Broxtowe

2015 Result:
Conservative: 24163 (45.2%)
Labour: 19876 (37.2%)
Lib Dem: 2120 (4%)
Green: 1544 (2.9%)
UKIP: 5674 (10.6%)
Others: 63 (0.1%)
MAJORITY: 4287 (8%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: East Midlands, Nottinghamshire. Part of Broxtowe council area.

Main population centres: Beeston, Stapleford, Kimberley, Nuthall, Awsworth.

Profile: This seat is essentially the more affluent owner-occupied western suburbs of Nottingham that lie outside the city boundary. There is a high level of owner-occupation, very little social housing and a high proportion of residents commute into Nottingham for work.

Politics: A marginal between Labour and the Conservatives. The Conservatives won on a wafer thin majority in 2010 and the ousted Labour MP Nick Palmer attempted a return in 2015, only to see the Tory majority grow to eight percent..


Current MP
ANNA SOUBRY (Conservative) Born 1956, Worksop. Educated at Birmingham University. Former barrister and journalist. Contested Gelding 2005. First elected as MP for Broxtowe in 2010. PPS to Simon Burns 2010-2012, Under-secretary of State for Heath 2012-2013, Under-secretary of State for Defence 2013-2014, Minister of State for Defence 2014-2015. Minister of State for Small business since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 20585 (39%)
Lab: 20196 (38%)
LDem: 8907 (17%)
BNP: 1422 (3%)
Oth: 1617 (3%)
MAJ: 389 (1%)
2005*
Con: 18161 (37%)
Lab: 20457 (42%)
LDem: 7837 (16%)
GRN: 896 (2%)
Oth: 1455 (3%)
MAJ: 2296 (5%)
2001
Con: 17963 (37%)
Lab: 23836 (49%)
LDem: 7205 (15%)
MAJ: 5873 (12%)
1997
Con: 21768 (37%)
Lab: 27343 (47%)
LDem: 6934 (12%)
MAJ: 5575 (10%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ANNA SOUBRY (Conservative) See above.
NICK PALMER (Labour) Born 1950, London. Educated at MIT, Copenhagen. Director of BUAV, former computer manager and head of computer services at Novartis. Contested Chelsea 1983, MP for Broxtowe 1997-2010. PPS to Malcolm Wicks 2005-2008.
STAN HEPTINSTALL (Liberal Democrat) Born 1946, Bolton. Educated at King Edward VII School and Newcastle University. Emeritus Professor of thrombosis and haemostasis. Broxtowe councillor since 1991, Nottinghamshire councillor since 1997. Awarded the MBE for services to the community in 1997.
FRANK DUNNE (UKIP) Company director.
DAVID KIRWAN (Green) Trade union officer. Contested Newark by-election 2014.
RAY BARRY (Justice for Men and Boys)
Links
Comments - 558 Responses on “Broxtowe”
  1. Was the ex-UKIP now Ind NW MEP serious? That he intends to stand as a Conservative here against Anna?

  2. He seemingly but the Torries have told him he is not a member and his application was rejected last year. He was linked the other week to the New Brexit Party.
    Prehaps he could stand here for that party? Even through he is a northerner and this is the midlands.

  3. Both him and Soubry could well be without a Party at the next election.

  4. Pto
    “How is 52/48 – in line with the national result – a big margin?”

    I thought it was well over 60%. I have Leave vote in Broxtowe as 54.65% (Hanretty). But even that is not a “huge” margin so I withdraw.

    Hundreds of volunteers will be in this seat on Saturday and Corbyn is expected to attend

  5. I think they is some confusion as Broxtowe council is more leave than the seat because the areas of the council in others seats are very leave.

  6. Yes it’s often difficult and down to guesswork basically.

    I see Dr Hanretty has revised his estimates and Broxtowe has indeed been revised down to 52.5% Leave

    This is the latest and final estimages

    https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/final-estimates-of-the-leave-vote-or-areal-interpolation-and-the-uks-referendum-on-eu-membership-5490b6cab878

  7. On the News they described the town of Beeston and the seat of Broxtowe as an area where most people voted Brexit. To me Most is 70% and above not a 52-55/48-45 split. Looking at the demographics the town of Beeston might have been a remain part of the seat.

  8. In discussions of “the divide”, people forget that most in the vast majority of places the split was 60-40 or closer.

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