Bromsgrove

2015 Result:
Conservative: 28133 (53.8%)
Labour: 11604 (22.2%)
Lib Dem: 2616 (5%)
Green: 1729 (3.3%)
UKIP: 8163 (15.6%)
MAJORITY: 16529 (31.6%)

Category: Very safe Conservative seat

Geography: West Midlands, Hereford and Worcester. The whole of the Bromsgrove council area.

Main population centres: Bromsgrove, Alvechurch, Hollywood, Barnt Green, Dodford, Hagley, Rubery.

Profile: This is an affluent commuter seat curling around the southern boundary of the West Midlands conurbation, and made up the town of Bromsgrove and the neighbouring dormitory villages. There has been significant growth through private housing developments over recent decades.

Politics: While Bromsgrove itself has some reliable Labour areas in its council estates, on the whole this is a safe Conservative seat. It was briefly held by Labour after a 1971 by-election and was marginal throughout the 1970s, but once Redditch was moved into its own seat in the 1983 boundary changes the new Bromsgrove seat became a solid Tory bastion. Until 2010 the seat was represented by Julie Kirkbride, one of the most high profile Conservative casualties of the expenses scandal, who stood down in the face of public and media criticism of her expenses claims.


Current MP
SAJID JAVID (Conservative) Born 1969, Rochdale. Educated at Downend School and Exeter University. Former banker. First elected as MP for Bromsgrove in 2010. Economic Secretary to the Treasury 2012-2013, Financial Secretary to the Treasury 2013-2014, Secretary of State for Culture 2014-2015. Secretary of State for Business since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 22558 (44%)
Lab: 11250 (22%)
LDem: 10124 (20%)
UKIP: 2950 (6%)
Oth: 4748 (9%)
MAJ: 11308 (22%)
2005
Con: 24387 (51%)
Lab: 14307 (30%)
LDem: 7197 (15%)
UKIP: 1919 (4%)
MAJ: 10080 (21%)
2001
Con: 23640 (52%)
Lab: 15502 (34%)
LDem: 5430 (12%)
UKIP: 1112 (2%)
MAJ: 8138 (18%)
1997
Con: 24620 (47%)
Lab: 19725 (38%)
LDem: 6200 (12%)
Oth: 251 (0%)
MAJ: 4895 (9%)

Demographics
2015 Candidates
SAJID JAVID (Conservative) See above.
TOM EBBUTT (Labour) Born Bromsgrove. Educated at Waseley Hills High School and Cambridge University. Operations director of a education charity. Hackey councillor since 2010.
BART RICKETTS (Liberal Democrat)
STUART CROSS (UKIP)
SPOZ ESPOSITO (Green)
Links
Comments - 163 Responses on “Bromsgrove”
  1. Both Hunt and Javids chances have been dealt a serious blow after a poll of members shows Boris would win

  2. But Boris will struggle to get the final two.

  3. There is clearly a rump of a 100+ MPs who want a ‘proper’ leaver in the final 2. It might not be Boris. It might be Raab or McVey but whoever they propel into the final 2 will likely be popular with an ever increasingly eursceptic membership

  4. There was a recent poll of Conservative Party members which showed 40% of them supported Theresa May’s deal, up from 19% when the vote was first put to MPs in January.

    I think it’s a bit reductive to assume that the most Eurosceptic candidate wins automatically. Remember that frontrunners very rarely win leadership contests, particularly in the Conservative Party.

  5. This is what makes me laugh. Despite everything Theresa May is generally still more popular amongst not just members but the general public than any other candidate and yet 40 Tory rebels have told May she has to go before April if she wants this deal to pass. When do you think it’ll click that she’s not the problem

  6. ‘Both Hunt and Javids chances have been dealt a serious blow after a poll of members shows Boris would win’

    That says rather more about their limitations and the type of people in today’s Conservative Party that it does Johnson’s suitability to leading the Tories

    Javid’s reputation for competence has been seriously put to the test and whilst his lack of compassion might appeal to some of the newer Tory members on the Right of the party, they would probably never back him because of his skin co,or (and more importantly religion) any how

    Hunt’s objective meanwhile – his shameless and utterly unconvincing attempt ton portray himself as a right winger is fooling no one and only seems be losing him support rather than gaining it

    Surely the Tories can do better than Hunt, Javid or Johnson

  7. “Surely the Tories can do better than Hunt, Javid or Johnson”

    While all his cabinet colleagues demonstrate their utter incompetence on a daily basis, Hammond has nearly eliminated Gordon Brown’s humungous deficit. Despite the chaos of Brexit. He’s the only adult left in the room who’s still young enough to do the job (sadly Clarke is too old), like a gold coin glistening on a big pile of horse dung.

    The one saving grace of the past 3 years is that he’s managed to keep the economy ticking over through the chaos. It hardly bears thinking about what would have happened had Johnson or Grayling been made chancellor. And for his achievements, ConHome readers put him bottom of their latest cabinet approval list! As Tim says, that says something about the Tory party today.

    We seem to be looking at a very long extension followed by a new hard leaver Tory PM who will rant about how Theresa May sold us down the river but we can’t do anything about it now.

  8. I agree that Philip Hammond is probably the least objectionable candidate in terms of how he’d run the country, but I also feel he’s uniquely ill-equipped to take on Jeremy Corbyn. Like May, he’s unemotional, unexciting, and his policy platform would be all vegetables and no pudding. That failed last time and there’s no reason to believe it wouldn’t fail again.

  9. ‘That failed last time and there’s no reason to believe it wouldn’t fail again.’

    Big difference Poll

    Hammond’s saving grace is that he’s competent the one thing May isn’t, as she’s illustrated during her time in the top job

  10. Though spreadsheet Phil does have this remarkable ability to fade into the background

  11. ‘Though spreadsheet Phil does have this remarkable ability to fade into the background’

    But that’s because he comes across – and to be fair probably is a little – as boring

    He’s hardly the only cabinet minister you could say that about and it’#s bizarre and says loads about the Tories that the person who achieved what everybody said he couldn’t, and who has thus delivered on the Tory’s central argument in their 2010 manifesto, finds himself behind the likes of Truss, Grayling, Leadsome and Johnson, who have proved their incompetence by performing horrendously in their cabinet roles

  12. though he hasn’t actually got rid of the deficit he’s got a day to day spending surplus which ismt the same thing and likely won’t have got rid of the deficit until 2023

  13. The problem for Spreadsheet Phil is that the Tories themselves have long since abandoned the deficit as a talking point. Regardless of what you think about the Tories’ record in office, it’s remarkable that nobody in government ever praises the “success” of the central policy of Conservative-led governments since 2010.

    The present Labour Party is better at paying lip service to Tony Blair’s achievements than the present Conservative Party is at acknowledging David Cameron, and that’s really saying something.

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