golden Lane Estate. The vast bulk of the electorate are in Westminster, covering some of the most insanely expensive (and solidly Conservative) residential real estate in the country in Belgravia, Knightsbridge and Mayfair. There are dwindling cosmopolitian residential areas in Soho and social housing around Victoria and in Mayfair, but overall this is Conservative territory, with every ward in the constituency returning Conservative councillors since the boundary changes in 2002.


Current MP
MARK FIELD (Conservative) Born 1964. Educated at Reading School and Oxford University. Former Solicitor and director of an employment agency. Kensington and Chelsea councillor 1994-2002. Contested Enfield North 1997. First elected as MP for Cities of London and Westminster in 2001. Opposition Whip 2003-04, Shadow Minister for London 2003-05, Shadow Financial Secretary to the Treasury 2005, Shadow Minister for Culture 2005-06.
Past Results
2010
Con: 19264 (52%)
Lab: 8188 (22%)
LDem: 7574 (21%)
GRN: 778 (2%)
Oth: 1127 (3%)
MAJ: 11076 (30%)
2005*
Con: 17260 (47%)
Lab: 9165 (25%)
LDem: 7306 (20%)
GRN: 1544 (4%)
Oth: 1212 (3%)
MAJ: 8095 (22%)
2001
Con: 15737 (46%)
Lab: 11238 (33%)
LDem: 5218 (15%)
GRN: 1318 (4%)
Oth: 464 (1%)
MAJ: 4499 (13%)
1997
Con: 18981 (47%)
Lab: 14100 (35%)
LDem: 4933 (12%)
Oth: 980 (2%)
MAJ: 4881 (12%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
MARK FIELD (Conservative) See above.
NICK SLINGSBY (Labour)
BELINDA BROOKS-GORDON (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Middlesex Polytechnic and Cambridge University. Psychologist. Cambridgshire councillor. Contested West Suffolk 2010, East of England 2014 European election.
ROBERT STEPHENSON (UKIP)
HUGH SMALL (Green) Educated at Durham University. Former management consultant.
ADAM CLIFFORD (Class War)
JILL MCLACHLAN (CPA) Contested Cities of London and Westminster 2005, North West European region 2009.
EDOUARD-HENRI DESFORGES (CISTA)
Links
Comments - 559 Responses on “Cities of London & Westminster”
  1. BM11 is on course to win the prediction competition with his guess of :
    CON 377 LAB 187

  2. 10 UK POLLING REPORT GE2019 PREDICTION CHALLENGE

    GRUMPY: CON 302 LAB 269 LD 18 SNP 37

    BM11: CON 377 LAB 187 LD 21 SNP 42

    HEMMELIG: CON 335 LAB 225 LD 25 SNP 42

    LANCS OB: CON 340 LAB 235 LD 15 SNP 35

    LAMBETHGRN CON 304 LAB 270 LD 12 SNP 40

    TIM JONES: CON 326 LAB 232 LD 24 SNP 42

    TRISTAN: CON: 348 LAB 224 LD 15 SNP 42

    POLLTROLL: CON: 318 LAB: 262 LD: 12 SNP: 35

    DEEPTHROAT: CON 361 LAB 211 LD 14 SNP 39

  3. Well done Deepthroat

  4. RESULT: CON 365 LAB 203 LD 11 SNP 48
    Thanks Matt. Yes, I think I was the closest. I made a nice amount of money backing the Tories 340 seats +, maj 75-100 and BXP zero seats & betting on Tories in N & Mid seats. I lost a quite bit though backing turnout <66%

  5. Grumpy is happy that his prediction was wrong.

  6. Well done deep.

    I had bets on Cons in Ashfield, Blackpool S, Barrow, Bassetlaw, Brecon, Cheltenham, East Devon, Finchley & GG, Moray, Vale of C.

    DUP in East Belfast, Antrim S, SDLP in Foyle.

    Lab in Birkenhead.

    Think my only seat loss was N Down.

    Waiting on St Ives for my all Cornwall seats Cons bet.

  7. Ty. Well done. Was it on exchanges or with normal bookies?

    I had Moray and Banff B; & Blackpool;. I lost on Leica E & Kensington (Lab)

  8. Wifi went down yesterday lunchtime. gone to a relative to post here – might get a doddle working.

    Congrats deepthroat and Lancs on yours wins.

    I will anaylise the result more when i have time.

  9. Well done Deepthroat. What is your prize?

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